Compositional Time Series: An Application

The composition of the labour force is an important economic factor for a country. Often the changes in proportions of different groups are of interest. I this paper we study a monthly compositional time series from the Swedish Labour Force Survey from 1994 to 2005. Three models are studied: the ILR-transformed series, the ILR-transformation of the compositional differenced series of order 1, and the ILRtransformation of the compositional differenced series of order 12. For each of the three models a VAR-model is fitted based on the data 1994-2003. We predict the time series 15 steps ahead and calculate 95 % prediction regions. The predictions of the three models are compared with actual values using MAD and MSE and the prediction regions are compared graphically in a ternary time series plot. We conclude that the first, and simplest, model possesses the best predictive power of the three models

Programa d'habilitats socials pels alumnes de l’Aula Oberta del Primer Cicle d’ESO: IES Vallvera

Treball que recull l'experiència de l’autora durant 4 mesos en l’IES Vallvera. Durant aquest temps ha pogut observar, aprendre i conèixer les tasques dels professionals de la psicopedagogia. L’IES Vallvera és un centre que acull molts alumnes immigrants, i per tant el tracte amb alumnes i l’assessorament d’aquests és el treball del dia a dia de la psicopedagoga del centre