Forecasting the Yield Curve of Government Bonds: A Comparative Study

For the past 20 years, researchers have applied the Kalman filter to the modeling and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. Despite its impressive performance in in-sample fitting yield curves, little research has focused on the out-of-sample forecast of yield curves using the Kalman filter. The goal of this thesis is to develop a unified dynamic model based on Diebold and Li (2006) and Nelson and Siegel’s (1987) three-factor model, and estimate this dynamic model using the Kalman filter. We compare both in-sample and out-of-sample performance of our dynamic methods with various other models in the literature. We find that our dynamic model dominates existing models in medium- and long-horizon yield curve predictions. However, the dynamic model should be used with caution when forecasting short maturity yields

Tree Fruit (peach) Nursery - Report done for the University of Guelph

A report done by Donald Ziraldo on the topic of Tree Fruit, specifically peach, in nurseries. The report was likely done while he was a student of the University of Guelph in the 1970s.

Notice of sale regarding the late Ezekiel Cudney’s property including the dwelling, barn and fruit trees

Notice of sale regarding the late Ezekiel Cudney’s property including the dwelling, barn and fruit trees. The land contains 39 acres of parts of Lots 9 and 10 on the Welland River in the Township of Willoughby. The notice states that you must apply to S.D. Woodruff of St. Catharines. This is handwritten on a small piece of paper, Dec. 5, 1892.

List entitled “Fruit acct.”

List entitled “Fruit acct.”, 1870.

List entitled “Fruit acct.” including amount paid to Mr. Woodruff

List entitled “Fruit acct.” including amount paid to Mr. Woodruff, 1871.

List entitled “Fruit farm”

List entitled “Fruit farm”, 1871.

List entitled “Fruit acct.”

List entitled “Fruit acct.”, 1872.

Receipt from N.R. MacGregor, Central Fruit Depot, St. Catharines

Receipt from N.R. MacGregor, Central Fruit Depot, St. Catharines for chickens, March 30, 1887.

Receipt from N.R. Macgregor, Central Fruit Depot, St. Catharines for groceries

Receipt from N.R. Macgregor, Central Fruit Depot, St. Catharines for groceries, July 22, 1887.