Sumea suositin elokuville

Suositusmenetelmien tarkoituksena on auttaa käyttäjää löytämään häntä kiinnostavia asioita ja välttämään asioita, joista hän ei pitäisi. Suositusmenetelmät antavat suosituk- set yleensä terävinä lukuina. Tässä työssä kehitetään suositusmenetelmä, joka antaa suo- situkset arvosanojen sumeina jäsenyysasteina. Menetelmän antamat suositukset voidaan myös perustella käyttäjälle. Menetelmä kuuluu pääosin yhteisösuodatusmenetelmiin, jois- sa suositukset tehdään käyttäjien antamien arvosanojen perusteella, mutta myös tietoa elokuvien tyylilajeista hyödynnetään suositustarkkuuden parantamiseksi. Sumeiden suo- situsten suositeltavuusjärjestyksen laskemiseen esitetään myös menetelmä. Käyttäjien elokuville antamat arvosanat voidaan käsittää sumeana datana. Käyttäjä voi kuvata arvosanaa esimerkiksi ilmaisulla ”noin 4”. Tästä syystä on loogista esittää suo- situksetkin sumeina lukuina. Tällöin käyttäjälle voidaan antaa tietoa suosituksen tark- kuudesta ja mahdollisista ristiriidoista. Epävarmojen suositusten tapauksessa käyttäjä voi painottaa enemmän muita tietolähteitä. Kokeiden perusteella kehitetty menetelmä antaa joissa tapauksissa selvästi vertailtavia menetelmiä parempia suosituksia, kun taas toisissa tapauksissa suositukset ovat selvästi heikompia.

Chelyabinsk CHP-3 “locked power” problem solving

All over the world power systems become bigger and bigger every day. New equipment is installed, new feeders are constructed, new power units are installed. Some old elements of the network, however, are not changed in time. As a result, “bottlenecks” for capacity transmission can occur. By locked power problem the situation when a power plant has installed capacity exceeding the power it can actually deliver is usually meant. Regime, scheme or even technical restrictions-related issues usually cause this kind of problem. It is really important, since from the regime point of view it is typical decision to have a mobile capacity reserve, in case of malfunctions. And, what can be even more significant, power plant owner (JSC Fortum in our case) losses his money because of selling less electrical energy. The goal of master`s thesis is to analyze the current state of Chelyabinsk power system and the CHP-3 (Combined Heat and Power plant) in particular in relation with it`s ability to deliver the whole capacity of the CHP in it`s existing state and also taking into consideration the prospect of power unit 3 installation by the fourth quarter of 2010. The thesis contains some general information about the UPS of Russia, CPS of Ural, power system of Chelyabinsk and the Chelyabinsk region itself. Then the CHP-3 is described from technical point of view with it`s equipment observation. Regimes for the nowadays power system and for the system after the power unit 3 installation are reviewed. The problems occurring are described and, finally, a solution is offered.

