Cellular and molecular mechanisms underlying the effects of sleep loss on hippocampal synaptic plasticity

SUMMARY : The function of sleep for the organism is one of the most persistent and perplexing questions in biology. Current findings lead to the conclusion that sleep is primarily for the brain. In particular, a role for sleep in cognitive aspects of brain function is supported by behavioral evidence both in humans and animals. However, in spite of remarkable advancement in the understanding of the mechanisms underlying sleep generation and regulation, it has been proven difficult to determine the neurobiological mechanisms underlying the beneficial effect of sleep, and the detrimental impact of sleep loss, on learning and memory processes. In my thesis, I present results that lead to several critical steps forward in the link between sleep and cognitive function. My major result is the molecular identification and physiological analysis of a protein, the NR2A subunit of NMDA receptor (NMDAR), that confers sensitivity to sleep loss to the hippocampus, a brain structure classically involved in mnemonic processes. Specifically, I used a novel behavioral approach to achieve sleep deprivation in adult C57BL6/J mice, yet minimizing the impact of secondary factors associated with the procedure,.such as stress. By using in vitro electrophysiological analysis, I show, for the first time, that sleep loss dramatically affects bidirectional plasticity at CA3 to CA1 synapses in the hippocampus, a well established cellular model of learning and memory. 4-6 hours of sleep loss elevate the modification threshold for bidirectional synaptic plasticity (MT), thereby promoting long-term depression of CA3 to CA 1 synaptic strength after stimulation in the theta frequency range (5 Hz), and rendering long-term potentiation induction.more difficult. Remarkably, 3 hours of recovery sleep, after the deprivation, reset the MT at control values, thus re-establishing the normal proneness of synapses to undergo long-term plastic changes. At the molecular level, these functional changes are paralleled by a change in the NMDAR subunit composition. In particular, the expression of the NR2A subunit protein of NMDAR at CA3 to CA1 synapses is selectively and rapidly increased by sleep deprivation, whereas recovery sleep reset NR2A synaptic content to control levels. By using an array of genetic, pharmacological and computational approaches, I demonstrate here an obligatory role for NR2A-containing NMDARs in conveying the effect of sleep loss on CA3 to CAl MT. Moreover, I show that a genetic deletion of the NR2A subunit fully preserves hippocampal plasticity from the impact of sleep loss, whereas it does not alter sleepwake behavior and homeostatic response to sleep deprivation. As to the mechanism underlying the effects of the NR2A subunit on hippocampal synaptic plasticity, I show that the increased NR2A expression after sleep loss distinctly affects the contribution of synaptic and more slowly recruited NMDAR pools activated during plasticity-induction protocols. This study represents a major step forward in understanding the mechanistic basis underlying sleep's role for the brain. By showing that sleep and sleep loss affect neuronal plasticity by regulating the expression and function of a synaptic neurotransmitter receptor, I propose that an important aspect of sleep function could consist in maintaining and regulating protein redistribution and ion channel trafficking at central synapses. These findings provide a novel starting point for investigations into the connections between sleep and learning, and they may open novel ways for pharmacological control over hippocampal .function during periods of sleep restriction. RÉSUMÉ DU PROJET La fonction du sommeil pour l'organisme est une des questions les plus persistantes et difficiles dans la biologie. Les découvertes actuelles mènent à la conclusion que le sommeil est essentiel pour le cerveau. En particulier, le rôle du sommeil dans les aspects cognitifs est soutenu par des études comportementales tant chez les humains que chez les animaux. Cependant, malgré l'avancement remarquable dans la compréhension des mécanismes sous-tendant la génération et la régulation du sommeil, les mécanismes neurobiologiques qui pourraient expliquer l'effet favorable du sommeil sur l'apprentissage et la mémoire ne sont pas encore clairs. Dans ma thèse, je présente des résultats qui aident à clarifier le lien entre le sommeil et la fonction cognitive. Mon résultat le plus significatif est l'identification moléculaire et l'analyse physiologique d'une protéine, la sous-unité NR2A du récepteur NMDA, qui rend l'hippocampe sensible à la perte de sommeil. Dans cette étude, nous avons utilisé une nouvelle approche expérimentale qui nous a permis d'induire une privation de sommeil chez les souris C57BL6/J adultes, en minimisant l'impact de facteurs confondants comme, par exemple, le stress. En utilisant les techniques de l'électrophysiologie in vitro, j'ai démontré, pour la première fois, que la perte de sommeil est responsable d'affecter radicalement la plasticité bidirectionnelle au niveau des synapses CA3-CA1 de l'hippocampe. Cela correspond à un mécanisme cellulaire de l'apprentissage et de la mémoire bien établi. En particulier, 4-6 heures de privation de sommeil élèvent le seuil de modification pour la plasticité synaptique bidirectionnelle (SM). Comme conséquence, la dépression à long terme de la transmission synaptique est induite par la stimulation des fibres afférentes dans la bande de fréquences thêta (5 Hz), alors que la potentialisation à long terme devient plus difficile. D'autre part, 3 heures de sommeil de récupération sont suffisant pour rétablir le SM aux valeurs contrôles. Au niveau moléculaire, les changements de la plasticité synaptiques sont associés à une altération de la composition du récepteur NMDA. En particulier, l'expression synaptique de la protéine NR2A du récepteur NMDA est rapidement augmentée de manière sélective par la privation de sommeil, alors que le sommeil de récupération rétablit l'expression de la protéine au niveau contrôle. En utilisant des approches génétiques, pharmacologiques et computationnelles, j'ai démontré que les récepteurs NMDA qui expriment la sous-unité NR2A sont responsables de l'effet de la privation de sommeil sur le SM. De plus, nous avons prouvé qu'une délétion génétique de la sous-unité NR2A préserve complètement la plasticité synaptique hippocampale de l'impact de la perte de sommeil, alors que cette manipulation ne change pas les mécanismes de régulation homéostatique du sommeil. En ce qui concerne les mécanismes, j'ai .découvert que l'augmentation de l'expression de la sous-unité NR2A au niveau synaptique modifie les propriétés de la réponse du récepteur NMDA aux protocoles de stimulations utilisés pour induire la plasticité. Cette étude représente un pas en avant important dans la compréhension de la base mécaniste sous-tendant le rôle du sommeil pour le cerveau. En montrant que le sommeil et la perte de sommeil affectent la plasticité neuronale en régulant l'expression et la fonction d'un récepteur de la neurotransmission, je propose qu'un aspect important de la fonction du sommeil puisse être finalisé au règlement de la redistribution des protéines et du tracking des récepteurs aux synapses centraux. Ces découvertes fournissent un point de départ pour mieux comprendre les liens entre le sommeil et l'apprentissage, et d'ailleurs, ils peuvent ouvrir des voies pour des traitements pharmacologiques dans le .but de préserver la fonction hippocampale pendant les périodes de restriction de sommeil.

