22 resultados para Long-run Growth

em Université de Lausanne, Switzerland


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The question of why some social systems have evolved close inbreeding is particularly intriguing given expected short- and long-term negative effects of this breeding system. Using social spiders as a case study, we quantitatively show that the potential costs of avoiding inbreeding through dispersal and solitary living could have outweighed the costs of inbreeding depression in the origin of inbred spider sociality. We further review the evidence that despite being favored in the short term, inbred spider sociality may constitute in the long run an evolutionary dead end. We also review other cases, such as the naked mole rats and some bark and ambrosia beetles, mites, psocids, thrips, parasitic ants, and termites, in which inbreeding and sociality are associated and the evidence for and against this breeding system being, in general, an evolutionary dead end.

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Thousands of chemical compounds enter the natural environment but many have unknown effects and consequences, in particular at low concentrations. This thesis work contributes to our understanding of pollution effects by using bacteria as test organisms. Bacteria are important for this question because some of them degrade and transform pollutants into less harmful compounds, but secondly because they themselves can be inhibited in their reproduction by exposure to toxic compounds. When inhibitory effects occur this may change the composition of the microbial com¬munity in the long run, leading to altered or diminished ecosystem services by those communities. As a result chemicals of anthropogenic origin may accumulate and per¬sist in the environment, and finally, affect higher organisms as well. In addition to acquiring basic understanding of pollutant effects at low concentrations on bacterial communities an applied goal of this thesis work was to develop bacteria-based tests to screen new organic chemicals for toxicity and biodégradation. In the first part of this work we developed a flow cytometry-based assay on SYT09 plus ethidium-bromide or propidium-iodide stained cells of Pseudomonas ûuorescens exposed or not to a variety of pollutants under oligotrophic growth conditions. Flow cytometry (FC) allows fast and accurate counting of bacterial cells under simul¬taneous assessment of their physiological state, in particular in combination with different fluorescent dyes. Here we employed FC and fluorescent dyes to monitor the effect that pollutants may exert on Pseudomonas ûuorescens SV3. First we designed an oligotrophic growth test, which enabled us to follow population growth at low densities (104 - 10 7 cells per ml) using 0.1 mM sodium acetate as carbon source. Cells in the oligotrophic milieu were then exposed or not to a variety of common pollutants, such as 2-chlorobiphenyl (2CBP), naphthalene (NAH), 4-chlorophenol (4CP), tetradecane (TD), mercury chloride (HgCl2) or benzene, in different dosages. Exposed culture samples were stained with SYT09 (green fluorescent dye binding nucleic acids, generally staining all cells) in combination with propidium iodide (PI) or ethidium bromide (EB), both dyes being membrane integrity indicators. We ob- served that most of the tested compounds decreased population growth in a dosage- dependent manner. SYT09/PI or SYT09/EB staining then revealed that chemical exposure led to arisal of subpopulations of live and injured or dead cells. By modeling population growth on the total cell numbers in population or only the subpopulation of live cells we inferred that even in stressed populations live cells multiply at rates no different to unexposed controls. The net decrease in population growth would thus be a consequence of more and more cells being not able to multiply at all, rather than all cells multiplying at slower rates. In addition, the proportion of injured cells correlated to the compound dosage. We concluded that the oligotrophic test may be useful to asses toxicity of unknown chemicals on a variety of model bacteria. Mul¬tiple tests can be run in parallel and effects are rapidly measured within a period of 8 hours. Interestingly, in the same exposure tests with P. fluorescens SV3 we observed that some chemicals which did not lead to a reduction of net population growth rates did cause measurable effects on live cells. This was mainly observed in cells within the live subpopulation as an increase of the EB fluorescence signal. We showed that SYT09/EB is a more useful combination of dyes than SYT09/PI because PI fluorescence tend to increase only when cells are effectively dead, but not so much in live cells (less then twofold). In contrast, EB geometric mean fluorescence in live cells increased up to eightfold after exposure to toxic compounds. All compounds even at the lowest concentration caused a measurable increase in EB geometric mean fluorescence especially after 2 h incubation time. This effect was found to be transient for cells exposed to 2CBP and 4CP, but chronic for cells incubated with TD and NAH (ultimately leading to cell death). In order to understand the mechanism underlying the observed effects we used known membrane or energy uncouplers. The pattern of EB signal increase in chemical-exposed populations resembled mostly that of EDTA, although EB fluorescence in EDTA-treated or pasteurized cells was even higher than after exposure to the four test chemicals. We conclude that the ability of cells to efflux EB under equilibrium conditions is an appropriate measure for the potential of a chemical to exert toxicity. Since most bacterial species possess efflux systems for EB that all require cellular energy, our test should be more widely relevant to infer toxicity effects of chemical exposure on the physiological status of the bacterial cell. To better understand the effect of toxicant exposure on efflux defense systems, we studied 2-hydroxybiphenyl toxicity to Pseudomonas azeiaica HBP1. We showed that 2-HBP exerts toxicity even to P. azelaica HBP1, but only at concentrations higher than 0.5 mM. Above this concentration transient loss of membrane polarization and integrity occurred, which we conclude from staining of growing cells with fluorescent dyes. Cells finally recover and resume growth on 2HBP. The high resistance of P. azelaica HBP1 to 2-HBP was found to be the result of an efficient MexABOprM- type efflux pump system counteracting passive influx of this compound into the membrane and cellular interior. Mutants with disrupted mexA, mexB and oprM genes did no longer grow on 2-HBP at concentrations above 100 μΜ, whereas below this concentration we found 2-HBP-concentration dependent decrease of growth rate. The MexAB-OprM system in P. azeiaica HBP1 is indeed an efflux pump for ethidium bromide as well. By introducing gfp reporter fusions responsive to intracellular 2- HBP concentrations into HBP1 wild-type or the mutants we demonstrated that 2HBP enters into the cells in a similar way. In contrast, the reporter system in the wild-type cells does not react to 2-HBP at an outside concentration of 2.4 μΜ, whereas in mutant cells it does. This suggests that wild-type cells pump 2-HBP to the outside very effectively preventing accumulation of 2-HBP. 2HBP metabolism, therefore, is not efficient enough to lower the intracellular concentration and prevent toxicity. We conclude that P. azelaica HBP1 resistance to 2-HBP is mainly due to an efficient efflux system and that 2HBP in high concentrations exerts narcotic effects on the bacterial membrane. In the part of this thesis, we investigated the possibilities of bacteria to degrade pollutants at low concentrations (1 mg per L and below). As test components we used 2-hydroxybiphenyl, antibiotics and a variety of fragrances, many of which are known to be difficult to biodegrade. By using accurate counting of low numbers of bacterial cells we could demonstrate that specific growth on these compounds is possible. We demonstrated the accuracy of FC counting at low cell numbers (down to 103 bacterial cells per ml). Then we tested whether bacterial population growth could be specifically monitored at the expense of low substrate concentrations, us¬ing P. azelaica HBP1. A perfect relationship was found between growth rate, yield and 2-HBP concentrations in the range of 0.1 up to 5 mg per L. Mixing P. azelaica within sludge, however, suggested that growth yields in a mixed community can be much lower than in pure culture, perhaps because of loss of metabolic intermediates. We then isolated new strains from activated sludge using 2-HBP or antibiotics (Nal, AMP, SMX) at low concentrations (0.1-1 mg per L) as sole carbon and energy sub¬strate and PAO microdishes. The purified strains were then examined for growth on their respective substrate, which interestingly, showed that all strains can not with¬stand higher than 1 or 10 mg per L concentrations of target substrate. Thus, bacteria must exist that contribute to compound degradation at low pollutant concentrations but are inhibited at higher concentrations. Finally we tested whether specific biomass growth (in number of cells) at the expense of pollutants can also be detected with communities as starting material. Hereto, we focused on a number of fragrance chemicals and measured community biomass increase by flow cytometry cell counting on two distinct starter communities: (i) diluted Lake Geneva water, and dilute activated sludge from a wastewater treatment plant. We observed that most of the test compounds indeed resulted in significant biomass increase in the starter community compared to a no-carbon added control, but activated sludge and lake Geneva water strongly differed (almost mutually ex¬clusive) in their capacity to degrade the test chemicals. In two cases for activated sludge the same type of microbial community developed upon compound exposure, as concluded from transcription fragment length polymorphism analysis on community purified and PCR amplified 16S rRNA gene fragments. To properly test compound biodegradability it is thus important to use starter communities of different origin. We conclude that FC counting can be a valuable tool to screen chemicals for their biodegradability and toxicity. - Des milliers de produits chimiques sont libérés dans l'environnement mais beaucoup ont des effets inconnus, en particulier à basses concentrations. Ce travail de thèse contribue à notre comprehension des effets de la pollution en utilisant des bacteries comme des organismes-tests. Les bacteries sont importantes pour etudier cette ques¬tion car certaines d'entre elles peuvent degrader ou transformer les polluants, mais également parce qu'elles-mmes peuvent tre inhibees dans leur reproduction après