Fuzzy ontology for knowledge mobilisation and decision support

A growing concern for organisations is how they should deal with increasing amounts of collected data. With fierce competition and smaller margins, organisations that are able to fully realize the potential in the data they collect can gain an advantage over the competitors. It is almost impossible to avoid imprecision when processing large amounts of data. Still, many of the available information systems are not capable of handling imprecise data, even though it can offer various advantages. Expert knowledge stored as linguistic expressions is a good example of imprecise but valuable data, i.e. data that is hard to exactly pinpoint to a definitive value. There is an obvious concern among organisations on how this problem should be handled; finding new methods for processing and storing imprecise data are therefore a key issue. Additionally, it is equally important to show that tacit knowledge and imprecise data can be used with success, which encourages organisations to analyse their imprecise data. The objective of the research conducted was therefore to explore how fuzzy ontologies could facilitate the exploitation and mobilisation of tacit knowledge and imprecise data in organisational and operational decision making processes. The thesis introduces both practical and theoretical advances on how fuzzy logic, ontologies (fuzzy ontologies) and OWA operators can be utilized for different decision making problems. It is demonstrated how a fuzzy ontology can model tacit knowledge which was collected from wine connoisseurs. The approach can be generalised and applied also to other practically important problems, such as intrusion detection. Additionally, a fuzzy ontology is applied in a novel consensus model for group decision making. By combining the fuzzy ontology with Semantic Web affiliated techniques novel applications have been designed. These applications show how the mobilisation of knowledge can successfully utilize also imprecise data. An important part of decision making processes is undeniably aggregation, which in combination with a fuzzy ontology provides a promising basis for demonstrating the benefits that one can retrieve from handling imprecise data. The new aggregation operators defined in the thesis often provide new possibilities to handle imprecision and expert opinions. This is demonstrated through both theoretical examples and practical implementations. This thesis shows the benefits of utilizing all the available data one possess, including imprecise data. By combining the concept of fuzzy ontology with the Semantic Web movement, it aspires to show the corporate world and industry the benefits of embracing fuzzy ontologies and imprecision.

Achieving EU energy targets – Impacts of evolutionary and revolutionary transition paths on power systems

Ambitious energy targets set by EU put pressures to increase share of renewable electricity supply in this and next decades and therefore, some EU member countries have boosted increasing renewable energy generation capacity by implementing subsidy schemes on national level. In this study, two different change approaches to increase renewable energy supply and increase self-sufficiency of supply are assessed with respect to their impacts on power system, electricity market and electricity generation costs in Finland. It is obtained that the current electricity generation costs are high compared to opportunities of earnings from present-day investor’s perspective. In addition, the growth expectations of consumptions and the price forecasts do not stimulate investing in new generation capacity. Revolutionary transition path is driven by administrative and political interventions to achieve the energy targets. Evolutionary transition path is driven by market-based mechanisms, such as market itself and emission trading scheme. It is obtained in this study that in the revolutionary transition path operation of market-based mechanisms is distorted to some extent and it is likely that this path requires providing more public financial resources compared to evolutionary transition path. In the evolutionary transition path the energy targets are not achieved as quickly but market-based mechanisms function better and investment environment endures more stable compared to revolutionary transition path.

Linguistic models for decision support

Linguistic modelling is a rather new branch of mathematics that is still undergoing rapid development. It is closely related to fuzzy set theory and fuzzy logic, but knowledge and experience from other fields of mathematics, as well as other fields of science including linguistics and behavioral sciences, is also necessary to build appropriate mathematical models. This topic has received considerable attention as it provides tools for mathematical representation of the most common means of human communication - natural language. Adding a natural language level to mathematical models can provide an interface between the mathematical representation of the modelled system and the user of the model - one that is sufficiently easy to use and understand, but yet conveys all the information necessary to avoid misinterpretations. It is, however, not a trivial task and the link between the linguistic and computational level of such models has to be established and maintained properly during the whole modelling process. In this thesis, we focus on the relationship between the linguistic and the mathematical level of decision support models. We discuss several important issues concerning the mathematical representation of meaning of linguistic expressions, their transformation into the language of mathematics and the retranslation of mathematical outputs back into natural language. In the first part of the thesis, our view of the linguistic modelling for decision support is presented and the main guidelines for building linguistic models for real-life decision support that are the basis of our modeling methodology are outlined. From the theoretical point of view, the issues of representation of meaning of linguistic terms, computations with these representations and the retranslation process back into the linguistic level (linguistic approximation) are studied in this part of the thesis. We focus on the reasonability of operations with the meanings of linguistic terms, the correspondence of the linguistic and mathematical level of the models and on proper presentation of appropriate outputs. We also discuss several issues concerning the ethical aspects of decision support - particularly the loss of meaning due to the transformation of mathematical outputs into natural language and the issue or responsibility for the final decisions. In the second part several case studies of real-life problems are presented. These provide background and necessary context and motivation for the mathematical results and models presented in this part. A linguistic decision support model for disaster management is presented here – formulated as a fuzzy linear programming problem and a heuristic solution to it is proposed. Uncertainty of outputs, expert knowledge concerning disaster response practice and the necessity of obtaining outputs that are easy to interpret (and available in very short time) are reflected in the design of the model. Saaty’s analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is considered in two case studies - first in the context of the evaluation of works of art, where a weak consistency condition is introduced and an adaptation of AHP for large matrices of preference intensities is presented. The second AHP case-study deals with the fuzzified version of AHP and its use for evaluation purposes – particularly the integration of peer-review into the evaluation of R&D outputs is considered. In the context of HR management, we present a fuzzy rule based evaluation model (academic faculty evaluation is considered) constructed to provide outputs that do not require linguistic approximation and are easily transformed into graphical information. This is achieved by designing a specific form of fuzzy inference. Finally the last case study is from the area of humanities - psychological diagnostics is considered and a linguistic fuzzy model for the interpretation of outputs of multidimensional questionnaires is suggested. The issue of the quality of data in mathematical classification models is also studied here. A modification of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) method is presented to reflect variable quality of data instances in the validation set during classifier performance assessment. Twelve publications on which the author participated are appended as a third part of this thesis. These summarize the mathematical results and provide a closer insight into the issues of the practicalapplications that are considered in the second part of the thesis.

