Impact of sward type, cutting date and conditioning temperature on mass and energy flows in the integrated generation of solid fuel and biogas from semi-natural grassland

Energy production from biomass and the conservation of ecologically valuable grassland habitats are two important issues of agriculture today. The combination of a bioenergy production, which minimises environmental impacts and competition with food production for land with a conversion of semi-natural grasslands through new utilization alternatives for the biomass, led to the development of the IFBB process. Its basic principle is the separation of biomass into a liquid fraction (press fluid, PF) for the production of electric and thermal energy after anaerobic digestion to biogas and a solid fraction (press cake, PC) for the production of thermal energy through combustion. This study was undertaken to explore mass and energy flows as well as quality aspects of energy carriers within the IFBB process and determine their dependency on biomass-related and technical parameters. Two experiments were conducted, in which biomass from semi-natural grassland was conserved as silage and subjected to a hydrothermal conditioning and a subsequent mechanical dehydration with a screw press. Methane yield of the PF and the untreated silage was determined in anaerobic digestion experiments in batch fermenters at 37°C with a fermentation time of 13-15 and 27-35 days for the PF and the silage, respectively. Concentrations of dry matter (DM), ash, crude protein (CP), crude fibre (CF), ether extract (EE), neutral detergent fibre (NDF), acid detergent fibre (ADF), acid detergent ligning (ADL) and elements (K, Mg, Ca, Cl, N, S, P, C, H, N) were determined in the untreated biomass and the PC. Higher heating value (HHV) and ash softening temperature (AST) were calculated based on elemental concentration. Chemical composition of the PF and mass flows of all plant compounds into the PF were calculated. In the first experiment, biomass from five different semi-natural grassland swards (Arrhenaterion I and II, Caricion fuscae, Filipendulion ulmariae, Polygono-Trisetion) was harvested at one late sampling (19 July or 31 August) and ensiled. Each silage was subjected to three different temperature treatments (5°C, 60°C, 80°C) during hydrothermal conditioning. Based on observed methane yields and HHV as energy output parameters as well as literature-based and observed energy input parameters, energy and green house gas (GHG) balances were calculated for IFBB and two reference conversion processes, whole-crop digestion of untreated silage (WCD) and combustion of hay (CH). In the second experiment, biomass from one single semi-natural grassland sward (Arrhenaterion) was harvested at eight consecutive dates (27/04, 02/05, 09/05, 16/05, 24/05, 31/05, 11/06, 21/06) and ensiled. Each silage was subjected to six different treatments (no hydrothermal conditioning and hydrothermal conditioning at 10°C, 30°C, 50°C, 70°C, 90°C). Energy balance was calculated for IFBB and WCD. Multiple regression models were developed to predict mass flows, concentrations of elements in the PC, concentration of organic compounds in the PF and energy conversion efficiency of the IFBB process from temperature of hydrothermal conditioning as well as NDF and DM concentration in the silage. Results showed a relative reduction of ash and all elements detrimental for combustion in the PC compared to the untreated biomass of 20-90%. Reduction was highest for K and Cl and lowest for N. HHV of PC and untreated biomass were in a comparable range (17.8-19.5 MJ kg-1 DM), but AST of PC was higher (1156-1254°C). Methane yields of PF were higher compared to those of WCD when the biomass was harvested late (end of May and later) and in a comparable range when the biomass was harvested early and ranged from 332 to 458 LN kg-1 VS. Regarding energy and GHG balances, IFBB, with a net energy yield of 11.9-14.1 MWh ha-1, a conversion efficiency of 0.43-0.51, and GHG mitigation of 3.6-4.4 t CO2eq ha-1, performed better than WCD, but worse than CH. WCD produces thermal and electric energy with low efficiency, CH produces only thermal energy with a low quality solid fuel with high efficiency, IFBB produces thermal and electric energy with a solid fuel of high quality with medium efficiency. Regression models were able to predict target parameters with high accuracy (R2=0.70-0.99). The influence of increasing temperature of hydrothermal conditioning was an increase of mass flows, a decrease of element concentrations in the PC and a differing effect on energy conversion efficiency. The influence of increasing NDF concentration of the silage was a differing effect on mass flows, a decrease of element concentrations in the PC and an increase of energy conversion efficiency. The influence of increasing DM concentration of the silage was a decrease of mass flows, an increase of element concentrations in the PC and an increase of energy conversion efficiency. Based on the models an optimised IFBB process would be obtained with a medium temperature of hydrothermal conditioning (50°C), high NDF concentrations in the silage and medium DM concentrations of the silage.

Der Momentum-Effekt und Momentum-Handelsstrategien

Diese Arbeit weist Momentum-Renditen für europäische Aktien im Zeitraum von 1991 bis 2010 nach, die – je nach Top/Flop-Prozentsatz – vor Kosten zwischen 6 und 19% p.a. liegen. Gleichzeitig liegen mit hohen Standardabweichungen, negativen Schiefe-Werten und hohen Drawdowns drei wesentliche Risikofaktoren vor. Für die Kernuntersuchungen des Top/Flop-Wertes von 5% treten die höchsten Momentum-Renditen von mehr als 10% p.a. für Ranking-Perioden von 80 bis 100 und Holding-Perioden von 60 bis 90 Handelstagen auf. Grundsätzlich sind die extremsten Aktien der Ranking-Periode entscheidend für die Ausprägung des Momentum-Effekts. Gleichzeitig steigen mit zunehmender Eingrenzung des Top/Flop-Wertes die Risiken, was eine Erklärung hoher Momentum-Renditen aus Sicht der Risikoaversions-Theorie nahelegt. Auch die Berücksichtigung zusätzlicher Filterbedingungen (Gleitende Durchschnitte, Handelsvolumen, Low Volatility) ermöglicht leicht höhere Momentum-Renditen bei entsprechend höheren Risiken. Zwischen dem Momentum-Effekt und dem Auftreten von Kurslücken besteht dagegen kein klarer Zusammenhang. Für die praktische Anwendung sind Momentum-Strategien mit dynamischer Positionsverwaltung während der Haltedauer interessant. Untersucht wurden Strategien anhand der eigens programmierten Simulationsverfahren Stopout und Castout sowie eines kombinierten Verfahrens. Im Ergebnis sind – je nach Präferenz des Investors – das Castout- und das kombinierte Verfahren optimal. Für das Rebalancing der Portfolios empfiehlt es sich, zu den entsprechenden Terminen jeweils nur die Short-Seite auf den Startwert zurückzusetzen. Weiterhin zeigen die Untersuchungen, dass deutliche Long-Übergewichtungen bei Momentum-Strategien grundsätzlich von Vorteil sind. Potenzielle Verbesserungen der Ergebnisse können durch weitere Stopp-Abstände, eine Verringerung des Top/Flop-Wertes oder eine längere Ranking-Periode erzielt werden. Weiterhin sind für die Praxis Long-only-Strategien auf Basis von Doppelranking-Verfahren attraktiv, bei denen das Zweitranking nach Standardabweichung oder Rendite/Standardabweichungs-Ratio erfolgt.