Human thymus exports naive CD8 T cells that can home to nonlymphoid tissues.

Functionally naive CD8 T cells in peripheral blood from adult humans can be fully described by their CD45RA(bright)CCR7(+)CD62L(+) cell surface phenotype. Cord blood lymphocytes, from healthy newborns, are homogenously functionally naive. Accordingly, the majority of cord blood CD8 T cells express the same pattern of cell surface molecules. Unexpectedly, however, a significant fraction of cord blood CD8 T cells express neither CCR7 nor CD62L. Yet these cells remain functionally naive as they contain high levels of TCR excision circles, have long telomeres, display highly polyclonal TCRs, and do not exhibit immediate effector functions. In addition, these CD8 T cells already represent a significant fraction of the mature naive CD8 single-positive thymocyte repertoire and may selectively express the cutaneous lymphocyte Ag. We suggest that CD8 single-positive thymocytes comprise two pools of naive precursors that exhibit distinct homing properties. Once seeded in the periphery, naive CCR7(+)CD62L(+) CD8 T cells patrol secondary lymphoid organs, whereas naive CCR7(-)CD62L(-) CD8 T cells selectively migrate to peripheral tissues such as skin.

L'image de la Suisse à l'étranger

L'image qu'un pays a dans le monde est importante à plusieurs titres. Elle peut soutenir la commercialisation de biens et de services exportés, elle revêt un caractère tout particulier dans le cadre des promotions touristique et économique et elle peut aussi être de nature à contribuer aux relations qu'un pays entretient avec d'autres pays aux niveaux politique, économique ou culturel. L'image de la Suisse a fait l'objet d'études dans de nombreux pays, dont les Etats-Unis, l'Allemagne et la Chine, auprès d'échantillons représentatifs de la population ainsi qu'auprès de groupes de leaders d'opinion et cet ouvrage présente de manière synthétique les principaux résultats de ces études. Après une description de l'image globale de la Suisse auprès des personnes interrogées et une analyse des associations faites à l'évocation de la Suisse, une partie importante est consacrée aux dimensions qui caractérisent l'image du pays en différenciant notamment entre les dimensions liées à la Suisse en tant qu'espace socioculturel et les dimensions liées aux aspects économiques. Pour terminer, un dernier chapitre analyse l'impact de faits ayant marqué l'actualité helvétique, comme le grounding de Swissair, sur l'image de la Suisse dans les pays étudiés.

