Spatial relational learning and memory abilities do not differ between men and women in a real-world, open-field environment

This study assesses gender differences in spatial and non-spatial relational learning and memory in adult humans behaving freely in a real-world, open-field environment. In Experiment 1, we tested the use of proximal landmarks as conditional cues allowing subjects to predict the location of rewards hidden in one of two sets of three distinct locations. Subjects were tested in two different conditions: (1) when local visual cues marked the potentially-rewarded locations, and (2) when no local visual cues marked the potentially-rewarded locations. We found that only 17 of 20 adults (8 males, 9 females) used the proximal landmarks to predict the locations of the rewards. Although females exhibited higher exploratory behavior at the beginning of testing, males and females discriminated the potentially-rewarded locations similarly when local visual cues were present. Interestingly, when the spatial and local information conflicted in predicting the reward locations, males considered both spatial and local information, whereas females ignored the spatial information. However, in the absence of local visual cues females discriminated the potentially-rewarded locations as well as males. In Experiment 2, subjects (9 males, 9 females) were tested with three asymmetrically-arranged rewarded locations, which were marked by local cues on alternate trials. Again, females discriminated the rewarded locations as well as males in the presence or absence of local cues. In sum, although particular aspects of task performance might differ between genders, we found no evidence that women have poorer allocentric spatial relational learning and memory abilities than men in a real-world, open-field environment.

Multiple QTLs influencing triglyceride and HDL and total cholesterol levels identified in families with atherogenic dyslipidemia.

We conducted a genome-wide scan using variance components linkage analysis to localize quantitative-trait loci (QTLs) influencing triglyceride (TG), high density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C), low density lipoprotein-cholesterol, and total cholesterol (TC) levels in 3,071 subjects from 459 families with atherogenic dyslipidemia. The most significant evidence for linkage to TG levels was found in a subset of Turkish families at 11q22 [logarithm of the odds ratio (LOD)=3.34] and at 17q12 (LOD=3.44). We performed sequential oligogenic linkage analysis to examine whether multiple QTLs jointly influence TG levels in the Turkish families. These analyses revealed loci at 20q13 that showed strong epistatic effects with 11q22 (conditional LOD=3.15) and at 7q36 that showed strong epistatic effects with 17q12 (conditional LOD=3.21). We also found linkage on the 8p21 region for TG in the entire group of families (LOD=3.08). For HDL-C levels, evidence of linkage was identified on chromosome 15 in the Turkish families (LOD=3.05) and on chromosome 5 in the entire group of families (LOD=2.83). Linkage to QTLs for TC was found at 8p23 in the entire group of families (LOD=4.05) and at 5q13 in a subset of Turkish and Mediterranean families (LOD=3.72). These QTLs provide important clues for the further investigation of genes responsible for these complex lipid phenotypes. These data also indicate that a large proportion of the variance of TG levels in the Turkish population is explained by the interaction of multiple genetic loci.

Physical activity and energy expenditure in rheumatoid arthritis patients and matched controls.

OBJECTIVES: To compare daily energy expenditure between RA patients and matched controls, and to explore the relationship between daily energy expenditure or sedentariness and disease-related scores. METHODS: One hundred and ten patients with RA and 440 age- and sex-matched controls were included in this study. Energy expenditure was assessed using the validated physical activity (PA) frequency questionnaire. Disease-related scores included disease activity (DAS-28), functional status (HAQ), pain visual analogue scale (VAS) and fatigue VAS. Total energy expenditure (TEE) and the amount of energy spent in low- (TEE-low), moderate- (TEE-mod) and high-intensity (TEE-high) PAs were calculated. Sedentariness was defined as expending <10% of TEE in TEE-mod or TEE-high activities. Between-group comparisons were computed using conditional logistic regression. The effect of disease-related scores on TEE was investigated using linear regression. RESULTS: TEE was significantly lower for RA patients compared with controls [2392 kcal/day (95% CI 2295, 2490) and 2494  kcal/day (2446, 2543), respectively, P = 0.003]. A significant difference was found between groups in TEE-mod (P = 0.015), but not TEE-low (P = 0.242) and TEE-high (P = 0.146). All disease-related scores were significantly poorer in sedentary compared with active patients. TEE was inversely associated with age (P < 0.001), DAS-28 (P = 0.032) and fatigue VAS (P = 0.029), but not with HAQ and pain VAS. CONCLUSION: Daily energy expenditure is significantly lower in RA patients compared with matched controls, mainly due to less moderate-intensity PAs performed. Disease activity and fatigue are important contributing factors. These points need to be addressed if promoting PA in RA patients is a health goal. Trial registration. ClinicalTrials.gov, http://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT01228812.