Flowering date of taxonomic families predicts phenological sensitivity to temperature: Implications for forecasting the effects of climate change on unstudied taxa.

PREMISE OF THE STUDY: Numerous long-term studies in seasonal habitats have tracked interannual variation in first flowering date (FFD) in relation to climate, documenting the effect of warming on the FFD of many species. Despite these efforts, long-term phenological observations are still lacking for many species. If we could forecast responses based on taxonomic affinity, however, then we could leverage existing data to predict the climate-related phenological shifts of many taxa not yet studied. METHODS: We examined phenological time series of 1226 species occurrences (1031 unique species in 119 families) across seven sites in North America and England to determine whether family membership (or family mean FFD) predicts the sensitivity of FFD to standardized interannual changes in temperature and precipitation during seasonal periods before flowering and whether families differ significantly in the direction of their phenological shifts. KEY RESULTS: Patterns observed among species within and across sites are mirrored among family means across sites; early-flowering families advance their FFD in response to warming more than late-flowering families. By contrast, we found no consistent relationships among taxa between mean FFD and sensitivity to precipitation as measured here. CONCLUSIONS: Family membership can be used to identify taxa of high and low sensitivity to temperature within the seasonal, temperate zone plant communities analyzed here. The high sensitivity of early-flowering families (and the absence of early-flowering families not sensitive to temperature) may reflect plasticity in flowering time, which may be adaptive in environments where early-season conditions are highly variable among years.

Disentangling the effects of key innovations on the diversification of Bromelioideae (bromeliaceae).

