Kalenterianomaliat pohjoismaisilla sähkömarkkinoilla

Osakemarkkinoilta on jo useiden vuosien ajan julkaistu lukuisia tutkimuksia, joissa on esitetty havaintoja ajallisesta säännönmukaisuudesta osakkeiden hinnoissa, joita ei pystytä selittämään markkinakohtaisilla fundamenteilla. Nämä niin kutsutut kalenterianomaliat esiintyvät tyypillisesti ajallisissa käännepisteissä, kuten vuoden, kuukauden tai viikon vaihtuessa seuraavaksi. Myös erilaisten katkosten, kuten juhlapyhien, kaupankäyntirutiineissa on havaittu aiheuttavan anomalioita. Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli tutkia osakemarkkinoilla havaittujen kalenterianomalioiden esiintymistä pohjoismaisilla sähkömarkkinoilla. Tutkitut anomaliat olivat viikonpäivä- kuukausi-, kuunvaihde- ja juhlapyhäanomalia. Näiden lisäksi tutkittiin tuottojen käyttäytymistä optioiden erääntymispäivien läheisyydessä. Yksittäisten tuotteiden sijasta tarkastelut suoritettiin sesonki- ja kvartaalituotteista muodostetuilla vuosituotteilla. Testauksessa käytettiin pienimmän neliösumman menetelmää, huomioidenheteroskedastisuuden, autokorrelaation ja multikollineaarisuuden vaikutukset. Pelkkien kalenterimuuttujien lisäksi testit suoritettiin regressiomalleilla, joissa lisäselittäjinä käytettiin spot-hintaa, päästöoikeuden hintaa ja/tai sade-ennusteita. Tarkastelujakso koostui vuosista 1998-2006.

Differentiation of Metabolically Distinct Areas within Head and Neck Region using Dynamic 18F-FDG Positron Emission Tomography Imaging

Positron Emission Tomography (PET) using ¹⁸F-FDG is playing a vital role in the diagnosis and treatment planning of cancer. However, the most widely used radiotracer, ¹⁸F-FDG, is not specific for tumours and can also accumulate in inflammatory lesions as well as normal physiologically active tissues making diagnosis and treatment planning complicated for the physicians. Malignant, inflammatory and normal tissues are known to have different pathways for glucose metabolism which could possibly be evident from different characteristics of the time activity curves from a dynamic PET acquisition protocol. Therefore, we aimed to develop new image analysis methods, for PET scans of the head and neck region, which could differentiate between inflammation, tumour and normal tissues using this functional information within these radiotracer uptake areas. We developed different dynamic features from the time activity curves of voxels in these areas and compared them with the widely used static parameter, SUV, using Gaussian Mixture Model algorithm as well as K-means algorithm in order to assess their effectiveness in discriminating metabolically different areas. Moreover, we also correlated dynamic features with other clinical metrics obtained independently of PET imaging. The results show that some of the developed features can prove to be useful in differentiating tumour tissues from inflammatory regions and some dynamic features also provide positive correlations with clinical metrics. If these proposed methods are further explored then they can prove to be useful in reducing false positive tumour detections and developing real world applications for tumour diagnosis and contouring.

Joukkoliikenteen hiljaisen ajan palvelutaso Keski-Uudellamaalla

Joukkoliikenteen palvelutasomäärittely perustuu vuonna 2009 voimaan astuneeseen joukkoliikennelakiin, joka velvoitti toimivaltaisia viranomaisia määrittelemään toimivalta-alueensa joukkoliikenteelle tavoitteellisen palvelutason vuoden 2011 loppuun mennessä. Palvelutaso määriteltiin Liikenneviraston kriteeristön mukaisesti. Määrittelytyön aikana Keski-Uudellamaalla nousi esiin hiljaisen ajan liikenteen tarjonnan heikkous palvelutasotavoitteisiin nähden. Hiljaisena aikana liikenteen kysyntä on vähäistä. Liikenteen hoitaminen on kuitenkin kallista eikä se onnistu nykyisin ilman yhteiskunnan tukea. Tämän työn tarkoituksena oli selvittää hiljaisen ajan merkitystä joukkoliikenteen käyttöön yleensä, kustannustehokkainta tapaa hoitaa joukkoliikenne hiljaisena aikana ja sitä miten palvelutasotavoitteita tulee miettiä tarkemmin hiljaisen ajan osalta. Työssä tarkasteltiin kolmea Keski-Uudenmaan taajamaa, ja esitettiin näille ratkaisut hiljaisen ajan liikenteen hoitamisesta. Nykyiset palvelutasokriteerit on määritetty ruuhkalähtöisesti. Tämän tutkimuksen perusteella voidaan suositella, että liikenteen suunnittelussa olisi syytä siirtyä runkoajatteluun. Suunnittelun tulisi lähteä välttämättömistä vuoroista eli vuoroista, joilla taataan sujuva arki joukkoliikennettä käyttämällä. Lähtökohtana tulisi siis olla hiljaisin aika eli keskikesä. Tämän liikenteen rungon päälle voidaan rakentaa täydentävää liikennettä tarpeen eli kysynnän mukaan. Keski-Uudellamaalla hiljaisen ajan liikenteen ja myös liikenteen rungon tulisi muodostua juna-asemille ajettavasta liityntäliikenteestä. Johtopäätöksissä esitetään tarpeet palvelutasokriteerien tarkistamisesta ja lisätutkimuksista. Suurimmat tarkistustarpeet ovat määrällisissä kriteereissä, mutta hiljaisena aikana korostuvat myös laadulliset kriteerit: informaatio ja yhtenäinen lippujärjestelmä.