Robust accelerated failure time regression

Robust estimators for accelerated failure time models with asymmetric (or symmetric) error distribution and censored observations are proposed. It is assumed that the error model belongs to a log-location-scale family of distributions and that the mean response is the parameter of interest. Since scale is a main component of mean, scale is not treated as a nuisance parameter. A three steps procedure is proposed. In the first step, an initial high breakdown point S estimate is computed. In the second step, observations that are unlikely under the estimated model are rejected or down weighted. Finally, a weighted maximum likelihood estimate is computed. To define the estimates, functions of censored residuals are replaced by their estimated conditional expectation given that the response is larger than the observed censored value. The rejection rule in the second step is based on an adaptive cut-off that, asymptotically, does not reject any observation when the data are generat ed according to the model. Therefore, the final estimate attains full efficiency at the model, with respect to the maximum likelihood estimate, while maintaining the breakdown point of the initial estimator. Asymptotic results are provided. The new procedure is evaluated with the help of Monte Carlo simulations. Two examples with real data are discussed.

Looking for factors involved in the light-dependent degradation of phytochrome A

SUMMARY : Phytochromes constitute a family of red/far-red photoreceptors regulating all the major transitions during the life cycle of plants. In Arabidopsis, five members: phyA,_ B, C, D and E, were identified. Phytochromes are synthesized in their inactive red-light absorbing form called Pr. Upon light absorbance they convert to the far-red light absorbing Pfr form. The Pfr form is the active conformer which converts back to the Pr form either rapidly upon far-red perception or in a slower process called dark reversion. ph~A represents an exception, in that it does not significantly dark-revert and two specific processes have been developed by the plants to decrease the amount of biologically active phyA. The first one is alight-dependent repression of the PHYA gene expression and the second one is alight-dependent degradation of the phyA protein. The latter is the most efficient process to rapidly decrease the level of active phyA. The ability of plants to regulate the amount of active phyA is critical in a far-red rich environment, a situation observed under a canopy. In these conditions, phyA is essential to induce the germination and the deetiolation of the young seedling. Later in the development the ability of phyA to repress growth counteracts the shade avoidance response. Therefore decreasing the amount of phyA allows stem growth and to compete with neighbours for the light. In this thesis, I investigate the light-dependent degradation of phyA. I developed a reverse genetic approach based on the systematic analysis of the light-dependent accumulation of phyA in the different cullin mutant cull, cul3a; cul3b and cul4. This analysis allowed me to show that CUL1 and CUL3A-based E3 ligase complexes are involved in the regulation of phyA degradation. Surprisingly, our results also demonstrate that cu14 is not affected in the degradation of phyA whereas constitutive Photomorphogenic 1 (COP1) a subunit of one CUL4based E3 complex was reported to be involved. Further investigations showed that the phenotype of cop1 is conditional, the mutant being defective in phyA degradation only in the presence of metabolisable sugars. I also showed that phyA is degraded by a proteasome-dependent mechanism both in the cytoplasm and in the nucleus using mutants and transgenic lines affected in the localization of phyA. Interestingly, I observed that phyA degradation was faster in the nucleus than in the cytosol and that rapid degradation of Pr also occurred in the nucleus suggesting that cytosolic accumulation of phyA in the dark is a way to regulate its proteolysis. Finally, we identify a short region similar to a PEST sequence required for phyA stability and we developed a unbiased genetic screen to identify new components involved in the regulation of the light-dependent degradation of phyA. The significance