16 resultados para Turbulent flows

em Université de Lausanne, Switzerland


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This article enquires into the causes of union growth and decline by analysing flows in and out of membership at the level of 70 Swiss union locals over 2006-2008. Gross flows in union membership are much larger than the resulting net changes: annual membership turnover of 10 per cent is a surprisingly constant feature across unions. Net changes in membership are primarily determined by inflows: successful and languishing union locals differ in their entry rates, whereas exit rates are similar. Variance in union locals' entry rates is not usefully explained by the labour market context, but by differences in union strategy.

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Every year, debris flows cause huge damage in mountainous areas. Due to population pressure in hazardous zones, the socio-economic impact is much higher than in the past. Therefore, the development of indicative susceptibility hazard maps is of primary importance, particularly in developing countries. However, the complexity of the phenomenon and the variability of local controlling factors limit the use of processbased models for a first assessment. A debris flow model has been developed for regional susceptibility assessments using digital elevation model (DEM) with a GIS-based approach.. The automatic identification of source areas and the estimation of debris flow spreading, based on GIS tools, provide a substantial basis for a preliminary susceptibility assessment at a regional scale. One of the main advantages of this model is its workability. In fact, everything is open to the user, from the data choice to the selection of the algorithms and their parameters. The Flow-R model was tested in three different contexts: two in Switzerland and one in Pakistan, for indicative susceptibility hazard mapping. It was shown that the quality of the DEM is the most important parameter to obtain reliable results for propagation, but also to identify the potential debris flows sources.

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The development of susceptibility maps for debris flows is of primary importance due to population pressure in hazardous zones. However, hazard assessment by processbased modelling at a regional scale is difficult due to the complex nature of the phenomenon, the variability of local controlling factors, and the uncertainty in modelling parameters. A regional assessment must consider a simplified approach that is not highly parameter dependant and that can provide zonation with minimum data requirements. A distributed empirical model has thus been developed for regional susceptibility assessments using essentially a digital elevation model (DEM). The model is called Flow-R for Flow path assessment of gravitational hazards at a Regional scale (available free of charge under www.flow-r.org) and has been successfully applied to different case studies in various countries with variable data quality. It provides a substantial basis for a preliminary susceptibility assessment at a regional scale. The model was also found relevant to assess other natural hazards such as rockfall, snow avalanches and floods. The model allows for automatic source area delineation, given user criteria, and for the assessment of the propagation extent based on various spreading algorithms and simple frictional laws.We developed a new spreading algorithm, an improved version of Holmgren's direction algorithm, that is less sensitive to small variations of the DEM and that is avoiding over-channelization, and so produces more realistic extents. The choices of the datasets and the algorithms are open to the user, which makes it compliant for various applications and dataset availability. Amongst the possible datasets, the DEM is the only one that is really needed for both the source area delineation and the propagation assessment; its quality is of major importance for the results accuracy. We consider a 10m DEM resolution as a good compromise between processing time and quality of results. However, valuable results have still been obtained on the basis of lower quality DEMs with 25m resolution.

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Rock slope instabilities are implicitly linked to the supply of sediment and debris recharging channels prone to debris flow. Hence, the incorporation of bedrock structure and terrain morphology can be relevant in the analysis of sediment budget and debris flow hazard assessment. Here, the mode of debris production of the Manival catchment (northern French Alps) is documented by the study of its morphostructural aspects extracted from high resolution DEM. Terrain implication in the process of debris supply is evaluated by: a) A systematic classification of the major morphological units based on the slope gradient that enables a spatial analysis of zones of debris production and deposition. b) A detailed structural analysis performed on DEM in order to identify potential unstable slopes. c) An analysis of the gullies orientation that informs in term of structural control of the sources zones. d) Localisation of high density joints sets that document about whether sources of continuous debris production are controlled by the structural setting of the catchment. These DEM-based indicators can be used as proxies for assessing the influences of the current topography and enable to quantify a degree of susceptibility to mass wasting and hillslope erosion activity. This present contribution suggests some directions for characterizing sediment flux dynamic in small alpine catchment.

