12 resultados para Precipitation climatology
em Université de Lausanne, Switzerland
Resumo:
An adaptation technique based on the synoptic atmospheric circulation to forecast local precipitation, namely the analogue method, has been implemented for the western Swiss Alps. During the calibration procedure, relevance maps were established for the geopotential height data. These maps highlight the locations were the synoptic circulation was found of interest for the precipitation forecasting at two rain gauge stations (Binn and Les Marécottes) that are located both in the alpine Rhône catchment, at a distance of about 100 km from each other. These two stations are sensitive to different atmospheric circulations. We have observed that the most relevant data for the analogue method can be found where specific atmospheric circulation patterns appear concomitantly with heavy precipitation events. Those skilled regions are coherent with the atmospheric flows illustrated, for example, by means of the back trajectories of air masses. Indeed, the circulation recurrently diverges from the climatology during days with strong precipitation on the southern part of the alpine Rhône catchment. We have found that for over 152 days with precipitation amount above 50 mm at the Binn station, only 3 did not show a trajectory of a southerly flow, meaning that such a circulation was present for 98% of the events. Time evolution of the relevance maps confirms that the atmospheric circulation variables have significantly better forecasting skills close to the precipitation period, and that it seems pointless for the analogue method to consider circulation information days before a precipitation event as a primary predictor. Even though the occurrence of some critical circulation patterns leading to heavy precipitation events can be detected by precursors at remote locations and 1 week ahead (Grazzini, 2007; Martius et al., 2008), time extrapolation by the analogue method seems to be rather poor. This would suggest, in accordance with previous studies (Obled et al., 2002; Bontron and Obled, 2005), that time extrapolation should be done by the Global Circulation Model, which can process atmospheric variables that can be used by the adaptation method.
Resumo:
The paper presents an approach for mapping of precipitation data. The main goal is to perform spatial predictions and simulations of precipitation fields using geostatistical methods (ordinary kriging, kriging with external drift) as well as machine learning algorithms (neural networks). More practically, the objective is to reproduce simultaneously both the spatial patterns and the extreme values. This objective is best reached by models integrating geostatistics and machine learning algorithms. To demonstrate how such models work, two case studies have been considered: first, a 2-day accumulation of heavy precipitation and second, a 6-day accumulation of extreme orographic precipitation. The first example is used to compare the performance of two optimization algorithms (conjugate gradients and Levenberg-Marquardt) of a neural network for the reproduction of extreme values. Hybrid models, which combine geostatistical and machine learning algorithms, are also treated in this context. The second dataset is used to analyze the contribution of radar Doppler imagery when used as external drift or as input in the models (kriging with external drift and neural networks). Model assessment is carried out by comparing independent validation errors as well as analyzing data patterns.
Resumo:
A methodology of exploratory data analysis investigating the phenomenon of orographic precipitation enhancement is proposed. The precipitation observations obtained from three Swiss Doppler weather radars are analysed for the major precipitation event of August 2005 in the Alps. Image processing techniques are used to detect significant precipitation cells/pixels from radar images while filtering out spurious effects due to ground clutter. The contribution of topography to precipitation patterns is described by an extensive set of topographical descriptors computed from the digital elevation model at multiple spatial scales. Additionally, the motion vector field is derived from subsequent radar images and integrated into a set of topographic features to highlight the slopes exposed to main flows. Following the exploratory data analysis with a recent algorithm of spectral clustering, it is shown that orographic precipitation cells are generated under specific flow and topographic conditions. Repeatability of precipitation patterns in particular spatial locations is found to be linked to specific local terrain shapes, e.g. at the top of hills and on the upwind side of the mountains. This methodology and our empirical findings for the Alpine region provide a basis for building computational data-driven models of orographic enhancement and triggering of precipitation. Copyright (C) 2011 Royal Meteorological Society .
Resumo:
Gumbel analyses were carried out on rainfall time-series at 151 locations in Switzerland for 4 different periods of 30 years in order to estimate daily extreme precipitation for a return period of 100 years. Those estimations were compared with maximal daily values measured during the last 100 years (1911-2010) to test the efficiency of these analyses. This comparison shows that these analyses provide good results for 50 to 60% locations in this country from rainfall time-series 1961-1990 and 1980-2010. On the other hand, daily precipitation with a return period of 100 years is underestimated at most locations from time-series 1931-1960 and especially 1911-1940. Such underestimation results from the increase of maximal daily precipitation recorded from 1911 to 2010 at 90% locations in Switzerland.