avoit ete exposees à ces composes toxiques. Quand des effets inhibiteurs ont lieu, la composition de la communauté microbienne peut tre changee à long terme, ce qui mène à une reduction du service d'ecosystème offert par ces communautés. En consequence, après leur liberation dans l'environnement, les produits chimiques d'origine anthropogenique peuvent soit s'y accumuler et per¬sister, exerant ainsi des effets encore inconnus sur les organismes vivants. En plus d'acquérir des connaissances de base sur les effets des polluants à basses concentra¬tions sur les communautés microbiennes, un but applique de cette thèse était de développer des tests bases sur les bacteries afin d'identifier de nouveau composes pour leur toxicité ou leur biodégradation. Dans la première partie de ce travail, nous avons developpe un test base sur la cytometrie de flux (FC) sur des cellules de Pseudomonas fluorescens colorees par du bromure d'ethidium ou de l'iodure de propidium et exposees ou non à une palette de polluants sous des conditions de croissance oligotrophique. La cytometrie de flux est une technique qui connaît de nombreuses applications dans la microbiologie environ¬nementale. Cela est principalement du au fait qu'elle permet un comptage rapide et precis ainsi que l'évaluation de l'état physiologique, en particulier lorsqu'elle est combinée h des colorations fluorescentes. Ici, nous avons utilise la technique FC et des colorants fluorescents afin de mesurer l'effet que peuvent exercer certains pollu¬ants sur Pseudomonas ûuorescens SV3 . D'abord nous avons conu des tests oligo- trophiques qui nous permettent de suivre la croissance complète de cellules en culture h des densites faibles (104 -10 7 cellules par ml), sur de l'acetate de sodium à 0.1 mM, en presence ou absence de produits chimiques (2-chlorobiphenyl (2CBP), naphthalène (NAH), 4-chlorophenol (4CP), tetradecane (TD), chlorure de mercure(II) (HgCl2)) à différentes concentrations. Afin de montrer le devenir des bacteries tant au niveau de la cellule individuelle que celui de la population globale, après exposition à des series de composes chimiques, nous avons compte les cellules colorees avec du SYT09 (col¬orant fluorescent vert des acides nucléiques pour la discrimination des cellules par rapport au bruit de fond) en combinaison avec l'iodure de propidium (PI) ou le bromure d'ethidium (EB), indicateurs de l'intégrité de la membrane cellulaire avec FC. Nous avons observe que de nombreux composes testes avaient un effet sur la croissance bacterienne, resultant en une baisse du taux de reproduction de la pop¬ulation. En outre, la double coloration que nous avons utilisee dans cette etude SYT09/PI ou SYT09/EB a montre que les produits chimiques testes induisaient une reponse heterogène des cellules dans la population, divisant celle-ci en sous- populations "saine", "endommagee" ou "morte". Les nombres de cellules à partir du comptage et de la proportion de celles "saines" et "endommagees/mortes" ont ensuite ete utilises pour modeliser la croissance de P. ûuorescens SV3 exposee aux produits chimiques. La reduction nette dans la croissance de population est une consequence du fait que de plus en plus de cellules sont incapables de se reproduire, plutt que du fait d'une croissance plus lente de l'ensemble de la population. De plus, la proportion de cellules endommagees est correllee au dosage du compose chimique. Les résultats obtenus nous ont permis de conclure que le test oligotrophique que nous avons developpe peut tre utilise pour l'évaluation de la toxicité de produits chimiques sur différents modèles bacteriens. Des tests multiples peuvent tre lances en parallèle et les effets sont mesures en l'espace de huit heures. Par ailleurs, nous en déduisons que les produits chimiques exercént un effet sur la croissance des cellules de P. ûuorescens SV3, qui est heterogène parmi les cellules dans la population et depend du produit chimique. Il est intéressant de noter que dans les mmes tests d'exposition avec P. ûuorescens SV3, nous avons observe que certains composes qui n'ont pas conduit à une reduction du taux de la croissance nette de la population, ont cause des effets mesurables sur les cellule saines. Ceci a ete essentiellement observe dans la portion "saine" des cellules en tant qu'augmentation du signal de la fluorescence de 1ΈΒ. D'abord nous avons montre que SYT09/EB était une com¬binaison de colorants plus utile que celle de SYT09/PI parce que la fluorescence du PI a tendance à augmenter uniquement lorsque les cellules sont effectivement mortes, et non pas dans les cellules saines (moins de deux fois plus). Par opposi¬tion, la fluorescence moyenne de l'EB dans les cellules saines augmente jusqu'à huit fois plus après exposition aux composes toxiques. Tous les composes, mme aux plus basses concentrations, induisent une augmentation mesurable de la fluorescence moy¬enne de 1ΈΒ, plus particulièrement après deux heures d'incubation. Cet effet s'est revele tre transitoire pour les cellules exposees aux 2CNP et 4CP, mais est chro¬nique pour les cellules incubees avec le TD et le NAH (entranant la mort cellulaire). Afin de comprendre les mécanismes qui sous-tendent les effets observes, nous avons utilise des decoupleurs d'energie ou de membrane. L'augmentation du signal EB dans les populations causee par des produits chimiques ressemblait à celle exerce par le chelateur des ions divalents EDTA. Cependant, les intensités du signal EB des cellules exposees aux produits chimiques testees n'ont jamais atteint les valeurs des cellules traitees avec l'EDTA ou pasteurises. Nous en concluons que le test oli- gotrophique utilisant la coloration (SYT09/)EB des cellules exposees ou non à un produit chimique est utile afin d'evaluer l'effet toxique exerce par les polluants sur la physiologie bacterienne. Afin de mieux comprendre la reaction d'un système de defense par pompe à efflux après exposition à une toxine, nous avons étudié la toxicité du 2-hydroxybiphenyl (2-HBP) sur Pseudomonas azeiaica HBP1. Nous avons montre que le 2-HBP exerce une toxicité mme sur HBP1, mais uniquement à des concentrations supérieures à 0.5 mM. Au-dessus de cette concentration, des pertes transitoires d'intégrité et de polarization membranaire ont lieu, comme cela nous a ete montre par coloration des cellules en croissance. Les cellules sont finalement capables de se rétablir et de reprendre leur croissance sur 2-HBP. La forte resistance de P. azeiaica HBP1 h 2-HBP physiologie bacterienne s'est revele tre le résultat d'un système de pompe h efflux de type MexABOprM qui contre-balance l'influx passif de ce compose h travers la membrane. Nous avons montre, en construisant des mutants avec des insertions dans les gènes mexA, mexB and oprM et des fusions avec le gène rapporteur gfp, que l'altération de n'importe quelle partie du système d'efflux conduisait à accroître l'accumulation de 2-HBP dans la cellule, en comparaison avec la souche sauvage HBP1, provoquant une diminution de la resistance au 2-HBP ainsi qu'une baisse du taux de reproduction des cellules. Des systèmes d'efflux similaires sont répandus chez de nombreuses espèces bactériennes. Ils seraient responsables de la resistance aux produits chimiques tels que les colorants fluorescents (bromure d'ethidium) et des antibiotiques. Nous concluons que la resistance de P. azelaica HBP1 à 2-HBP est principalement due à un système d'efflux efficace et que 2-HBP, à des concentrations elevees, exerce un effet deletère sur la membrane bacterienne. En se basant sur le comptage des cellules avec la FC, nous avons developpe ensuite une methode pour evaluer la biodegradabilite de polluants tels que le 2-HBP ainsi que les antibiotiques (acide nalidixique (Nal), ampicilline (AMP) ou sulfamethoxazole (SMX)) à de faibles concentrations lmg par L et moins), par le suivi de la croissance spécifique sur le compose de cultures microbiennes pures et mixtes. En utilisant un comptage precis de faibles quantités de cellules nous avons pu demontrer que la croissance spécifique sur ces composes est possible. Nous avons pu illustrer la precision du comptage par cytometrie de flux à faible quantité de cellules (jusqu'à 10 3 cellules par ml). Ensuite, nous avons teste s'il était possible de suivre dynamiquement la croissance de la population de cellules sur faibles concentrations de substrats, en utilisant P. azelaica HBP1. Une relation parfaite a ete trouvee entre le taux de croissance, le rendement et les concentrations de 2-HBP (entre 0.1 et 5 mg par L). En mélangeant HBP1 à de la boue active, nous avons pu montrer que le rendement en communauté mixtes pouvait tre bien inférieur qu'en culture pure. Ceci étant peut tre le résultat d'une perte d'intermédiaires métaboliques. Nous avons ensuite isole de nouvelles souches à partir de la boue active en utilisant le 2-HBP ou des antibiotiques (Nal, AMP, SMX) h basses concentrations (0.1-1 mg par L) comme seules sources de carbone et d'energie. En combinaison avec ceci, nous avons également utilise des microplaques PAO. Les souches purifiees ont ensuite ete examinees pour leurs croissances sur leurs substrats respectifs. De faon intéressante, toutes ces souches ont montre qu'elles ne pouvaient pas survivre à des concentrations de substrats supérieures à 1 ou 10 mg par L. Ainsi, il existe des bacteries qui contribuent à la degradation de composes à basses concentrations de polluant mais sont inhibes lorsque ces concentrations deviennent plus hautes. Finalement, nous avons cherche à savoir s'il est possible de detecter une croissance spécifique à une biomasse au depend d'un polluant, en partant d'une communauté microbienne. Ainsi, nous nous sommes concentre sur certains composes et avons mesure l'augmentation de la biomasse d'une communauté grce à la cytometrie de flux. Nous avons compte deux communautés de depart distinctes: (i) une dilution d'eau du Lac Léman, et une dilution de boue active d'une station d'épuration. Nous avons observe que la plupart des composes testes ont entrane une augmentation de la biomasse de depart par rapport au control sans addition de source de carbone. Néanmoins, les échantillons du lac Léman et de la station d'épuration différaient largement (s'excluant mutuellement l'un l'autre) dans leur capacité à degrader les composes chimiques. Dans deux cas provenant de la station d'épuration, le mme type de communauté microbienne s'est developpe après exposition aux composes, comme l'a démontré l'analyse TRFLP sur les fragments d'ARN 16S purifie de la communauté et amplifie par PCR. Afin de tester correctement la biodegradabilite d'un compose, il est donc important d'utiliser des communautés de depart de différentes origines Nous en concluons que le comptage par cytometrie de flux peut tre un outil de grande utilité pour mettre en valeur la biodegradabillite et la toxicité des composes chimiques.