The evolution of key innovations, novel traits that promote diversification, is often seen as major driver for the unequal distribution of species richness within the tree of life. In this study, we aim to determine the factors underlying the extraordinary radiation of the subfamily Bromelioideae, one of the most diverse clades among the neotropical plant family Bromeliaceae. Based on an extended molecular phylogenetic data set, we examine the effect of two putative key innovations, that is, the Crassulacean acid metabolism (CAM) and the water-impounding tank, on speciation and extinction rates. To this aim, we develop a novel Bayesian implementation of the phylogenetic comparative method, binary state speciation and extinction, which enables hypotheses testing by Bayes factors and accommodates the uncertainty on model selection by Bayesian model averaging. Both CAM and tank habit were found to correlate with increased net diversification, thus fulfilling the criteria for key innovations. Our analyses further revealed that CAM photosynthesis is correlated with a twofold increase in speciation rate, whereas the evolution of the tank had primarily an effect on extinction rates that were found five times lower in tank-forming lineages compared to tank-less clades. These differences are discussed in the light of biogeography, ecology, and past climate change.

Characterization of the effects of IL-17F on CHO cell line generation

CHO is the most commonly used mammalian host for the generation of cell lines allowing for the production of high quality therapeutic proteins. The generation of such cell lines is a lengthy and resource-intensive process requiring extensive screening in order to isolate candidates with optimal characteristics, such as growth, stability and productivity. For this reason, the biotechnology industry invests much effort in attempts to optimize CHO expression systems in order to streamline and shorten the cell line selection process. Based on preliminary observations of a facilitated selection of CHO-GS cell lines expressing members of the IL-17 cytokine family, this study investigates the use of IL-17F as a novel enhancing factor for CHO cell line generation. Using two different CHO expression systems (exploiting GS and DHFR-based selection), we demonstrated that IL-17F expression caused a significant increase in the occurrence of colonies during the selection process. All colonies selected produced substantial amounts of IL-17F, suggesting that benefits were conferred, during selection, to those cells expressing the cytokine. Furthermore, transgene expression levels were significantly increased when the selection pressure was raised to a level that would not normally be permissive for colony selection (i.e. 100 |o.M MSX for the CHO-GS expression system or 1000 nM MTX for the CHO-DHFR system). Finally, IL-17F expression was also found to enhance the rate of appearance of clones during single cell subcloning in the absence of selection pressure. Overall, these benefits have the potential to allow a substantial reduction in the length of cell line generation while significantly increasing cell line productivity. Nevertheless, we found that the high IL-17F expression levels required to convey enhancing effects was a limitation when attempting to co-express IL-17F and a recombinant soluble protein of therapeutic interest from independent CMV promoters within the same expression vector. In order to understand and overcome this limitation, studies were designed to characterize the IL-17F enhancing effect at the molecular and cellular level. Regular supplementation of recombinant biologically-active IL-17F into the culture medium during cell line selection was not able to reproduce the enhancing effects of endogenous IL-17F expression. In addition, increased IL-17F expression correlated with increased CHO-GS selection transgene expression at the single cell level. This data suggested a possible effect of IL-17F on viral promoter activity or transgene mRNA stability. It also provided direct evidence that the cells expressing the highest amounts of IL-17F obtained the most benefit. Overall data obtained from these study implied that IL-17F may act through an intracellular mechanism, possibly exerted during secretion. We therefore initiated experiments designed to determine the specific compartment(s) within which IL-17F triggers its effect. This work has identified IL-17F as a potentially powerful tool to optimize the CHO cell line generation process. The characterization of this enhancing effect at the molecular level has given us several insights into overcoming the current limitations, thus paving the way for the development of a viable technology that can be exploited within the biotechnology industry. - La CHO est la cellule hôte de mammifere la plus couramment utilisée dans la création de lignée cellulaire produisant des protéines thérapeutiques de haute qualité. La génération de ces lignées cellulaires est un processus long et exigeant l'utilisation de techniques de sélection robustes afin d'isoler des candidats possédants les caractéristiques optimales de croissance, de productivité et de stabilité d'expression. Les industries biopharmaceutiques ont investi beaucoup d'efforts afin d'optimiser les systèmes d'expression CHO dans le but raccourcir la longueur du procédé de sélection de lignées cellulaires et aussi d'en augmenter l'efficacité. A partir d'observations préliminaires obtenues lors de la génération de lignées cellulaires CHO- GS exprimant une cytokine appartenant à la famille