Paper money and national distress: William Huskisson and the early theories of credit, speculation and crises

This paper examines the explanation of commercial crises offered by William Huskisson in 1810 in the wake of the debate on the Bullion Report. Huskisson argued that the suspension of convertibility made it possible to extend issues of paper currency beyond its proper limits. Such an expansion, being in the interest of all parties concerned, would actually take place and stimulate excessive speculations, which would eventually prove unsustainable and bring generalized ruin and distress. Although some elements of this explanations were not new (having been anticipated by writers sucha as James Currie in 1793, William Roscoe in 1793, William Anderson in 1797 and an anonymous in 1796), Huskisson's explanation is more systematic and better organized, and his emphasis on the endogenous character of the crisis and on the instability of the dynamics of trade and credit makes it an interesting foreshadower of the theories of crises that were advanced half a century later.

Three essays on bankruptcy risk

Abstract Market prices of corporate bond spreads and of credit default swap (CDS) rates do not match each other. In this paper, we argue that the liquidity premium, the cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) option and actual market segmentation explain the pricing differences. Using the European transaction data from Reuters and Bloomberg, we estimate the liquidity premium that is time- varying and firm-specific. We show that when time-dependent liquidity premiums are considered, corporate bond spreads and CDS rates behave in a much closer way than previous studies have shown. We find that high equity volatility drives pricing differences that can be explained by the CTD option.

Biogeographic origin and radiation of the Old World crocidurine shrews (Mammalia: Soricidae) inferred from mitochondrial and nuclear genes.

The crocidurine shrews include the most speciose genus of mammals, Crocidura. The origin and evolution of their radiation is, however, poorly understood because of very scant fossil records and a rather conservative external morphology between species. Here, we use an alignment of 3560 base pairs of mitochondrial and nuclear DNA to generate a phylogenetic hypothesis for the evolution of Old World shrews of the subfamily Crocidurinae. These molecular data confirm the monophyly of the speciose African and Eurasian Crocidura, which also includes the fossorial, monotypic genus Diplomesodon. The phylogenetic reconstructions give further credit to a paraphyletic position of Suncus shrews, which are placed into at least two independent clades (one in Africa and sister to Sylvisorex and one in Eurasia), at the base of the Crocidura radiation. Therefore, we recommend restricting the genus Suncus to the Palaearctic and Oriental taxa, and to consider all the African Suncus as Sylvisorex. Using molecular dating and biogeographic reconstruction analyses, we suggest a Palaearctic-Oriental origin for Crocidura dating back to the Upper Miocene (6.8 million years ago) and several subsequent colonisations of the Afrotropical region by independent lineages of Crocidura.

Three essays in international finance

Executive Summary The first essay of this dissertation investigates whether greater exchange rate uncertainty (i.e., variation over time in the exchange rate) fosters or depresses the foreign investment of multinational firms. In addition to the direct capital financing it supplies, foreign investment can be a source of valuable technology and know-how, which can have substantial positive effects on a host country's economic growth. Thus, it is critically important for policy makers and central bankers, among others, to understand how multinationals base their investment decisions on the characteristics of foreign exchange markets. In this essay, I first develop a theoretical framework to improve our knowledge regarding how the aggregate level of foreign investment responds to exchange rate uncertainty when an economy consists of many firms, each of which is making decisions. The analysis predicts a U-shaped effect of exchange rate uncertainty on the total level of foreign investment of the economy. That is, the effect is negative for low levels of uncertainty and positive for higher levels of uncertainty. This pattern emerges because the relationship between exchange rate volatility and 'the probability of investment is negative for firms with low productivity at home (i.e., firms that find it profitable to invest abroad) and the relationship is positive for firms with high productivity at home (i.e., firms that prefer exporting their product). This finding stands in sharp contrast to predictions in the existing literature that consider a single firm's decision to invest in a unique project. The main contribution of this research is to show that the aggregation over many firms produces a U-shaped pattern between exchange rate uncertainty and the probability of investment. Using data from industrialized countries for the period of 1982-2002, this essay offers a comprehensive empirical analysis that provides evidence in support of the theoretical prediction. In the second essay, I aim to explain the time variation in sovereign credit risk, which captures the risk that a government may be unable to repay its debt. The importance of correctly evaluating such a risk is illustrated by the central role of sovereign debt in previous international lending crises. In addition, sovereign debt is the largest asset class in emerging markets. In this essay, I provide a pricing formula for the evaluation of sovereign credit risk in which the decision to default on sovereign debt is made by the government. The pricing formula explains the variation across time in daily credit spreads - a widely used measure of credit risk - to a degree not offered by existing theoretical and empirical models. I use information on a country's stock market to compute the prevailing sovereign credit spread in that country. The pricing formula explains a substantial fraction of the time variation in daily credit spread changes for Brazil, Mexico, Peru, and Russia for the 1998-2008 period, particularly during the recent subprime crisis. I also show that when a government incentive to default is allowed to depend on current economic conditions, one can best explain the level of credit spreads, especially during the recent period of financial distress. In the third essay, I show that the risk of sovereign default abroad can produce adverse consequences for the U.S. equity market through a decrease in returns and an increase in volatility. The risk of sovereign default, which is no longer limited to emerging economies, has recently become a major concern for financial markets. While sovereign debt plays an increasing role in today's financial environment, the effects of sovereign credit risk on the U.S. financial markets have been largely ignored in the literature. In this essay, I develop a theoretical framework that explores how the risk of sovereign default abroad helps explain the level and the volatility of U.S. equity returns. The intuition for this effect is that negative economic shocks deteriorate the fiscal situation of foreign governments, thereby increasing the risk of a sovereign default that would trigger a local contraction in economic growth. The increased risk of an economic slowdown abroad amplifies the direct effect of these shocks on the level and the volatility of equity returns in the U.S. through two channels. The first channel involves a decrease in the future earnings of U.S. exporters resulting from unfavorable adjustments to the exchange rate. The second channel involves investors' incentives to rebalance their portfolios toward safer assets, which depresses U.S. equity prices. An empirical estimation of the model with monthly data for the 1994-2008 period provides evidence that the risk of sovereign default abroad generates a strong leverage effect during economic downturns, which helps to substantially explain the level and the volatility of U.S. equity returns.