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De nombreuses études cliniques ont révélé une corrélation étroite entre un régime alimentaire riche en sel et le développement d'une hypertrophie ventriculaire gauche. Cette association a été classiquement attribuée aux effets hypertensifs à long terme d'une alimentation riche en sel. Toutefois, les études épidémiologiques ont également démontré que l'hypertrophie ventriculaire gauche peut survenir indépendamment de changements de pression artérielle.¦L'ingestion de sel n'étant pas distribuée de manière homogène durant la journée mais ayant lieu principalement durant les repas, nous émettons l'hypothèse que chaque repas riche en sel induit une augmentation aiguë de la pression artérielle, des pressions de remplissage cardiaque, du volume d'éjection systolique et du débit cardiaque. L'augmentation résultante du travail cardiaque pourrait ainsi à la longue entraîner une hypertrophie cardiaque.¦Pour tester si un repas riche en sel conduit à des modifications hémodynamiques favorisant l'hypertrophie cardiaque, nous avons comparé chez la même personne jeune et en bonne santé la réponse hémodynamique à un repas modérément salé (45 mmol) à celle d'un repas riche en sel (165 mmol de sodium). Les repas ont été pris de manière randomisée à 7 jours d'intervalle. Divers paramètres hémodynamiques ont été mesurés en continu avant et jusqu'à 140 minutes après chaque repas. Nos résultats montrent que les augmentations post-prandiales du volume d'éjection systolique et du travail cardiaque ont été plus prononcées après un repas à haute teneur en sel par rapport à un repas modérément salé.¦Nous spéculons que des apports chroniques en sel induisent des charges hémodynamiques répétées. Etant donné que la concentration plasmatique de sodium, qui est augmentée après un repas salé, est également capable de stimuler la croissance des myocytes cardiaques, il est possible que la combinaison sur des mois ou des années de pics hypernatrémiques post-prandiaux et de charges cardiaques soit responsable de l'hypertrophie cardiaque souvent observée avec une alimentation riche en sel.¦-¦Many clinical studies have shown a close correlation between a chronic high salt diet and the development of left ventricular hypertrophy. This association has been classically attributed to the long-term hypertensive effects of a high salt diet. However, epidemiological studies have also shown that left ventricular hypertrophy may occur independently of changes in arterial pressure.¦Since salt ingestion during a high salt diet is not distributed evenly over a 24-hr period, but occurs essentially during meal periods, we speculate that each acute salt load could lead to greater acute increases in blood pressure, heart filling pressure, stroke volume and cardiac output, putting an additional work load on the heart, promoting in the long run cardiac hypertrophy.¦To test whether a high salt meal leads to hemodynamic changes that may favor cardiac hypertrophy, we compared in the same healthy young individual the response to a moderately salted meal (45 mmol) and to a high-salt meal (165 mmol sodium), given in a random order on separate days, on various cardiovascular parameters that were continuously monitored before and up to 140 minutes after the meal. Our results show that the post-prandial increases in stroke volume, and cardiac work were more pronounced after a high-salt meal than after a low-salt meal.¦We speculate that repetitive salt loads associated with a high salt diet may lead to repetitive hemodynamic loads. Since plasma sodium concentration, which is increased after a salty meal, is also capable to stimulate myocyte growth, it is possible that the combination of post-prandial hypernatremic peaks and of cardiac loads may be responsible, when repeated many times over period of months, of the cardiac hypertrophy often seen with a high salt diet.