des IL-17, nous avons réalisé une étude portant sur l'utilisation de l'IL-17F humaine (IL-17F) comme nouveau facteur d'optimisation pour la génération de lignées cellulaires CHO. Nous avons démontré, en utilisant les deux systèmes de sélection et d'expression CHO couramment utilisés (le premier exploitant la GS et l'autre basée sur la DHFR), que l'expression de l'IL-17F permet une augmentation significative de la fréquence d'apparition de colonies durant le processus de sélection de lignées cellulaires. Les différentes colonies sélectionnées expriment des quantités substantielles d'IL-17F, suggérant un effet bénéfique lors de la sélection qui serait exclusivement conféré aux cellules exprimant la cytokine. En outre, le niveau d'expression du transgene se trouve significativement augmenté lorsque la pression de sélection est portée à un niveau habituellement trop élevé pour permettre la sélection de colonies (soit 100 |JM MSX pour le système d'expression CHO-GS ou 1000 nM MTX pour le système CHO- DHFR). Enfin, l'expression d'IL-17F permet également d'améliorer la vitesse d'apparition de clones pendant une étape de sous-clonage en l'absence de pression de sélection. L'ensemble de ces effets bénéfiques permettent une réduction substantielle de la durée de génération de lignées cellulaires tout en augmentant considérablement la productivité des lignées obtenues. Néanmoins, nous avons constaté que la nécessité d'exprimer des niveaux élevés d'IL-17F afin obtenir l'ensemble de ses effets bénéfiques devient une contrainte lors de l'utilisation d'un vecteur d'expression composé de deux promoteurs CMV indépendants pour la co-expression de la cytokine et d'une protéine soluble présentant un intérêt thérapeutique. Afin de mieux comprendre et de surmonter cette limitation, plusieurs études ont été effectuées dans le but de mieux caractériser l'effet de IL-17F au niveau subcellulaire. L'apport régulier en IL-17F recombinante et biologiquement active dans le milieu de culture lors de la sélection de lignées cellulaires ne permet pas de reproduire les effets bénéfiques observés par l'expression endogène d'IL-17F. En outre, nous avons constaté que, lors de l'utilisation du système CHO- GS, l'augmentation d'expression de 1TL-17F est corrélée à un accroissement de l'expression du marqueur de sélection au niveau cellulaire. Ces résultats suggèrent un possible effet d'IL- 17F sur l'activité des promoteurs viraux et ainsi fournissent une preuve directe que les cellules exprimant de haut niveau d'IL-17F sont celles qui en profitent le plus. L'ensemble de ces observations mettrait en avant que l'effet d'IL-17F se ferait selon un mécanisme intracellulaire. Nous avons donc étudié le(s) compartiment(s) spécifique(s) dans lequel IL-17F pourrait exercer son effet. Ce travail a permis de définir IL-17F comme un puissant outil pour l'optimisation des procédés de génération de lignées cellulaires CHO. La caractérisation de cette amélioration de l'effet au niveau moléculaire nous a donné plusieurs indications sur la manière de dépasser les limitations actuelles, ouvrant ainsi la voie au développement d'une technologie viable qui peut être exploitée pars l'industrie biotechnologique.

The attractiveness of nations in global competition : an empirical assessment of the effects of country attractiveness on the success of strategy for hosting international sports events, 1990-2012

This dissertation aims to investigate empirical evidence on the importance and influence of attractiveness of nations in global competition. The notion of country attractiveness, which has been widely developed in the research areas of international business, tourism and migration, is a multi-dimensional construct to measure a country's characteristics with regard to its market or destination that attract international investors, tourists and migrants. This analytical concept provides an account of the mechanism as to how potential stakeholders evaluate more attractive countries based on certain criteria. Thus, in the field of international sport-event bidding, do international sport event owners also have specific country attractiveness for their sport event hosts? The dissertation attempts to address this research question by statistically assessing the effects of country attractiveness on the success of strategy for hosting international sports events. Based on theories of signaling and soft power, country attractiveness is defined and measured as the three dimensions of sustainable development: economic, social, and environmental attractiveness. This thesis proceeds to examine the concept of sport-event-hosting strategy and explore multi-level factors affecting the success in international sport-event bidding. By exploring past history of the Olympic Movement from theoretical perspectives, the thesis proposes and tests the hypotheses that economic, social and environmental attractiveness of a country may be correlated with its bid wins or the success of sport-event-hosting strategy. Quantitative analytical methods with various robustness checks are employed with using collected data on bidding results of major events in Olympic sports during the period from 1990 to 2012. The analysis results reveal that event owners of international Olympic sports are likely to prefer countries that have higher economic, social, and environmental attractiveness. The empirical assessment of this thesis suggests that high country attractiveness can be an essential element of prerequisites for a city/country to secure in order to bid with an increased chance of success.

