Forecasting with social media – Using Facebook likes to predict the results of the 2015 Finnish Parliamentary elections

Already one-third of the human population uses social media on a daily basis. The biggest social networking site Facebook has over billion monthly users. As a result, social media services are now recording unprecedented amount of data on human behavior. The phenomenon has certainly caught the attention of scholars, businesses and governments alike. Organizations around the globe are trying to explore new ways to benefit from the massive databases. One emerging field of research is the use of social media in forecasting. The goal is to use data gathered from online services to predict offline phenomena. Predicting the results of elections is a prominent example of forecasting with social media, but regardless of the numerous attempts, no reliable technique has been established. The objective of the research is to analyze how accurately the results of parliament elections can be forecasted using social media. The research examines whether Facebook “likes” can be effectively used for predicting the outcome of the Finnish parliament elections that took place in April 2015. First a tool for gathering data from Facebook was created. Then the data was used to create an electoral forecast. Finally, the forecast was compared with the official results of the elections. The data used in the research was gathered from the Facebook walls of all the candidates that were running for the parliament elections and had a valid Facebook page. The final sample represents 1131 candidates and over 750000 Facebook “likes”. The results indicate that creating a forecast solely based on Facebook “likes” is not accurate. The forecast model predicted very dramatic changes to the Finnish political landscape while the official results of the elections were rather moderate. However, a clear statistical relationship between “likes” and votes was discovered. In conclusion, it is apparent that citizens and other key actors of the society are using social media in an increasing rate. However, the volume of the data does not directly increase the quality of the forecast. In addition, the study faced several other limitations that should be addressed in future research. Nonetheless, discovering the positive correlation between “likes” and votes is valuable information that can be used in future studies. Finally, it is evident that Facebook “likes” are not accurate enough and a meaningful forecast would require additional parameters.

Patient education to support self-management of patients with mental illness

This study explores areas which need to be improved to develop the quality of patient education to support self-management of patients with mental illness in psychiatric hospitals. The study was conducted in five phases during the period 2000 – 2007. First, patients‘ (n = 313) satisfaction with patient education were investigated. Second, patients' (n = 51) experiences of patient education were explored. Third, a national survey was conducted to investigate realisation of patient education from the staff (n = 55) viewpoint. Fourth, outcomes of patient education were investigated by evaluating the impacts of different patient education methods on patients‘ (n = 311) attitudes towards medication, knowledge level and importance of information. Fifth, patients‘ (n = 16) perceptions of different patient education methods were explored. Patients reported poor satisfaction with patient education (Phase I), and they have considerable need to receive information during their hospital stay (Phase II). Described by staff, the content of patient education covered almost all informational areas investigated. However, discrepancies related to the realisation of patient education were found. (Phase III.) Evaluation of different patient education methods indicate that patients derived benefits from structured patient education with supportive methods (Phase IV) and patients also perceived that these methods supported their information receiving (Phase V). In order to improve the quality of patient education to support self-management of patients with mental illness patient education should be systematically and individually provided to all patients by using different educational methods. Realisation of this should be ensured by providing written instructions, improving nurses‘ knowledge and skills as well ensuring operating conditions.

Nurse-led interpersonal counselling for depressive symptoms in patients with myocardial infarction