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General Summary Although the chapters of this thesis address a variety of issues, the principal aim is common: test economic ideas in an international economic context. The intention has been to supply empirical findings using the largest suitable data sets and making use of the most appropriate empirical techniques. This thesis can roughly be divided into two parts: the first one, corresponding to the first two chapters, investigates the link between trade and the environment, the second one, the last three chapters, is related to economic geography issues. Environmental problems are omnipresent in the daily press nowadays and one of the arguments put forward is that globalisation causes severe environmental problems through the reallocation of investments and production to countries with less stringent environmental regulations. A measure of the amplitude of this undesirable effect is provided in the first part. The third and the fourth chapters explore the productivity effects of agglomeration. The computed spillover effects between different sectors indicate how cluster-formation might be productivity enhancing. The last chapter is not about how to better understand the world but how to measure it and it was just a great pleasure to work on it. "The Economist" writes every week about the impressive population and economic growth observed in China and India, and everybody agrees that the world's center of gravity has shifted. But by how much and how fast did it shift? An answer is given in the last part, which proposes a global measure for the location of world production and allows to visualize our results in Google Earth. A short summary of each of the five chapters is provided below. The first chapter, entitled "Unraveling the World-Wide Pollution-Haven Effect" investigates the relative strength of the pollution haven effect (PH, comparative advantage in dirty products due to differences in environmental regulation) and the factor endowment effect (FE, comparative advantage in dirty, capital intensive products due to differences in endowments). We compute the pollution content of imports using the IPPS coefficients (for three pollutants, namely biological oxygen demand, sulphur dioxide and toxic pollution intensity for all manufacturing sectors) provided by the World Bank and use a gravity-type framework to isolate the two above mentioned effects. Our study covers 48 countries that can be classified into 29 Southern and 19 Northern countries and uses the lead content of gasoline as proxy for environmental stringency. For North-South trade we find significant PH and FE effects going in the expected, opposite directions and being of similar magnitude. However, when looking at world trade, the effects become very small because of the high North-North trade share, where we have no a priori expectations about the signs of these effects. Therefore popular fears about the trade effects of differences in environmental regulations might by exaggerated. The second chapter is entitled "Is trade bad for the Environment? Decomposing worldwide SO2 emissions, 1990-2000". First we construct a novel and large database containing reasonable estimates of SO2 emission intensities per unit labor that vary across countries, periods and manufacturing sectors. Then we use these original data (covering 31 developed and 31 developing countries) to decompose the worldwide SO2 emissions into the three well known dynamic effects (scale, technique and composition effect). We find that the positive scale (+9,5%) and the negative technique (-12.5%) effect are the main driving forces of emission changes. Composition effects between countries and sectors are smaller, both negative and of similar magnitude (-3.5% each). Given that trade matters via the composition effects this means that trade reduces total emissions. We next construct, in a first experiment, a hypothetical world where no trade happens, i.e. each country produces its imports at home and does no longer produce its exports. The difference between the actual and this no-trade world allows us (under the omission of price effects) to compute a static first-order trade effect. The latter now increases total world emissions because it allows, on average, dirty countries to specialize in dirty products. However, this effect is smaller (3.5%) in 2000 than in 1990 (10%), in line with the negative dynamic composition effect identified in the previous exercise. We then propose a second experiment, comparing effective emissions with the maximum or minimum possible level of SO2 emissions. These hypothetical levels of emissions are obtained by reallocating labour accordingly across sectors within each country (under the country-employment and the world industry-production constraints). Using linear programming techniques, we show that emissions are reduced by 90% with respect to the worst case, but that they could still be reduced further by another 80% if emissions were to be minimized. The findings from this chapter go together with those from chapter one in the sense that trade-induced composition effect do not seem to be the main source of pollution, at least in the recent past. Going now to the economic geography part of this thesis, the third chapter, entitled "A Dynamic Model with Sectoral Agglomeration Effects" consists of a short note that derives the theoretical model estimated in the fourth chapter. The derivation is directly based on the multi-regional framework by Ciccone (2002) but extends it in order to include sectoral disaggregation and a temporal dimension. This allows us formally to write present productivity as a function of past productivity and other contemporaneous and past control variables. The fourth chapter entitled "Sectoral Agglomeration Effects in a Panel of European Regions" takes the final equation derived in chapter three to the data. We investigate the empirical link between density and labour productivity based on regional data (245 NUTS-2 regions over the period 1980-2003). Using dynamic panel techniques allows us to control for the possible endogeneity of density and for region specific effects. We find a positive long run elasticity of density with respect to labour productivity of about 13%. When using data at the sectoral level it seems that positive cross-sector and negative own-sector externalities are present in manufacturing while financial services display strong positive own-sector effects. The fifth and last chapter entitled "Is the World's Economic Center of Gravity Already in Asia?" computes the world economic, demographic and geographic center of gravity for 1975-2004 and compares them. Based on data for the largest cities in the world and using the physical concept of center of mass, we find that the world's economic center of gravity is still located in Europe, even though there is a clear shift towards Asia. To sum up, this thesis makes three main contributions. First, it provides new estimates of orders of magnitudes for the role of trade in the globalisation and environment debate. Second, it computes reliable and disaggregated elasticities for the effect of density on labour productivity in European regions. Third, it allows us, in a geometrically rigorous way, to track the path of the world's economic center of gravity.