of these results are discussed. RESUME : Les phytochromes (phy) constituent une famille de photorécepteurs absorbant la lumière rouge et rouge lointaine et régulant toutes les étapes de transitions majeures dans la vie des plantes. Chez Arabidopsis, cinq membres : phyA, B, C, D et E ont été identifiés. Les phytochromes sont synthétisés sous une forme inactive appelée Pr absorbant la lumière rouge. Après perception de lumière ils passent sous une forme active Pfr absorbant dans le rouge lointain. La forme Pfr peut retourner sous la forme Pr après absorption de lumiëre rouge lointaine ou dans un processus lent appelé «réversion à l'obscurité ». phyA représente une exception à cette règle car il ne retoune pas significativement sous sa forme inactive dans le noir. Deux processus spécifiques ont donc été développés pour diminuer le taux de phyA actif. Le premier consiste en la répression du gène PHYA en condition de lumière et le second en une dégradation induite par la lumière de la protéine phyA. Ce dernier processus est le plus efficace pour diminuer rapidement le niveau de phyA. La capacité des plantes à réguler le taux de phyA actifs est critique dans un environnement riche en lumière rouge lointaine, une situation observée sous une canopée. Sous une canopée, phyA est essentiel pour induire la germination et la dé-étiolation de la jeune pousse. Plus tard dans le développement la capacité de phyA de réprimer la croissance freine la «réponse à l'évitement de l'ombre ». Par conséquent diminuer le taux de phyA permet la croissance de la tige et donc de rentrer en compétition pour la lumière avec les plantes avoisinantes. Dans cette thèse, j'ai étudié la dégradation de phyA. J'ai développé une approche génétique inverse basée sur l'analyse systématique de l'accumulation de phyA en condition de lumière dans les différents mutants cullin, cul1, cul3a, cul3b et cul4. Ces analyses nous ont permis d'identifier qu'un complexe E3 ligase CUL1 et un complexe E3 ligase CUL3A sont impliqués dans la régulation de la dégradation de phyA. Mes résultats démontrent aussi que le mutant cul4 n'est pas affecté dans la dégradation de phyA alors que Çonstitutive Photomorphogenic 1 (COPI) une sous unité d'un complexe CUL4 à été identifier dans la régulation de cette dégradation. Des analyses supplémentaires suggèrent que l'effet de la mutation cop1 est dépendante dë la présence de sucres métabolisables. J'ai aussi montré que phyA est dégradé dans le noyau et dans le cytoplasme par un mécanisme dépendant du protéasome et que la dégradation dans le.noyau est non seulement aspécifique de la forme Pr ou Pfr mais aussi est plus rapide que dans le cytoplasme. Ceci suggère que l'accumulation de phyA dans le cytoplasme permet son accumulation à des niveaux élevés à l'obscurité. Enfin j'ai identifié une région similaire à un motif PEST requise pour la stabilité de phyA et j'ai aussi développé un criblage génétique non biaisé pour identifier de nouveaux composants impliqués dans la régulation de la dégradation de phyA. L'importance de ces résultats est discutée dans le dernier chapitre de cette thèse.

Assessing small non-zero perceptions of chance: The case of H1N1 (swine) flu risks

Feelings of invulnerability, seen in judgments of 0% risk, can reflect misunderstandings of risk and risk behaviors, suggesting increased need for risk communication. However, judgments of 0% risk may be given by individuals who feel invulnerable, and by individuals who are rounding from small non-zero probabilities. We examined the effect of allowing participants to give more precise responses in the 0-1% range on the validity of reported probability judgments. Participants assessed probabilities for getting H1N1 influenza and dying from it conditional on infection, using a 0-100% visual linear scale. Those responding in the 0-1% range received a follow-up question with more options in that range. This two-step procedure reduced the use of 0% and increased the resolution of responses in the 0-1% range. Moreover, revised probability responses improved predictions of attitudes and self-reported behaviors. Hence, our two-step procedure allows for more precise and more valid measurement of perceived invulnerability. [Authors]

Role of the V-ATPase in regulation of the vacuolar fission-fusion equilibrium.