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Abstract This paper shows how to calculate recursively the moments of the accumulated and discounted value of cash flows when the instantaneous rates of return follow a conditional ARMA process with normally distributed innovations. We investigate various moment based approaches to approximate the distribution of the accumulated value of cash flows and we assess their performance through stochastic Monte-Carlo simulations. We discuss the potential use in insurance and especially in the context of Asset-Liability Management of pension funds.

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The effects of continuous infusions of 2 synthetic atrial natriuretic peptides Ile12-(3-28) (rANP) and Meth12-(3-28) (hANP) eicosahexapeptides on blood pressure, heart rate, skin blood flow, glomerular filtration rate, renal plasma flow, apparent hepatic blood flow, and carotid blood flow were evaluated in normal volunteers. A rANP infusion at increasing rates (1-40 micrograms/min) induced a decrease in blood pressure, an increase in heart rate and in skin blood flow linearly related to the dose administered. In contrast, hANP infusion at 1 microgram/min for 4 hours induced an initial increase followed by a secondary fall in skin blood flow without blood pressure changes. A 4-hour rANP infusion at 0.5 and 5 mcg/min did not alter glomerular filtration rate but induced a delayed and dose-related fall in renal plasma flow from 531 to 461 (p less than 0.05), and from 554 to 342 ml/min (p less than 0.001) respectively, with a consequential rise in the filtration fraction. The 5 mcg/min dose furthermore significantly reduced blood pressure following a latency period of 2.5 hours. A 2-hours rANP infusion at 0.5 micrograms/min induced a fall in apparent hepatic blood flow from 1,087 to 863 ml/min (p less than 0.01), without simultaneously altering blood pressure. Similarly, a 2-hour hANP infusion at 2 micrograms/min altered neither blood pressure nor carotid blood flow. In conclusion, ANP infusion induced changes in systemic and regional hemodynamics varying in direction, intensity and duration.

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In this paper is presented a study dealing with the debris flows that reached the national road 7 in January 2005, in the km 1,118.5, Mendoza province. The area is located in the Frontal Cordillera near the limit of the Precordillera. A detailed geomorphologic map has been realized for this study using a Quickbird satellite imagery of the year 2006. Various calculations of volumes, velocities and peak discharges have been performed with the field data and using a geographic information system (GIS). The geomorphologic survey has permitted to propose three propagation scenarios in case of a new event. These allowed creating a map of debris flows susceptibility for the stretch of the road that has been studied. Finally, it has been proposed protection and mitigation measures, based on the results of the study, to protect the road from a new event.

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Flood effectiveness observations imply that two families of processes describe the formation of debris flow volume. One is related to the rainfall?erosion relationship, and can be seen as a gradual process, and one is related to additional geological/geotechnical events, those named hereafter extraordinary events. In order to discuss the hypothesis of coexistence of two modes of volume formation, some methodologies are applied. Firstly, classical approaches consisting in relating volume to catchments characteristics are considered. These approaches raise questions about the quality of the data rather than providing answers concerning the controlling processes. Secondly, we consider statistical approaches (cumulative number of events distribution and cluster analysis) and these suggest the possibility of having two distinct families of processes. However the quantitative evaluation of the threshold differs from the one that could be obtained from the first approach, but they all agree in the sense of the coexistence of two families of events. Thirdly, a conceptual model is built exploring how and why debris flow volume in alpine catchments changes with time. Depending on the initial condition (sediment production), the model shows that large debris flows (i.e. with important volume) are observed in the beginning period, before a steady-state is reached. During this second period debris flow volume such as is observed in the beginning period is not observed again. Integrating the results of the three approaches, two case studies are presented showing: (1) the possibility to observe in a catchment large volumes that will never happen again due to a drastic decrease in the sediment availability, supporting its difference from gradual erosion processes; (2) that following a rejuvenation of the sediment storage (by a rock avalanche) the magnitude?frequency relationship of a torrent can be differentiated into two phases, the beginning one with large and frequent debris flow and a later one with debris flow less intense and frequent, supporting the results of the conceptual model. Although the results obtained cannot identify a clear threshold between the two families of processes, they show that some debris flows can be seen as pulse of sediment differing from that expected from gradual erosion.