The broad interest of this intervention study is in two worldwide remarkable diseases, myocardial infarction and depression. The purpose of the 18-month follow-up study was to evaluate the outcomes of interpersonal counselling implemented by a psychiatric nurse, and to examine the recovery experienced by the patients after myocardial infarction. The interpersonal counseling consisted of a short-term (max 6 sessions) depression-focused intervention modified for myocardial infarction patients. The main principle of interpersonal counselling is that depressive symptoms relate to interpersonal relations. The measured outcomes of the intervention consisted of changes in depressive symptoms and distress, health-related quality of life and the use of health care services. The data consisted of 103 patients with acute myocardial infarction and with sufficient knowledge of Finnish language, and they were randomized into intervention group (n=51) and control group (n=52) with standard care. Depressive symptoms were measured using Beck Depression Inventory, and distress using Symptom Checklist-25. The instrument to measure health-related quality of life was EuroQol-5 Dimensions. All instruments were used at three measurements: in hospital, at 6 months and at 18 months after hospital discharge. The Use of Health Care Services questionnaire was used during the 6- and 18-month period after hospital discharge. In addition, satisfaction with the intervention and with information received from the health-care professional was evaluated during the follow-up. To examine recovery, the patients kept diaries during a 6-month period and they were interviewed at 18 months after myocardial infarction. The number of patients with depressive symptoms decreased significantly more in the intervention group compared with the control group during 18 months of follow-up. Distress decreased significantly more among patients under 60 years in the intervention group than in the control group, but the difference was not significant between the groups. No differences in the changes of health-related quality of life were found between the groups during follow-up. However, in the group of patients under 60 years, the improvement of health-related quality of life in the intervention was significantly better in the intervention group compared with the control group during the follow-up. During the follow-up period, there was even a decline in the use of somatic specialized health care services in the intervention group and among intervention patients who had no other long-term disease. Considering recovery experienced by the patients, main categories including many supporting and inhibiting factors and subcategories were identified: clinical and physical, psychological, social, functional and professional category. No differences between the groups were found in satisfaction with information received from the professionals. The brief and easy-to-learn intervention, with which the patients were satisfied, seems to decrease depressive symptoms after myocardial infarction. Interpersonal counselling seems to be beneficial especially with younger patients. These results justify adopting depression screening and interpersonal counselling as part of routine care after myocardial infarction. The first stage evaluation of the use of health care services is interesting, and calls for more studies. From the perspective of individual patients, recovery after myocardial infarction seems to consist of many supporting and inhibiting factors. This is something that is important to take into account in developing nursing practice. The results indicate a need for further studies in outcomes of interpersonal counselling and recovery experienced by the patients after myocardial infarction. In addition, the results encourage widening the research perspective to nursing administration and educational level.

Lapsen sosiaalisen kompetenssin tukeminen – vanhempien epäsuorat ja suorat vaikutustavat