Defining Contexts in Context-Free Grammars

This thesis introduces an extension of Chomsky’s context-free grammars equipped with operators for referring to left and right contexts of strings.The new model is called grammar with contexts. The semantics of these grammars are given in two equivalent ways — by language equations and by logical deduction, where a grammar is understood as a logic for the recursive definition of syntax. The motivation for grammars with contexts comes from an extensive example that completely defines the syntax and static semantics of a simple typed programming language. Grammars with contexts maintain most important practical properties of context-free grammars, including a variant of the Chomsky normal form. For grammars with one-sided contexts (that is, either left or right), there is a cubic-time tabular parsing algorithm, applicable to an arbitrary grammar. The time complexity of this algorithm can be improved to quadratic,provided that the grammar is unambiguous, that is, it only allows one parsefor every string it defines. A tabular parsing algorithm for grammars withtwo-sided contexts has fourth power time complexity. For these grammarsthere is a recognition algorithm that uses a linear amount of space. For certain subclasses of grammars with contexts there are low-degree polynomial parsing algorithms. One of them is an extension of the classical recursive descent for context-free grammars; the version for grammars with contexts still works in linear time like its prototype. Another algorithm, with time complexity varying from linear to cubic depending on the particular grammar, adapts deterministic LR parsing to the new model. If all context operators in a grammar define regular languages, then such a grammar can be transformed to an equivalent grammar without context operators at all. This allows one to represent the syntax of languages in a more succinct way by utilizing context specifications. Linear grammars with contexts turned out to be non-trivial already over a one-letter alphabet. This fact leads to some undecidability results for this family of grammars

A Soft Contact Collision Method For Real-Time Simulation of Triangularized Geometries in Multibody Dynamics

When modeling machines in their natural working environment collisions become a very important feature in terms of simulation accuracy. By expanding the simulation to include the operation environment, the need for a general collision model that is able to handle a wide variety of cases has become central in the development of simulation environments. With the addition of the operating environment the challenges for the collision modeling method also change. More simultaneous contacts with more objects occur in more complicated situations. This means that the real-time requirement becomes more difficult to meet. Common problems in current collision modeling methods include for example dependency on the geometry shape or mesh density, calculation need increasing exponentially in respect to the number of contacts, the lack of a proper friction model and failures due to certain configurations like closed kinematic loops. All these problems mean that the current modeling methods will fail in certain situations. A method that would not fail in any situation is not very realistic but improvements can be made over the current methods.

Analysis of patterns in mining time series using Qlucore

Raw measurement data does not always immediately convey useful information, but applying mathematical statistical analysis tools into measurement data can improve the situation. Data analysis can offer benefits like acquiring meaningful insight from the dataset, basing critical decisions on the findings, and ruling out human bias through proper statistical treatment. In this thesis we analyze data from an industrial mineral processing plant with the aim of studying the possibility of forecasting the quality of the final product, given by one variable, with a model based on the other variables. For the study mathematical tools like Qlucore Omics Explorer (QOE) and Sparse Bayesian regression (SB) are used. Later on, linear regression is used to build a model based on a subset of variables that seem to have most significant weights in the SB model. The results obtained from QOE show that the variable representing the desired final product does not correlate with other variables. For SB and linear regression, the results show that both SB and linear regression models built on 1-day averaged data seriously underestimate the variance of true data, whereas the two models built on 1-month averaged data are reliable and able to explain a larger proportion of variability in the available data, making them suitable for prediction purposes. However, it is concluded that no single model can fit well the whole available dataset and therefore, it is proposed for future work to make piecewise non linear regression models if the same available dataset is used, or the plant to provide another dataset that should be collected in a more systematic fashion than the present data for further analysis.

