Triga reqvisitorum eruditionis comparandae

Invocatio: I.N.S.S.T.

Animadversiones in commentationem nobilissimi von Crell

Dedicatio: Mich. Montin.

Foedus Salomonis et Hirami leviter adumbratum

Invocatio: Q.F.S.F.Q.

De epistola Eliae ad Joramum, ex 2. Paral. XXI: 12. &c

Mennanderin gratulaatio painettu uudelleen: Das Inland (Dorpat) 1856 pg. 562-563

De [hepreaa] seu mari fuso, in templo Jerosolymitano

Invocatio: [hepreaa].

Demographic Modelling of Human Population Growth

This work presents models and methods that have been used in producing forecasts of population growth. The work is intended to emphasize the reliability bounds of the model forecasts. Leslie model and various versions of logistic population models are presented. References to literature and several studies are given. A lot of relevant methodology has been developed in biological sciences. The Leslie modelling approach involves the use of current trends in mortality,fertility, migration and emigration. The model treats population divided in age groups and the model is given as a recursive system. Other group of models is based on straightforward extrapolation of census data. Trajectories of simple exponential growth function and logistic models are used to produce the forecast. The work presents the basics of Leslie type modelling and the logistic models, including multi- parameter logistic functions. The latter model is also analysed from model reliability point of view. Bayesian approach and MCMC method are used to create error bounds of the model predictions.

Anarkistin viimeistä viimeisin sana

Kirjallisuusarvostelu

Vastaiskuja koulutuksen kentillä

Kirjallisuusarvostelu

Philosophiae practicae

Esipuhe.

Meditationes sancti evangelii 50

Arkit: A-B4.

De elementis in genere

Variantti B.

De natura similitudinum, maxime ex Virgilio 1

Dedikaatio: Franciscus Mich. Franzén.

De coronatione seu inauguratione regia, ejusque antecedentibus & consequentibus

Arkit: A-B4.

De religione & ecclesiasticâ administratione

Arkit: 1 arkintunnukseton lehti, 2F-2H8, 1 arkintunnukseton lehti.

De causa interna formali

Variantti B.