Tässä tutkimuksessa tarkastellaan vanhempien havaintoja ja käsityksiä lapsen sosiaalisesta kompetenssista. Lapsen sosiaalisesta kompetenssista tarkastelun kohteena ovat erityisesti vertaissuhteet, sosiaaliset taidot ja sosiaalinen käyttäytyminen. Tarkoituksena on selvittää vanhempien näkemyksiä lapsen sosiaalisesta verkostosta ja lapsesta sosiaalisena toimijana. Kiinnostuksen kohteena on myös, miten vanhemmat vaikuttamaan lapsen sosiaaliseen kompetenssiin. Vanhempien vaikutuksessa voidaan erottaa epäsuora ja suora vaikutus. Vanhempien epäsuoraan vaikutukseen kuuluvat perheen sosioekonomiset tekijät, vanhemmuuteen ja lastenkasvatukseen liittyvät käytännöt sekä lapsen ja vanhemman välinen vuorovaikutus. Suora vaikutus sisältää vanhempien eri roolit ja tehtävät sosiaalisen kompetenssin edistämiseksi. Vanhempien epäsuorilla ja suorilla vaikutustavoilla on havaittu olevan merkittävää vaikutusta lapsen sosiaalisen kompetenssiin muotoutumiseen ja sen laatuun. Tutkimuksessa selvitetään vertaissuhdeongelmaisten ja ei-ongelmaisten lasten vanhempien välisiä eroja näissä vaikutustavoissa. Tutkimuksessa hyödynnetään kyselylomake- ja haastatteluaineistoja. Kyselylomakeaineisto (N=156) kerättiin ”Origins of Exclusion in Early Childhood”-tutkimusprojektissa, jossa tutkittiin lasten vertaissuhteita, sosiaalisia taitoja sekä sosiaalista käyttäytymistä kolmen vuoden seurantatutkimuksena päiväkodista kouluun. Perhekysely toteutettiin lasten ollessa kuusivuotiaita. Vanhempien haastatteluaineisto (N=55) koostuu projektissa mukana olleiden lasten vanhempien teemahaastatteluista. Perhekyselyä analysoidaan tilastollisin analyysimenetelmin. Laadullisen aineiston analyysimenetelmänä käytetään sisällönanalyysia. Vanhempien käsityksissä lasten sosiaalinen verkosto rakentui kotiympäristössä, koulussa, päiväkodissa sekä suvun ja harrastusten parissa muodostuneista suhteista. Tutkimustulosten perusteella on havaittavissa, että vertaissuhdeongelmaisten ja ei-ongelmaisten lasten sosiaaliset verkostot ovat osin erilaiset. Vanhempien arviointien mukaan myös lasten sosiaalisissa taidoissa, käyttäytymisessä, asennoitumisessa sosiaaliseen kanssakäymiseen sekä ryhmään ja leikkeihin liittyvissä strategioissa on eroavaisuuksia. Tutkimuksen pohjalta voidaan todeta, että vanhemmat pystyvät arvioimaan hyvin yksityiskohtaisesti lapsensa sosiaalisia taitoja ja käyttäytymistä. Kaikilla vanhemmilla ei kuitenkaan ollut riittävästi tietoa lasten kaveripiiristä tai sen laadusta eikä lasten sosiaalisesta orientaatiosta. Vanhempien epäsuorissa vaikutustavoissa oli eroja, mutta myös yhtäläisyyksiä. Sosioekonomisia tekijöitä koskevan tarkastelun perusteella vertaissuhdeongelmaisten lasten perheiden taloudelliset ongelmat, isien työttömyys ja lapsen erityisen tuen tarve olivat yhteydessä lapsen sosiaalisten suhteiden ongelmiin. Lähes kaikki tutkimukseen osallistuneet vanhemmat kokivat vanhemmuuden ja kasvatustehtävän kuitenkin hyvin myönteisenä ja tyytyväisyyttä tuottavana asiana elämässä. Valtaosa vanhemmista piti lapsen ja aikuisen välistä vuorovaikutusta positiivisena, vaikka lapsen kanssa ei aina ollutkaan helppoa tulla toimeen. Tyytyväisyydestä huolimatta äidit näkivät itsessään enemmän kehittymisen tarpeita vanhempana kuin isät. Vanhemmuudessa korostuivat ohjaaminen ja kontrolli, mutta myös hoiva, lämpö ja vastavuoroisuus. Hoiva ja lämpö sekä rajojen asettaminen askarruttivat vanhempia suuresti. Vertaissuhdeongelmaisten lasten vanhemmat tarvitsisivat opastusta ohjaavan vanhemmuuden löytämiseksi. Vertaissuhdeongelmaisten lasten vanhemmat kuvasivat kasvatuksen kuormittavuutta, ajan puutetta sekä muuntuvaa isyyttä ja äitiyttä ei-ongelmaisten lasten vanhempia enemmän. Työn ja perheen yhteensovittamisen vaikeus tuli myös esille vanhempien kuvauksissa. Kyvykkään vanhemmuuden kannalta epävirallinen läheisistä muodostunut tukiverkosto on tärkeä vanhemman apu ja kasvatuksen turva. Ensisijaisena tukitahona on epävirallinen verkosto, joka koostuu ystävistä, tuttavista, työtovereista, puolisosta ja omista vanhemmista. Vertaissuhdeongelmaisten lasten vanhempien mukaan arjen tukea ei kuitenkaan ole aina saatavilla, eikä tukiverkosto tyydyttänyt vanhempia. Vanhempien käsityksissä perheen vuorovaikutus sujui hyvin ja vastuu kodista ja kasvatustehtävästä oli molemmilla vanhemmilla tasavertaisesti. Käytännön vastuu kasvatuksesta sekä erilaisten taitojen opettamisesta lapsille kuului äitien tehtäviin. Vanhempien näkemyksissä lapsen sosiaalinen maailma rakentui lähiympäristön tarjoamista mahdollisuuksista. Vanhempien suoriin vaikutustapoihin liittyvien tulosten mukaan vanhemmat pitävät harrastuksia merkittävänä sosiaalista kompetenssia edistävänä tekijänä. Ei-ongelmaisilla lapsilla oli enemmän ja monipuolisempia harrastuksia kuin ongelmaisilla lapsilla. Vaikka vanhemmat eivät mieltäneetkään omaa toimintaansa kaveripiiriin ohjaamiseksi, heillä useinkin oli runsaasti erilaisia rooleja ja tehtäviä sosiaalisten suhteiden ja sosiaalisten taitojen opettamisessa. Lapsen sosiaalisten suhteiden organisoinnissa, ohjaamisessa, valvonnassa ja neuvonnassa oli vanhempiryhmien välillä eroja. Vertaissuhdeongelmaisten lasten vanhemmat eivät olleet riittävän hyvin perillä lapsen taidoista ja kyvykkyydestä tuottaakseen oikea-aikaista ohjausta ja tukeakseen lasta riittävästi sopivilla tavoilla. Vanhempien toimintaa näyttää ohjaavan vakaasti se uskomus, että lapsen kaverisuhteet ovat pelkästään hänen oma asiansa. Vanhemmat arvostivat paljon sosiaalisia taitoja ja pyrkivät opettamaan niitä lapsilleen systemaattisesti. Ohjaamisen tavoissa vanhemmat poikkesivat toisistaan. Tutkimus antaa viitteitä, että eiongelmaisten lasten vanhemmat ovat sensitiivisempiä, vastavuoroisempia ja lapsen näkökulmaa ja tarpeita lähtökohtanaan pitäviä sekä tunnetaitoihin ja tunnetilan käsittelyyn keskittyvämpiä kuin ongelmaisten lasten vanhemmat. Vanhempien ja lasten vuorovaikutuksen vaikeudet, ylimalkainen ja epäjohdonmukainen sosiaalisten taitojen, käyttäytymisen sekä suhteiden ohjaus sekä monet perheen voimavarojen puutteet voivat haitata vakavasti lapsen sosiaalisen kompetenssin kehittymistä. Vanhemmilla on kuitenkin taitoa arvioida lapsensa sosiaalista kyvykkyyttä ja halua toimia hyvin kasvatustehtävässään. Vanhemmuuden tukemisessa olisivatkin tärkeitä epävirallisen tukiverkoston lisäksi lähiympäristön perheille ja lapsille suunnatut palvelut, monitahoinen yhteistyö perheiden, lasten ja heidän kanssaan työskentelevien ammattilaisten kesken sekä yhteiskunnan perheitä koskevat säädökset ja tukitoimet.