Financial Markets and Real Ecinomy: Four Essays in International Trade

Financial markets play an important role in an economy performing various functions like mobilizing and pooling savings, producing information about investment opportunities, screening and monitoring investments, implementation of corporate governance, diversification and management of risk. These functions influence saving rates, investment decisions, technological innovation and, therefore, have important implications for welfare. In my PhD dissertation I examine the interplay of financial and product markets by looking at different channels through which financial markets may influence an economy.My dissertation consists of four chapters. The first chapter is a co-authored work with Martin Strieborny, a PhD student from the University of Lausanne. The second chapter is a co-authored work with Melise Jaud, a PhD student from the Paris School of Economics. The third chapter is co-authored with both Melise Jaud and Martin Strieborny. The last chapter of my PhD dissertation is a single author paper.Chapter 1 of my PhD thesis analyzes the effect of financial development on growth of contract intensive industries. These industries intensively use intermediate inputs that neither can be sold on organized exchange, nor are reference-priced (Levchenko, 2007; Nunn, 2007). A typical example of a contract intensive industry would be an industry where an upstream supplier has to make investments in order to customize a product for needs of a downstream buyer. After the investment is made and the product is adjusted, the buyer may refuse to meet a commitment and trigger ex post renegotiation. Since the product is customized to the buyer's needs, the supplier cannot sell the product to a different buyer at the original price. This is referred in the literature as the holdup problem. As a consequence, the individually rational suppliers will underinvest into relationship-specific assets, hurting the downstream firms with negative consequences for aggregate growth. The standard way to mitigate the hold up problem is to write a binding contract and to rely on the legal enforcement by the state. However, even the most effective contract enforcement might fail to protect the supplier in tough times when the buyer lacks a reliable source of external financing. This suggests the potential role of financial intermediaries, banks in particular, in mitigating the incomplete contract problem. First, financial products like letters of credit and letters of guarantee can substantially decrease a risk and transaction costs of parties. Second, a bank loan can serve as a signal about a buyer's true financial situation, an upstream firm will be more willing undertake relationship-specific investment knowing that the business partner is creditworthy and will abstain from myopic behavior (Fama, 1985; von Thadden, 1995). Therefore, a well-developed financial (especially banking) system should disproportionately benefit contract intensive industries.The empirical test confirms this hypothesis. Indeed, contract intensive industries seem to grow faster in countries with a well developed financial system. Furthermore, this effect comes from a more developed banking sector rather than from a deeper stock market. These results are reaffirmed examining the effect of US bank deregulation on the growth of contract intensive industries in different states. Beyond an overall pro-growth effect, the bank deregulation seems to disproportionately benefit the industries requiring relationship-specific investments from their suppliers.Chapter 2 of my PhD focuses on the role of the financial sector in promoting exports of developing countries. In particular, it investigates how credit constraints affect the ability of firms operating in agri-food sectors of developing countries to keep exporting to foreign markets.Trade in high-value agri-food products from developing countries has expanded enormously over the last two decades offering opportunities for development. However, trade in agri-food is governed by a growing array of standards. Sanitary and Phytosanitary standards (SPS) and technical regulations impose additional sunk, fixed and operating costs along the firms' export life. Such costs may be detrimental to firms' survival, "pricing out" producers that cannot comply. The existence of these costs suggests a potential role of credit constraints in shaping the duration of trade relationships on foreign markets. A well-developed financial system provides the funds to exporters necessary to adjust production processes in order to meet quality and quantity requirements in foreign markets and to maintain long-standing trade relationships. The products with higher needs for financing should benefit the most from a well functioning financial system. This differential effect calls for a difference-in-difference approach initially proposed by Rajan and Zingales (1998). As a proxy for demand for financing of agri-food products, the sanitary risk index developed by Jaud et al. (2009) is used. The empirical literature on standards and norms show high costs of compliance, both variable and fixed, for high-value food products (Garcia-Martinez and Poole, 2004; Maskus et al., 2005). The sanitary risk index reflects the propensity of products to fail health and safety controls on the European Union (EU) market. Given the high costs of compliance, the sanitary risk index captures the demand for external financing to comply with such regulations.The prediction is empirically tested examining the export survival of different agri-food products from firms operating in Ghana, Mali, Malawi, Senegal and Tanzania. The results suggest that agri-food products that require more financing to keep up with food safety regulation of the destination market, indeed sustain longer in foreign market, when they are exported from countries with better developed financial markets.Chapter 3 analyzes the link between financial markets and efficiency of resource allocation in an economy. Producing and exporting products inconsistent with a country's factor endowments constitutes a serious misallocation of funds, which undermines competitiveness of the economy and inhibits its long term growth. In this chapter, inefficient exporting patterns are analyzed through the lens of the agency theories from the corporate finance literature. Managers may pursue projects with negative net present values because their perquisites or even their job might depend on them. Exporting activities are particularly prone to this problem. Business related to foreign markets involves both high levels of additional spending and strong incentives for managers to overinvest. Rational managers might have incentives to push for exports that use country's scarce factors which is suboptimal from a social point of view. Export subsidies might further skew the incentives towards inefficient exporting. Management can divert the export subsidies into investments promoting inefficient exporting.Corporate finance literature stresses the disciplining role of outside debt in counteracting the internal pressures to divert such "free cash flow" into unprofitable investments. Managers can lose both their reputation and the control of "their" firm if the unpaid external debt triggers a bankruptcy procedure. The threat of possible failure to satisfy debt service payments pushes the managers toward an efficient use of available resources (Jensen, 1986; Stulz, 1990; Hart and Moore, 1995). The main sources of debt financing in the most countries are banks. The disciplining role of banks might be especially important in the countries suffering from insufficient judicial quality. Banks, in pursuing their rights, rely on comparatively simple legal interventions that can be implemented even by mediocre courts. In addition to their disciplining role, banks can promote efficient exporting patterns in a more direct way by relaxing credit constraints of producers, through screening, identifying and investing in the most profitable investment projects. Therefore, a well-developed domestic financial system, and particular banking system, would help to push a country's exports towards products congruent with its comparative advantage.This prediction is tested looking at the survival of different product categories exported to US market. Products are identified according to the Euclidian distance between their revealed factor intensity and the country's factor endowments. The results suggest that products suffering from a comparative disadvantage (labour-intensive products from capital-abundant countries) survive less on the competitive US market. This pattern is stronger if the exporting country has a well-developed banking system. Thus, a strong banking sector promotes exports consistent with a country comparative advantage.Chapter 4 of my PhD thesis further examines the role of financial markets in fostering efficient resource allocation in an economy. In particular, the allocative efficiency hypothesis is investigated in the context of equity market liberalization.Many empirical studies document a positive and significant effect of financial liberalization on growth (Levchenko et al. 2009; Quinn and Toyoda 2009; Bekaert et al., 2005). However, the decrease in the cost of capital and the associated growth in investment appears rather modest in comparison to the large GDP growth effect (Bekaert and Harvey, 2005; Henry, 2000, 2003). Therefore, financial liberalization may have a positive impact on growth through its effect on the allocation of funds across firms and sectors.Free access to international capital markets allows the largest and most profitable domestic firms to borrow funds in foreign markets (Rajan and Zingales, 2003). As domestic banks loose some of their best clients, they reoptimize their lending practices seeking new clients among small and younger industrial firms. These firms are likely to be more risky than large and established companies. Screening of customers becomes prevalent as the return to screening rises. Banks, ceteris paribus, tend to focus on firms operating in comparative-advantage sectors because they are better risks. Firms in comparative-disadvantage sectors finding it harder to finance their entry into or survival in export markets either exit or refrain from entering export markets. On aggregate, one should therefore expect to see less entry, more exit, and shorter survival on export markets in those sectors after financial liberalization.The paper investigates the effect of financial liberalization on a country's export pattern by comparing the dynamics of entry and exit of different products in a country export portfolio before and after financial liberalization.The results suggest that products that lie far from the country's comparative advantage set tend to disappear relatively faster from the country's export portfolio following the liberalization of financial markets. In other words, financial liberalization tends to rebalance the composition of a country's export portfolio towards the products that intensively use the economy's abundant factors.