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Paradoxically, high-growth, high-investment developing countries tend to experience capital outflows. This paper shows that this allocation puzzle can be explained simply by introducing uninsurable idiosyncratic investment risk in the neoclassical growth model with international trade in bonds, and by taking into account not only TFP catch-up, but also the capital wedge, that is, the distortions on the return to capital. The model fits the two following facts, documented on a sample of 67 countries between 1980 and 2003: (i) TFP growth is positively correlated with capital outflows in a sample including creditor countries; (ii) the long-run level of capital per efficient unit of labor is positively correlated with capital outflows. Consistently, we show that the capital flows predicted by the model are positively correlated with the actual ones in this sample once the capital wedge is accounted for. The fact that Asia dominates global imbalances can be explained by its relatively low capital wedge.

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This paper considers an alternative perspective to China's exchange rate policy. It studies a semi-open economy where the private sector has no access to international capital markets but the central bank has full access. Moreover, it assumes limited financial development generating a large demand for saving instruments by the private sector. The paper analyzes the optimal exchange rate policy by modeling the central bank as a Ramsey planner. Its main result is that in a growth acceleration episode it is optimal to have an initial real depreciation of the currency combined with an accumulation of reserves, which is consistent with the Chinese experience. This depreciation is followed by an appreciation in the long run. The paper also shows that the optimal exchange rate path is close to the one that would result in an economy with full capital mobility and no central bank intervention.