Resumo:
Abstract: Microbial mats very efficiently cycle elements, such as C, 0, N, S and H, which makes them key players of redox processes at the biosphere-lithosphere interface. They are characterized by high metabolic activities and high turnover rates (production and consumption) of biomass, which mainly consists of cell material and of extracellular organic matter (EOM). The EOM forms a matrix, embedding the microbial cells and fulfilling various functions within the microbial mat, including: mat attachment to surfaces; creation of micro-domains within the mat; physical stabilization under hy- drodynamic stress and the protection of the cells in multiple other stress conditions. EOM mainly consists of polysaccharides, amino acids, and a variety of chemical func-tional groups {e.g., -C00H, - SH -OH). These groups strongly bind cations such as Ca2+ and Mg2+ and thus exert a strong control on carbonate mineral formation within the microbial mat. A feedback mechanism between community metabolisms, their prod¬ucts, and the surrounding physicochemical microenvironment thus influences the de¬gree of carbonate saturation favoring either carbonate precipitation or dissolution. We investigated the driving forces and mechanisms of microbialite formation in the Sari ne River, FR, Switzerland, the hypersaline lake, Big Pond, Bahamas and in labo¬ratory experiments. The two fundamentally different natural systems allowed us to compare the geochemical conditions and microbial metabolisms, necessary for car¬bonate formation in microbial mats. Although carbonates are oversaturated in both environments, precipitation does not occur on physicochemical substrates (i.e. out¬side the microbial mats). In the Sarine a high crystal nucleation threshold exceeds the carbonate saturation, despite the high carbonate alkalinity in the water column. Cyanobacterial photosynthesis strongly locally enhances the carbonate alkalinity, whereas the EOM attract and immobilize calcium, which increases the saturation state and finally leads to carbonate precipitation within the EOM (in this case the cyanobacterial sheath) as nucleation template. In Big Pond, the presence of calcium- chelating anions (i.e. sulfate) and EOM, as well as the presence of magnesium, lowers the calcium activity in the water column and mat, and thus inhibits carbonate pre¬cipitation. Coupled with other heterotrophic metabolisms, sulfate reduction uses the EOM as carbon source, degrading it. The resulting EOM consumption creates alkalin¬ity, releases calcium and consumes sulfate in mat-micro domains, which leads to the formation of carbonate layers at the top of the microbial mat. Résumé: Interface biosphère/lithosphère: médiation microbienne de la précipitation de CaC03 dans des environnements en eaux douces et hypersalines Les tapis microbiens engendrent une circulation très efficace des éléments, tels que C, 0, N, S et H, ce qui en fait des acteurs clé pour les processus d'oxydoréduction à l'inter¬face biosphère-lithosphère. Ils sont caractérisés par des taux élevés d'activité méta¬bolique, ainsi que par la production et la consommation de biomasse, principalement constituée de cellules microbiennes et de matière organique extracellulaire (MOE). Dans un tapis microbien, les cellules microbiennes sont enveloppées par une matrice de MOE qui a différentes fonctions dont l'attachement du tapis aux surfaces, la créa¬tion de micro-domaines dans le tapis, la stabilisation physique en situation de stress hydrodynamique, et la protection des cellules dans de multiples autres conditions de stress. La MOE se compose principalement de polysaccharides, d'acides aminés, et d'une variété de groupes fonctionnels chimiques (par exemple, COOH, -SH et -OH). Ces groupes se lient fortement aux cations, tels que Ca2+ et Mg2+, et exercent ainsi un contrôle fort sur la formation de CaC03 dans le tapis microbien. Un mécanisme de rétroaction, entre les métabolismes de la communauté microbienne, leurs produits, et le microenvironnement physico-chimique, influence le degré de saturation de car¬bonate, favorisant soit leur précipitation, soit leur dissolution. Nous avons étudié le moteur et les mécanismes de minéralisation dans des tapis de la Sarine, FR, Suisse et du lac hypersalin, Big Pond, aux Bahamas, ainsi que durant des expériences en laboratoire. Les deux systèmes naturels, fondamentalement dif¬férents, nous ont permis de comparer les conditions géochimiques et les métabolis¬mes nécessaires à la formation des carbonates dans des tapis microbiens. Bien que les carbonates soient sursaturés dans les deux environnements, la précipitation ne se produit pas sur des substrats physico-chimiques (en dehors du tapis microbien). Dans la Sarine, malgré un taux d'alcalinité élevé, les valeurs de seuil pour la nucléa- tion de carbonates sont plus hautes que la saturation du carbonate. La photosynthèse cyanobactérienne augmente localement l'alcalinité, alors que la MOE attire et immo¬bilise le calcium, ce qui augmente l'état de saturation et conduit finalement à la pré¬cipitation des carbonates, en utilisant la MOE comme substrat de nucléation. À Big Pond, la présence de chélateurs de calcium, notamment les anions (p.ex. le sulfate) et la MOE, ainsi que la présence de magnésium, réduit l'activité du calcium et inhibe en conséquence la précipitation des carbonates. Couplée avec d'autres métabolismes hétérotrophes, la réduction des sulfates utilise la MOE comme source de carbone, en la dégradant. Cette consommation de MOE crée l'alcalinité, consomme des sulfates et libère du calcium dans des micro-domaines, conduisant à la formation de couches de carbonates dans le haut du tapis microbien.