Rules of origin : from analysis to reform

General Introduction This thesis can be divided into two main parts :the first one, corresponding to the first three chapters, studies Rules of Origin (RoOs) in Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs); the second part -the fourth chapter- is concerned with Anti-Dumping (AD) measures. Despite wide-ranging preferential access granted to developing countries by industrial ones under North-South Trade Agreements -whether reciprocal, like the Europe Agreements (EAs) or NAFTA, or not, such as the GSP, AGOA, or EBA-, it has been claimed that the benefits from improved market access keep falling short of the full potential benefits. RoOs are largely regarded as a primary cause of the under-utilization of improved market access of PTAs. RoOs are the rules that determine the eligibility of goods to preferential treatment. Their economic justification is to prevent trade deflection, i.e. to prevent non-preferred exporters from using the tariff preferences. However, they are complex, cost raising and cumbersome, and can be manipulated by organised special interest groups. As a result, RoOs can restrain trade beyond what it is needed to prevent trade deflection and hence restrict market access in a statistically significant and quantitatively large proportion. Part l In order to further our understanding of the effects of RoOs in PTAs, the first chapter, written with Pr. Olivier Cadot, Celine Carrère and Pr. Jaime de Melo, describes and evaluates the RoOs governing EU and US PTAs. It draws on utilization-rate data for Mexican exports to the US in 2001 and on similar data for ACP exports to the EU in 2002. The paper makes two contributions. First, we construct an R-index of restrictiveness of RoOs along the lines first proposed by Estevadeordal (2000) for NAFTA, modifying it and extending it for the EU's single-list (SL). This synthetic R-index is then used to compare Roos under NAFTA and PANEURO. The two main findings of the chapter are as follows. First, it shows, in the case of PANEURO, that the R-index is useful to summarize how countries are differently affected by the same set of RoOs because of their different export baskets to the EU. Second, it is shown that the Rindex is a relatively reliable statistic in the sense that, subject to caveats, after controlling for the extent of tariff preference at the tariff-line level, it accounts for differences in utilization rates at the tariff line level. Finally, together with utilization rates, the index can be used to estimate total compliance costs of RoOs. The second chapter proposes a reform of preferential Roos with the aim of making them more transparent and less discriminatory. Such a reform would make preferential blocs more "cross-compatible" and would therefore facilitate cumulation. It would also contribute to move regionalism toward more openness and hence to make it more compatible with the multilateral trading system. It focuses on NAFTA, one of the most restrictive FTAs (see Estevadeordal and Suominen 2006), and proposes a way forward that is close in spirit to what the EU Commission is considering for the PANEURO system. In a nutshell, the idea is to replace the current array of RoOs by a single instrument- Maximum Foreign Content (MFC). An MFC is a conceptually clear and transparent instrument, like a tariff. Therefore changing all instruments into an MFC would bring improved transparency pretty much like the "tariffication" of NTBs. The methodology for this exercise is as follows: In step 1, I estimate the relationship between utilization rates, tariff preferences and RoOs. In step 2, I retrieve the estimates and invert the relationship to get a simulated MFC that gives, line by line, the same utilization rate as the old array of Roos. In step 3, I calculate the trade-weighted average of the simulated MFC across all lines to get an overall equivalent of the current system and explore the possibility of setting this unique instrument at a uniform rate across lines. This would have two advantages. First, like a uniform tariff, a uniform MFC would make it difficult for lobbies to manipulate the instrument at the margin. This argument is standard in the political-economy literature and has been used time and again in support of reductions in the variance of tariffs (together with standard welfare considerations). Second, uniformity across lines is the only way to eliminate the indirect source of discrimination alluded to earlier. Only if two countries face uniform RoOs and tariff preference will they face uniform incentives irrespective of their initial export structure. The result of this exercise is striking: the average simulated MFC is 25% of good value, a very low (i.e. restrictive) level, confirming Estevadeordal and Suominen's critical assessment of NAFTA's RoOs. Adopting a uniform MFC would imply a relaxation from the benchmark level for sectors like chemicals or textiles & apparel, and a stiffening for wood products, papers and base metals. Overall, however, the changes are not drastic, suggesting perhaps only moderate resistance to change from special interests. The third chapter of the thesis considers whether Europe Agreements of the EU, with the current sets of RoOs, could be the potential model for future EU-centered PTAs. First, I have studied and coded at the six-digit level of the Harmonised System (HS) .both the old RoOs -used before 1997- and the "Single list" Roos -used since 1997. Second, using a Constant Elasticity Transformation function where CEEC exporters smoothly mix sales between the EU and the rest of the world by comparing producer prices on each market, I have estimated the trade effects of the EU RoOs. The estimates suggest that much of the market access conferred by the EAs -outside sensitive sectors- was undone by the cost-raising effects of RoOs. The chapter also contains an analysis of the evolution of the CEECs' trade with the EU from post-communism to accession. Part II The last chapter of the thesis is concerned with anti-dumping, another trade-policy instrument having the effect of reducing market access. In 1995, the Uruguay Round introduced in the Anti-Dumping Agreement (ADA) a mandatory "sunset-review" clause (Article 11.3 ADA) under which anti-dumping measures should be reviewed no later than five years from their imposition and terminated unless there was a serious risk of resumption of injurious dumping. The last chapter, written with Pr. Olivier Cadot and Pr. Jaime de Melo, uses a new database on Anti-Dumping (AD) measures worldwide to assess whether the sunset-review agreement had any effect. The question we address is whether the WTO Agreement succeeded in imposing the discipline of a five-year cycle on AD measures and, ultimately, in curbing their length. Two methods are used; count data analysis and survival analysis. First, using Poisson and Negative Binomial regressions, the count of AD measures' revocations is regressed on (inter alia) the count of "initiations" lagged five years. The analysis yields a coefficient on measures' initiations lagged five years that is larger and more precisely estimated after the agreement than before, suggesting some effect. However the coefficient estimate is nowhere near the value that would give a one-for-one relationship between initiations and revocations after five years. We also find that (i) if the agreement affected EU AD practices, the effect went the wrong way, the five-year cycle being quantitatively weaker after the agreement than before; (ii) the agreement had no visible effect on the United States except for aone-time peak in 2000, suggesting a mopping-up of old cases. Second, the survival analysis of AD measures around the world suggests a shortening of their expected lifetime after the agreement, and this shortening effect (a downward shift in the survival function postagreement) was larger and more significant for measures targeted at WTO members than for those targeted at non-members (for which WTO disciplines do not bind), suggesting that compliance was de jure. A difference-in-differences Cox regression confirms this diagnosis: controlling for the countries imposing the measures, for the investigated countries and for the products' sector, we find a larger increase in the hazard rate of AD measures covered by the Agreement than for other measures.