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Since the early 1990s, new forms of referendum campaigns have emerged in the Swiss political arena. In this paper, we examine how referendum campaigns have transformed in Switzerland, focusing on a number of features: their intensity, duration and inclusiveness (i.e., the variety of actors involved). These features are assumed to change in the long run in response to societal changes and in the short run as a function of variations in elite support. We further argue that public knowledge of ballot issues depends on the characteristics of campaigns. To formally test our hypotheses, we draw on advertisement campaigns in six major Swiss newspapers in the four weeks preceding each ballot from 1981 to 1999 and develop a structural equation model. We indeed find that the duration of referendum campaigns has increased over time, while their inclusiveness has decreased. Most importantly, we find that pub­lic knowledge is strongly related to the characteristics of campaigns

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Cet article présente une réflexion sur le développement de l'identité de soi chez l'enfant. Nous étudions pour cela le développement de l'autobiographie, la façon dont l'enfant apprend à raconter qui « il » est. Les narrations autobiographiques apparaissent tôt dans le développement dans une forme linguistique même rudimentaire, et sont produites notamment lorsque l'enfant a vécu une expérience émotionnellement chargée. La narration autobiographique permet d'intégrer le divers de l'expérience en un tout cohérent, selon la perspective du narrateur, et de donner sens aux événements vécus en les organisant en fonction d'un agent, d'une action, d'un temps et d'un lieu. La sélection des événements à raconter et la valeur à leur donner résultent d'un apprentissage social, réalisé en premier lieu dans la famille, qui va à long terme modéliser la façon dont l'enfant se raconte. Des exemples d'interactions narratives mère-enfant illustrant cet apprentissage sont présentés. A contrario, le conflit familial peut menacer cette intégration ; différentes formes de conflit et leurs conséquences possibles sur le développement de l'autobiographie sont évoquées. This paper presents a reflection about the development of the self in children, through the study of autobiographical narratives - i.e. the way the child tells who "she/he" is. Children produce narratives early in the development, even in a simple linguistic form. Narratives are first triggered when the child has lived an emotional event. The function of narratives is to integrate the various aspects of the lived event in a coherent whole. It organizes the events according to an agent, an action, a time and a place. The child learns in the interaction with significant others what events are to be told and which is the value to give to them. This social learning will in the long run shape the way the child tells who she/he is. We illustrate this process through examples of narrative interactions between mothers and children. Finally, the way conflicts in the family might disturb this learning process is discussed, as well as the consequences they might have on the development of the self.

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BACKGROUND: The European Guidelines specify a minimum of 5,000 screening cases to be read yearly by radiologists carrying out second reading in non-centralized programs. This professional requirement is difficult to reach and/or to implement in regional programs covering a sparse population with a high number of participating radiology units, so that alternative blind double reading strategies must be devised. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect on breast cancer screening performances of two second reading strategies used in non-centralized, low-volume programs. METHODS: Reading performances in two Swiss regional breast cancer screening programs (cantons of Wallis and Vaud), covering female populations, aged 50-69, of about 31'000 and 72'000 inhabitants were computed and compared. Both programs had similar screening regimens and organizations, but differed with respect to second reading. One setting applied a selective strategy whereby only experienced radiologists performed second reading; the other elicited not to restrict second readers on the basis of their individual screening activity. Analysis included some 140,000 mammograms performed between 1999 and 2005. RESULTS: Overall, screening performances improved with increasing total volume of reading, albeit not in a linear fashion. Regardless of setting, radiologists attained a higher level of screening accuracy when performing second rather than first readings, and incident rather than prevalent screening cases. The effect of a selective, small group of second readers appeared to impact favorably on the false-positive rate and other indicators of screening quality. As the learning curve depends on the number of mammograms read, these distinct strategies may bear different outcome in the long run. Implications and practical issues for low-volume programs are discussed.