Eretria - Nea Psara : eine klassizistische Stadtanlage über der antiken Polis

Résumé: Le présent ouvrage propose une histoire de l'Erétrie moderne, de la redécouverte du site antique au projet urbanistique de 1834 pour une ville nouvelle destinée à accueillir les réfugiés de l'île de Psara - anéantie en 1824 par les Ottomans - et au développement urbain d'Erétrie/Nea Psara au XIXe et au XXe siècles. Le nom d'Erétrie englobe trois couches historiques distinctes: la cité antique, la ville néoclassique, dessinée par l'architecte allemand Eduard Schaubert (1804-1860), et le village moderne, issu de son projet. Chacune de ces strates - vestiges antiques, tissu urbain néoclassique et constructions plus récentes - est perceptible au sein de cet ensemble urbain et se trouve en relation constante avec les autres. L'exposé des recherches archéologiques - depuis la redécouverte du site antique par Ciriaco de' Pizzicolli d'Ancona (Cyriaque d'Ancône) en 1436 déjà, puis de manière systématique par des voyageurs-archéologues dès le XIXe siècle - comble une lacune dans l'historiographie de la cité antique. Cette approche met également en lumière la relation étroite entre archéologie et urbanisme au XIXe siècle. Si l'exploration de la Grèce avait été jusqu'à son indépendance en 1827 essentiellement le fait des archéologues, des historiens et des philologues, après cette date, des géologues, des ingénieurs et des topographes travaillant pour le développement économique du jeune Etat se mirent également à parcourir le pays, le regard tourné non plus seulement vers l'Antiquité, mais aussi vers l'avenir. L'histoire de la redécouverte d'Erétrie permet ainsi d'éclairer divers aspects liés à la gestation de l'Etat grec. Le projet conçu en 1834 par Ecluard Schaubert de ville néoclassique superposée aux ruines de la cité antique d'Erétrie s'inscrit dans un réseau de créations de villes nouvelles et de modernisations de villes existantes par le nouvel Etat grec, qui cherchait à fonder sa légitimité et son identité, après la domination ottomane, sur les valeurs idéales (ou idéalisées) de l'Antiquité classique. Dans le projet de développement urbain d'Erétrie, la relation étroite entre archéologie et urbanisme et, par conséquent, la référence à l'Antiquité sont évidentes: Eduard Schaubert commença par tracer sur son plan toutes les ruines antiques, dressant ainsi l'état des connaissances archéologiques du site. Sur cette base, l'architecte conçut la ville néoclassique en y incluant les principales ruines, qui devaient servir de repères visuels et qui concrétisaient ainsi le lien idéologique de la monarchie absolue avec l'Antiquité. A Erétrie, deux perspectives principales reliaient le port à l'acropole et l'Ecole navale au théâtre antique. L'intégration de ruines antiques dans un projet urbanistique avait été réalisée par Stamatios Kleanthes et Eduard Schaubert en 1831-1832 dans le plan de l'Athènes moderne, avant que celle-ci n'ait été promue capitale de la Grèce. Les deux architectes ont ainsi anticipé le caractère idéal d'Athènes dans le processus de gestation de l'Etat grec. L'importance de ce plan et de celui qu'ifs ont établi sur le même modèle pour le Pirée a été reconnue par les historiens de l'urbanisme. En revanche, le plan d'Erétrie, qui suit pourtant les mêmes principes, n'a été que partiellement étudié. Cette monographie montre que le projet d'Erétrie était le plus abouti des trois, qui tous se caractérisent par un système de routes rayonnant depuis le siège du gouvernement (résidences royales à Athènes et au Pirée, mairie à Erétrie). Cet éventail de rues ou u patte d'oie» embrasse à Athènes l'acropole et au Pirée fa baie du port, alors qu'a Erétrie il est double, axé en raison de la topographie sur l'acropole et sur Pa baie du port. Cette double patte d'oie crée ainsi le lien idéologique avec l'Antiquité et témoigne, par son ouverture sur le port, de l'essor économique souhaité par le gouvernement. Le plan d'Erétrie représente de manière exemplaire l'urbanisme programmatique de la Grèce sous Othon ler (1832-1862). L'ouvrage s'intéresse ensuite à la réalisation du projet de Schaubert, dont la mise en oeuvre n'a pas répondu aux attentes du Gouvernement. Le faible développement d'Erétrie s'explique principalement par le surdimensionnement du projet, des finances publiques modestes, la malaria endémique et une politique économique inadaptée aux traditions commerciales des Psariotes. Les lenteurs dans la réalisation du projet et même des régressions au cours du XIXe siècle et au début du XXe siècle, puis l'urbanisation accélérée d'Erétrie à partir des années 1960, ont eu pour conséquence que les historiens de l'urbanisme et les urbanistes ont sous-estimé, voire ignoré la valeur historique de ce concept Cependant, l'exécution du projet néoclassique s'est poursuivie de manière continue et des références au plan de Schaubert peuvent être observées dans l'aménagement récent de la localité aujourd'hui encore. Ainsi, des arbres ont été plantés dans les années 1960 le long de l'enceinte urbaine antique, à l'emplacement où Schaubert avait prévu la création d'une promenade arborée. Au centre d'Erétrie, là où l'agora principale aurait dû être aménagée, une grande place publique servant au marché hebdomadaire a été créée. Dans le quartier oriental, une petite église dédiée à la Pan hagia Paravouniotissa a été construite en 2001 sur la parcelle