Looking for orders of magnitude : five essays in trade and the environment and economic geography

General Summary Although the chapters of this thesis address a variety of issues, the principal aim is common: test economic ideas in an international economic context. The intention has been to supply empirical findings using the largest suitable data sets and making use of the most appropriate empirical techniques. This thesis can roughly be divided into two parts: the first one, corresponding to the first two chapters, investigates the link between trade and the environment, the second one, the last three chapters, is related to economic geography issues. Environmental problems are omnipresent in the daily press nowadays and one of the arguments put forward is that globalisation causes severe environmental problems through the reallocation of investments and production to countries with less stringent environmental regulations. A measure of the amplitude of this undesirable effect is provided in the first part. The third and the fourth chapters explore the productivity effects of agglomeration. The computed spillover effects between different sectors indicate how cluster-formation might be productivity enhancing. The last chapter is not about how to better understand the world but how to measure it and it was just a great pleasure to work on it. "The Economist" writes every week about the impressive population and economic growth observed in China and India, and everybody agrees that the world's center of gravity has shifted. But by how much and how fast did it shift? An answer is given in the last part, which proposes a global measure for the location of world production and allows to visualize our results in Google Earth. A short summary of each of the five chapters is provided below. The first chapter, entitled "Unraveling the World-Wide Pollution-Haven Effect" investigates the relative strength of the pollution haven effect (PH, comparative advantage in dirty products due to differences in environmental regulation) and the factor endowment effect (FE, comparative advantage in dirty, capital intensive products due to differences in endowments). We compute the pollution content of imports using the IPPS coefficients (for three pollutants, namely biological oxygen demand, sulphur dioxide and toxic pollution intensity for all manufacturing sectors) provided by the World Bank and use a gravity-type framework to isolate the two above mentioned effects. Our study covers 48 countries that can be classified into 29 Southern and 19 Northern countries and uses the lead content of gasoline as proxy for environmental stringency. For North-South trade we find significant PH and FE effects going in the expected, opposite directions and being of similar magnitude. However, when looking at world trade, the effects become very small because of the high North-North trade share, where we have no a priori expectations about the signs of these effects. Therefore popular fears about the trade effects of differences in environmental regulations might by exaggerated. The second chapter is entitled "Is trade bad for the Environment? Decomposing worldwide SO2 emissions, 1990-2000". First we construct a novel and large database containing reasonable estimates of SO2 emission intensities per unit labor that vary across countries, periods and manufacturing sectors. Then we use these original data (covering 31 developed and 31 developing countries) to decompose the worldwide SO2 emissions into the three well known dynamic effects (scale, technique and composition effect). We find that the positive scale (+9,5%) and the negative technique (-12.5%) effect are the main driving forces of emission changes. Composition effects between countries and sectors are smaller, both negative and of similar magnitude (-3.5% each). Given that trade matters via the composition effects this means that trade reduces total emissions. We next construct, in a first experiment, a hypothetical world where no trade happens, i.e. each country produces its imports at home and does no longer produce its exports. The difference between the actual and this no-trade world allows us (under the omission of price effects) to compute a static first-order trade effect. The latter now increases total world emissions because it allows, on average, dirty countries to specialize in dirty products. However, this effect is smaller (3.5%) in 2000 than in 1990 (10%), in line with the negative dynamic composition effect identified in the previous exercise. We then propose a second experiment, comparing effective emissions with the maximum or minimum possible level of SO2 emissions. These hypothetical levels of emissions are obtained by reallocating labour accordingly across sectors within each country (under the country-employment and the world industry-production constraints). Using linear programming techniques, we show that emissions are reduced by 90% with respect to the worst case, but that they could still be reduced further by another 80% if emissions were to be minimized. The findings from this chapter go together with those from chapter one in the sense that trade-induced composition effect do not seem to be the main source of pollution, at least in the recent past. Going now to the economic geography part of this thesis, the third chapter, entitled "A Dynamic Model with Sectoral Agglomeration Effects" consists of a short note that derives the theoretical model estimated in the fourth chapter. The derivation is directly based on the multi-regional framework by Ciccone (2002) but extends it in order to include sectoral disaggregation and a temporal dimension. This allows us formally to write present productivity as a function of past productivity and other contemporaneous and past control variables. The fourth chapter entitled "Sectoral Agglomeration Effects in a Panel of European Regions" takes the final equation derived in chapter three to the data. We investigate the empirical link between density and labour productivity based on regional data (245 NUTS-2 regions over the period 1980-2003). Using dynamic panel techniques allows us to control for the possible endogeneity of density and for region specific effects. We find a positive long run elasticity of density with respect to labour productivity of about 13%. When using data at the sectoral level it seems that positive cross-sector and negative own-sector externalities are present in manufacturing while financial services display strong positive own-sector effects. The fifth and last chapter entitled "Is the World's Economic Center of Gravity Already in Asia?" computes the world economic, demographic and geographic center of gravity for 1975-2004 and compares them. Based on data for the largest cities in the world and using the physical concept of center of mass, we find that the world's economic center of gravity is still located in Europe, even though there is a clear shift towards Asia. To sum up, this thesis makes three main contributions. First, it provides new estimates of orders of magnitudes for the role of trade in the globalisation and environment debate. Second, it computes reliable and disaggregated elasticities for the effect of density on labour productivity in European regions. Third, it allows us, in a geometrically rigorous way, to track the path of the world's economic center of gravity.