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Sustainable resource use is one of the most important environmental issues of our times. It is closely related to discussions on the 'peaking' of various natural resources serving as energy sources, agricultural nutrients, or metals indispensable in high-technology applications. Although the peaking theory remains controversial, it is commonly recognized that a more sustainable use of resources would alleviate negative environmental impacts related to resource use. In this thesis, sustainable resource use is analysed from a practical standpoint, through several different case studies. Four of these case studies relate to resource metabolism in the Canton of Geneva in Switzerland: the aim was to model the evolution of chosen resource stocks and flows in the coming decades. The studied resources were copper (a bulk metal), phosphorus (a vital agricultural nutrient), and wood (a renewable resource). In addition, the case of lithium (a critical metal) was analysed briefly in a qualitative manner and in an electric mobility perspective. In addition to the Geneva case studies, this thesis includes a case study on the sustainability of space life support systems. Space life support systems are systems whose aim is to provide the crew of a spacecraft with the necessary metabolic consumables over the course of a mission. Sustainability was again analysed from a resource use perspective. In this case study, the functioning of two different types of life support systems, ARES and BIORAT, were evaluated and compared; these systems represent, respectively, physico-chemical and biological life support systems. Space life support systems could in fact be used as a kind of 'laboratory of sustainability' given that they represent closed and relatively simple systems compared to complex and open terrestrial systems such as the Canton of Geneva. The chosen analysis method used in the Geneva case studies was dynamic material flow analysis: dynamic material flow models were constructed for the resources copper, phosphorus, and wood. Besides a baseline scenario, various alternative scenarios (notably involving increased recycling) were also examined. In the case of space life support systems, the methodology of material flow analysis was also employed, but as the data available on the dynamic behaviour of the systems was insufficient, only static simulations could be performed. The results of the case studies in the Canton of Geneva show the following: were resource use to follow population growth, resource consumption would be multiplied by nearly 1.2 by 2030 and by 1.5 by 2080. A complete transition to electric mobility would be expected to only slightly (+5%) increase the copper consumption per capita while the lithium demand in cars would increase 350 fold. For example, phosphorus imports could be decreased by recycling sewage sludge or human urine; however, the health and environmental impacts of these options have yet to be studied. Increasing the wood production in the Canton would not significantly decrease the dependence on wood imports as the Canton's production represents only 5% of total consumption. In the comparison of space life support systems ARES and BIORAT, BIORAT outperforms ARES in resource use but not in energy use. However, as the systems are dimensioned very differently, it remains questionable whether they can be compared outright. In conclusion, the use of dynamic material flow analysis can provide useful information for policy makers and strategic decision-making; however, uncertainty in reference data greatly influences the precision of the results. Space life support systems constitute an extreme case of resource-using systems; nevertheless, it is not clear how their example could be of immediate use to terrestrial systems.