Like numerous other eukaryotic organelles, the vacuole of the yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae undergoes coordinated cycles of membrane fission and fusion in the course of the cell cycle and in adaptation to environmental conditions. Organelle fission and fusion processes must be balanced to ensure organelle integrity. Coordination of vacuole fission and fusion depends on the interactions of vacuolar SNARE proteins and the dynamin-like GTPase Vps1p. Here, we identify a novel factor that impinges on the fusion-fission equilibrium: the vacuolar H(+)-ATPase (V-ATPase) performs two distinct roles in vacuole fission and fusion. Fusion requires the physical presence of the membrane sector of the vacuolar H(+)-ATPase sector, but not its pump activity. Vacuole fission, in contrast, depends on proton translocation by the V-ATPase. Eliminating proton pumping by the V-ATPase either pharmacologically or by conditional or constitutive V-ATPase mutations blocked salt-induced vacuole fragmentation in vivo. In living cells, fission defects are epistatic to fusion defects. Therefore, mutants lacking the V-ATPase display large single vacuoles instead of multiple smaller vacuoles, the phenotype that is generally seen in mutants having defects only in vacuolar fusion. Its dual involvement in vacuole fission and fusion suggests the V-ATPase as a potential regulator of vacuolar morphology and membrane dynamics.

Atopic dermatitis-like disease and associated lethal myeloproliferative disorder arise from loss of Notch signaling in the murine skin.

BACKGROUND: The Notch pathway is essential for proper epidermal differentiation during embryonic skin development. Moreover, skin specific loss of Notch signaling in the embryo results in skin barrier defects accompanied by a B-lymphoproliferative disease. However, much less is known about the consequences of loss of Notch signaling after birth. METHODOLOGY AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: To study the function of Notch signaling in the skin of adult mice, we made use of a series of conditional gene targeted mice that allow inactivation of several components of the Notch signaling pathway specifically in the skin. We demonstrate that skin-specific inactivation of Notch1 and Notch2 simultaneously, or RBP-J, induces the development of a severe form of atopic dermatitis (AD), characterized by acanthosis, spongiosis and hyperkeratosis, as well as a massive dermal infiltration of eosinophils and mast cells. Likewise, patients suffering from AD, but not psoriasis or lichen planus, have a marked reduction of Notch receptor expression in the skin. Loss of Notch in keratinocytes induces the production of thymic stromal lymphopoietin (TSLP), a cytokine deeply implicated in the pathogenesis of AD. The AD-like associated inflammation is accompanied by a myeloproliferative disorder (MPD) characterized by an increase in immature myeloid populations in the bone marrow and spleen. Transplantation studies revealed that the MPD is cell non-autonomous and caused by dramatic microenvironmental alterations. Genetic studies demontrated that G-CSF mediates the MPD as well as changes in the bone marrow microenvironment leading to osteopenia. SIGNIFICANCE: Our data demonstrate a critical role for Notch in repressing TSLP production in keratinocytes, thereby maintaining integrity of the skin and the hematopoietic system.

Hematopoietic stem cell function and survival depend on c-Myc and N-Myc activity.