Resumo:
Identifying adaptive genetic variation is a challenging task, in particular in non-model species for which genomic information is still limited or absent. Here, we studied distribution patterns of amplified fragment length polymorphisms (AFLPs) in response to environmental variation, in 13 alpine plant species consistently sampled across the entire European Alps. Multiple linear regressions were performed between AFLP allele frequencies per site as dependent variables and two categories of independent variables, namely Moran's eigenvector map MEM variables (to account for spatial and unaccounted environmental variation, and historical demographic processes) and environmental variables. These associations allowed the identification of 153 loci of ecological relevance. Univariate regressions between allele frequency and each environmental factor further showed that loci of ecological relevance were mainly correlated with MEM variables. We found that precipitation and temperature were the best environmental predictors, whereas topographic factors were rarely involved in environmental associations. Climatic factors, subject to rapid variation as a result of the current global warming, are known to strongly influence the fate of alpine plants. Our study shows, for the first time for a large number of species, that the same environmental variables are drivers of plant adaptation at the scale of a whole biome, here the European Alps.
Resumo:
RésuméLes champignons sont impliqués dans les cycles biogéochimiques de différentes manières. En particulier, ils sont reconnus en tant qu'acteurs clés dans la dégradation de la matière organique, comme fournisseurs d'éléments nutritifs via l'altération des minéraux mais aussi comme grands producteurs d'acide oxalique et de complexes oxalo-métalliques. Toutefois, peu de choses sont connues quant à leur contribution à la genèse d'autres types de minéraux, tel que le carbonate de calcium (CaCO3). Le CaCO3 est un minéral ubiquiste dans de nombreux écosystèmes et il joue un rôle essentiel dans les cycles biogéochimiques du carbone (C) et du calcium (Ca). Le CaCO3 peut être d'origine physico-chimique ou biogénique et de nombreux organismes sont connus pour contrôler ou induire sa biominéralisation. Les champignons ont souvent été soupçonnés d'être impliqué dans ce processus, cependant il existe très peu d'informations pour étayer cette hypothèse.Cette thèse a eu pour but l'étude de cet aspect négligé de l'impact des champignons dans les cycles biogéochimiques, par l'exploration de leur implication potentielle dans la formation d'un type particulier de CaCO3 secondaires observés dans les sols et dans les grottes des environnements calcaires. Dans les grottes, ces dépôts sont appelés moonmilk, alors que dans les sols on les appelle calcite en aiguilles. Cependant ces deux descriptions correspondent en fait au même assemblage microscopique de deux habitus particulier de la calcite: la calcite en aiguilles (au sens strict du terme cette fois-ci) et les nanofibres. Ces deux éléments sont des habitus aciculaires de la calcite, mais présentent des dimensions différentes. Leur origine, physico-chimique ou biologique, est l'objet de débats intenses depuis plusieurs années déjà.L'observation d'échantillons environnementaux avec des techniques de microscopie (microscopie électronique et micromorphologie), ainsi que de la microanalyse EDX, ont démontré plusieurs relations intéressantes entre la calcite en aiguilles, les nanofibres et des éléments organiques. Premièrement, il est montré que les nanofibres peuvent être organiques ou minérales. Deuxièmement, la calcite en aiguilles et les nanofibres présentent de fortes analogies avec des structures hyphales, ce qui permet de confirmer l'hypothèse de leur origine fongique. En outre, des expériences en laboratoire ont confirmé l'origine fongique des nanofibres, par des digestions enzymatiques d'hyphes fongiques. En effet, des structures à base de nanofibres, similaires à celles observées dans des échantillons naturels, ont pu être produites par cette approche. Finalement, des enrichissements en calcium ont été mesurés dans les parois des hyphes et dans des inclusions intrahyphales provenant d'échantillons naturels de rhizomorphes. Ces résultats suggèrent une implication de la séquestration de calcium dans la formation de la calcite en aiguilles et/ou des nanofibres.Plusieurs aspects restent à élucider, en particulier la compréhension des processus physiologiques impliqués dans la nucléation de calcite dans les hyphes fongiques. Cependant, les résultats obtenus dans cette thèse ont permis de confirmer l'implication des champignons dans la formation de la calcite en aiguilles et des nanofibres. Ces découvertes sont d'une grande importance dans les cycles biogéochimiques puisqu'ils apportent de nouveaux éléments dans le cycle couplé C-Ca. Classiquement, les champignons sont considérés comme étant impliqués principalement dans la minéralisation de la matière organique et dans l'altération minérale. Cette étude démontre que les champignons doivent aussi être pris en compte en tant qu'agents majeurs de la genèse de minéraux, en particulier de CaCO3. Ceci représente une toute nouvelle perspective en géomycologie quant à la participation des champignons au cycle biologique du C. En effet, la présence de ces précipitations de CaCO3 secondaires représente un court-circuit dans le cycle biologique du C puisque du C