Underwater Remote Welding Technology for Offshore Structures

The construction of offshore structures, equipment and devices requires a high level of mechanical reliability in terms of strength, toughness and ductility. One major site for mechanical failure, the weld joint region, needs particularly careful examination, and weld joint quality has become a major focus of research in recent times. Underwater welding carried out offshore faces specific challenges affecting the mechanical reliability of constructions completed underwater. The focus of this thesis is on improvement of weld quality of underwater welding using control theory. This research work identifies ways of optimizing the welding process parameters of flux cored arc welding (FCAW) during underwater welding so as to achieve desired weld bead geometry when welding in a water environment. The weld bead geometry has no known linear relationship with the welding process parameters, which makes it difficult to determine a satisfactory weld quality. However, good weld bead geometry is achievable by controlling the welding process parameters. The doctoral dissertation comprises two sections. The first part introduces the topic of the research, discusses the mechanisms of underwater welding and examines the effect of the water environment on the weld quality of wet welding. The second part comprises four research papers examining different aspects of underwater wet welding and its control and optimization. Issues considered include the effects of welding process parameters on weld bead geometry, optimization of FCAW process parameters, and design of a control system for the purpose of achieving a desired bead geometry that can ensure a high level of mechanical reliability in welded joints of offshore structures. Artificial neural network systems and a fuzzy logic controller, which are incorporated in the control system design, and a hybrid of fuzzy and PID controllers are the major control dynamics used. This study contributes to knowledge of possible solutions for achieving similar high weld quality in underwater wet welding as found with welding in air. The study shows that carefully selected steels with very low carbon equivalent and proper control of the welding process parameters are essential in achieving good weld quality. The study provides a platform for further research in underwater welding. It promotes increased awareness of the need to improve the quality of underwater welding for offshore industries and thus minimize the risk of structural defects resulting from poor weld quality.