Myc activity is emerging as a key element in acquisition and maintenance of stem cell properties. We have previously shown that c-Myc deficiency results in accumulation of defective hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) due to niche-dependent differentiation defects. Here we report that immature HSCs coexpress c-myc and N-myc mRNA at similar levels. Although conditional deletion of N-myc in the bone marrow does not affect hematopoiesis, combined deficiency of c-Myc and N-Myc (dKO) results in pancytopenia and rapid lethality. Interestingly, proliferation of HSCs depends on both myc genes during homeostasis, but is c-Myc/N-Myc independent during bone marrow repair after injury. Strikingly, while most dKO hematopoietic cells undergo apoptosis, only self-renewing HSCs accumulate the cytotoxic molecule Granzyme B, normally employed by the innate immune system, thereby revealing an unexpected mechanism of stem cell apoptosis. Collectively, Myc activity (c-Myc and N-Myc) controls crucial aspects of HSC function including proliferation, differentiation, and survival.

Design, conduct, and analyses of Breast International Group (BIG) 1-98: a randomized, double-blind, phase-III study comparing letrozole and tamoxifen as adjuvant endocrine therapy for postmenopausal women with receptor-positive, early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Aromatase inhibitors provide superior disease control when compared with tamoxifen as adjuvant therapy for postmenopausal women with endocrine-responsive early breast cancer. PURPOSE: To present the design, history, and analytic challenges of the Breast International Group (BIG) 1-98 trial: an international, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, phase-III study comparing the aromatase inhibitor letrozole with tamoxifen in this clinical setting. METHODS: From 1998-2003, BIG 1-98 enrolled 8028 women to receive monotherapy with either tamoxifen or letrozole for 5 years, or sequential therapy of 2 years of one agent followed by 3 years of the other. Randomization to one of four treatment groups permitted two complementary analyses to be conducted several years apart. The first, reported in 2005, provided a head-to-head comparison of letrozole versus tamoxifen. Statistical power was increased by an enriched design, which included patients who were assigned sequential treatments until the time of the treatment switch. The second, reported in late 2008, used a conditional landmark approach to test the hypothesis that switching endocrine agents at approximately 2 years from randomization for patients who are disease-free is superior to continuing with the original agent. RESULTS: The 2005 analysis showed the superiority of letrozole compared with tamoxifen. The patients who were assigned tamoxifen alone were unblinded and offered the opportunity to switch to letrozole. Results from other trials increased the clinical relevance about whether or not to start treatment with letrozole or tamoxifen, and analysis plans were expanded to evaluate sequential versus single-agent strategies from randomization. LIMITATIONS: Due to the unblinding of patients assigned tamoxifen alone, analysis of updated data will require ascertainment of the influence of selective crossover from tamoxifen to letrozole. CONCLUSIONS: BIG 1-98 is an example of an enriched design, involving complementary analyses addressing different questions several years apart, and subject to evolving analytic plans influenced by new data that emerge over time.

Scnn1 sodium channel gene family in genetically engineered mice.

The amiloride-sensitive epithelial sodium channel is the limiting step in salt absorption. In mice, this channel is composed of three subunits (alpha, beta, and gamma), which are encoded by different genes (Scnn1a, Scnn1b, and Scnn1c, respectively). The functions of these genes were recently investigated in transgenic (knockout) experiments, and the absence of any subunit led to perinatal lethality. More defined phenotypes have been obtained by introducing specific mutations or using transgenic rescue experiments. In this report, these approaches are summarized and a current gene-targeting strategy to obtain conditional inactivation of the channel is illustrated. This latter approach will be indispensable for the investigation of channel function in a wide variety of organ systems.