La défense du paradis fiscal suisse avant la Seconde Guerre mondiale : une histoire internationale : analyse de la politique helvétique au sein des négociations sur la double imposition et l'évasion fiscale durant l'entre-deux-guerres

Cette thèse analyse la défense du paradis fiscal suisse dans les négociations internationales de l'entre-deux-guerres. Pour ce faire, elle s'appuie sur un très large panel de sources inédites, tirées des archives publiques suisses, britanniques, françaises, allemandes et belges, ainsi que sur une série d'archives du monde économique et d'organisations internationales. Ce travail tente, sur cette base, de retracer l'évolution des pourparlers fiscaux et d'identifier comment les dirigeants suisses sont parvenus à écarter en leur sein les premières pressions internationales qui surviennent après la Grande Guerre à l'encontre des pratiques fiscales helvétiques. Sur fond de fuites massives d'avoirs européens en direction du refuge suisse, ces démarches étrangères à l'encontre du secret bancaire sont menées aussi bien au niveau multilatéral, au sein des débats fiscaux de la Société des Nations, que sur le plan bilatéral, à l'intérieur des négociations interétatiques pour la conclusion de conventions de double imposition et d'assistance fiscale. Pourtant, les tentatives de la part des gouvernements européens d'amorcer une coopération contre l'évasion fiscale avec leur homologue suisse échouent constamment durant l'entre-deux-guerres : non seulement aucune mesure de collaboration internationale n'est adoptée par la Confédération, mais les dirigeants helvétiques parviennent encore à obtenir dans les négociations des avantages fiscaux pour les capitaux qui sont exportés depuis la Suisse ou qui transitent par son entremise. En clair, bien loin d'être amoindrie, la compétitivité fiscale du centre économique suisse sort renforcée des discussions internationales de l'entre-deux-guerres. La thèse avance à la fois des facteurs endogènes et exogènes à la politique suisse pour expliquer cette réussite a priori surprenante dans un contexte de crise financière et monétaire aiguë. A l'intérieur de la Confédération, la grande cohésion des élites suisses facilite la défense extérieure de la compétitivité fiscale. En raison de l'anémie de l'administration fiscale fédérale, du conservatisme du gouvernement ou encore de l'interpénétration du patronat industriel et bancaire helvétique, les décideurs s'accordent presque unanimement sur le primat à une protection rigoureuse du secret bancaire. En outre, corollaire de l'afflux de capitaux en Suisse, la place financière helvétique dispose de différentes armes économiques qu'elle peut faire valoir pour défendre ses intérêts face aux gouvernements étrangers. Mais c'est surtout la conjonction de trois facteurs exogènes au contexte suisse qui a favorisé la position helvétique au sein des négociations fiscales internationales. Premièrement, après la guerre, le climat anti-fiscal qui prédomine au sein d'une large frange des élites occidentales incite les gouvernements étrangers à faire preuve d'une grande tolérance à l'égard du havre fiscal suisse. Deuxièmement, en raison de leur sous-développement, les administrations fiscales européennes n'ont pas un pouvoir suffisant pour contrecarrer la politique suisse. Troisièmement, les milieux industriels et financiers étrangers tendent à appuyer les stratégies de défense du paradis fiscal suisse, soit parce qu'ils usent eux-mêmes de ses services, soit parce que, avec la pression à la baisse qu'il engendre sur les systèmes fiscaux des autres pays, l'îlot libéral helvétique participe au démantèlement de la fiscalité progressive que ces milieux appellent de leur voeu.