Animal model to compare the effects of suture technique on cross-sectional compliance on end-to-side anastomoses.

OBJECTIVE: An animal model has been developed to compare the effects of suture technique on the luminal dimensions and compliance of end-to-side vascular anastomoses. METHODS: Carotid and internal mammalian arteries (IMAs) were exposed in three pigs (90 kg). IMAs were sectioned distally to perform end-to-side anastomoses on carotid arteries. One anastomosis was performed with 7/0 polypropylene running suture. The other was performed with the automated suture delivery device (Perclose/Abbott Labs Inc.) that makes a 7/0 polypropylene interrupted suture. Four piezoelectric crystals were sutured on toe, heel and both lateral sides of each anastomosis to measure anastomotic axes. Anastomotic cross-sectional area (CSAA) was calculated with: CSAA = pi x mM/4 where m and M are the minor and major axes of the elliptical anastomosis. Cross-sectional anastomotic compliance (CSAC) was calculated as CSAC=Delta CSAA/Delta P where Delta P is the mean pulse pressure and Delta CSAA is the mean CSAA during cardiac cycle. RESULTS: We collected a total of 1200000 pressure-length data per animal. For running suture we had a mean systolic CSAA of 26.94+/-0.4 mm(2) and a mean CSAA in diastole of 26.30+/-0.5 mm(2) (mean Delta CSAA was 0.64 mm(2)). CSAC for running suture was 4.5 x 10(-6)m(2)/kPa. For interrupted suture we had a mean CSAA in systole of 21.98+/-0.2 mm(2) and a mean CSAA in diastole of 17.38+/-0.3 mm(2) (mean Delta CSAA was 4.6+/-0.1 mm(2)). CSAC for interrupted suture was 11 x 10(-6) m(2)/kPa. CONCLUSIONS: This model, even with some limitations, can be a reliable source of information improving the outcome of vascular anastomoses. The study demonstrates that suture technique has a substantial effect on cross-sectional anastomotic compliance of end-to-side anastomoses. Interrupted suture may maximise the anastomotic lumen and provides a considerably higher CSAC than continuous suture, that reduces flow turbulence, shear stress and intimal hyperplasia. The Heartflo anastomosis device is a reliable instrument that facilitates performance of interrupted suture anastomoses.

The effects of arterial flow on platelet activation, thrombus growth, and stabilization.

Injury of an arterial vessel wall acutely triggers a multifaceted process of thrombus formation, which is dictated by the high-shear flow conditions in the artery. In this overview, we describe how the classical concept of arterial thrombus formation and vascular occlusion, driven by platelet activation and fibrin formation, can be extended and fine-tuned. This has become possible because of recent insight into the mechanisms of: (i) platelet-vessel wall and platelet-platelet communication, (ii) autocrine platelet activation, and (iii) platelet-coagulation interactions, in relation to blood flow dynamics. We list over 40 studies with genetically modified mice showing a role of platelet and plasma proteins in the control of thrombus stability after vascular injury. These include multiple platelet adhesive receptors and other junctional molecules, components of the ADP receptor signalling cascade to integrin activation, proteins controlling platelet shape, and autocrine activation processes, as well as multiple plasma proteins binding to platelets and proteins of the intrinsic coagulation cascade. Regulatory roles herein of the endothelium and other blood cells are recapitulated as well. Patient studies support the contribution of platelet- and coagulation activation in the regulation of thrombus stability. Analysis of the factors determining flow-dependent thrombus stabilization and embolus formation in mice will help to understand the regulation of this process in human arterial disease.