An Infant with Food Allergy and Eczema in the Family – The Mental and Economic Burden of Caring

Allergic diseases including food allergy and eczema in an infant in combination with the everyday activities of caring for a family will pose challenges to parents. Only fragments of these challenges are revealed to health care professionals. Families have varying mental, social and economic resources to help them care for an allergic infant, and all such resources are important in determining how families succeed in meeting these challenges and the quality of the infant’s care. This study evaluated the whole burden to the family caused by an infant's allergic disease during the first 24 months of life. As the primary caregiver during this period is usually the mother, her perspective was considered important. Ecocultural theory, which considers families as capable of modifying the positive and negative forces facing them, was taken as the frame of reference. Data were collected as part of an ongoing prospective mother-infant study, and the methods included severity scoring of atopic dermatitis, dietary records, health-related quality of life measurements and assessments of the use of health care services and medications for treating the infant’s eczema, food allergy and asthma. Interviews with mothers were analysed by deductive content analysis on the basis of ecocultural theory and the family empowerment model. The theme “Living an ordinary family life” guided the organization of family activities essential for treating the infant's food allergy and eczema. These activities were sources of both strain and support for the mothers, the allergy-related supporting factors being the mother’s own knowledge of the allergy, hopes for an improvement in the infant’s condition, social support and work. An infant’s food allergy at the age of one year caused considerable strain for the mother in cases where the introduction of new foods into the child’s diet was delayed. This delay was still causing the mother additional strain when the child was 24 months of age. The infants waking at night at the ages of 12 and 24 months because of itching related to eczema caused strain for the mothers. The infants’ health-related quality of life was impaired at ages of 6 and 12 months compared with healthy infants. The principal reasons for impairments were itching, scratching and sleep disturbances at 6 and 12 months and treatment difficulties at 6 months. Problems with getting to sleep were reported at all stages irrespective of eczema and were also present in healthy infants. The economic impact of the treatment of allergic diseases on families during the first 24 months was 131 EUR (2006 value) in cases of eczema and 525 EUR in cases of food allergy. From the societal perspective, the costs of food allergy were a median of 3183 EUR (range 628–11 560 EUR) and of eczema a median of 275 EUR (range 94–1306 EUR). These large variations in costs in food allergy and eczema indicate that disease varies greatly . In conclusion, food allergy and eczema cause extra activities and costs to families which arrange these disease-related activities in such a way that they support the leading family theme “Living an ordinary family life”. Health care professionals should consider this thematic character of family life and disease-related activities in order to ensure that new treatments are sustainable, meaningful and tailored to daily activities. In addition, those mothers who are experiencing difficulties with food allergic infants or infants with eczema should be recognized early and provided with individual encouragement and support from health clinics. In the light of the present results, early detection of symptoms and effective parental guidance can contribute to the well-being and health-related quality of life of the child and family.