Evaluation des pratiques d'irrigation, de fertilisation et d'application de pesticides dans l'agriculture périurbaine de Dakar, Sénégal

RESUMEL'agriculture urbaine et périurbalne - nommée ci-après AU - est un thème fort de recherche transversale, au vu des nombreux enjeux économiques, sociaux et environnementaux. L'objectif de cette recherche était de contribuer à une meilleure connaissance des processus de transfert de polluants et du cycle des nutriments à l'échelle locale, afin de déterminer sous quelles conditions l'AU de Dakar peut être pratiquée sans porter atteinte à la santé et à l'environnement.Une approche basée sur l'étude des processus géochimiques dans ie sol jusqu'à la nappe a été choisie, à l'échelle de la parcelle cultivée et à une échelle un peu plus large de la zone périurbaine de Dakar pour déterminer les influences du type d'occupation du sol.L'évaluation des impacts de l'irrigation avec des eaux usées brutes et des eaux de nappe saumâtres sur la qualité des sols (chapitre 2) a montré que l'alcalinité et les teneurs en calcium élevées des eaux saumâtres induisent la précipitation de CaC03 dans l'horizon superficiel du sol. Na remplace consécutivement Ca sur le complexe argilo-humique du sol et les bicarbonates diminuent dans la solution du sol. Le carbone organique dissout (COD) augmente significativement dans la solution du sol et dans la nappe sous-jacente. Malgré l'alcalinité et les teneurs très élevées en calcium des eaux usées, il y a peu de précipitation de CaC03 dans l'horizon superficiel du sol et une faible augmentation du sodium échangeable ESP. La nitrification de l'ammonium des eaux usées (moy 190mg/L à Pikine) produit des protons, qui ne sont plus tamponnés par les bicarbonates exportés hors du profil. Il y a alors une nette baisse de pH des sols irrigués par des eaux usées non traitées. Les sols irrigués par des eaux usées et saumâtres stockent moins de C et Ν que les sols de référence.L'évaluation de l'influence de l'occupation des sols en zone périurbaine sur à la nappe phréatique peu profonde (chapitre 3) a permis de déterminer les traceurs représentatifs de l'occupation du sol, à savoir Br/CI, NO3/CI et δ180-Ν03 pour l'irrigation par des eaux usées, pH et δ15Ν-Ν03 pour l'irrigation par des eaux de nappe, et Rb+Cr et Κ pour les lixiviats de fosses septiques. Ce chapitre a mis en évidence des points importants de la dynamique de l'azote en zone périurbaine sous deux occupations du sol : (1) la dénitrification est un processus important dans l'agrosystème périurbain de Dakar en bas de dune, dans les gleysols où l'on trouve des conditions temporairement réduites et un substrat organique favorables aux microorganismes de la dénitrification. Les teneurs en nitrates sont presque nulles avec irrigation d'eau de nappe. (2) en bas de pente, mais avec irrigation quotidienne par les eaux usées, l'apport continu d'ammonium inhibe probablement la dénitrification, mais favorise la volatilisation. (3) la nitrification de l'ammonium dans la nappe lors de la lixiviation des fosses septiques se distingue de la nitrification de l'ammonium dans la zone non saturée dans la zone d'agriculture périurbaine par la composition isotopique de l'oxygène de l'eau. Une comparaison des flux d'azote entre l'agrosystème et les quartiers périurbains de Dakar (chapitre 4) ont révélé que ces derniers étaient du même ordre de grandeur par unité de surface, à savoir 2-4 tonnes Ν /ha/an.L'évaluation des flux de pesticides dans l'agrosystème et des risques induits pour les eaux souterraines (chapitre 5) a révélé un fiux total de pesticides de 60kg/ha/an, totalisant 15 matières actives. Seules deux de ces matières actives sont autorisées par le comité des pesticides sahélien. Les pesticides les plus utilisés par les producteurs sont l'organochloré dicofol, les organophosphorés methamidophos, dimethoate et fenithrotion ainsi que le cabamate methomyl. Les flux les plus importants sont de 9 à 7 kg/ha/an (methomyl, methamidophos, ethoprophos et dicofol). Les pesticides qui présentent un risque élevé de contamination des eaux souterraines et qui devraient être prioritaires pour un suivi analytique sont : le carbofuran, le dimethoate, l'ethoprophos et le methomyl.En conclusion, une meilleure gestion de la fertilisation est nécessaire dans la zone d'AU de Dakar, afin de (1) réduire les pertes gazeuses qui contribuent à l'effet de serre, (2) de ralentir la minéralisation du carbone et de l'azote organiques pour créer un stock de C et Ν dans ces sols, (3) de limiter le lessivage dans la nappe et enfin, 4) d'augmenter l'efficacité d'utilisation de Ν par les plantes. Une optimisation de l'irrigation devrait limiter l'alcalinisation secondaire. Enfin, la mise en place d'une lutte intégrée ou biologique contre les ravageurs est indispensable afin de minimiser les risques pour les eaux souterraines et les mares permanentes.ABSTRACTUrban and periurban agriculture (UA) is an important issue in southern countries, because of its key role in their social and economical development and its environmental concern. The goal of this study was to contribute to a better understanding of pollutant transfer and nutrient cycling at the local scale, in order to implement the necessary improvements to guarantee the sustainability of this practice.An approach based on geochemical processes occurring in the vadose zone from the surface down to the groundwater level was chosen, at the scale of cultivated plots and at the regional scale of Dakar periurban areas, to determine the influence of land use.The assessment of irrigation with untreated domestic wastewater and brackish water on soil quality (chapter 2) showed: (1) that the high alkalinity and calcium contents of brackish water induce CaC03 precipitation in the top layer of the soil and therefore a replacement of Ca by Na on the clay- humic complexes, strongly marked during the dry season. Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) increased significantly in the soil solution and in the underlying groundwater. (2) in spite of the similarly high alkalinity and Ca contents of waste water, there is only little CaC03 precipitation and a low increase of the percentage of exchangeable sodium (ESP) in the soil top layer. The nitrification of the ammonium of wastewater (mean 190 mg/L in Pikine) produces protons, which are not any more buffered by bicarbonates exported out of the soil profile, which leads to a net decline of soil pH. Both soils irrigated with untreated wastewater and brackish water store less of C and Ν than soils irrigated with non saline groundwater.The assessment of the impact of land use on the shallow groundwater (chapter 3) allowed determining representative tracers of the land use. Low Br/CI ratio, high NO3/CI ratio and low δ1βΟ- nitrate indicated the influence of wastewater; high pH and high 515N-nitrates indicated the influence of brackish water together with high amendments of organic fertilizers; high Rb+Cr and Κ indicated the