où Schaubert en avait prévue une. D'importants éléments des projets de Schaubert, qui ne sont actuellement plus guère perceptibles à Athènes et au Pirée, le sont toujours à Erétrie. Les espaces verts, par exemple, occupent une place importante dans le domaine privé: malgré la densification du tissu urbain, des parcelles caractéristiques contiennent encore des maisons isolées d'un ou de deux niveaux côté rue, avec un grand jardin à l'arrière, séparé des parcelles voisines par un mur en pierre ou en brique crue. Erétrie mérite donc une reconnaissance plus considérable dans l'histoire de l'urbanisme, puisqu'elle contribue à faire mieux comprendre les projets de ses deux villes soeurs. L'étude du projet urbanistique est complétée par une approche typologique des constructions néoclassiques d'Erétrie qui souligne encore la valeur historique de cet ensemble. Comme la plupart des édifices sont, menacés de démolition, à l'exception d'un petit nombre d'entre eux qui bénéficient d'un bon entretien, un inventaire photographique des constructions d'Erétrie datant du XIXe et du début du XXe siècle a été constitué entre 1994 et 2005, complété par des photographies anciennes. Il en ressort que les formes et les techniques de construction sont représentatives de l'architecture privée à l'époque de la création de l'Etat. Enfin, le plan directeur d'Erétrie, réalisé en 1975-1976 par un séminaire du Département d'architecture de l'Ecole polytechnique fédérale de Zurich avec l'appui de l'Ecole suisse d'archéologie en Grèce, est publié ici intégralement pour la première fois. Le présent ouvrage rend ses lettres de noblesse à un ensemble urbain néoclassique, certes modeste, mais issu d'un projet urbanistique ambitieux, témoin significatif du programme politique du nouvel Etat grec. SUMMARY Translated by William Eisler This book gives an account of the history of modern Eretria. It encompasses the rediscovery of the ancient city, the 1834 urban plan for the new town designed to accommodate the refugees from the island of Psara - destroyed by the Ottomans in 1824 - and also the urban development of Eretria/Nea Psara in the 19th and 20th centuries. The name Eretria carries a rich heritage: the ancient city, the neoclassical town designed by the Germen architect Eduard Schaubert (1804-1860), and the modern village. These three distinct historical layers ancient ruins, neoclassical plan and more recent constructions - can be seen within this urban area and are interlinked with each other. The account of the archeological investigations fills a gap in the historiography of the ancient city. This started with the early rediscovery of the ancient site by Ciriaco de'Pizzicolli d'Ancona in 1436, and was followed by systematic research by travellers/ archeologists from the 19th century onward. Furthermore, this shows the close relationship between archeology and urbanism in the 19th century. The exploration of Greece prier te its independence in 1827 was mainly red by archeologists, historians and philologists. Subsequently, geologists, engineers and topographers working for the young state's economic development travelled across the country, with their attention focused not only on Antiquity but are on the future. The history of Eretria's rediscovery gives new insights on various aspects related to the development of the Greek state. In 1834, Eduard Schaubert's project, planning a neoclassical town built upon the ancient Eretria, took place alongside the development of other new cities and the modernization of existing ones du ring the Ottoman domination. By doing so, the new Greek state wanted to build its legitimacy and identity, based upon the ideal (or idealized) values of Classical Antiquity. In the urban development of Eretria, the close connection between archeology and urbanism, and the reference to Antiquity, are obvious. Eduard Schaubert began by tracing on his plan ail of the ancient ruins, thus showing the knowledge of the archeological site at that time. On this basis, the architect planned the neoclassical town, incorporating the principal ruins which were to serve as visual references embodying the ideological link between Antiquity and King Otto's absolute monarchy. In Eretria, two principal visual axes linked the port to the acropolis and the Naval School to the ancient theatre. The integration of ancient ruins in an urban project had already been achieved by Stamatios Kleanthes and Eduard Schaubert in 1831-1832 in their plan for modern Athens, before it became the capital of Greece. The two architects had therefore anticipated the ideal character of Athens at the beginning of the Greek state. The importance of this plan and that of Piraeus (designed along the same model) has long been recognized by urban historians. By contrast, the plan of Eretria based open the same principles has been only partly studied. This book explains clearly that the Eretria project was the most elaborate. The three cities are characterized by a system of roads radiating from the seat of government (the royal residences in Athens and Piraeus, the town hall in Eretria). This fan-like arrangement of streets includes the Acropolis in Athens and the harbour in Piraeus, whereas in Eretria it is twofold, orientated towards the acropolis and the harbour on account of the topography. This double fan-like arrangement shows the ideological link with