Sähkönmyyntiyhtiöiden riskienhallinnan haasteet ja kehittäminen

Diplomityön tavoitteena on esitellä sähkökaupan ja erityisesti sähköyhtiöiden kokemia sähkönmyynnin riskejä sekä kuvata sähkönmyyntiin liittyvää riskienhallinnan problematiikkaa. Tarkastelun näkökulmana on tietojärjestelmien ja saatavissa olevan tiedon hyödyntäminen energiayhtiöiden riskienhallinnassa. Toinen päätavoitteista on tutkia, kuinka saatavilla olevaa tiedon hyödyntämistä voidaan kehittää sähkönmyynnin hinnoittelussa sekä suojausten suunnittelussa. Työ toteutettiin työskentelemällä asiantuntijana energia-alaan keskittyneessä ohjelmistoyrityksessä sekä haastattelemalla yhdeksän suomalaisen sähkönmyyntiyhtiön henkilöitä riskienhallinnan haasteiden sekä tietojärjestelmien näkökulmasta. Saatavilla olevien tietojen nykyistä parempi hyödyntäminen ja automatisointi voivat auttaa pienentämään yhtiöiden riskitasoa ja parantaa menestymisen edellytyksiä sähkönmyynnin vähittäismarkkinoilla. Lisäksi kulloiseenkin markkinatilanteeseen sopivat sähkön hankintahinnan suojausstrategiat sekä monipuoliset dynaamiset hinnoittelumallit auttavat pienentämään yhtiön kokemia riskejä tai niiden vaikutuksia. Näiden hyödyntäminen vaatii laajaa ymmärrystä sähkö- ja johdannaismarkkinoiden toiminnasta sekä usein myös nykyisten tietojärjestelmien kehittämistä. Tulevaisuudessa yhä yleistyvä hajautettu tuotanto sekä kysynnän jousto asettavat tietojärjestelmille uusia vaatimuksia, jotka toteutuessaan mahdollistavat uudenlaisten palveluiden käyttöönoton sekä voivat tuoda tilaa myös alan uusille toimijoille. Työssä käsitellään energiayhtiöiden kokemia riskejä sähkönmyynnin näkökulmasta, esitellään alan yleisimmät riskit sekä keinot ja työkalut niiltä suojautumiseen. Työn lopuksi tarkastellaan sähkönmyynnin ja –hankinnan oleellisimpia prosesseja riskienhallinnan kehittämisen näkökulmasta.

Production of magnesium carbonates from serpentinites for CO2 mineral sequestration : optimisation towards industrial application

Global warming is one of the most alarming problems of this century. Initial scepticism concerning its validity is currently dwarfed by the intensification of extreme weather events whilst the gradual arising level of anthropogenic CO2 is pointed out as its main driver. Most of the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions come from large point sources (heat and power production and industrial processes) and the continued use of fossil fuels requires quick and effective measures to meet the world’s energy demand whilst (at least) stabilizing CO2 atmospheric levels. The framework known as Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) – or Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage (CCUS) – comprises a portfolio of technologies applicable to large‐scale GHG sources for preventing CO2 from entering the atmosphere. Amongst them, CO2 capture and mineralisation (CCM) presents the highest potential for CO2 sequestration as the predicted carbon storage capacity (as mineral carbonates) far exceeds the estimated levels of the worldwide identified fossil fuel reserves. The work presented in this thesis aims at taking a step forward to the deployment of an energy/cost effective process for simultaneous capture and storage of CO2 in the form of thermodynamically stable and environmentally friendly solid carbonates. R&D work on the process considered here began in 2007 at Åbo Akademi University in Finland. It involves the processing of magnesium silicate minerals with recyclable ammonium salts for extraction of magnesium at ambient pressure and 400‐440⁰C, followed by aqueous precipitation of magnesium in the form of hydroxide, Mg(OH)2, and finally Mg(OH)2 carbonation in a pressurised fluidized bed reactor at ~510⁰C and ~20 bar PCO2 to produce high purity MgCO3. Rock material taken from the Hitura nickel mine, Finland, and serpentinite collected from Bragança, Portugal, were tested for magnesium extraction with both ammonium sulphate and bisulphate (AS and ABS) for determination of optimal operation parameters, primarily: reaction time, reactor type and presence of moisture. Typical efficiencies range from 50 to 80% of magnesium extraction at 350‐450⁰C. In general ABS performs better than AS showing comparable efficiencies at lower temperature and reaction times. The best experimental results so far obtained include 80% magnesium extraction with ABS at 450⁰C in a laboratory scale rotary kiln and 70% Mg(OH)2 carbonation in the PFB at 500⁰C, 20 bar CO2 pressure for 15 minutes. The extraction reaction with ammonium salts is not at all selective towards magnesium. Other elements like iron, nickel, chromium, copper, etc., are also co‐extracted. Their separation, recovery and valorisation are addressed as well and found to be of great importance. The assessment of the exergetic performance of the process was carried out using Aspen Plus® software and pinch analysis technology. The choice of fluxing agent and its recovery method have a decisive sway in the performance of the process: AS is recovered by crystallisation and in general the whole process requires more exergy (2.48–5.09 GJ/tCO2sequestered) than ABS (2.48–4.47 GJ/tCO2sequestered) when ABS is recovered by thermal decomposition. However, the corrosive nature of molten ABS and operational problems inherent to thermal regeneration of ABS prohibit this route. Regeneration of ABS through addition of H2SO4 to AS (followed by crystallisation) results in an overall negative exergy balance (mainly at the expense of low grade heat) but will flood the system with sulphates. Although the ÅA route is still energy intensive, its performance is comparable to conventional CO2 capture methods using alkanolamine solvents. An energy‐neutral process is dependent on the availability and quality of nearby waste heat and economic viability might be achieved with: magnesium extraction and carbonation levels ≥ 90%, the processing of CO2‐containing flue gases (eliminating the expensive capture step) and production of marketable products.