Role of FGF and Wnt pathways in endoderm patterning and pancreas organogenesis

Summary Between gastrulation and gut tube formation, the endoderm becomes regionally specified along the anterior-posterior axis. An early sign of patterning is the expression of organ-specific genes in restricted endoderm domains. We studied the role of the fibroblast growth factor (FGF) and Wnt pathways in the establishment of the antero-posterior (A-P) axis domains. Here we report the first evidence that graded FGF4-mediated signaling establishes gut tube domains along the A-P axis in vivo from gastrulation to somitogenesis. At gastrulation, FGF4 may act cooperatively with Wnts, since both of them affect the gut tube patterning by promoting posterior and inhibiting anterior endoderm cell fate. The activity of the Wnt pathway is however time restricted, since. it does not affect patterning at somitogenesis. Our experiments point to a global mechanism that coordinates the A-P patterning of all three primary germ layers. Soon after regionalization of the gut tube, morphogenetic evidences of organogenesis appear. We focused our attention on one of these organs, the pancreas. We report a comprehensive investigation of the activity and the role of the Wnt pathway in pancreas organogenesis. We have used two mouse reporter lines to monitor canonical Wnt-pathway activity during development and after birth and demonstrate activity in early pancreatic bud, endocrine cells and in the mesenchyme. We have specifically deleted the ß-catenin .gene, a key component of the Wnt pathway, in the epithelium of the pancreas and duodenum using Pdxl -Cre mice. In agreement with Wnt pathway activity in pancreatic endocrine cells, we find a reduction in endocrine islet numbers. Our study reveals that ß-catenin deletion also affects cells in which Wnt pathway activity is not detected. Indeed, ß-catenin mutant cells have a competitive disadvantage during development that also' affects the exocrine compartment. Moreover, the conditional KO mice develop acute edematous pancreatitis perinatally due to the disruption of the epithelial structure of acini. These effects are likely to be due to the function of ß-catenin at the membrane. Résumé Entre la gastrulation et la formation du tube digestif, l'endoderme est progressivement régionalisé le long de l'axe antéropostérieur (A-P). Un des premiers signes de cette régionalisation est l'expression de gènes spécifiques à certains organes dans une région restreinte. Nous avons étudié l'implication des voies de signalisation FGF et Wnt dans l'établissement de la régionalisation A-P. Nous rapportons les premières preuves que FGF4 établit la ségrégation des domaines de l'endoderme le long de l'axe A-P in vivo de la gastrulation à la somitogenèse. Cette activité peut être menée en collaboration avec les Wnts, puisque ceux-ci influencent aussi l'endoderme en inhibant le destin antérieur et en induisant le destin postérieur des cellules. Cette activité des Wnts est perdue à la somitogenèse. Nos expériences démontrent une régionalisation coordonnée des trois feuillets germinaux le long de l'axe A-P. Peu après la régionalisation, les premiers signes morphologiques de l'organogenèse apparaissent. Nous nous sommes intéressés au rôle des Wnts dans un des dérivés de l'endoderme : le pancréas. Nous avons utilisés deux lignés de souris rapportrices de l'activité de la voie canonique des Wnts, qui montrent une activité dans le bourgeon précoce du pancréas avant la différentiation, puis plus tard dans les cellules endocrines et le mésenchyme. Nous avons utilisé la souris transgénique Pdxl -Cre pour inactiver spécifiquement le gène de la ß-caténine, un intermédiaire de la voie des Wnts, dans la région pancréatique. En accord avec l'activité de la voie de signalisation Wnt, la perte de la ßcaténine conduit à une réduction du nombre de cellules endocrines. De plus certaines cellules qui ne montrent aucune activité de la voie Wnt sont aussi affectées. En effet, les cellules ayant perdu la ß-caténine ont un désavantage compétitif face aux cellules sauvages dans un environnement mosaïque. Cette compétition résulte en l'absence de cellules déplétées en ßcaténine chez l'adulte. De plus, vers la naissance, les animaux déficients pour la ß-caténine développent une pancréatite aiguë due à la destruction de l'architecture des acini. Ceci est probablement aux fonctions d'adhésion de la ß-caténine à la membrane.

The Ciliogenic Transcription Factor RFX3 Regulates Early Midline Distribution of Guidepost Neurons Required for Corpus Callosum Development.