Antiquity and, with its opening onto the harbour, the government's desire for economic development. The plan of Eretria is a typical ex- ample of the programmatic urbanism of Greece under Otto I (1832-1862). The book discusses the completion of Schaubert's project, which was not fully carried out as expected by the government. The poor development of Eretria can be explained primarily by the excessive scale of the project, the modest public finances, the endemic malaria and an economic policy unsuitable to the commercial traditions of the Psariotes. Delays, even regressions in the implementation of the project in the course of the 19th and the beginning of the 20th centuries, followed by the growing urbanization of Eretria starting in the 1960's, led urban historians and town planners to underestimate or even to ignore the historical value of this concept. Nevertheless, the neoclassical project was carried out steadfastly, and references to the Schaubert plan can still be seen in the modern layout of the town. Trees were planted in the 1960's all along the circumference of the ancient city, where Schaubert had planned a tree-lined promenade. A big public square serving as a weekly market place was created in the centre of Eretria, where the principal agora had been originally planned. In 2001 a small church dedicated to the Panhagia Paravouniotissa was built on a plot of land in the eastern district, where this had been intended by Schaubert. Important elements of Schaubert's projects, which are barely perceptible in modern-day Athens and Piraeus, remain visible in Eretria. Green areas, for example, occupy a significant place within the private properties. In spite of the urban densification, characteristic plots still include isolated houses of one or two stories facing the street, with large gardens in the rear, separated from neighbours by stone or mudbrick walls. Eretria therefore deserves a more prominent position in the history of urbanism, as it contributes to a better understanding of ifs two sister cities. The study of the urban project is enriched by a typological approach to the neoclassical constructions of Eretria, underlining once again the historical value of this heritage. Since only a small number of the buildings have benefited from good maintenance and the greater part is threatened with demolition, a photographic inventory of the constructions of Eretria dating from the 19tIt and early 20th centuries was produced between 1994 and 2005, supplemented by old photographs. This documentation clearly shows that the forms and techniques of construction are characteristic of private architecture at the beginning of modern Greece. Finally, the master plan of Eretria drafted in 1975-1976 by a seminar of the Department of Architecture of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, with the support of the Swiss School of Archeology in Greece, is published here in full for the first time. This book gives credit to a neoclassical urban heritage which, although modest in scale, derives from an ambitious project that embodies the political programme of the new Greek state. ΠΕΡΙΛΗΨΗ Μετάβραση Ελενή Δημητρακοπούλου Η παρούσα εργασία προτείνει μια. ιστορία της σύγχρονης πόλης της Ερέτριας, ξεκινώντας από την αποκάλύψη του αρχαιολογικού χώρου, περνώντας από την σύνταξη, το 1834, του ρυμοτομικού σχεδίου για μια νέα. πόλη που σκοπό είχε να υποδεχθεί τούς πρόσφυγες από τα Ψαρά. - που καταστράφηκαν ολοσχερώς το 1824 από τούς Οθωμανούς - και εξετάζοντας τέλος την πολεοδομική εξέλιξη της Ερέτριας/Νέων Ψαρών κατά τον 19° και τον 20° αι. Πίσω από το όνομα της Ερέτριας κρύβονται τρία διαφορετικά. ιστορικά στρώματα,: η αρχαία πόλη, η νεοκλασική πόλη πού σχεδιάστηκε από τον γερμανό αρχιτε κτονα "Εντοναρντ Σάουμπερτ (1804-1860) και η σύγχρονη πόλη που κτίστηκε πάνω στά. σχέδια του τελευταίού. Κάθε ένα από αυτά τα στρώματα - αρχαία κατάλοιπα. νεοκλασικός πολεοδομικός ιστός και νεώτερα κτίσματα - γίνεται αντιληπτό στο πλαίσιο αυτού του πολεοδομικού συνόλου και βρίσκεται σε άμεση σχέση με τα άλλα δύο. Ηπαρονσίαση των αρχαιολογικών ερευνών, που ξεκινούν το 1436 με την αποκάλυψη τον αρχαιολογικού χώρού από τον Ciriaco de' Pizzicolli d'Ancona (Κυριάκος ο Αγκωνίτης) και συνεχίζονται συστηματικά. από περιηγητές_αρχαιολόγούς κατά το 19° αι., καλύπτει ένα κενό στην ιστοριογραφία της έρεύνας της αρχαίας πύλης. Η προσέγγιση αυτή φωτίζει επίσης τη στενή σχέσημεταξύαρχαιολογίας και πολεοδομίας κατά τον 190 αι. Αν η εξερεύνηση της Ελλάδος, ως την ανεξαρτησία της το 1827, ήταν έργο κνρϊως αρχαιολόγων, ιστορικών και φιλολόγων, μετά από αυτήν την χρονολογία., γεωλόγοι, μηχανικοί και τοπογράφοι που εργάζονταν για την οικονομική ανάπτυξη τον νεοσύστατου Ελληνικού Κράτούς, άρχισαν επίσης να περιτρέχονν όλη την χώρα., με το βλέμμα. στραμμένο όχι μόνο προς την Αρχαιότητα, αλλά και προς το μέλλον. Η ιστορία της αποκάλυψης της Ερέτριας φωτίζει έτσι και διάφορες όψεις που συνδέονται με την γένεση του Ελληνικού Κράτους. Το 1834, υ 'Εντοναρντ Σάουμπερτ εκπόνησε το σχέδιο μιας νεοκλασικής πόλης που Θα επικαθόταν στα; ερείπια. της αρχαίας Ερέτριας?