Characterization of the effects of radiation therapy on the tumour microenvironment and their consequences on cancer progression

RESUME La radiothérapie est utilisée avec succès pour le traitement d'un grand nombre de pathologies tumorales (1). Cependant, les récidives post-actiniques sont associées à un risque accru de développer des métastases régionales et à distance (2, 3). La prise en charge de ce type de patients demeure insatisfaisante à l'heure actuelle, principalement parce que les mécanismes physio-pathologiques sous- sous-jacents restent mal compris. Etant donné le rôle primordial du stroma dans la progression tumorale (4) et l'importance des effets de la radiothérapie sur le micro-environnement des tumeurs (5), nous avons émis l'hypothèse que la radiothérapie pouvait engendrer des modifications stromales susceptibles de contribuer à l'émergence d'un phénotype tumoral plus agressif. Nous avons observé que l'exposition préalable d'un environnement tumoral à des radiations ionisantes engendre une inhibition locale et à long terme de l'angiogenèse. Cette inhibition conduit à la création d'un environnement tumoral hypoxique favorisant l'invasion et la métastatisation tumorale. Les mécanismes sous-jacents impliquent l'activation de gènes prométastatiques sous le contrôle du facteur de transcription HIF-1, ainsi que la sélection hypoxique de cellules hautement invasives et métastatiques. Par des analyses de profile d'expression génétique ainsi que par des analyses fonctionnelles, nous avons identifié la protéine matri-cellulaire CYR61 ainsi que ses partenaires d'interaction, les intégrines aVb5/aVb3, comme médiateurs importants de ces effets. De plus, une corrélation significative a également été trouvée entre le niveau d'expression de CYR61 et le taux d'hypoxie dans un grand nombre de carcinomes mammaires chez l'humain. Une association a aussi été observée entre le niveau d'expression de CYR61 et le pronostic de patientes souffrant d'un cancer du sein traité par chimiothérapie adjuvante. Globalement ces résultats identifient l'interaction entre la protéine CYR61 et ses récepteurs aVb5/aVb3 comme un mécanisme important du processus de métastatisation et en font une cible thérapeutique potentielle pour le traitement de patients souffrant d'une récidive tumorale après un traitement de radiothérapie. Finalement, bien que l'inhibition de l'angiogenèse soit locale dans ce cas particulier, nos résultats justifient une surveillance particulière des patients souffrant d'une pathologie tumorale et étant au bénéfice d'un traitement inhibiteur de l'angiogenèse. SUMMARY Radiotherapy is successfully used to treat a large variety of tumours (1 ). However, cancer patients experiencing local recurrent disease after radiation therapy are at increased risk of developing regional and distant metastasis (2, 3). The clinical management of this condition represents a difficult and challenging issue, mainly because the underlying physio-pathological mechanisms remain poorly understood. Given the well established role of the tumour stroma in promoting cancer progression (4) and since radiotherapy is known to persistently alter the tumour microenvironment (5), we hypothesized that ionising radiations may generate stromal modifications contributing to the metastatic spread of relapsing tumours. Here, we report that irradiation of the prospective tumour microenvironment promotes tumour invasion and metastasis through a mechanism of local and sustained impairment of angiogenesis leading to both HIF-1 dependent activation of pro-metastatic genes and hypoxia-mediated selection of highly metastatic tumour cell variants. Through gene expression profiling and functional experiments, we identified the matricellular signalling protein CYR61 and its interaction partners aVb5/ aVb3 integrins as critical mediators of these effects. Furthermore, we found a significant correlation between CYR61 expression and the hypoxic status of a large number of human mammary carcinomas. A positive correlation between increased levels of CYR61 expression and shorter relapse free survival was also identified in breast cancer patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Together, these results identify CYR61 and aVb5/aVb3 integrins as critical mediators of metastasis and potential therapeutic targets to improve outcome in patients with post-radiation tumour recurrences. Finally, although inhibition of angiogenesis is local in this setting, our data warrant close monitoring of tumour progression in patients under anti-angiogenic therapy.