Flexible Sensor for Wearable Vital Sign Monitoring System

In modern society, the body health is a very important issue to everyone. With the development of the science and technology, the new and developed body health monitoring device and technology will play the key role in the daily medical activities. This paper focus on making progress in the design of the wearable vital sign system. A vital sign monitoring system has been proposed and designed. The whole detection system is composed of signal collecting subsystem, signal processing subsystem, short-range wireless communication subsystem and user interface subsystem. The signal collecting subsystem is composed of light source and photo diode, after emiting light of two different wavelength, the photo diode collects the light signal reflected by human body tissue. The signal processing subsystem is based on the analog front end AFE4490 and peripheral circuits, the collected analog signal would be filtered and converted into digital signal in this stage. After a series of processing, the signal would be transmitted to the short-range wireless communication subsystem through SPI, this subsystem is mainly based on Bluetooth 4.0 protocol and ultra-low power System on Chip(SoC) nRF51822. Finally, the signal would be transmitted to the user end. After proposing and building the system, this paper focus on the research of the key component in the system, that is, the photo detector. Based on the study of the perovskite materials, a low temperature processed photo detector has been proposed, designed and researched. The device is made up of light absorbing layer, electron transporting and hole blocking layer, hole transporting and electron blocking layer, conductive substrate layer and metal electrode layer. The light absorbing layer is the important part of whole device, and it is fabricated by perovskite materials. After accepting the light, the electron-hole pair would be produced in this layer, and due to the energy level difference, the electron and hole produced would be transmitted to metal electrode and conductive substrate electrode through electron transporting layer and hole transporting layer respectively. In this way the response current would be produced. Based on this structure, the specific fabrication procedure including substrate cleaning; PEDOT:PSS layer preparation; pervoskite layer preparation; PCBM layer preparation; C60, BCP, and Ag electrode layer preparation. After the device fabrication, a series of morphological characterization and performance testing has been done. The testing procedure including film-forming quality inspection, response current and light wavelength analysis, linearity and response time and other optical and electrical properties testing. The testing result shows that the membrane has been fabricated uniformly; the device can produce obvious response current to the incident light with the wavelength from 350nm to 800nm, and the response current could be changed along with the light wavelength. When the light wavelength keeps constant, there exists a good linear relationship between the intensity of the response current and the power of the incident light, based on which the device could be used as the photo detector to collect the light information. During the changing period of the light signal, the response time of the device is several microseconds, which is acceptable working as a photo detector in our system. The testing results show that the device has good electronic and optical properties, and the fabrication procedure is also repeatable, the properties of the devices has good uniformity, which illustrates the fabrication method and procedure could be used to build the photo detector in our wearable system. Based on a series of testing results, the paper has drawn the conclusion that the photo detector fabricated could be integrated on the flexible substrate and is also suitable for the monitoring system proposed, thus made some progress on the research of the wearable monitoring system and device. Finally, some future prospect in system design aspect and device design and fabrication aspect are proposed.

Sellutehtaan varavoimajärjestelmän mitoitus ja teknistaloudellinen vertailu 400 ja 690 voltin jännitteillä

Tämän diplomityön tarkoitus on selvittää pienjakelujännitteen nostosta aiheutuvia vaikutuksia sellutehtaan varavoimaverkossa. Työn alussa esitellään varavoimaverkkoon kuuluvia osia, selvitetään erilaisten kuormien vaikutusta varavoimaverkon sähkön laatuun sekä kuormien jakoa varmennettuihin verkkoihin. Seuraavaksi suunnitellaan kaksi keskitettyä varavoimaverkkomallia eri pienjakelujännitteillä. Mallien nimellisjännitteet ovat 400 V ja 690 V. Varavoimaverkkomallien kuormat ja osastojen väliset etäisyydet on otettu valmiista sellutehtaista. Tässä diplomityössä painotutaan erityisesti varavoimaverkkomallien mitoitukseen ja jakelujännitteen nostosta aiheutuvien vaikutusten teknistaloudelliseen vertailuun. Vertailu tehdään keskijännitekojeiston ja varavoimakeskusten välisellä alueella, johon kuu-luvat jakelumuuntaja, varavoimakone, varavoimapääkeskus, kiskosillat, jakelukaapelit, kytkinvaroke- ja katkaisijalähdöt sekä mahdolliset välimuuntajat. Varavoimaverkkojen välisessä kustannusvertailussa käytetään nykyarvomenetelmää.