το έργο εντάσσεται στο δίκτυο δημιουργίας νέων πόλεων και εκσυγχρονισμού των υπαρχυυσών από το νεοσύστατο Ελληνικό Κράτος. το οποίο, μετά την Οθωμανική κυριαρχία, επεδίωκε να Θεμελιώσει την νομιμότητα και την ταυτότητά του πάνω στις ιδανικές ή εξιδανικευμένες αξίες της κλασικής αρχαιότητας. Στο σχέδιο της πολεοδομικής ανάπτυξης της Ερέτριας, η στενή σχέση μεταξύ αρχαιολογίας και πολεοδομίας και, κατ επέκταση. οι σαφείς αναφορές στην Αρχαιότητα. είναι εμφανείς: ο Εντοναρντ Σάουμπερτ άρχισε σχεδιάζοντας στο τοπογραφικό τον όλα τα αρχαία. ερείπια, καταγράφοντας έτσι τις τότε αρχαιολογικές γνώσεις για, το χώρο. Σε αυτή τη βάση, ο αρχιτέκτονας συνέλαβε την νεοκλασική πόλη εντάσσοντας σε αυτήν τα κυριότερα αρχαία μνημεία, τα οποία χρησίμευαν ως οπτικά σημεία αναφοράς, ενώ συγχρόνως υλοποιούσαν την ιδεολογική σχέση της απόλύτης μοναρχίας με την Αρχαιότητα. Στην Ερέτρια, δυο βασικοί άξονες συνέδεαν το λιμάνι με την Ακρόπολη και τη Ναυτική Σχολή με το Αρχαίο Θέατρο. Η ένταξη αρχαίων ερειπίων σε ένα πολεοδομικό σχέδιο είχε ήδη πραγματοποιηθεί από τούς Σταμάτιο Κλεάνθη και'Εντουαρντ Σάουμπερτ στα 1831-1832, στον σχεδιασμό της νέας Αθήνας, πριν αυτή ανακηρυχθεί σε πρωτεύουσα. της Ελλάδος. Οι δυο αρχιτέκτονες προεξόφλησαν έτσι τον συμβολικό χαρακτήρα της Αθήνας στην διαδικασία. γένεσης του Ελληνικού Κράτούς, Η σημασία αυτού τον σχεδίου καθώς και εκείνου που συνέταξαν, πάνω στο ίδιο πνεύμα, για τον Πειραιά έχει αναγνωριστεί από τους σύγχρονούς πολεοδόμους. Αντίθετα, το σχέδιο της Ερέτριας, παρ όλο που ακολούθεί τις ίδιες αρχές, μελετήθηκε πολύ λίγο. Η παρούσα μονογραφία δείχνει ότι το σχέδιο της Ερέτριας ήταν το πιο ολοκληρωμένο από τα τρία. Βασικό χαρακτηριστικό των σχεδίων αυτών είναι ένα σύστημα οδών που αναπτύσσονται ακτινωτά από το κέντρο εξουσίας (βασιλική κατοικία στην Αθήνα και τον Πειραιά, δημαρχείο στην Ερέτρια). Αυτή η ακτινωτή διάταξη των οδών συμπεριλαμβάνει στην Αθήνα την Ακρόπολη και στον Πειραιά το λιμάνι, ενώ στην Ερέτρια είναι αμφίροπη, προσανατολισμένη, λόγω της τοπογραφίας, προς την ακρόπολη αλλά και προς τον όρμο του λιμανιού. Αυτή η διπλή ακτινωτή διάταξη από τη μια δημιούργεί τον ιδεολογικό δεσμό ιιε την Αρχαιότητα, ενώ από την άλλη τονίζει, με το άνοιγμά της προς το λιμάνι, την οικονομική άνθηση της πόλης που επιθυμούσε η κεντρική εξουσία. Τα σχέδιο της Ερέτριας αποτελεί αντιπροσωπευτικό δείγμα της προγραμματικής πολεοδομίας της Ελλάδος κατά τα, χρόνια της Βασιλείας του "Οθωνος (1832-1862). Η υλοποίηση του σχεδίου του Σάουμπερτ δεν ανταποκρίθηκε στις προσδοκίες της κυβέρνησης. Η μικρή ανάπτύξη της Ερέτριας οφείλεται κυρίως στούς ανεδαφικούς, μεγαλεπί βολονς στόχους του σχεδίού, στα μέτρια δημόσια οικονομικά, στην ενδημική ελονοσία λόγω των υφισταμένων ελών καθώς και σε μια, οικονομική πολιτική που ήταν ξένη στις εμπορικές παραδόσεις των Ψαριανών. Οι αργοί ρυθμοί της πραγματοποίησης του σχεδίού και μάλιστα κάποιες περικοπές τον κατά τη διάρκεια τον 19°ν και στις αρχές του 2θ αι., και στη συνέχεια η ταχεία πολεοδομική εξέλιξη της Ερέτριας από τη δεκαετία του 1960, είχαν σαν συνέπεια να υποτιμηθεί ή κατ να αγνοηθεί η ιστορική αξία του πολεοδομικού σχεδίου από τους ιστορικούς της πολεοδομίας. Ωστόσο, η εκτέλεση τον νεοκλασικού σχεδίου ακολουθήθηκε με συνέπεια, ενώ αναφορές στο σχέδιο του Σάουμπερτ μπορούν να παρατηρηθούν, ακόμα. και σήμερα. στις νεώτερες διευθετήσεις τον χώρου. Ετσι, στη δεκαετία του 1960, κατά μήκος του αρχαίού τείχούς της πόλης φυτεύθηκαν δέντρα, στη Θέση όπού ο Σάουμπερτ είχε προβλέψει τη δημιουργία ενός δεντροφυτεμένου περιπάτου. Στο κέντρο της Ερέτριας, εκεί όπου Θα έπρεπε να διαμορφωθεί η κύρια αγορά της πόλης, δημιουργήθηκε μια μεγάλη δημόσια πλατεία όπου γίνεται η εβδομαδιαία λαϊκή αγορά. Στην ανατολική συνοικία, χτίστηκε, το 2001, μια μικρή εκκλησία αφιερωμένη στην Παναγία, την Παραβοννιώτισσα, στο οικόπεδο όπου ο Σάουμπερτ είχε προβλέψει μια εκκλησία. Σημαντικά στοιχεία των σχεδίων του Σάουμπερτ, που δεν γίνονται πια καθόλου αντιληπτά στην ΑΘήνα και στον Πειραιά, μπορούν να παρατηρηθούν στην Ερέτρια. Το πράσινο, για παράδειγμα, καταλαμβάνει σημαντική Θέση τον ιδιωτικού χώρου: παρά την πύκνωση τον πολεοδομικού ιστού, χαρακτηριστικά είναι τα οικόπεδα που περιέχούν ακόμα μεμονωμένα σπίτια, μονώροφα ή διώροφα, επί προσώπου οδού, με ένα μεγάλο κήπο στο πίσω μέρος, που χωρίζονται από τα, γειτονικά οικόπεδα με ένα μαντρότοιχο πέτρινο ή από ωμές πλίνθους. Η Ερέτρια οφείλει λοιπόν να λάβει τη Θέση που της αξίζει στην ιστορία της Νεοελληνικής πολεοδομίας, εφόσον συμβάλλει στην καλύτερη κατανόηση των σχεδίων των δυο αυτών αδελφών πόλεων. Η μελέτη τον πολεοδομικού σχεδίού συμπληρώνεται από μια τυπολογική προσέγγιση των νεοκλασικών κτηρίων της Ερέτριας, η οποία υπογραμμίζει ακόμα περισσότερο την ιστορική αξία του συνόλου αυτού. Καθώς τα περισσότερα κτήρια απειλούνται με κατεδάφιση, με εξαίρεση λίγα από αυτά που είχαν την τύχη να συντηρούνται σωστά, μεταξύ 1994 και 2005, καταρτίστηκε ένα φωτογραφικό αρχείο των κτιρίων της Ερέτριας που χρονολογούνται στο 19° και στις αρχές τον 200υ αι., συμπληρωμένο και από παλιές φωτογραφίες. Από αυτό προκύπτει ότι οι μορφές κατ οι τεχνικές δομήσεως είναι αντιπροσωπευτικές της ιδιωτικής αρχιτεκτονικής κατά την εποχή της σύστασης τον Ελληνικού Κράτους. Τέλος, το γενικό ρυθμιστικό σχέδιο της Ερέτριας, που εκπονήθηκε στα 1975-1976 από μελετητική ομάδατης σχολής Αρχιτεκτόνων του Ομοσπονδιακού Πολυτεχνείου της Ζυρίχης, με την υποστήριξη της Ελβετικής Αρχαιολογικής Σχολής στην Ελλάδα., δημοσιεύεται εδώ για πρώτη φορά στην πλήρη μορφή του. Η παρούσα εργασία, αφορά ένα νεοκλασικό πολεοδομικό σύνολο, ταπεινό ίσως, αλλά αποτέλεσμα ενός φιλόδοξου πολεοδομικού σχεδιασμού, ο οποίος αποτελεί σημαντικό μάρτυρα του πολιτικού προγράμματος τον νεοσύστατού Ελληνικού Κράτους.