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Financial markets play an important role in an economy performing various functions like mobilizing and pooling savings, producing information about investment opportunities, screening and monitoring investments, implementation of corporate governance, diversification and management of risk. These functions influence saving rates, investment decisions, technological innovation and, therefore, have important implications for welfare. In my PhD dissertation I examine the interplay of financial and product markets by looking at different channels through which financial markets may influence an economy.My dissertation consists of four chapters. The first chapter is a co-authored work with Martin Strieborny, a PhD student from the University of Lausanne. The second chapter is a co-authored work with Melise Jaud, a PhD student from the Paris School of Economics. The third chapter is co-authored with both Melise Jaud and Martin Strieborny. The last chapter of my PhD dissertation is a single author paper.Chapter 1 of my PhD thesis analyzes the effect of financial development on growth of contract intensive industries. These industries intensively use intermediate inputs that neither can be sold on organized exchange, nor are reference-priced (Levchenko, 2007; Nunn, 2007). A typical example of a contract intensive industry would be an industry where an upstream supplier has to make investments in order to customize a product for needs of a downstream buyer. After the investment is made and the product is adjusted, the buyer may refuse to meet a commitment and trigger ex post renegotiation. Since the product is customized to the buyer's needs, the supplier cannot sell the product to a different buyer at the original price. This is referred in the literature as the holdup problem. As a consequence, the individually rational suppliers will underinvest into relationship-specific assets, hurting the downstream firms with negative consequences for aggregate growth. The standard way to mitigate the hold up problem is to write a binding contract and to rely on the legal enforcement by the state. However, even the most effective contract enforcement might fail to protect the supplier in tough times when the buyer lacks a reliable source of external financing. This suggests the potential role of financial intermediaries, banks in particular, in mitigating the incomplete contract problem. First, financial products like letters of credit and letters of guarantee can substantially decrease a risk and transaction costs of parties. Second, a bank loan can serve as a signal about a buyer's true financial situation, an upstream firm will be more willing undertake relationship-specific investment knowing that the business partner is creditworthy and will abstain from myopic behavior (Fama, 1985; von Thadden, 1995). Therefore, a well-developed financial (especially banking) system should disproportionately benefit contract intensive industries.The empirical test confirms this hypothesis. Indeed, contract intensive industries seem to grow faster in countries with a well developed financial system. Furthermore, this effect comes from a more developed banking sector rather than from a deeper stock market. These results are reaffirmed examining the effect of US bank deregulation on the growth of contract intensive industries in different states. Beyond an overall pro-growth effect, the bank deregulation seems to disproportionately benefit the industries requiring relationship-specific investments from their suppliers.Chapter 2 of my PhD focuses on the role of the financial sector in promoting exports of developing countries. In particular, it investigates how credit constraints affect the ability of firms operating in agri-food sectors of developing countries to keep exporting to foreign markets.Trade in high-value agri-food products from developing countries has expanded enormously over the last two decades offering opportunities for development. However, trade in agri-food is governed by a growing array of standards. Sanitary and Phytosanitary standards (SPS) and technical regulations impose additional sunk, fixed and operating costs along the firms' export life. Such costs may be detrimental to firms' survival, "pricing out" producers that cannot comply. The existence of these costs suggests a potential role of credit constraints in shaping the duration of trade relationships on foreign markets. A well-developed financial system provides the funds to exporters necessary to adjust production processes in order to meet quality and quantity requirements in foreign markets and to maintain long-standing trade relationships. The products with higher needs for financing should benefit the most from a well functioning financial system. This differential effect calls for a difference-in-difference approach initially proposed by Rajan and Zingales (1998). As a proxy for demand for financing of agri-food products, the sanitary risk index developed by Jaud et al. (2009) is used. The empirical literature on standards and norms show high costs of compliance, both variable and fixed, for high-value food products (Garcia-Martinez and Poole, 2004; Maskus et al., 2005). The sanitary risk index reflects the propensity of products to fail health and safety controls on the European Union (EU) market. Given the high costs of compliance, the sanitary risk index captures the demand for external financing to comply with such regulations.The prediction is empirically tested examining the export survival of different agri-food products from firms operating in Ghana, Mali, Malawi, Senegal and Tanzania. The results suggest that agri-food products that require more financing to keep up with food safety regulation of the destination market, indeed sustain longer in foreign market, when they are exported from countries with better developed financial markets.Chapter 3 analyzes the link between financial markets and efficiency of resource allocation in an economy. Producing and exporting products inconsistent with a country's factor endowments constitutes a serious misallocation of funds, which undermines competitiveness of the economy and inhibits its long term growth. In this chapter, inefficient exporting patterns are analyzed through the lens of the agency theories from the corporate finance literature. Managers may pursue projects with negative net present values because their perquisites or even their job might depend on them. Exporting activities are particularly prone to this problem. Business related to foreign markets involves both high levels of additional spending and strong incentives for managers to overinvest. Rational managers might have incentives to push for exports that use country's scarce factors which is suboptimal from a social point of view. Export subsidies might further skew the incentives towards inefficient exporting. Management can divert the export subsidies into investments promoting inefficient exporting.Corporate finance literature stresses the disciplining role of outside debt in counteracting the internal pressures to divert such "free cash flow" into unprofitable investments. Managers can lose both their reputation and the control of "their" firm if the unpaid external debt triggers a bankruptcy procedure. The threat of possible failure to satisfy debt service payments pushes the managers toward an efficient use of available resources (Jensen, 1986; Stulz, 1990; Hart and Moore, 1995). The main sources of debt financing in the most countries are banks. The disciplining role of banks might be especially important in the countries suffering from insufficient judicial quality. Banks, in pursuing their rights, rely on comparatively simple legal interventions that can be implemented even by mediocre courts. In addition to their disciplining role, banks can promote efficient exporting patterns in a more direct way by relaxing credit constraints of producers, through screening, identifying and investing in the most profitable investment projects. Therefore, a well-developed domestic financial system, and particular banking system, would help to push a country's exports towards products congruent with its comparative advantage.This prediction is tested looking at the survival of different product categories exported to US market. Products are identified according to the Euclidian distance between their revealed factor intensity and the country's factor endowments. The results suggest that products suffering from a comparative disadvantage (labour-intensive products from capital-abundant countries) survive less on the competitive US market. This pattern is stronger if the exporting country has a well-developed banking system. Thus, a strong banking sector promotes exports consistent with a country comparative advantage.Chapter 4 of my PhD thesis further examines the role of financial markets in fostering efficient resource allocation in an economy. In particular, the allocative efficiency hypothesis is investigated in the context of equity market liberalization.Many empirical studies document a positive and significant effect of financial liberalization on growth (Levchenko et al. 2009; Quinn and Toyoda 2009; Bekaert et al., 2005). However, the decrease in the cost of capital and the associated growth in investment appears rather modest in comparison to the large GDP growth effect (Bekaert and Harvey, 2005; Henry, 2000, 2003). Therefore, financial liberalization may have a positive impact on growth through its effect on the allocation of funds across firms and sectors.Free access to international capital markets allows the largest and most profitable domestic firms to borrow funds in foreign markets (Rajan and Zingales, 2003). As domestic banks loose some of their best clients, they reoptimize their lending practices seeking new clients among small and younger industrial firms. These firms are likely to be more risky than large and established companies. Screening of customers becomes prevalent as the return to screening rises. Banks, ceteris paribus, tend to focus on firms operating in comparative-advantage sectors because they are better risks. Firms in comparative-disadvantage sectors finding it harder to finance their entry into or survival in export markets either exit or refrain from entering export markets. On aggregate, one should therefore expect to see less entry, more exit, and shorter survival on export markets in those sectors after financial liberalization.The paper investigates the effect of financial liberalization on a country's export pattern by comparing the dynamics of entry and exit of different products in a country export portfolio before and after financial liberalization.The results suggest that products that lie far from the country's comparative advantage set tend to disappear relatively faster from the country's export portfolio following the liberalization of financial markets. In other words, financial liberalization tends to rebalance the composition of a country's export portfolio towards the products that intensively use the economy's abundant factors.

