Forecasting Containerized Traffic for the Port of Montreal (1981-1995)

Le But de Ce Rapport Est de Presenter L'approche Utilisee Par les Auteurs Pour Effectuer des Previsions a Long Terme du Trafic de Conteneurs Outre-Mer, Pour le Port de Montreal. Cette Approche Suppose D'abord L'estimation du Trafic de Conteneurs Par Categories de Marchandise, Par Origine et Destination, au Cours des Annees Recentes. Ensuite, Nous Avons Obtenu des Previsions du Trafic de Conteneurs Pour 1995, En Nous Basant Sur des Anticipations Relatives aux Tendances Generales du Commerce Exterieur Canadien et a la Composition de Ces Echanges, Par Groupes de Marchandises. Nous Avons Egalement du Effectuer des Projections Sur L'evolution Probable des Taux de Conteneurisation, En Tenant Compte des Diverses Marchandises et Egalement des Partenaires Commerciaux Impliques. Nous Avons Aussi Considere L'evolution Possible des Frontieres de la Zone D'influence (\"Hinterland\") du Port de Montreal. L'importance du Trafic Genere Par le Midwest des Etats Unis a Augmente Considerablement au Cours de la Derniere Decennie, a Cause D'un Certain Nombre de Facteurs Institutionnels. Nos Previsions du Trafic de Conteneurs, Pour le Port de Montreal, Dependent Donc,En Grande Partie, de L'eventualite Que le Midwest des Etats Unis Demeure Dans la Zone D'influence du Port de Montreal. Finalement, Nous Presentons Deux Scenarios de Previsions. le Premier de Ces Scenarios Suppose Que la Position Concurrentielle Actuelle du Port de Montreal Demeure Virtuellement Inchangee. le Second Scenario Suppose la Disparition D'une Importante Entreprise de Transport de Conteneurs, Situee a Montreal.

Study of baleen whales’ ecology and interaction with maritime traffic activities to support management of a complex socio-ecological system

Thesis written in co-mentorship with Robert Michaud.

Stressors and turning points in high school and dropout : a stress process, life course framework

High school dropout is commonly seen as the result of a long-term process of failure and disengagement. As useful as it is, this view has obscured the heterogeneity of pathways leading to dropout. Research suggests, for instance, that some students leave school not as a result of protracted difficulties but in response to situations that emerge late in their schooling careers, such as health problems or severe peer victimization. Conversely, others with a history of early difficulties persevere when their circumstances improve during high school. Thus, an adequate understanding of why and when students drop out requires a consideration of both long-term vulnerabilities and proximal disruptive events and contingencies. The goal of this review is to integrate long-term and immediate determinants of dropout by proposing a stress process, life course model of dropout. This model is also helpful for understanding how the determinants of dropout vary across socioeconomic conditions and geographical and historical contexts.