La responsabilité des autorités de surveillance bancaire en Europe : étude comparée du droit suisse et des droits allemand, anglais et français dans le contexte de l'Union européenne

I. Introduction : A. Données du problème : En ce début de XXIe siècle, le nombre d'actions en justice visant à engager la responsabilité des autorités de surveillance des banques, à la suite de faillites bancaires, n'a cessé de croître. Ce contentieux s'inscrit dans une tendance générale de recherche des responsabilités des acteurs chargés du contrôle des entités économiques privées. Les autorités de surveillance bancaire ont-elles l'obligation de répondre, devant la justice, du dommage éventuellement causé dans l'exercice de leur mission et d'en assumer les conséquences financières? C'est ce que tentent d'établir les demandeurs, le plus souvent des déposants lésés, qui, malgré l'existence de mécanismes de garantie des dépôts, n'ont pu recouvrer l'intégralité des sommes déposées auprès de banques défaillantes. Les demandeurs agissent fréquemment en dernier ressort contre l'autorité de surveillance bancaire. Les carences alléguées des autorités de surveillance bancaire constituent les fondements de leurs actions en justice. Plusieurs facteurs peuvent expliquer l'augmentation de ce contentieux : ? La croissance des avoirs financiers. Au sein d'un paysage financier européen caractérisé par l'intégration et l'interdépendance de plus en plus poussées des économies nationales, volume et concentration des avoirs financiers n'ont cessé de croître. ? La formalisation des réglementations prudentielles. La surveillance des banques repose désormais sur un corps de règles détaillé et précis, au niveau national, européen et international. ? Les défaillances bancaires. De telles défaillances ont touché de nombreux Etats ces dernières années: la Bank of Credit and Commerce international (BCCI) dont la faillite a eu des répercussions internationales en 1991, l'établissement Barings au Royaume-Uni en 1995, le Crédit Lyonnais en France en 1992 ou la Spar- und Leihkasse Thun en Suisse en 1991. Cette tendance est cependant paradoxale puisque dans de nombreux Etats européens, comme au Royaume-Uni ou en Allemagne, les autorités de surveillance jouissent d'une protection juridique conférée par la loi, les préservant, théoriquement, de poursuites judiciaires intempestives. Dans d'autres pays, comme en France et en Suisse, c'est le droit général de la responsabilité de l'Etat qui est appliqué de manière restrictive par les juridictions compétentes. Les actions judiciaires devant les juges nationaux comportent également des aspects de droit européen. En effet, depuis 1993 un marché bancaire unique existe en Europe et les demandeurs ont fréquemment invoqué le droit matériel de l'Union européenne à l'appui de leurs prétentions. L'affaire BCCI illustre le type de contentieux auquel doivent faire face le Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin) allemand, la Financial Services Authority (FSA) britannique, la Commission fédérale des banques (CFB) suisse ou la Commission bancaire (CB) française. L'accroissement de ce contentieux prouve que le risque d'engagement de la responsabilité des autorités de surveillance bancaire n'est pas purement théorique.