Modeling of water/steam circulation in Circulating Fluidized Bed boiler

A distinctive design feature of steam boiler with natural circulation is the presence of the steam drum which plays a role of the separator of vapor from the flow of water-and-steam mixture coming into steam drum from the furnace tubes. Steam drum with unheated downcomer tubes, deducing from it, and riser (screen/furnace tubes) inside the furnace is a closed circulation loop in which movement of water (downcomer tubes) and water-and-steam mixture (riser tubes) is organized. The movement of the working fluid is appears due to occurrence of the natural pressure, determined by the difference in hydrostatic pressure and the mass of water and water-and-steam mixtures in downcomer and riser tubes and called the driving pressure of the natural circulation: S drive = H steam (ρ down + ρ mix) g where: ρ down - density of water in downcomer tubes; ρ mix - density of water in riser tubes; H steam - height of steam content section; g - acceleration of gravity. In steam boilers with natural circulation the circulation rate is usually between 10 and 30. Thus, consumption of water in the circulation circuit “circulation rate times” more than steam output of the boiler. There are two aspects of the design of natural water circulation loops. One is to ensure a sufficient mass flux of circulating water to avoid burnout of evaporator tubes. The other is to avoid tube wall temperature fluctuation and tube vibration due to oscillation of circulation velocity. The design criteria are therefore reduced, in principle, to those of critical heat flux, critical flow rate for burnout, and flow instability. In practical design, however, the circulation velocity and the void fraction at the evaporator tube outlet are used as the design criteria (Seikan I., et. al., 1999). This study has been made with assumption that the heat flux in the furnace of the boiler even all the time. The target of the study was to define the circulation rate of the boiler, thus average heat flux do not change it. I would like to acknowledge professionals from “Foster Wheeler” company for good and comfortable cooperation.

Winning time in land warfare : a reading of the classical strategists prior to the age of mechanization

We live in an age where rationalization and demands of efficiency taint every aspect of our lives both as individuals and as a society. Even warfare cannot escape the increased speed of human interaction. Time is a resource to be managed. It has to be optimized, saved and won in military affairs as well. The purpose of this research paper is to analyze the dogmatic texts of military thought to search for answers what the classics of strategy saw in the interrelations of temporality and warfare and if their thoughts remain meaningful in the contemporary conjunction. Since the way a society functions is reflected in the way it conducts its wars, there naturally are differences between an agrarian, industrial and information society. Theorists of different eras emphasize things specific to their times, but warfare, like any human interaction, is always bounded by temporality. Not only is the pace of warfare dependent on the progress of the society, but time permeates warfare in all its aspects. This research paper focuses on two specific topics that arose from the texts themselves; how should time be managed and manipulated in warfare and how to economize and “win” it from the enemy. A method where lengthy quotations are used to illustrate the main point of the strategists has been chosen for this research paper. While Clausewitz is the most prominent source of quotations, thoughts from ancient India and China are represented as well to prove that the combination of right force in the right place at the right time is still the way of the victorious. Tactics change in the course of time but the principles of strategy remain unaltered and are only adapted to suit new situations. While ancient and pre-modern societies had their focus on finding auspicious moments for battle in the flow of kronos-time based on divinities, portents and auguries, we can trace elements of manipulation of time in warfare from the earliest surviving texts. While time as a fourth dimension of the battlespace emerged only in the modern era, all through the history of military thought it has had a profound meaning. In the past time could be squandered, today it always has to be won. This paper asks the question “why”.

Avoimet tuotealustat ja allianssit älytelevisiomarkkinoilla

Älytelevisiomarkkinat ovat nykyisellään pirstaloituneet eri valmistajien kehittäessä omia älytelevisioalustoitaan, mikä tekee sovelluskehittämisestä erittäin työlästä, kun kehitystyö pitää tehdä jokaiselle alustalle erikseen. LG:n ja Philipsin perustama Smart TV Alliance pyrkii yksinkertaistamaan sovelluskehittäjien työtä, samalla houkutellen lisää kehittäjiä alalle. Työssä tutustutaan tuotealustoihin, avoimeen ja suljettuun innovaatioon, sekä alliansseihin. Lisäksi perehdytään älytelevisioihin sekä tietenkin itse Smart TV Allianceen. Lisäksi tarkastellaan nykyistä markkina-asetelmaa ja arvioidaan yksittäisten toimijoiden tilannetta ja mahdollisia toimenpiteitä. Työn painopiste on fyysisen laitevalmistajan ja käyttöjärjestelmän kehittäjän/ylläpitäjän näkökulmasta. Työn kannalta tärkeässä roolissa ovat ohjelmistopohjaiset tuotealustat. Eritoten työssä käsitellään älytelevisioiden ohjelmistoa tuotealustana, mutta hyvä vaihtoehtoinen ja eritoten monille käytännönläheisempi esimerkki on tietokoneen käyttöjärjestelmä, kuten Microsoft Windows tai useat Linux-pohjaiset käyttöjärjestelmät. Keskeisenä ominaisuutena näissä kaikissa on, että itse käyttöjärjestelmä toimii yhteisenä pohjana, jonka päälle voidaan rakentaa muuta toiminnallisuutta, kuten pelejä ja toimistosovelluksia.