influence of poor sanitation facilities in periurban districts (septic tank leakage). This chapter also pointed out the following facts about the nitrogen dynamics : (1) denitrification is a key-process in the Dakar UA agrosystem in the gleysols irrigated with groundwater. The underlying groundwater is almost nitrate free. (2) in the Gleysols irrigated with waste water, ammonium inhibits denitrification but facilitate ammoniac volatilization. A comparison of nitrogen balance between the UA agrosystem and the periurban districts of Dakar (chapter 4) revealed similar flows per surface unit, namely 2-4 tons Ν / ha / year.The evaluation of pesticides use in the UA agrosystem and the risk assessment for the groundwater (chapter 5) revealed a total flow of pesticides of 60kg / ha / year, totalizing 15 active substances. Only two of these are authorized by the Sahelian Pesticides Committee. The most used pesticides are dicofol (organochlorinated), methamidophos, dimethoate and fenithrotion (organophosphate) as well as methomyl. (carbamate). The most important flows vary between 9 to 7 kg / ha / year. Pesticides with a high risk of groundwater contamination - according to SIRIS and EPRIP 2 indicators - are: carbofuran, dimethoate, ethoprophos and methomyl. These substances should be established as a priority for an analytical follow-up in the different environmental compartments.In conclusion, a better management of the fertilization is necessary in the Dakar UA, (1) to reduce the gaseous losses which contribute to greenhouse emissions (2) to slow down the mineralization of the organic carbon and the nitrogen, in order to enhance the C and Ν stock in these soils, (3) to limit the nitrate leaching in the groundwater and finally, 4) to increase the N-use efficiency of plants. An optimization of the irrigation scheme should limit the secondary sodisation if coupled with an increase the stable organic matter of the soil. An integrated or biologic crop pest strategy is urgently needed to minimize risks with respect to ground and surface water (ponds used for fishing).RESUME LARGE PUBLICL'agriculture mondiale connaît actuellement une crise majeure, affectée par les changements climatiques, la sécurité alimentaire et les dégradations de l'environnement. Elle n'a plus le rôle unique de produire, mais devient un élément essentiel de la protection des ressources naturelles et du paysage. Les politiques agricoles basées sur les marchés mondiaux devront se réorienter vers une agriculture locale basée sur le développement durable.La production alimentaire située dans l'enceinte des villes, nommée agriculture urbaine ou périurbaine (AU ci-après) joue un rôle important dans le contexte actuel d'accroissement de la population et de la pauvreté urbaines. L'AU concerne en effet la majorité des mégapoies du monde, fait vivre plus de 200 millions de personnes dans les pays du Sud, fournit jusqu'à 80% de la demande urbaine en certains produits frais, fait barrière à l'extension urbaine et permet un recyclage de certains déchets urbains. L'AU a pour particularité d'être à cheval entre des politiques rurales et urbaines, d'où un délaissement ce cette activité au secteur informel. Ce qui a développé de nombreuses stratégies à risques, comme à Dakar, où les petits producteurs périurbains irriguent quotidiennement avec des eaux usées domestiques par manque d'accès à une eau de bonne qualité et pour raccourcir les cycles de production. L'extrême précarité foncière des acteurs de l'AU de Dakar les empêchent d'investir à long terme et induit des pratiques inadéquates d'irrigation, d'usage de pesticides et de fertilisation de ces sols sableux.L'objectif de cette recherche était de contribuer à une meilleure connaissance des processus de transfert de polluants et du cycle des nutriments à l'échelle des parcelles cultivées par des eaux usées et des eaux saumâtres, afin de déterminer sous quelles conditions l'AU de Dakar peut être pratiquée et surtout maintenue sans porter atteinte à la santé et à l'environnement. Pour cela, une approche basée sur l'étude des processus géochimiques dans le sol jusqu'à la nappe a été choisie, à l'échelle de la parcelle cultivée et à une échelle un peu plus large de la zone périurbaine de Dakar pour déterminer les influences du type d'occupation du sol.Les résultats principaux de cette étude ont montré que (1) il y a un processus de salinisation anthropique des sols (sodisation) lors d'irrigation avec des eaux de nappe saumâtres, un processus accentué en saison sèche et lors d'années à pluviométrie déficitaire. Bien que les eaux usées soient aussi salines que les eaux de nappe, la salinisation des sols irrigués' par des eaux usées est limitée par l'ammonium présent dans les eaux usées (moy 190mg NH4/L à Pikine) qui produit de l'acidité lors de la transformation en nitrates dans le sol (nitrification). (2) les sols irrigués par des eaux usées (EU) stockent moins de C et Ν que les sois de référence, ce qui montrent bien que l'azote des eaux usées n'est pas disponible pour les plantes, mais est lessivé dans la nappe (100 à 450 mg/L N03 sous irrigation par EU, alors que la limite de OMS est de 50mg/L). (3) l'utilisation des isotopes stables des nitrates et des éléments traces, notamment le bore et le brome, ont permis de distinguer l'influence de l'irrigation par des eaux usées, de l'irrigation par des eaux de nappe et des lixiviats de fosses septiques sur les propriétés de la nappe. (4) Le processus de la dénitrification (atténuation naturelle des concentrations en nitrates de la nappe par biotransformation en azote gazeux) est important dans les zones basses de l'agrosystème périurbain de Dakar, sous irrigation par eaux naturelles (ΝΟ3 < 50mg/L). Tandis que sous habitat sans assainissement adéquat, les nitrates atteignent 300 à 700 mg/L. (5) Le flux total de pesticides dans l'AU est énorme (60kg/ha/an) totalisant 15 pesticides, dont deux seulement sont autorisés. Les pesticides les plus utilisés sont des insecticides organophosphorés et organochlorés classés extrêmement dangereux à dangereux par l'OMS, appliqués à des doses de 2 à 9 kg/ha/an. Les pesticides qui ont montré un risque élevé de contamination des eaux souterraines avec les indicateurs SIRIS et EPRIP2 sont : le carbofuran, le dimethoate, l'ethoprophos et le methomyl.En conclusion, nous recommandons la reconstitution d'un horizon superficiel des sols riche en matière organique stable et structuré par production locale de compost. Cette mesure réduira les pertes gazeuses contribuant à l'effet de serre, augmentera le stock de Ν dans ces sols, alors utilisable par les plantes et permettra de diminuer l'irrigation car la capacité de rétention de l'eau dans le sol sera accru, ce qui limitera le lessivage des nitrates dans la nappe et l'alcalinisation secondaire. Enfin, la mise en place d'une lutte intégrée ou biologique contre les ravageurs est indispensable afin de minimiser les risques pour les eaux souterraines et lesmares permanentes.