Financial Markets and Real Ecinomy: Four Essays in International Trade

Financial markets play an important role in an economy performing various functions like mobilizing and pooling savings, producing information about investment opportunities, screening and monitoring investments, implementation of corporate governance, diversification and management of risk. These functions influence saving rates, investment decisions, technological innovation and, therefore, have important implications for welfare. In my PhD dissertation I examine the interplay of financial and product markets by looking at different channels through which financial markets may influence an economy.My dissertation consists of four chapters. The first chapter is a co-authored work with Martin Strieborny, a PhD student from the University of Lausanne. The second chapter is a co-authored work with Melise Jaud, a PhD student from the Paris School of Economics. The third chapter is co-authored with both Melise Jaud and Martin Strieborny. The last chapter of my PhD dissertation is a single author paper.Chapter 1 of my PhD thesis analyzes the effect of financial development on growth of contract intensive industries. These industries intensively use intermediate inputs that neither can be sold on organized exchange, nor are reference-priced (Levchenko, 2007; Nunn, 2007). A typical example of a contract intensive industry would be an industry where an upstream supplier has to make investments in order to customize a product for needs of a downstream buyer. After the investment is made and the product is adjusted, the buyer may refuse to meet a commitment and trigger ex post renegotiation. Since the product is customized to the buyer's needs, the supplier cannot sell the product to a different buyer at the original price. This is referred in the literature as the holdup problem. As a consequence, the individually rational suppliers will underinvest into relationship-specific assets, hurting the downstream firms with negative consequences for aggregate growth. The standard way to mitigate the hold up problem is to write a binding contract and to rely on the legal enforcement by the state. However, even the most effective contract enforcement might fail to protect the supplier in tough times when the buyer lacks a reliable source of external financing. This suggests the potential role of financial intermediaries, banks in particular, in mitigating the incomplete contract problem. First, financial products like letters of credit and letters of guarantee can substantially decrease a risk and transaction costs of parties. Second, a bank loan can serve as a signal about a buyer's true financial situation, an upstream firm will be more willing undertake relationship-specific investment knowing that the business partner is creditworthy and will abstain from myopic behavior (Fama, 1985; von Thadden, 1995). Therefore, a well-developed financial (especially banking) system should disproportionately benefit contract intensive industries.The empirical test confirms this hypothesis. Indeed, contract intensive industries seem to grow faster in countries with a well developed financial system. Furthermore, this effect comes from a more developed banking sector rather than from a deeper stock market. These results are reaffirmed examining the effect of US bank deregulation on the growth of contract intensive industries in different states. Beyond an overall pro-growth effect, the bank deregulation seems to disproportionately benefit the industries requiring relationship-specific investments from their suppliers.Chapter 2 of my PhD focuses on the role of the financial sector in promoting exports of developing countries. In particular, it investigates how credit constraints affect the ability of firms operating in agri-food sectors of developing countries to keep exporting to foreign markets.Trade in high-value agri-food products from developing countries has expanded enormously over the last two decades offering opportunities for development. However, trade in agri-food is governed by a growing array of standards. Sanitary and Phytosanitary standards (SPS) and technical regulations impose additional sunk, fixed and operating costs along the firms' export life. Such costs may be detrimental to firms' survival, "pricing out" producers that cannot comply. The existence of these costs suggests a potential role of credit constraints in shaping the duration of trade relationships on foreign markets. A well-developed financial system provides the funds to exporters necessary to adjust production processes in order to meet quality and quantity requirements in foreign markets and to maintain long-standing trade relationships. The products with higher needs for financing should benefit the most from a well functioning financial system. This differential effect calls for a difference-in-difference approach initially proposed by Rajan and Zingales (1998). As a proxy for demand for financing of agri-food products, the sanitary risk index developed by Jaud et al. (2009) is used. The empirical literature on standards and norms show high costs of compliance, both variable and fixed, for high-value food products (Garcia-Martinez and Poole, 2004; Maskus et al., 2005). The sanitary risk index reflects the propensity of products to fail health and safety controls on the European Union (EU) market. Given the high costs of compliance, the sanitary risk index captures the demand for external financing to comply with such regulations.The prediction is empirically tested examining the export survival of different agri-food products from firms operating in Ghana, Mali, Malawi, Senegal and Tanzania. The results suggest that agri-food products that require more financing to keep up with food safety regulation of the destination market, indeed sustain longer in foreign market, when they are exported from countries with better developed financial markets.Chapter 3 analyzes the link between financial markets and efficiency of resource allocation in an economy. Producing and exporting products inconsistent with a country's factor endowments constitutes a serious misallocation of funds, which undermines competitiveness of the economy and inhibits its long term growth. In this chapter, inefficient exporting patterns are analyzed through the lens of the agency theories from the corporate finance literature. Managers may pursue projects with negative net present values because their perquisites or even their job might depend on them. Exporting activities are particularly prone to this problem. Business related to foreign markets involves both high levels of additional spending and strong incentives for managers to overinvest. Rational managers might have incentives to push for exports that use country's scarce factors which is suboptimal from a social point of view. Export subsidies might further skew the incentives towards inefficient exporting. Management can divert the export subsidies into investments promoting inefficient exporting.Corporate finance literature stresses the disciplining role of outside debt in counteracting the internal pressures to divert such "free cash flow" into unprofitable investments. Managers can lose both their reputation and the control of "their" firm if the unpaid external debt triggers a bankruptcy procedure. The threat of possible failure to satisfy debt service payments pushes the managers toward an efficient use of available resources (Jensen, 1986; Stulz, 1990; Hart and Moore, 1995). The main sources of debt financing in the most countries are banks. The disciplining role of banks might be especially important in the countries suffering from insufficient judicial quality. Banks, in pursuing their rights, rely on comparatively simple legal interventions that can be implemented even by mediocre courts. In addition to their disciplining role, banks can promote efficient exporting patterns in a more direct way by relaxing credit constraints of producers, through screening, identifying and investing in the most profitable investment projects. Therefore, a well-developed domestic financial system, and particular banking system, would help to push a country's exports towards products congruent with its comparative advantage.This prediction is tested looking at the survival of different product categories exported to US market. Products are identified according to the Euclidian distance between their revealed factor intensity and the country's factor endowments. The results suggest that products suffering from a comparative disadvantage (labour-intensive products from capital-abundant countries) survive less on the competitive US market. This pattern is stronger if the exporting country has a well-developed banking system. Thus, a strong banking sector promotes exports consistent with a country comparative advantage.Chapter 4 of my PhD thesis further examines the role of financial markets in fostering efficient resource allocation in an economy. In particular, the allocative efficiency hypothesis is investigated in the context of equity market liberalization.Many empirical studies document a positive and significant effect of financial liberalization on growth (Levchenko et al. 2009; Quinn and Toyoda 2009; Bekaert et al., 2005). However, the decrease in the cost of capital and the associated growth in investment appears rather modest in comparison to the large GDP growth effect (Bekaert and Harvey, 2005; Henry, 2000, 2003). Therefore, financial liberalization may have a positive impact on growth through its effect on the allocation of funds across firms and sectors.Free access to international capital markets allows the largest and most profitable domestic firms to borrow funds in foreign markets (Rajan and Zingales, 2003). As domestic banks loose some of their best clients, they reoptimize their lending practices seeking new clients among small and younger industrial firms. These firms are likely to be more risky than large and established companies. Screening of customers becomes prevalent as the return to screening rises. Banks, ceteris paribus, tend to focus on firms operating in comparative-advantage sectors because they are better risks. Firms in comparative-disadvantage sectors finding it harder to finance their entry into or survival in export markets either exit or refrain from entering export markets. On aggregate, one should therefore expect to see less entry, more exit, and shorter survival on export markets in those sectors after financial liberalization.The paper investigates the effect of financial liberalization on a country's export pattern by comparing the dynamics of entry and exit of different products in a country export portfolio before and after financial liberalization.The results suggest that products that lie far from the country's comparative advantage set tend to disappear relatively faster from the country's export portfolio following the liberalization of financial markets. In other words, financial liberalization tends to rebalance the composition of a country's export portfolio towards the products that intensively use the economy's abundant factors.