Clinical and genetic markers in disease progression – a study among subjects with obstructive lung diseases

Asthma, COPD, and asthma and COPD overlap syndrome (ACOS) are chronic pulmonary diseases with an obstructive component. In COPD, the obstruction is irreversible and the disease is progressive. The aim of the study was to define and analyze factors that affected disease progression and patients’ well-being, prognosis and mortality in Chronic Airway Disease (CAD) cohort. The main focus was on COPD and ACOS patients. Retrospective data from medical records was combined with genetic and prospective follow-up data. Smoking is the biggest risk factor for COPD and even after the diagnosis of the disease, smoking plays an important role in disease development and patient’s prognosis. Sixty percent of the COPD patients had succeeded in smoking cessation. Patients who had managed to quit smoking had lower mortality rates and less psychiatric diseases and alcohol abuse although they were older and had more cardiovascular diseases than patients who continued smoking. Genetic polymorphism rs1051730 in the nicotinic acethylcholine receptor gene (CHRNA3/5) associated with heavy smoking, cancer prevalence and mortality in two Finnish independent cohorts consisting of COPD patients and male smokers. Challenges in smoking cessation and higher mortality rates may be partly due to individual patient’s genetic composition. Approximately 50% of COPD patients are physically inactive and the proportion was higher among current smokers. Physically active and inactive patients didn’t differ from each other in regard to age, gender or comorbidities. Bronchial obstruction explained inactivity only in severe disease. Subjective sensation of dyspnea, however, had very strong association to inactivity and was also associated to low health related quality of life (HRQoL). ACOS patients had a significantly lower HRQoL than either the patients with asthma or with COPD even though they were younger than COPD patients, had better lung functions and smaller tobacco exposure.

Sellumassan varastosäiliön rakenneanalyysi

Tämä työ käsittelee valkaistun ja valkaisemattoman sellumassan varastosäiliön tärinää ja värähtelyä. Värähtelyn seurauksena säiliön seinämän jäykisterenkaan hitsausliitokseen on syntynyt särö. Työn tavoitteena on selvittää, mikä johtaa särön syntyyn ja miten kestäväm-piä varastosäiliöitä voidaan rakentaa materiaali-, valmistus- tai rakennemuutoksien avulla. Työ alkoi tutkimalla rakennemateriaalina olevan duplex-teräksen mikrorakenteen ominai-suuksia, sekä sen hitsattavuutta ja seostamista kirjallisuustutkimuksena. Kirjallisuustutki-musta jatkettiin selvittämällä mahdollisia vaurion syntymekanismeja seinämän särölle. Työssä analysoitiin myös tehtaalla mitattuja värähtelyarvoja. Lopuksi laskettiin FE-analyysillä tyhjän varastosäiliön ominaismuodot ja -taajuudet moodianalyysillä, sekä selvi-tettiin harmonisella analyysillä pinnankorkeuden vaihtelun vaikutus siirtymävasteeseen ja kriittisiin värähtelytaajuuksiin. Varastosäiliöön kohdistuvaa värähtelyä ei ole mahdollista poistaa kokonaan, mutta väräh-telyn aiheuttamia seurauksia kyetään rajaamaan useilla keinoilla. Toimenpiteinä voivat olla ainakin seinämän materiaalin paksuuden lisääminen, jäykisteripojen lisääminen ja kriittisten sellun pinnankorkeuksien välttäminen. Kriittiseksi pinnankorkeudeksi havaittiin 40–45 %:n täyttöaste ja turvalliseksi korkeudeksi 35–38 %:n täyttöaste. Varastosäiliölle kriittisen ominaistaajuuden katsotaan syntyvän taajuuksilla 3,3–3,8 Hz ja 5,8–6,4 Hz. Sellumassa putoaa varastosäiliöön noin 2 Hz taajuudella.

