Strategic investment appraisal; extended real options approach

Tutkielma keskittyy lisäämään investointiarviointiprosessien rationaalisuutta strategisten investointien arvioinnissa duopoli- / oligopolimarkkinoilla. Tutkielman päätavoitteena on selvittää kuinka peliteorialla laajennettu reaalioptioperusteinen investointien arviointimenetelmä, laajennettu reaalioptiokehikko, voisi mahdollisesti parantaa analyysien tarkkuutta. Tutkimus lähestyy ongelmaa investoinnin ajoituksen sekä todellisten investoinnin arvoattribuuttien riippuvuuksien kautta. Laajennettu reaalioptiokehikko on investointien analysointi- ja johtamistyökalu, joka tarjoaa osittain rajoitetun (sisältää tällä hetkellä ainoastaan parametrisen ja peliteoreettisen epävarmuuden) optimaalisen arvovälin investoinnin todellisesta arvosta. Kehikossa, ROA kartoittaa mahdolliset strategiset hyödyt tunnistamalla investointiinliittyvät eri optiot ja epävarmuudet, peliteoria korostaa ympäristön luomia paineita investointiin liittyvän epävarmuuden hallitsemisessa. Laajennettu reaalioptiokehikko tarjoaa rationaalisemman arvion strategisen investoinnin arvosta, koska se yhdistää johdonmukaisemmin option toteutuksen ja siten myös optioiden aika-arvon, yrityksen todellisiin rajoitettuihin (rajoituksena muiden markkinatoimijoiden toimet) polkuriippuvaisiin kyvykkyyksiin.

A reaction engineering approach to homogeneously catalyzed glycerol hydrochlorination

The production of biodiesel through transesterification has created a surplus of glycerol on the international market. In few years, glycerol has become an inexpensive and abundant raw material, subject to numerous plausible valorisation strategies. Glycerol hydrochlorination stands out as an economically attractive alternative to the production of biobased epichlorohydrin, an important raw material for the manufacturing of epoxy resins and plasticizers. Glycerol hydrochlorination using gaseous hydrogen chloride (HCl) was studied from a reaction engineering viewpoint. Firstly, a more general and rigorous kinetic model was derived based on a consistent reaction mechanism proposed in the literature. The model was validated with experimental data reported in the literature as well as with new data of our own. Semi-batch experiments were conducted in which the influence of the stirring speed, HCl partial pressure, catalyst concentration and temperature were thoroughly analysed and discussed. Acetic acid was used as a homogeneous catalyst for the experiments. For the first time, it was demonstrated that the liquid-phase volume undergoes a significant increase due to the accumulation of HCl in the liquid phase. Novel and relevant features concerning hydrochlorination kinetics, HCl solubility and mass transfer were investigated. An extended reaction mechanism was proposed and a new kinetic model was derived. The model was tested with the experimental data by means of regression analysis, in which kinetic and mass transfer parameters were successfully estimated. A dimensionless number, called Catalyst Modulus, was proposed as a tool for corroborating the kinetic model. Reactive flash distillation experiments were conducted to check the commonly accepted hypothesis that removal of water should enhance the glycerol hydrochlorination kinetics. The performance of the reactive flash distillation experiments were compared to the semi-batch data previously obtained. An unforeseen effect was observed once the water was let to be stripped out from the liquid phase, exposing a strong correlation between the HCl liquid uptake and the presence of water in the system. Water has revealed to play an important role also in the HCl dissociation: as water was removed, the dissociation of HCl was diminished, which had a retarding effect on the reaction kinetics. In order to obtain a further insight on the influence of water on the hydrochlorination reaction, extra semi-batch experiments were conducted in which initial amounts of water and the desired product were added. This study revealed the possibility to use the desired product as an ideal “solvent” for the glycerol hydrochlorination process. A co-current bubble column was used to investigate the glycerol hydrochlorination process under continuous operation. The influence of liquid flow rate, gas flow rate, temperature and catalyst concentration on the glycerol conversion and product distribution was studied. The fluid dynamics of the system showed a remarkable behaviour, which was carefully investigated and described. Highspeed camera images and residence time distribution experiments were conducted to collect relevant information about the flow conditions inside the tube. A model based on the axial dispersion concept was proposed and confronted with the experimental data. The kinetic and solubility parameters estimated from the semi-batch experiments were successfully used in the description of mass transfer and fluid dynamics of the bubble column reactor. In light of the results brought by the present work, the glycerol hydrochlorination reaction mechanism has been finally clarified. It has been demonstrated that the reactive distillation technology may cause drawbacks to the glycerol hydrochlorination reaction rate under certain conditions. Furthermore, continuous reactor technology showed a high selectivity towards monochlorohydrins, whilst semibatch technology was demonstrated to be more efficient towards the production of dichlorohydrins. Based on the novel and revealing discoveries brought by the present work, many insightful suggestions are made towards the improvement of the production of αγ-dichlorohydrin on an industrial scale.

A mathematical study of fuzzy logic; an algebraic approach

Fuzzy set theory and Fuzzy logic is studied from a mathematical point of view. The main goal is to investigatecommon mathematical structures in various fuzzy logical inference systems and to establish a general mathematical basis for fuzzy logic when considered as multi-valued logic. The study is composed of six distinct publications. The first paper deals with Mattila'sLPC+Ch Calculus. THis fuzzy inference system is an attempt to introduce linguistic objects to mathematical logic without defining these objects mathematically.LPC+Ch Calculus is analyzed from algebraic point of view and it is demonstratedthat suitable factorization of the set of well formed formulae (in fact, Lindenbaum algebra) leads to a structure called ET-algebra and introduced in the beginning of the paper. On its basis, all the theorems presented by Mattila and many others can be proved in a simple way which is demonstrated in the Lemmas 1 and 2and Propositions 1-3. The conclusion critically discusses some other issues of LPC+Ch Calculus, specially that no formal semantics for it is given.In the second paper the characterization of solvability of the relational equation RoX=T, where R, X, T are fuzzy relations, X the unknown one, and o the minimum-induced composition by Sanchez, is extended to compositions induced by more general products in the general value lattice. Moreover, the procedure also applies to systemsof equations. In the third publication common features in various fuzzy logicalsystems are investigated. It turns out that adjoint couples and residuated lattices are very often present, though not always explicitly expressed. Some minor new results are also proved.The fourth study concerns Novak's paper, in which Novak introduced first-order fuzzy logic and proved, among other things, the semantico-syntactical completeness of this logic. He also demonstrated that the algebra of his logic is a generalized residuated lattice. In proving that the examination of Novak's logic can be reduced to the examination of locally finite MV-algebras.In the fifth paper a multi-valued sentential logic with values of truth in an injective MV-algebra is introduced and the axiomatizability of this logic is proved. The paper developes some ideas of Goguen and generalizes the results of Pavelka on the unit interval. Our proof for the completeness is purely algebraic. A corollary of the Completeness Theorem is that fuzzy logic on the unit interval is semantically complete if, and only if the algebra of the valuesof truth is a complete MV-algebra. The Compactness Theorem holds in our well-defined fuzzy sentential logic, while the Deduction Theorem and the Finiteness Theorem do not. Because of its generality and good-behaviour, MV-valued logic can be regarded as a mathematical basis of fuzzy reasoning. The last paper is a continuation of the fifth study. The semantics and syntax of fuzzy predicate logic with values of truth in ana injective MV-algerba are introduced, and a list of universally valid sentences is established. The system is proved to be semanticallycomplete. This proof is based on an idea utilizing some elementary properties of injective MV-algebras and MV-homomorphisms, and is purely algebraic.