A simulation model of the optimal maintenance strategy: conceptual agent-based approach

In this Master’s thesis agent-based modeling has been used to analyze maintenance strategy related phenomena. The main research question that has been answered was: what does the agent-based model made for this study tell us about how different maintenance strategy decisions affect profitability of equipment owners and maintenance service providers? Thus, the main outcome of this study is an analysis of how profitability can be increased in industrial maintenance context. To answer that question, first, a literature review of maintenance strategy, agent-based modeling and maintenance modeling and optimization was conducted. This review provided the basis for making the agent-based model. Making the model followed a standard simulation modeling procedure. With the simulation results from the agent-based model the research question was answered. Specifically, the results of the modeling and this study are: (1) optimizing the point in which a machine is maintained increases profitability for the owner of the machine and also the maintainer with certain conditions; (2) time-based pricing of maintenance services leads to a zero-sum game between the parties; (3) value-based pricing of maintenance services leads to a win-win game between the parties, if the owners of the machines share a substantial amount of their value to the maintainers; and (4) error in machine condition measurement is a critical parameter to optimizing maintenance strategy, and there is real systemic value in having more accurate machine condition measurement systems.

Advanced epithelial ovarian cancer – studies on preoperative [18F] FDG PET/CT and HE4 profile during primary chemotherapy

Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is usually diagnosed in an advanced stage. The prognosis depends highly on the amount of the residual tumor in surgery. In patients with extensive disease, neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) is used to diminish the tumor load before debulking surgery. New non-invasive methods are needed to preoperatively evaluate the disease dissemination and operability. [18F] FDG PET/CT (Positron emission tomography/computed tomography) is a promising method for cancer diagnostics and staging. The biomarker profiles during treatment can predict patient’s outcome. This prospective study included 41 EOC patients, 21 treated with primary surgery and 20 with NACT and interval surgery. The performances of preoperative contrast enhanced PET/CT (PET/ceCT) and diagnostic CT (ceCT) were compared. Perioperative visual estimation of tumor spread was studied in primary and interval surgery. The profile of the serum marker HE4 (Human epididymis 4) during primary chemotherapy was evaluated. In primary surgery, surgical findings were found to form an adequate reference standard for imaging studies. After NACT, the sensitivity for visual estimation of cancer dissemination was significantly worse. Preoperative PET/ceCT was more effective than ceCT alone in detecting extra-abdominal disease spread. The high number of supradiaphragmatic lymph node metastases detected by PET/ceCT at the time of diagnosis brings new insight in EOC spread patterns. The sensitivity of both PET/CT and ceCT remained modest in intra-abdominal areas important to operability. The HE4 profile was in concordance with the CA125 profile during primary chemotherapy. Its role in the evaluation of EOC chemotherapy response will be clarified in further studies.