The corpus callosum (CC) is the major commissure that bridges the cerebral hemispheres. Agenesis of the CC is associated with human ciliopathies, but the origin of this default is unclear. Regulatory Factor X3 (RFX3) is a transcription factor involved in the control of ciliogenesis, and Rfx3-deficient mice show several hallmarks of ciliopathies including left-right asymmetry defects and hydrocephalus. Here we show that Rfx3-deficient mice suffer from CC agenesis associated with a marked disorganisation of guidepost neurons required for axon pathfinding across the midline. Using transplantation assays, we demonstrate that abnormalities of the mutant midline region are primarily responsible for the CC malformation. Conditional genetic inactivation shows that RFX3 is not required in guidepost cells for proper CC formation, but is required before E12.5 for proper patterning of the cortical septal boundary and hence accurate distribution of guidepost neurons at later stages. We observe focused but consistent ectopic expression of Fibroblast growth factor 8 (Fgf8) at the rostro commissural plate associated with a reduced ratio of GLIoma-associated oncogene family zinc finger 3 (GLI3) repressor to activator forms. We demonstrate on brain explant cultures that ectopic FGF8 reproduces the guidepost neuronal defects observed in Rfx3 mutants. This study unravels a crucial role of RFX3 during early brain development by indirectly regulating GLI3 activity, which leads to FGF8 upregulation and ultimately to disturbed distribution of guidepost neurons required for CC morphogenesis. Hence, the RFX3 mutant mouse model brings novel understandings of the mechanisms that underlie CC agenesis in ciliopathies.

Condition association between melanism and personality in Israeli Barn Owls

Capsule Boldness defines the extent to which animals are willing to take risks in the presence of a predator. Late, but not early, in the breeding season, Israeli nestling Barn Owls displaying larger black feather spots were more docile, feigned death longer and had a lower breathing rate when handled than smaller-spotted nestlings. Larger-spotted breeding females were less docile if heavy but more more docile if light. The covariation between personality (boldness vs. timid) and melanin-based colouration is therefore conditional on environmental factors.

Improvement of therapeutic drug monitoring of imatinib by Bayesian prediction of trough levels. Personalized drug dosage

Aims: Plasma concentrations of imatinib differ largely between patients despite same dosage, owing to large inter-individual variability in pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters. As the drug concentration at the end of the dosage interval (Cmin) correlates with treatment response and tolerability, monitoring of Cmin is suggested for therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) of imatinib. Due to logistic difficulties, random sampling during the dosage interval is however often performed in clinical practice, thus rendering the respective results not informative regarding Cmin values.Objectives: (I) To extrapolate randomly measured imatinib concentrations to more informative Cmin using classical Bayesian forecasting. (II) To extend the classical Bayesian method to account for correlation between PK parameters. (III) To evaluate the predictive performance of both methods.Methods: 31 paired blood samples (random and trough levels) were obtained from 19 cancer patients under imatinib. Two Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) methods were implemented: (A) a classical method ignoring correlation between PK parameters, and (B) an extended one accounting for correlation. Both methods were applied to estimate individual PK parameters, conditional on random observations and covariate-adjusted priors from a population PK model. The PK parameter estimates were used to calculate trough levels. Relative prediction errors (PE) were analyzed to evaluate accuracy (one-sample t-test) and to compare precision between the methods (F-test to compare variances).Results: Both Bayesian MAP methods allowed non-biased predictions of individual Cmin compared to observations: (A) - 7% mean PE (CI95% - 18 to 4 %, p = 0.15) and (B) - 4% mean PE (CI95% - 18 to 10 %, p = 0.69). Relative standard deviations of actual observations from predictions were 22% (A) and 30% (B), i.e. comparable to the intraindividual variability reported. Precision was not improved by taking into account correlation between PK parameters (p = 0.22).Conclusion: Clinical interpretation of randomly measured imatinib concentrations can be assisted by Bayesian extrapolation to maximum likelihood Cmin. Classical Bayesian estimation can be applied for TDM without the need to include correlation between PK parameters. Both methods could be adapted in the future to evaluate other individual pharmacokinetic measures correlated to clinical outcomes, such as area under the curve(AUC).