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Aim: The management of large lesions of the skull base, such as vestibular schwanommas (VS), meningiomas (MEN) or pituitary adenomas (PA), is challenging, with microsurgery remaining the main treatment option. Planned subtotal resection is now being increasingly considered to reduce the risk of neurological deficits following complete resection. The residual part of the tumor can then be treated with Gamma Knife Radiosurgery (GKR) to achieve long-term growth control. Methods: This case series documents early results with planned subtotal resection followed by GKR in Lausanne University Hospital, between July 2010 and March 2012. There were 24 patients who underwent surgery, with 22 having already undergone GKR and 2 waiting for GKR. We analyzed clinical symptoms for all patients, as well as audiograms, ophthalmological and endocrinological tests, when indicated. Results: Nine patients had VS surgery (mean diameter 35 mm; range 30-44.5) through a retrosigmoid approach. There were no post-operative facial nerve deficits. Of the 3 patients whom had useful hearing pre-operatively, this improved in 2 and remained stable in 1. Four patients with clinoid MEN (mean diameter 26.5 mm; range 17-42) underwent subtotal resection of the tumor, and the component in the cavernous sinus was later treated with GKR. The visual status remained stable in 3 patients and one had complete visual recovery. 4 patients underwent subtotal resection of petro-clival MEN (mean diameter 36 mm; range 32-42): 3 had House-Brackmann (HB) grade 2 facial function that recovered completely; one continues to have HB grade 4 facial deficit following surgery. Of the 7 patients with PA (mean diameter 34.5 mm; range 20-54.5), 2 had acromegaly, the others were non functional PA. Six patients underwent trans-sphenoidal surgery, while one patient had a transcavernous sinus resection of the tumor (with prior staged trans-sphenoidal surgery). Visual status improved in 3 patients while the others remained stable. Two patients had transient diabetes insipidus following surgery. Up to now, no additional deficit or worsening has been reported after GKR. Conclusions: Our data suggest that planned subtotal resection has an excellent clinical outcome with respect to preservation of cranial nerves, and other neurological functions, and a good possibility of recovery of many of the pre-operative cranial nerve dysfunctions. The results in terms of tumor control following GKR need further long-term evaluation.

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STUDY DESIGN: Computed tomography-based anatomical study. OBJECTIVE: To study the secular changes in lumbar spinal canal dimensions. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Development of symptomatic lumbar spinal stenosis, among other factors, is related to the dimensions of the bony canal. The canal reaches its adult size early on in life. Several factors, including protein intake, may influence its final dimensions. As with increases in human stature from improvements of socioeconomic conditions, we hypothesized that adult bony canal size has also grown larger in recent generations. METHODS: This study analyzes computed tomographic reconstructions from 184 subjects performed for either trauma (n = 81) or abdominal pathologies (n = 103) and born either between 1940 and 1949 (n = 88) or 1970 and 1979 (n = 96). The cross-sectional area of the bony canal was digitally measured at the level of the pedicle (i.e., at a level not influenced by degenerative changes) for each lumbar vertebra. Intra- and interobserver reliability was assessed. RESULTS: Intra- and interobserver measurement reliability were excellent (interclass correlation coefficient = 0.87) and good (interclass correlation coefficient = 0.61), respectively. Contrary to our hypothesis, the 1940-1949 generation patient group exhibited larger lumbar canals at all levels as compared with the 1970-1979 group. Statistically this difference was highly significant (P < 0.001) and particularly pronounced in the trauma subgroup. CONCLUSION: Given that human stature evolution has stabilized and adult height is established during the first 2 years of long bone growth, it is possible that antenatal factors are responsible for this surprising finding. Maternal smoking and age may be possible explanations. This finding may have significant implications. An increasing number of patients may emerge with lumbar spinal stenosis as degenerative changes develop, putting a strain on health resources. Further studies in different population groups and countries will be important to further confirm this trend. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

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There is no definite theory yet for the mechanism by which the pattern of epidermal ridges on fingers, palms and soles forming friction ridge skin (FRS) patterns is created. For a long time growth forces in the embryonal epidermis have been believed to be involved in FRS formation. More recent evidence suggests that Merkel cells play an important part in this process as well. Here we suggest a model for the formation of FRS patterns that links Merkel cells to the epidermal stress distribution. The Merkel cells are modeled as agents in an agent based model that move anisotropically where the anisotropy is created by the epidermal stress tensor. As a result ridge patterns are created with pattern defects as they occur in real FRS patterns. As a consequence we suggest why the topology of FRS patterns is indeed unique as the arrangement of pattern defects is sensitive to the initial configuration of Merkel cells.

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The influence of external factors on food preferences and choices is poorly understood. Knowing which and how food-external cues impact the sensory processing and cognitive valuation of food would provide a strong benefit toward a more integrative understanding of food intake behavior and potential means of interfering with deviant eating patterns to avoid detrimental health consequences for individuals in the long run. We investigated whether written labels with positive and negative (as opposed to 'neutral') valence differentially modulate the spatio-temporal brain dynamics in response to the subsequent viewing of high- and low-energetic food images. Electrical neuroimaging analyses were applied to visual evoked potentials (VEPs) from 20 normal-weight participants. VEPs and source estimations in response to high- and low- energy foods were differentially affected by the valence of preceding word labels over the ~260-300 ms post-stimulus period. These effects were only observed when high-energy foods were preceded by labels with positive valence. Neural sources in occipital as well as posterior, frontal, insular and cingulate regions were down-regulated. These findings favor cognitive-affective influences especially on the visual responses to high-energetic food cues, potentially indicating decreases in cognitive control and goal-adaptive behavior. Inverse correlations between insular activity and effectiveness in food classification further indicate that this down-regulation directly impacts food-related behavior.

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Leishmania spp. are intracellular protozoan parasites that are delivered within the dermis of their vertebrate hosts. Within this peripheral tissue and the draining lymph node, they find and/or rapidly create dynamic microenvironments that determine their ultimate fate, namely their more or less successful expansion, and favour their transmission to another vertebrate host though a blood-feeding vector. Depending on their genetic characteristics as well as the genetic make-up of their hosts, once within the dermis Leishmania spp. very rapidly drive and maintain sustained T cell-dependent immune responses that arbitrate their ultimate fate within their hosts. The analysis of the parasitism exerted by Leishmania major in mice of different genetic backgrounds has allowed us to recognize some of the early and late mechanisms driven by this parasite that lead to either uncontrolled or restricted parasitism. Uncontrolled parasitism by Leishmania major characterizing mice from a few inbred strains (e.g. BALB/c) is associated with the expansion of parasite reactive Th2 CD4 lymphocytes and results from their rapid and sustained activity. In contrast, restricted parasitism characteristic of mice from the majority of inbred strains results from the development of a polarized parasite-specific Th1 CD4 response. This murine model of infection has already been and will continue to be particularly instrumental in dissecting the rules controlling the pathway of differentiation of T cells in vivo. In the long run, the understanding of these rules should contribute to the rational development of novel immunotherapeutic interventions against severe infectious diseases.