Three Essays on International Trade and the Labor Market

The thesis is made of three independent chapters interested in the impact of globalization on workers in industrialized countries. The dissertation is especially focused on identifying the causal impact of international trade on workers' mobility, wages, and employment with both a short- and medium-term perspective. The first paper explores the relation between intra-industry trade (IIT) expansion and associated worker flows, taking the latter as an indicator of labor-market adjustment costs. Being the first study to combine theoretical simulations and a novel identification strategy, we find that both theoretical and empirical analyses are consistent with the "smooth adjustment hypothesis", according to which IIT expansion is less disruptive than inter-industry trade expansion. The study therefore lends support to the use of IIT indices as first-pass proxies for the adjustment effects of trade expansion. The second chapter contrasts the impact of increased import competition coming from China and the European Union (EU) on workers in the United Kingdom over a 15-year period. The most salient findings show that increased imports from China had significantly negative effects on workers' earnings, wages and employment. In contrast, larger imports from the EU are associated with positive worker-level outcomes, which is largely explained by the fact that increased imports from the EU were mostly offset by increased same-industry exports to the EU. Besides, we find that increased imports from China exert additional pressure on workers through spillovers to employment and wages in downstream industries. Finally, the last chapter is focused on the impact of exposure to trade and real exchange rate shocks on wages for Swiss manufacturing workers. A particular attention is made to consistently estimate the causal effect in using a two-step gravity-type identification strategy. The study shows that the impact of trade and exchange rate movements is concentrated among high-skilled workers almost exclusively.