[Topografičeskaâ karta 1:42000]. XIII-51, XIII-52, XII-51, XII-52, Vyborg. gub., Âskis" uězd / snimal" i c̆ertil" Gûbìev".

1:42000.

Fuzzy real option analysis in patent related decision making and patent valuation

The shift towards a knowledge-based economy has inevitably prompted the evolution of patent exploitation. Nowadays, patent is more than just a prevention tool for a company to block its competitors from developing rival technologies, but lies at the very heart of its strategy for value creation and is therefore strategically exploited for economic pro t and competitive advantage. Along with the evolution of patent exploitation, the demand for reliable and systematic patent valuation has also reached an unprecedented level. However, most of the quantitative approaches in use to assess patent could arguably fall into four categories and they are based solely on the conventional discounted cash flow analysis, whose usability and reliability in the context of patent valuation are greatly limited by five practical issues: the market illiquidity, the poor data availability, discriminatory cash-flow estimations, and its incapability to account for changing risk and managerial flexibility. This dissertation attempts to overcome these impeding barriers by rationalizing the use of two techniques, namely fuzzy set theory (aiming at the first three issues) and real option analysis (aiming at the last two). It commences with an investigation into the nature of the uncertainties inherent in patent cash flow estimation and claims that two levels of uncertainties must be properly accounted for. Further investigation reveals that both levels of uncertainties fall under the categorization of subjective uncertainty, which differs from objective uncertainty originating from inherent randomness in that uncertainties labelled as subjective are highly related to the behavioural aspects of decision making and are usually witnessed whenever human judgement, evaluation or reasoning is crucial to the system under consideration and there exists a lack of complete knowledge on its variables. Having clarified their nature, the application of fuzzy set theory in modelling patent-related uncertain quantities is effortlessly justified. The application of real option analysis to patent valuation is prompted by the fact that both patent application process and the subsequent patent exploitation (or commercialization) are subject to a wide range of decisions at multiple successive stages. In other words, both patent applicants and patentees are faced with a large variety of courses of action as to how their patent applications and granted patents can be managed. Since they have the right to run their projects actively, this flexibility has value and thus must be properly accounted for. Accordingly, an explicit identification of the types of managerial flexibility inherent in patent-related decision making problems and in patent valuation, and a discussion on how they could be interpreted in terms of real options are provided in this dissertation. Additionally, the use of the proposed techniques in practical applications is demonstrated by three fuzzy real option analysis based models. In particular, the pay-of method and the extended fuzzy Black-Scholes model are employed to investigate the profitability of a patent application project for a new process for the preparation of a gypsum-fibre composite and to justify the subsequent patent commercialization decision, respectively; a fuzzy binomial model is designed to reveal the economic potential of a patent licensing opportunity.

Modelling Energy Consumption of a Switch using Fuzzy-Rule Classifier

The energy consumption of IT equipments is becoming an issue of increasing importance. In particular, network equipments such as routers and switches are major contributors to the energy consumption of internet. Therefore it is important to understand how the relationship between input parameters such as bandwidth, number of active ports, traffic-load, hibernation-mode and their impact on energy consumption of a switch. In this paper, the energy consumption of a switch is analyzed in extensive experiments. A fuzzy rule-based model of energy consumption of a switch is proposed based on the result of experiments. The model can be used to predict the energy saving when deploying new switches by controlling the parameters to achieve desired energy consumption and subsequent performance. Furthermore, the model can also be used for further researches on energy saving techniques such as energy-efficient routing protocol, dynamic link shutdown, etc.

Business Intelligence: Microsoft Power BI

Työn tavoitteena on tutkia Business Intelligencen ja BI-työkalujen vaatimusten kehittymistä viime vuosien aikana ja tutkia miten Microsoft Power BI -ohjelmisto vastaa modernin päätöksenteon tarpeisiin. Työ on toteutettu suurimmalta osin kirjallisuuskatsauksena, minkä lisäksi Microsoft Power BI:n toiminnallisuutta on tutkittu käytännössä käyttäen ohjelmiston ilmaisversiota. Tutkimuksessa on havaittu, että tiedon lähteiden määrän ja datan monimuotoisuuden kasvaessa on syntynyt tarve uusille, tehokkaille BI-järjestelmäratkaisuille, jotka hyödyntävät uudenlaisia menetelmiä. Modernissa BI 2.0 -mallissa korostuvat kehittyneemmän verkkoinfrastruktuurin ja ohjelmistotekniikan täysi hyödyntäminen, käytön helppous, tiedon tuottaminen ja jakaminen massoille, tiedon rikastamisen mahdollistaminen ja visualisoinnin ja interaktiivisuuden keskeinen asema tiedon tulkinnassa. Tutkimuksen perusteella Microsoft Power BI vaikuttaisi täyttävän keskeneräisyydestään ja muutamista tiedonhallinnallisista puutteistaan huolimatta lähes kaikki toimivan BI 2.0 -järjestelmän määritelmistä. Ohjelmisto tarjoaa riittävät analyyttiset ja esitystekniset työkalut useimpien tyypillisten käyttäjien tarpeisiin, minkä lisäksi paranneltu Location Intelligence -ratkaisu sekä uudet Q&A ja nopea oivallus -toiminnot luovat mielenkiintoisen tavan selata dataa. Jää nähtäväksi, miten ratkaisu kehittyy vielä tulevaisuudessa.