Kulmastabiilisuuden mallinnus

Työn tavoitteena oli kartoittaa vaihtoehtoisia menetelmiä perinteiselle aikatasossa tapahtuvalle kulmastabiilisuuden mallinnukselle käyttövarmuustarkastelussa. Vaihtoehtoisiin menetelmiin tutustuttiin kirjallisuuden avulla ja valittiin menetelmä testattavaksi pohjoismaisessa yhteiskäyttöjärjestelmässä. Vaihtoehtoisen menetelmän ominaisuusvaatimuksiin kuului nopeampi laskenta, luotettava stabiilien ja epästabiilien tilanteiden seulontakyky ja menetelmän antama indeksi stabiilisuus-/epästabiilisuusasteesta. Pääasiassa menetelmät, joihin tutustuttiin, arvioivat vain transienttia stabiilisuutta. SIME-menetelmä soveltui myös dynaamisen stabiilisuuden arviointiin. Suomessa voi dynaamisella stabiilisuudella olla tulevaisuudessa merkittävä rooli käyttövarmuustarkasteluissa. SIME-menetelmän toimivuutta testattiin osin yksinkertaistetulla Nordel-verkkomallilla, ja saadut tulokset olivat lupaavia. Menetelmä täytti uudelle menetelmälle asetetut vaatimukset, vaikka ongelmiakin esiintyi. Testauksessa käytetyn menetelmän edelleen kehittäminen ja menetelmän testaaminen täydellisellä verkkomallilla on suositeltavaa.

Modelling of North-West Russian market behavior considering technical restrictions of transmission grid

Nowadays the Finnish-Russian electric energy interaction is carried out through the back-to-back DC Vyborg substation and several power plants working synchronously with Finnish power system. Constant amount of energy flows in one direction — from Russia to Finland. But the process of electricity market development in Russian energy system makes the new possibilities of electrical cooperation available. The goal of master's thesis is to analyze the current state and possible evolution trends of North-West Russian system in relation with future possible change in power flow between Russia and Finland. The research is done by modelling the market of North-West Russia and examination of technical grid restrictions. The operational market models of North-West region of Russia for the years 2008 and 2015 were created during the research process. The description of prepared market models together with modelling results and their analysis are shown in the work. The description of power flow study process and results are also presented.

Automatic meter reading – benefits and applications

In liberalized electricity markets, which have taken place in many countries over the world, the electricity distribution companies operate in the competitive conditions. Therefore, accurate information about the customers’ energy consumption plays an essential role for the budget keeping of the distribution company and for correct planning and operation of the distribution network. This master’s thesis is focused on the description of the possible benefits for the electric utilities and residential customers from the automatic meter reading system usage. Major benefits of the AMR, illustrated in the thesis, are distribution network management, power quality monitoring, load modelling, and detection of the illegal usage of the electricity. By the example of the power system state estimation, it was illustrated that even the partial installation of the AMR in the customer side leads to more accurate data about the voltage and power levels in the whole network. The thesis also contains the description of the present situation of the AMR integration in Russia.

Electrical machine in a Hybrid Electrical Vehicle

Hybrid electric vehicles (HEV) have attracted very much attention during the latest years. Increasing environmental concern and an increase in fuel prices are key factors for the growing interest towards the HEV. In a hybrid electric vehicle the power train consists of both a mechanical power system and an electric power transmission system. The major subsystems in the mechanical power system are the internal combustion engine which powers the vehicle; electric power transmission including an energy storage, power electronic inverter, hybrid control system; the electric motor drive that runs either in the generating mode or in the motoring mode to process the power flow between the energy storage and the electrical machine. This research includes two advanced electric motors for a parallel hybrid: induction machine and permanent magnets synchronous machine. In the thesis an induction motor and a permanent magnet motor are compared as propulsion motors. Electric energy storages are also studied.

