EXPLOITING SCENARIO PLANNING FOR STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT OF THE EXTERNAL BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT Future insights of the European pet food sector

The purpose of this study is to explore how scenarios can be exploited in strategic assessment of the external business environment. One of the key challenges for managers worldwide is to adapt their businesses to the ever-changing business environment. As the companies’ external business environment is constantly presenting new opportunities and threats, it is extremely important that companies continuously monitor the possible changes happening around it. As the speed of change rises, assessing the future has become more and more vital. The study was conducted as an exploratory research and the research strategy was influenced by scenario planning and case study strategy. The study examined the European pet food sector from the future point of view. Qualitative study was chosen as research approach and empirical data was collected primarily by seven expert interviews. The secondary data about the sector was applied as complementary empirical data. In the theoretical part of the research it was discovered that nowadays, traditional analysis frameworks are ill-suited for strategic assessment of the external business environment. This is why a self-created combination framework for analysis was employed both as study’s theoretical framework and analysis technique. Furthermore, the framework formed the base for interview questions. Both in theoretical and the empirical part of the study it was found that today, in strategic assessment of the external business environment, besides setting focus on the current situation, it is important to concentrate also on the future. The traditional analysis frameworks offer a good starting point for collecting relevant data but they do not encourage conducting a deeper analysis. By adding characteristics from scenario planning to these more traditional tools, a new analysis framework was created, which ensured the more comprehensive analysis. By understanding the interconnections between discovered phenomena and changes, and by recognizing uncertainties, the user is helped to reflect the environment more profoundly. The contributions of the study are both theoretical and managerial. A new analysis framework strives to answer to the current needs for strategic assessment of external business environment and the framework was tested in the context of European pet food sector. When it comes to managerial contributions, the importance lies in understanding the future. Managers must take future into account and understand that future includes various possibilities which all must be reflected

Perheyrityksen sukupolvenvaihdos - hiljaisen tiedon jakaminen luopujan ja jatkajan välillä

Pro gradu –tutkielmassa tarkastellaan hiljaisen tiedon siirtymistä sukupolvenvaihdosprosessissa luopujan ja jatkajan näkökulmista. Tavoitteena on selvittää, miten hiljaista tietoa tehdään näkyväksi, miten tieto siirtyy ja liittykö tiedon siirtymiseen myös tiedon rakentumista. Tutkielma toteutettiin kvalitatiivisena tapaustutkimuksena. Aineisto kerättiin yksilö-haastattelemalla kahden eteläkarjalaisen yrityksen luovuttajaa ja jatkajaa. Aineisto analysoitiin teoriaohjaavaa sisällönanalyysia hyödyntäen. Tutkielma osoitti, että yrityksen sukupolvenvaihdoksessa siirtyy tietoa, josta osa on hiljaista tietoa. Tiedon siirtämistä pidetään tärkeänä, mutta omaa hiljaista tietoa ei tunnisteta hyvin. Tutkielman perusteella voidaan tehdä johtopäätös, että tiedon siirtämisessä on mahdollista rakentaa myös uutta merkityksellistä tietoa. Tulevaisuuden haasteina on tunnistaa yrityksissä olevaa hiljaista tietoa, järjestää ba-tiloja, jotka edesauttavat tiedon siirtymistä vuorovaikutuksessa ja kehittää edelleen menetelmiä, joiden avulla tietoa voidaan siirtää ja rakentaa sukupolvien välillä.

Scanning the future of Single Euro Payment Area – towards cashless payment methods

The future of paying in the age of digitalization is a topic that includes varied visions. This master’s thesis explores images of the future of paying in the Single Euro Payment Area (SEPA) up to 2020 and 2025 through the views of experts specialized in paying. This study was commissioned by a credit management company in order to obtain more detailed information about the future of paying. Specifically, this thesis investigates what could be the most used payment methods in the future, what items could work as a medium of exchange in 2020 and how will they evolve towards the year 2025. Changing consumer behavior, trends connected to payment methods, security and private issues of new cashless payment methods were also part of this study. In the empirical part of the study the experts’ ideas about probable and preferable future images of paying were investigated through a two-round Disaggregative Delphi method. The questionnaire included numeric statements and open questions. Three alternative future images were created with the help of cluster analysis: “Unsurprising Future”, “Technology Driven Future” and “The Age of the Customer”. The plausible images had similarities and differences, which were reflected to the previous studies in the literature review. The study’s findings were formed based on the images of futures’ similarities and to the open questions answers that were received from the questionnaire. The main conclusion of the study was that development of technology will unify and diversify SEPA; the trend in 2020 seems to be towards more cashless payment methods but their usage depends on the countries’ financial possibilities and customer preferences. Mobile payments, cards and cash will be the main payment methods but the banks will have competitors from outside the financial sector. Wearable payment methods and NFC technology are seen as widely growing trends but subcutaneous payment devices will likely keep their niche position until 2025. In the meantime, security and private issues are seen to increase because of identity thefts and various frauds. Simultaneously, privacy will lose its meaning to younger consumers who are used to sharing their transaction and personal data with third parties in order to get access to attractive services. Easier access to consumers’ transaction data will probably open the door for hackers and cause new risks in paying processes. There exist many roads to future, and this study was not an attempt to give any complete answers about it even if some plausible assumptions about the future’s course were provided.