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Résumé : Les corps magmatiques sont des indicateurs essentiels dans toute reconstitution paléogéographique et/ou géodynamique d'un cycle orogénique, en particulier en contexte polycyclique, où la plupart des autres indices ont été oblitérés. Ils sont aisément datables et leurs caractéristiques géochimiques permettent de contraindre leur contexte tectonique de mise en place. Cette approche a été appliquée aux socles pré-mésozoïques des nappes penniques inférieures de Sambuco et de la Maggia, dans les Alpes centrales lepontines. Plusieurs événements magmatiques ont été identifiés dans le socle de Sambuco et datés par la méthode U-Pb sur zircon couplée à la technique LA-ICPMS. La suite calco-alcaline mafique rubanée de Scheggia est datée du Cambrien inférieur à 540-530 Ma ; le métagranite alumineux oeillé de Sasso Nero a un âge de 480-470 Ma, tout comme bien d'autres «older orthogneisses» des socles alpins. Il contient des zircons hérités d'âge panafricain à 630-610 Ma, indicateur d'une affiliation gondwanienne de ces terrains. Le pluton calco-alcalin du Matorello est daté à environ 300-310 Ma, et les filons lamprophyriques qu'il abrite à 300 Ma. La granodiorite de Cocco et le leucogranite de Ruscada, tous deux intrudés dans le socle de la nappe adjacente de la Maggia, ont des âges similaires à celui du Matorello. Ceci ajouté aux similitudes magmatiques observées entre Cocco et Matorello suggère une proximité paléogéographique des deux nappes au Permien-Carbonifère. Or ces dernières sont actuellement considérées appartenir à deux domaines paléogéographiques mésozoïques distincts : helvétique pour Sambuco et briançonnais pour Maggia, séparés par un bassin océanique. Si tel fut le cas, aucun mouvement décrochant ne doit avoir décalé les marges continentales de l'océan, retrouvées en parfaite coïncidence lors de sa fermeture. Le Matorello est un pluton recristallisé en faciès amphibolite et plissé par cinq phases successives de déformation non-coaxiales, qui ont conduit à son renversement complet, attesté par des indicateurs de paléogravité. Il préserve de spectaculaires phénomènes de coexistence liquide de magmas (essaims d'enclaves et Bills composites). Ce pluton était originellement tabulaire, construit par l'accumulation de multiples injections de magma en feuillets d'épaisseur métrique à décamétrique. Suivant le rythme de mise en place, les injections successives ont rapidement cristallisé avec des contours nets et bien définis (Bills composites) ou se sont mélangées avec les précédentes pour former une couche non consolidée de plusieurs dizaines de mètres d'épaisseur (granodiorite principale). Les injections individuelles sont délimitées par de subtils contrastes en granulométrie, proportions modales ou ségrégation de minéraux (schlieren), ou par des phénomènes d'érosion le long des surfaces de contact. Deux couches métriques à contour sinueux consistent en une accumulation compacte d'enclaves mafiques arrondies dans une matrice granodioritique fine. Le granoclassement des enclaves, la présence de figures de charge et de phénomènes érosifs en base de couche, ainsi que des schlieren de biotite entrecroisés évoquent l'injection de coulées de magma chargé d'enclaves et de faible viscosité en régime hydrodynamique turbulent dans un encaissant granodioritique encore largement liquide. La nature hybride des roches implique une chambre magmatique sous-jacente, en cours de différenciation et périodiquement réalimentée. Les magmas sont des liquides mafiques dérivés du manteau et des liquides anatectiques d'origine crustale, comme l'indique la gamme mesurée des rapports isotopiques initiaux du Sr (0.704 à 0.709) et des valeurs epsilon Nd (-2.1 à -4.7). Ces données montrent également que la contribution crustale est dominante, en accord avec les isotopes du plomb. Les phénomènes d'hybridation ont vraisemblablement eu lieu en base de croûte et dans la chambre magmatique sous-jacente au laccolite du Matorello. Les indicateurs de paléogravité du Matorello contribuent accessoirement à la compréhension de l'architecture actuelle de la nappe de Sambuco. Des plis isoclinaux à surface axiale verticale peuvent être mis en évidence par le contact entre les faciès dioritique et granodioritique. L'antiforme dont le Matorello forme le coeur est un synclinal, ce qui le positionne dans le Flanc inverse du grand pli couché que forme la nappe de Sambuco. Par ailleurs, des blocs de gneiss retrouvés dans le wildflysch sommital de la couverture de la nappe d'Antigorio ont été affiliés dans cette étude au pluton du Matorello. Ceci implique que le front de la nappe de Sambuco chevauchait déjà la partie est du bassin d'Antigorio au moment de sa fermeture. Par conséquent, ce n'est qu'en position externe que la nappe du Lebendun chevauche directement la nappe d'Antigorio. Abstract Magmatic bodies are important markers in paleo-geographic or geodynamic