Feasibility of a knowledge translation CME program: courriels Cochrane.

INTRODUCTION: Systematic literature reviews provide best evidence, but are underused by clinicians. Thus, integrating Cochrane reviews into continuing medical education (CME) is challenging. We designed a pilot CME program where summaries of Cochrane reviews (Courriels Cochrane) were disseminated by e-mail. Program participants automatically received CME credit for each Courriel Cochrane they rated. The feasibility of this program is reported (delivery, participation, and participant evaluation). METHOD: We recruited French-speaking physicians through the Canadian Medical Association. Program delivery and participation were documented. Participants rated the informational value of Courriels Cochrane using the Information Assessment Method (IAM), which documented their reflective learning (relevance, cognitive impact, use for a patient, expected health benefits). IAM responses were aggregated and analyzed. RESULTS: The program was delivered as planned. Thirty Courriels Cochrane were delivered to 985 physicians, and 127 (12.9%) completed at least one IAM questionnaire. Out of 1109 Courriels Cochrane ratings, 973 (87.7%) conta-ined 1 or more types of positive cognitive impact, while 835 (75.3%) were clinically relevant. Participants reported the use of information for a patient and expected health benefits in 595 (53.7%) and 569 (51.3%) ratings, respectively. DISCUSSION: Program delivery required partnering with 5 organizations. Participants valued Courriels Cochrane. IAM ratings documented their reflective learning. The aggregation of IAM ratings documented 3 levels of CME outcomes: participation, learning, and performance. This evaluation study demonstrates the feasibility of the Courriels Cochrane as an approach to further disseminate Cochrane systematic literature reviews to clinicians and document self-reported knowledge translation associated with Cochrane reviews.

Social Investment Policies in Times of Permanent Austerity

The objective of this paper is to identify the political conditions that are most likely to be conducive to the development of social investment policies. It starts from the view put forward by theorists of welfare retrenchment that in the current context of permanent austerity, policy is likely to be dominated by retrenchment and implemented in a way that allows governments to minimise the risk of electoral punishment (blame avoidance). It is argued that this view is inconsistent with developments observed in several European countries, were some welfare state expansion has taken place mostly in the fields of childcare and active labour market policy. An alternative model is put forward, that emphasises the notion of "affordable credit claiming". It is argued that even under strong budgetary pressures, governments maintain a preference for policies that allow them to claim credit for their actions. Since the traditional redistributive policies tend to be off the menu for cost reasons, governments have tended to favour investments in childcare and active labour market policy as credit claiming tools. Policies developed in this way while they have a social investment flavour, tend to be rather limited in the extent to which they genuinely improve prospects of disadvantaged people by investing in their human capital. A more ambitious strategy of social investment sees unlikely to develop on the basis of affordable credit claiming. The paper starts by presenting the theoretical argument, which is then illustrated with examples taken from European countries both in the pre-crisis and in the post-crisis years.