Prognosis of after spot volumes at the Scandinavian electricity market

The Thesis is dedicated to development of an operative tool to support decision making in after spot trading on the Nordic electricity market. The basics of the Nordic electricity market, trading mechanisms on the spot and after spot markets are presented in the Thesis. Mathematical equations that describe electricity balance condition in the power system are offered. The main driving factors that impact deviation of actual electricity balance from the scheduled one (object) in the power system have been explored and mathematically defined. The behavioral model of the object and principal trends in change of state of the object under an impact of the driving factors are determined with the help of regression analysis made in Microsoft Office Excel. The behavioral model gives an indication for the total regulation volume (Elbas trades volume, volume of regulation market, balance power) for a certain hour that serves as the base input in estimating prices on the after spot markets. Proposals for development of methodologies of forecasting the after spot electricity prices are offered.

Tasehallinnan kehittäminen Suomen sähkömarkkinoilla

Tämän diplomityön tavoitteena oli tutkia tasehallinnan kehittämismahdollisuuksia Suomessa järjestelmävastaavan näkökulmasta. Sähköjärjestelmässä tulee vallita jatkuvasti tasapaino tuotannon ja kulutuksen välillä, tämän järjestelmävastaavan vastuulla olevan tasapainon ylläpitoa kutsutaan tehotasapainon hallinnaksi. Työssä pääasiasiallinen huomio oli markkinalähtöisessä tehotasapainon hallinnan kehittämisessä. Tuotantosuunnitelmat ovat ratkaisevassa osassa sähköjärjestelmän muutoksia ennustettaessa ja suunniteltaessa. Pääasiassa tutkimus kohdistuu tuotantosuunnitelmien tarkentamisen mahdollisuuksien analysointiin sekä tarkentamisesta aiheutuvien muutosten selvittämiseen. Työn yhteydessä toteutettiin sopivalla otannalla kyselytutkimus, jonka oli tarkoitus antaa tietoa Eurooppalaisista käytännöistä asian suhteen. Tutkimusten pohjalta päädyttiin malliin, jossa tuotantosuunnitelmien jaksonpituutta lyhennettäisiin nykyisestä 60 minuutista 15 minuuttiin. 15 minuutin jaksonpituus ulottuisi koko tuotantotaseen käsittelyyn, mukaan lukien säätösähkömarkkinat ja muut tehokaupat.

Aurinkopaneeleihin liitettävien vaihtosuuntaajien testaussuunnitelman laadinta ja toteutus

Aurinkoenergia on yksi monista uusiutuvan energian muodoista, joiden suosio on viimeisten vuosien aikana kasvanut fossiilisten polttoaineiden kallistumisen sekä ilmaston lämpenemisen vuoksi. Auringon säteilyn energiaa voidaan muuttaa sähköenergiaksi mm. aurinkopaneeleiden avulla. Aurinkopaneeleihin liitetään usein vaihtosuuntaaja, jolla tuotettu teho voidaan muokata sähköverkkoon tai kotitalouden sähköjärjestelmään sopivaksi. Tässä työssä on esitelty aurinkopaneelilla tuotettavan sähköenergian perusperiaatteet sekä tehoa tuottavan järjestelmän reunaehdot. Tutkimuksessa on perehdytty keskeisiin, aurinkopaneeleihin liitettäville vaihtosuuntaajille laadittuihin standardeihin, hyötysuhteen mittaamisen sekä sähkön laadun näkökulmista. Selvityksen avulla järjestelmän hyötysuhteen sekä lähtötehon laadun määrittämiseksi voidaan laatia standardien mukainen mittaussuunnitelma vaihtosuuntaajan nimellistehosta riippumatta. Standardien avulla on laadittu mittaussuunnitelma Global Inversonne, 100 kW - verkkovaihtosuuntaajayksikölle. Suunnitelman mukaisissa mittauksissa on tutkittu yksikön muunnoshyötysuhdetta sekä lähtöjännitteen- ja virran laatua. Lisäksi työssä on analysoitu mittaustulosten mittausepävarmuuksia ja niitä aiheuttavia tekijöitä.