Nurses’ Acceptance of an Internet-Based Support System in The Care of Adolescents with Depression

The overall goal of the study was to describe nurses’ acceptance of an Internet-based support system in the care of adolescents with depression. The data were collected in four phases during the period 2006 – 2010 from nurses working in adolescent psychiatric outpatient clinics and from professionals working with adolescents in basic public services. In the first phase, the nurses’ anticipated perceptions of the usefulness of the Internet-based support system before its implementation was explored. In the second phase, the nurses’ perceived ease of computer and Internet use and attitudes toward it were explored. In the third phase, the features of the support system and its implementation process were described. In the fourth phase, the nurses’ experiences of behavioural intention and actual system use of the Internet-based support were described in psychiatric out-patient care after one year use. The Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) was used to structure the various research phases. Several benefits were identified from the nurses’ perspective in using the Internet-based support system in the care of adolescents with depression. The nurses’ technology skills were good and their attitudes towards computer use were positive. The support system was developed in various phases to meet the adolescents’ needs. Before the implementation of the information technology (IT)-based support system, it is important to pay attention to the nurses’ IT-training, technology support, resources, and safety as well as ethical issues related to the support system. After one year of using the system, the nurses perceived the Internet-based support system to be useful in the care of adolescents with depression. The adolescents’ independent work with the support system at home and the program’s systematic character were experienced as conducive from the point of view of the treatment. However, the Internet-based support system was integrated only partly into the nurseadolescent interaction even though the nurses’ perceptions of it were positive. The use of the IT-based system as part of the adolescents’ depression care was seen positively and its benefits were recognized. This serves as a good basis for future IT-based techniques. Successful implementations of IT-based support systems need a systematic implementation plan and commitment from the part of the organization and its managers. Supporting and evaluating the implementation of an IT-based system should pay attention to changing the nurses’ work styles. Health care organizations should be offered more flexible opportunities to utilize IT-based systems in direct patient care in the future.

STRESS AND INTERNATIONAL ENTREPRENEURHSIP: The dark side of international entrepreneurship

Entrepreneurship attracts people with high job satisfaction and financial independence. Unfortunately, being deceived by this image, people do not pay attention to side effects of entrepreneurship. This ignorance usually turns into devastating results for entrepreneur’s health and venture performance. Therefore, it is required to seek ways to avoid these situations. The interest of the study lies in understanding of stress influence on international entrepreneurs by considering stress as a negative side effect of international entrepreneurship. To cover the concept of entrepreneurial stress completely, the study was divided into three section presented by following research questions: 1. What are the antecedents of entrepreneurial stress? 2. What are the consequences of entrepreneurial stress? 3. What coping strategies are applied to address entrepreneurial stress? Systematic literature review has been chosen as scientific approach to answer above questions due to the reason that it enables to minimise inconsistencies of both concepts of international entrepreneurship and stress. This method has afforded an opportunity to distinguish such stress causes as role conflict, overload, and ambiguity. Additionally, the study has covered the notion of stress moderators. The author argues that entrepreneurial traits, venture environment, and social support can have influence on degree of stress perception. Further, it has been proven that unaddressed stress could lead to reduction of entrepreneur’s psychological and physiological health. It should be taken into consideration that degree of both job satisfaction and performance would depend on the level of perceived stress. The last part of study emphasises the coping strategies. The author argues that it is important for an international entrepreneur to comprehend his or her and others’ emotions in order to overcome negative consequences of stress. In addition, the author suggests that an international entrepreneur needs to practise job sharing to reduce the amount of work to be completed. Moreover, it is believed that job sharing can help to overcome work-family conflict that prevails among entrepreneurs. The author anticipates that results of study can be beneficial for entrepreneurs who aim to achieve great results.