reconstructions of orogenic cycles, even more so in the case of polycyclic events where many of the other markers have been overwritten or destroyed. Plutons are relatively easy to date and their geochemical properties help constrain the tectonic context in which they were emplaced. This study focuses on the pre-mesozoic basement in the Sambuco and Maggia lower Penninic nappes located in the central Lepontine domain of the Alps. A number of magmatic events have been identified in the Sambuco basement. These events were dated using LA-ICPMS U/Pb on zircon grains. The mafic calc-alkaline banded Scheggia suite is dated as lower Cambrian, 540-530 Ma. The Al-rich Sasso-Nero lenticular gneiss is 480-470 Ma old (similarly to many older orfhogneisses of the Alpine basement) and contains 630-610 Ma old pan-African inherited zircons that illustrate the Gondwanian origin of these terranes.The calc-alkaline Matorello pluton is dated as 310-300 Ma whereas the lamprophyric bodies it contains are of 300 Ma. The Cocco granodiorite and the Ruscada leucogranite both intrude the basement of the adjacent Maggia nappe and are of similar ages to the Matorello. The ages as well as the geochemical similarities between the Cocco, Rucada and Matorello plutons suggest their paleo-geographic proximity at the Permian-Carboniferous boundary. However, these nappes are currently considered as belonging to two different Mesozoic paleo-geographic domains. Indeed, the Sambuco is considered as Helvetic whereas the Maggia is said to be Briançonnais, both separated by an oceanic basin. If this is the case, then it is essential that nostrike-slip movement has misaligned both continental margins since these coincide perfectly now that the oceanic domain closed. The Matorello pluton was originally a tabular intrusion, built up by the accumulation of multiple, several meter-thick, subhorizontal sheet-like injections of magma. Depending on their emplacement rate, the successive magma injections either solidified rapidly with sharp and rather well-defined boundaries (like the composite sills) or mingled with previous injections generating a thick molten layer up to several tens to hundred meters thick, like in the main granodioritic facies. These coalesced injections are hardly distinguishable, however subtle contrasts in granulometry, mineral modal proportions or mineral sorting (cross-bedded biotite-rich schlieren), as well as erosional features and/or crystal entrapment along contact surfaces allow to distinguish between the different injections. Two exceptional meter-thick layers display sinuous boundaries with the host granodiorite and consist of a densely packed accumulation of mafic enclaves in a granodioritic matrix. Gravitational sorting of the enclaves with load cast features at the base of the layers and sinuous biotite schlieren point to injection of low viscosity turbulent composite magma flows in the still largely molten granodiorite host. The hybrid nature of these rocks implies the existence of á periodically replenished and differentiated underlying magma chamber. Magmas are mafic liquids derived from the mantle and anatectic liquids of crustal origin, as shown by the (87Sr/86Sr), and epsilon Nd values (0.704-0.709 and -2.1 to -4.7 respectively. These data show that the crustal contribution is important, as confirmed by the Pb isotopes. The hybridisation processes seem to have occurred in the lower crust in magma chambers underlying the Matorello laccolith. The paleo-gravity markers in the Matorello help understand the architecture of the Sambuco nappe. Isoclinal folds with a vertical axial plane can be seen at the contact between dioritic and granodioritic facies. The antiform structure of which the Matorello is the heart is in fact a syncline. This places it in the inverse flanc of the large recumbent fold that constitutes the Sambuco nappe. The gneiss blocs found in the summital wildflysh cover of the Antigorio nappe have been linked to the Matorello pluton. This means that the front of the Sambuco nappe already overlapped the Antigorio basin when it closed. This implies that the Lebendun nappe can only overlap the Antigorio nappe in it's external position. Résumé grand public La chaîne alpine est la conséquence de la collision tertiaire entre deux masses continentales, l'Europe au nord et la péninsule apulienne africaine au sud, originellement séparées par l'océan mésozoïque téthysien. Cette collision a fermé un espace large de plusieurs centaines de km avec pour résultat l'écaillage de la croûte terrestre en unités tectoniques de dimensions variables, qui se sont empilées, imbriquées, éventuellement replissées en nappes de géométrie complexe. Cet amoncellement de 40 km d'épaisseur a vu sa température et sa pression lithostatique internes augmenter jusqu'à des valeurs de l'ordre de 680 °C et 6000 bars, induisant une recristallisation métamorphique des roches. L'un des objectifs de la géologie