inorganique du sol se retrouve piégé dans de la calcite plutôt que d'être retourné dans l'atmosphère.AbstractFungi are known to be involved in biogeochemical cycles in numerous ways. In particular, they are recognized as key players in organic matter recycling, as nutrient suppliers via mineral weathering, as well as large producers of oxalic acid and metal-oxalate. However, little is known about their contribution to the genesis of other types of minerals such as calcium carbonate (CaCO3). Yet, CaC03 are ubiquitous minerals in many ecosystems and play an essential role in the biogeochemical cycles of both carbon (C) and calcium (Ca). CaC03 may be physicochemical or biogenic in origin and numerous organisms have been recognized to control or induce calcite biomineralization. While fungi have often been suspected to be involved in this process, only scarce information support this hypothesis.This Ph.D. thesis aims at investigating this disregarded aspect of fungal impact on biogeochemical cycles by exploring their possible implication in the formation of a particular type of secondary CaC03 deposit ubiquitously observed in soils and caves from calcareous environments. In caves, these deposits are known as moonmilk, whereas in soils, they are known as Needle Fibre Calcite (NFC - sensu lato). However, they both correspond to the same microscopic assemblage of two distinct and unusual habits of calcite: NFC {sensu stricto) and nanofibres. Both features are acicular habits of calcite displaying different dimensions. Whether these habits are physicochemical or biogenic in origin has been under discussion for a long time.Observations of natural samples using microscopic techniques (electron microscopy and micromorphology) and EDX microanalyses have demonstrated several interesting relationships between NFC, nanofibres, and organic features. First, it has shown that nanofibres can be either organic or minera! in nature. Second, both nanofibres and NFC display strong structural analogies with fungal hyphal features, supporting their fungal origin. Furthermore, laboratory experiments have confirmed the fungal origin of nanofibres through an enzymatic digestion of fungal hyphae. Indeed, structures made of nanofibres with similar features as those observed in natural samples have been produced. Finally, calcium enrichments have been measured in both cell walls and intrahyphal inclusions of hyphae from rhizomorphs sampled in the natural environment. These results point out an involvement of calcium sequestration in nanofibres and/or NFC genesis.Several aspects need further investigation, in particular the understanding of the physiological processes involved in hyphal calcite nucleation. However, the results obtained during this study have allowed the confirmation of the implication of fungi in the formation of both NFC and nanofibres. These findings are of great importance regarding global biogeochemical cycles as they bring new insights into the coupled C and Ca cycles. Conventionally, fungi are considered to be involved in organic matter mineralization and mineral weathering. In this study, we demonstrate that they must also be considered as major agents in mineral genesis, in particular CaC03. This is a completely new perspective in geomycology regarding the role of fungi in the short-term (or biological) C cycle. Indeed, the presence of these secondary CaC03 precipitations represents a bypass in the short- term carbon cycle, as soil inorganic C is not readily returned to the atmosphere.
Resumo:
A highly sensitive ultra-high performance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS/MS) method was developed for the quantification of buprenorphine and its major metabolite norbuprenorphine in human plasma. In order to speed up the process and decrease costs, sample preparation was performed by simple protein precipitation with acetonitrile. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first application of this extraction technique for the quantification of buprenorphine in plasma. Matrix effects were strongly reduced and selectivity increased by using an efficient chromatographic separation on a sub-2μm column (Acquity UPLC BEH C18 1.7μm, 2.1×50mm) in 5min with a gradient of ammonium formate 20mM pH 3.05 and acetonitrile as mobile phase at a flow rate of 0.4ml/min. Detection was made using a tandem quadrupole mass spectrometer operating in positive electrospray ionization mode, using multiple reaction monitoring. The procedure was fully validated according to the latest Food and Drug Administration guidelines and the Société Française des Sciences et Techniques Pharmaceutiques. Very good results were obtained by using a stable isotope-labeled internal standard for each analyte, to compensate for the variability due to the extraction and ionization steps. The method was very sensitive with lower limits of quantification of 0.1ng/ml for buprenorphine and 0.25ng/ml for norbuprenorphine. The upper limit of quantification was 250ng/ml for both drugs. Trueness (98.4-113.7%), repeatability (1.9-7.7%), intermediate precision (2.6-7.9%) and internal standard-normalized matrix effects (94-101%) were in accordance with international recommendations. The procedure was successfully used to quantify plasma samples from patients included in a clinical pharmacogenetic study and can be transferred for routine therapeutic drug monitoring in clinical laboratories without further development.