Forecasting the effects of global warming on biodiversity

The demand for accurate forecasting of the effects of global warming on biodiversity is growing, but current methods for forecasting have limitations. in this article, we compare and discuss the different uses of four forecasting methods: (1) models that consider species individually, (2) niche-theory models that group species by habitat (more specifically, by environmental conditions under which a species can persist or does persist), (3) general circulation models and coupled ocean-atmosphere-biosphere models, and (4) specics-area curve models that consider all species or large aggregates of species. After outlining the different uses and limitations of these methods, we make eight primary suggestions for improving forecasts. We find that greater use of the fossil record and of modern genetic studies would improve forecasting methods. We note a Quaternary conundrum: While current empirical and theoretical ecological results suggest that many species could be at risk from global warming, during the recent ice ages surprisingly few species became extinct. The potential resolution of this conundrum gives insights into the requirements for more accurate and reliable forecasting. Our eight suggestions also point to constructive synergies in the solution to the different problems.

Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe

Aim Species distribution models (SDMs) based on current species ranges underestimate the potential distribution when projected in time and/or space. A multi-temporal model calibration approach has been suggested as an alternative, and we evaluate this using 13,000 years of data. Location Europe. Methods We used fossil-based records of presence for Picea abies, Abies alba and Fagus sylvatica and six climatic variables for the period 13,000 to 1000yr bp. To measure the contribution of each 1000-year time step to the total niche of each species (the niche measured by pooling all the data), we employed a principal components analysis (PCA) calibrated with data over the entire range of possible climates. Then we projected both the total niche and the partial niches from single time frames into the PCA space, and tested if the partial niches were more similar to the total niche than random. Using an ensemble forecasting approach, we calibrated SDMs for each time frame and for the pooled database. We projected each model to current climate and evaluated the results against current pollen data. We also projected all models into the future. Results Niche similarity between the partial and the total-SDMs was almost always statistically significant and increased through time. SDMs calibrated from single time frames gave different results when projected to current climate, providing evidence of a change in the species realized niches through time. Moreover, they predicted limited climate suitability when compared with the total-SDMs. The same results were obtained when projected to future climates. Main conclusions The realized climatic niche of species differed for current and future climates when SDMs were calibrated considering different past climates. Building the niche as an ensemble through time represents a way forward to a better understanding of a species' range and its ecology in a changing climate.

Meta-analysis of the effects of MI training on clinicians' behavior.

MI-based interventions are widely used with a number of different clinical populations and their efficacy has been well established. However, the clinicians' training has not traditionally been the focus of empirical investigations. We conducted a meta-analytic review of clinicians' MI-training and MI-skills findings. Fifteen studies were included, involving 715 clinicians. Pre-post training effect sizes were calculated (13 studies) as well as group contrast effect sizes (7 studies). Pre-post training comparisons showed medium to large ES of MI training, which are maintained over a short period of time. When compared to a control group, our results also suggested higher MI proficiency in the professionals trained in MI than in nontrained ones (medium ES). However, this estimate of ES may be affected by a publication bias and therefore, should be considered with caution. Methodological limitations and potential sources of heterogeneity of the studies included in this meta-analysis are discussed.

The effects of fire severity on ectomycorrhizal colonization and morphometric features in Pinus pinaster Ait. seedlings

Aim of the study: Mycorrhizal fungi in Mediterranean forests play a key role in the complex process of recovery after wildfires. A broader understanding of an important pyrophytic species as Pinus pinaster and its fungal symbionts is thus necessary for forest restoration purposes. This study aims to assess the effects of ectomycorrhizal symbiosis on maritime pine seedlings and how fire severity affects fungal colonization ability. Area of study: Central Spain, in a Mediterranean region typically affected by wildfires dominated by Pinus pinaster, a species adapted to fire disturbance. Material and Methods: We studied P. pinaster root apexes from seedlings grown in soils collected one year after fire in undisturbed sites, sites moderately affected by fire and sites highly affected by fire. Natural ectomycorrhization was observed at the whole root system level as well as at two root vertical sections (0-10 cm and 10-20 cm). We also measured several morphometric traits ( tap root length, shoot length, dry biomass of shoots and root/shoot ratio), which were used to test the influence of fire severity and soil chemistry upon them. Main results: Ectomycorrhizal colonization in undisturbed soils for total and separated root vertical sections was higher than in soils that had been affected by fire to some degree. Inversely, seedling vegetative size increased according to fire severity. Research highlights: Fire severity affected soil properties and mycorrhizal colonization one year after occurrence, thus affecting plant development. These findings can contribute to a better knowledge of the factors mediating successful establishment of P. pinaster in Mediterranean forests after wildfires.