alpine est de reconstituer la géographie de la région aux temps mésozoïques de l'océan téthysien, en d'autres termes, de replacer chacune des unités tectoniques identifiées au sein de l'empilement alpin dans sa position originelle. Le défi est de taille et peut être comparé à celui de la reconstitution d'un vaste puzzle, dont certaines pièces seraient endommagées au niveau de leur contour ou leurs couleurs (métamorphisme), dissimulées par d'autres (enfouissement), voire tombées de la table de jeu (subduction, échappement latéral). Plusieurs approches ont été mises en oeuvre au cours du siècle écoulé. On citera en particulier la stratigraphie, la tectonique et le paléomagnétisme. Dans ce travail, nous avons essentiellement utilisé des techniques de datation isotopique absolue des roches (U/Pb sur zircon) qui, sur la base des connaissances acquises par l'ensemble des autres disciplines géologiques, nous ont permis de mieux contraindre ta paléogéographie mésozoïque du domaine «pennique inférieur » des Alpes centrales lépontines. Et au-delà? Nous savons tous que la disposition des continents à la surface de la Terre évolue constamment. Il est donc tentant d'essayer de remonter plus loin encore dans le temps et de reconstituer la physionomie de la marge sud européenne, tout au moins certains éléments de son histoire, au cours de l'ère paléozoïque. Les traces de ces événements très anciens sont naturellement ténues et dans ce contexte, les techniques de datation mentionnées ci-dessus deviennent les outils les plus performants. Ainsi, des datations u/Pb sur zircon nous ont permis de recenser plusieurs intrusions magmatiques, attribuées à quatre événements orogéniques anté-alpins. Des âges néoprotérozoïques (630-610 millions d'années ou Ma), cambrien inférieur (540-530 Ma), ordovicien inférieur (480-470 Ma) et carbonifère supérieur-permien inférieur (310-285 Ma) ont été obtenus dans le socle de la nappe de Sambuco. Des âges similaires à 300 Ma ont été obtenus dans la nappe voisine de la Maggia, qui permettent de relier ces deux unités. Aujourd'hui côte à côte, ces deux nappes devaient également se trouver proches l'une de l'autre il y a 300 Ma, lors de l'extension post-varisque. Les structures magmatiques spectaculaires préservées dans le pluton du Matorello (300 Ma) contraignent la géométrie actuelle de la nappe de Sambuco dans laquelle l'intrusion s'est mise en place. La forme originelle du pluton, aujourd'hui retourné et replissé plusieurs fois, s'avère être tabulaire, faite d'intrusions de faible épaisseur (1-300 m) s'étalant en forme de disque (30m à 2 km de diamètre). Les injections successives de magma se sont accumulées sous un toit dioritique précoce; elles sont issues, par le refais de fractures, d'une chambre magmatique plus profonde, périodiquement réalimentée par des magmas calco-alcalins d'origine mantellique contaminés parla croûte continentale profonde (εNd = -2.1 à -4.7). Des accumulations d'enclaves magmatiques arrondies et granoclassées dans des paléo-chenaux à fond érosif témoignent de conditions de mise en place hydrodynamiques à haute énergie. Ces enclaves sont emmenées de la chambre magmatique sous-jacente à la faveur d'épisodes de fracturation hydraulique liés à l'injection de magmas matelliques chauds dans des liquides différenciés riches en eau. Cette hypothèse est étayée par l'existence de filons composites. Une paléohorizontale a pu être déduite au sein du pluton, indiquant que cette partie de la nappe de Sambuco est verticalisée et isoclinalement replissée par la déformation alpine. Finalement, des blocs érodés du socle Sambuco ont été retrouvés dans le wildflysch sommital de la couverture sédimentaire mésozoïque de la nappe d'Antigorio sous-jacente. Ceci suggère que les blocs ont été fournis parle front de la nappe de Sambuco en train de chevaucher sur la nappe d'Antigorio au moment de la fermeture du bassin sédimentaire de cette dernière.

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Vegetation has a profound effect on flow and sediment transport processes in natural rivers, by increasing both skin friction and form drag. The increase in drag introduces a drag discontinuity between the in-canopy flow and the flow above, which leads to the development of an inflection point in the velocity profile, resembling a free shear layer. Therefore, drag acts as the primary driver for the entire canopy system. Most current numerical hydraulic models which incorporate vegetation rely either on simple, static plant forms, or canopy-scaled drag terms. However, it is suggested that these are insufficient as vegetation canopies represent complex, dynamic, porous blockages within the flow, which are subject to spatially and temporally dynamic drag forces. Here we present a dynamic drag methodology within a CFD framework. Preliminary results for a benchmark cylinder case highlight the accuracy of the method, and suggest its applicability to more complex cases.