4 resultados para sales forecasting
em Universitat de Girona, Spain
Resumo:
A regulator imposing “sales restrictions” on firms competing in oligopolistic markets may enhance quality provision by the firms. Moreover, for most restrictions levels, the impact on quality selection is invariant to the mode of competition
Resumo:
Planners in public and private institutions would like coherent forecasts of the components of age-specic mortality, such as causes of death. This has been di cult to achieve because the relative values of the forecast components often fail to behave in a way that is coherent with historical experience. In addition, when the group forecasts are combined the result is often incompatible with an all-groups forecast. It has been shown that cause-specic mortality forecasts are pessimistic when compared with all-cause forecasts (Wilmoth, 1995). This paper abandons the conventional approach of using log mortality rates and forecasts the density of deaths in the life table. Since these values obey a unit sum constraint for both conventional single-decrement life tables (only one absorbing state) and multiple-decrement tables (more than one absorbing state), they are intrinsically relative rather than absolute values across decrements as well as ages. Using the methods of Compositional Data Analysis pioneered by Aitchison (1986), death densities are transformed into the real space so that the full range of multivariate statistics can be applied, then back-transformed to positive values so that the unit sum constraint is honoured. The structure of the best-known, single-decrement mortality-rate forecasting model, devised by Lee and Carter (1992), is expressed in compositional form and the results from the two models are compared. The compositional model is extended to a multiple-decrement form and used to forecast mortality by cause of death for Japan
Resumo:
Creativitat i subversió en les reescriptures de Joan Sales se centra en la figura de l’editor i novel•lista Joan Sales (1912-1983) i pretén ressituar l’autor d’Incerta glòria dins del panorama literari català a partir d’una diversificació dels punts de mira des dels quals esdevé possible realitzar-ne un estudi. Com a base, s’han utilitzat les teories traductològiques de finals del segle XX, elaborades per autors com André Lefevere i Susan Bassnett, que situen la traducció, l’edició, l’adaptació, la crítica literària i la historiografia dins del terreny de la reescriptura creativa i atorguen un poder subversiu a totes aquestes activitats. Així, doncs, s’ha intentat modificar la tendència que, històricament, havia dut a considerar de manera negativa les reescriptures de Sales. Sota el paraigua teòric de la reescriptura, les manipulacions, els canvis i les intervencions esdevenen una eina que contribueix a l’evolució literària d’una cultura.