Viologen based electroactive polymers and composites for durable electrochromic systems

Electrochromism, the phenomenon of reversible color change induced by a small electric charge, forms the basis for operation of several devices including mirrors, displays and smart windows. Although, the history of electrochromism dates back to the 19th century, only the last quarter of the 20th century has its considerable scientific and technological impact. The commercial applications of electrochromics (ECs) are rather limited, besides top selling EC anti-glare mirrors by Gentex Corporation and airplane windows by Boeing, which made a huge commercial success and exposed the potential of EC materials for future glass industry. It is evident from their patents that viologens (salts of 4,4ʹ-bipyridilium) were the major active EC component for most of these marketed devices, signifying the motivation of this thesis focusing on EC viologens. Among the family of electrochromes, viologens have been utilized in electrochromic devices (ECDs) for a while, due to its intensely colored radical cation formation induced by applying a small cathodic potential. Viologens can be synthesized as oligomer or in the polymeric form or as functionality to conjugated polymers. In this thesis, polyviologens (PVs) were synthesized starting from cyanopyridinium (CNP) based monomer precursors. Reductive coupling of cross-connected cyano groups yields viologen and polyviologen under successive electropolymerization using for example the cyclic voltammetry (CV) technique. For further development, a polyviologen-graphene composite system was fabricated, focusing at the stability of the PV electrochrome without sacrificing its excellent EC properties. High electrical conductivity, high surface area offered by graphene sheets together with its non-covalent interactions and synergism with PV significantly improved the electrochrome durability in the composite matrix. The work thereby continued in developing a CNP functionalized thiophene derivative and its copolymer for possible utilization of viologen in the copolymer blend. Furthermore, the viologen functionalized thiophene derivative was synthesized and electropolymerized in order to explore enhancement in the EC contrast and overall EC performance. The findings suggest that such electroactive viologen/polyviologen systems and their nanostructured composite films as well as viologen functionalized conjugated polymers, can be potentially applied as an active EC material in future ECDs aiming at durable device performances.

Interactions of decision mechanisms in an entrepreneurial firm’s journey to become a major player in its industry

This study discusses the interactions of different decision-making mechanisms in the process of change of a successful entrepreneurial dairy firm in Vietnam. The purpose of the study is to construct a theoretical framework, which explains the interactions between effectual and causal decision-making processes in different phases of business, and to provide a real life example with practical recommendations for entrepreneurs and managers. In order to achieve this purpose, a preliminary theoretical framework was built, using process theories applied to different decision making modes, referred to as causation and effectuation. The case was studied through ethnographic research method, with three semi-structured interviews, one unstructured interview, secondary data and observations within four months in 2013-2014. After the data was analyzed, a modified framework was drawn from the result. The finding of this study shows that there was an interaction between effectual and causal decision-making processes in different stages of the company’s development. The entrepreneur applied effectual decision-making process to develop a unique business model and a new dairy market segment. However, when a new market demand arose, the company’s resources became insufficient, they thus had to shift to causation process to adapt to market change. Simultaneously, with better-accumulated resources, the entrepreneur continued the effectuation process to create another brand new dairy market segment. This study, thus, contributes to effectuation theory, emphasizing the necessity of combining effectual and causal decision-making processes in different phases of business. It is suggested that business would develop with an effectual process until a business model is viable for growth. It continues to use this process up to a certain degree. When the market changes, the company needs to collect more means to adapt to the changes. They need to set new goals and this is a shift to the use of causal process, which builds on prediction. It uses goals and teleology as driving mechanisms and tries to exploit and fill potential resource gaps to achieve these goals. At the same time, there are new iterations that look to establish new lines or types of business with the given means, which are now well established. This again employs effectual mechanisms, which are based on evolutionary process, until they reach the stage of viable tested business model. Moreover, this study hopes to provide know-how to entrepreneurs and managers of small companies in similar situations, suggesting how to combine effectual and causal decision-making processes to deal with various circumstances in different times.