Cluster recognition in spatial-temporal sequences: The case of forest fires

Forest fire sequences can be modelled as a stochastic point process where events are characterized by their spatial locations and occurrence in time. Cluster analysis permits the detection of the space/time pattern distribution of forest fires. These analyses are useful to assist fire-managers in identifying risk areas, implementing preventive measures and conducting strategies for an efficient distribution of the firefighting resources. This paper aims to identify hot spots in forest fire sequences by means of the space-time scan statistics permutation model (STSSP) and a geographical information system (GIS) for data and results visualization. The scan statistical methodology uses a scanning window, which moves across space and time, detecting local excesses of events in specific areas over a certain period of time. Finally, the statistical significance of each cluster is evaluated through Monte Carlo hypothesis testing. The case study is the forest fires registered by the Forest Service in Canton Ticino (Switzerland) from 1969 to 2008. This dataset consists of geo-referenced single events including the location of the ignition points and additional information. The data were aggregated into three sub-periods (considering important preventive legal dispositions) and two main ignition-causes (lightning and anthropogenic causes). Results revealed that forest fire events in Ticino are mainly clustered in the southern region where most of the population is settled. Our analysis uncovered local hot spots arising from extemporaneous arson activities. Results regarding the naturally-caused fires (lightning fires) disclosed two clusters detected in the northern mountainous area.

Hyperglycemia downregulates Connexin36 in pancreatic islets via the upregulation of ICER-1/ICER-1γ.

Channels formed by the gap junction protein Connexin36 (CX36) contribute to the proper control of insulin secretion. We previously demonstrated that chronic exposure to glucose decreases Cx36 levels in insulin-secreting cells in vitro. Here, we investigated whether hyperglycemia also regulates Cx36 in vivo. Using a model of continuous glucose infusion in adult rats, we showed that prolonged (24-48 h) hyperglycemia reduced the Cx36 gene Gjd2 mRNA levels in pancreatic islets. Accordingly, prolonged exposure to high glucose concentrations also reduced the expression and function of Cx36 in the rat insulin-producing INS-1E cell line. The glucose effect was blocked after inhibition of the cAMP/PKA pathway and was associated with an overexpression of the inducible cAMP early repressor ICER-1/ICER-1γ, which binds to a functional cAMP-response element in the promoter of the Cx36 gene Gjd2. The involvement of this repressor was further demonstrated using an antisense strategy of ICER-1 inhibition, which prevented glucose-induced downregulation of Cx36. The data indicate that chronic exposure to glucose alters the in vivo expression of Cx36 by the insulin-producing β-cells through ICER-1/ICER-1γ overexpression. This mechanism may contribute to the reduced glucose sensitivity and altered insulin secretion, which contribute to the pathophysiology of diabetes.

Lésions cérébrales du prématuré et techniques d'imagerie à visée pronostique du développement neurocognitif [Cerebral brain injury in preterm infants and the role of neuroimaging in predicting neurodevelopmental outcomes].

Due to advances in neonatal intensive care over the last decades, the pattern of brain injury seen in very preterm infants has evolved in more subtle lesions that are still essential to diagnose in regard to neurodevelopmental outcome. While cranial ultrasound is still used at the bedside, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is becoming increasingly used in this population for the assessment of brain maturation and white and grey matter lesions. Therefore, MRI provides a better prognostic value for the neurodevelopmental outcome of these preterms. Furthermore, the development of new MRI techniques, such as diffusion tensor imaging, resting state functional connectivity and magnetic resonance spectroscopy, may further increase the prognostic value, helping to counsel parents and allocate early intervention services.

Neuronal in vitro models for the estimation of acute systemic toxicity.

The objective of the EU funded integrated project "ACuteTox" is to develop a strategy in which general cytotoxicity, together with organ-specific endpoints and biokinetic features, are taken into consideration in the in vitro prediction of oral acute systemic toxicity. With regard to the nervous system, the effects of 23 reference chemicals were tested with approximately 50 endpoints, using a neuronal cell line, primary neuronal cell cultures, brain slices and aggregated brain cell cultures. Comparison of the in vitro neurotoxicity data with general cytotoxicity data generated in a non-neuronal cell line and with in vivo data such as acute human lethal blood concentration, revealed that GABA(A) receptor function, acetylcholine esterase activity, cell membrane potential, glucose uptake, total RNA expression and altered gene expression of NF-H, GFAP, MBP, HSP32 and caspase-3 were the best endpoints to use for further testing with 36 additional chemicals. The results of the second analysis showed that no single neuronal endpoint could give a perfect improvement in the in vitro-in vivo correlation, indicating that several specific endpoints need to be analysed and combined with biokinetic data to obtain the best correlation with in vivo acute toxicity.

Hominoid fission of chromosome 14/15 and the role of segmental duplications.

Ape chromosomes homologous to human chromosomes 14 and 15 were generated by a fission event of an ancestral submetacentric chromosome, where the two chromosomes were joined head-to-tail. The hominoid ancestral chromosome most closely resembles the macaque chromosome 7. In this work, we provide insights into the evolution of human chromosomes 14 and 15, performing a comparative study between macaque boundary region 14/15 and the orthologous human regions. We construct a 1.6-Mb contig of macaque BAC clones in the region orthologous to the ancestral hominoid fission site and use it to define the structural changes that occurred on human 14q pericentromeric and 15q subtelomeric regions. We characterize the novel euchromatin-heterochromatin transition region (∼20 Mb) acquired during the neocentromere establishment on chromosome 14, and find it was mainly derived through pericentromeric duplications from ancestral hominoid chromosomes homologous to human 2q14-qter and 10. Further, we show a relationship between evolutionary hotspots and low-copy repeat loci for chromosome 15, revealing a possible role of segmental duplications not only in mediating but also in "stitching" together rearrangement breakpoints.

Monitoring of innate and adaptive immune responses in the context of human immunotherapy

Summary1 SummaryCancer patients have a better clinical outcome when their tumours display marked infiltration by memory Τ cells. Moreover, the overrepresentation of Th1 gene signatures in primary tumours correlates with favourable prognosis. Thus, vaccination to induce Τ cells capable of infiltrating and eradicating the tumour seems a promising strategy for the treatment of cancer. Here, I monitored CD4 Τ cell responses in melanoma patients vaccinated with the long synthetic peptides Melan- A16-35(A27L) and NY-ESO-179.108. Most of the patients developed strong and diverse peptide antigen specific CD4 Τ cell responses. Analysis of the fine specificity of CD4 Τ cell antigen recognition led to the identification of two new epitopes. The peptide Melan-A16_35(A27L) was delivered by virus-like particles (VLPs) derived from bacteriophage Οβ, which themselves displayed strong immunogenicity. I show evidence for induction of Οβ- and Melan-A specific CD4 Τ cell responses that developed a Th1 functional profile after repeated vaccination cycles. They also specifically released the chemokines CCL-3 and CCL-4, which play important roles in attracting CD8 Τ cells to the APC surface for priming and formation of Τ cell memory. We further found induction of robust humoral IgG responses upon VLP vaccination, and the lgG1-lgG4 isotype composition depended on the adjuvant used. Since heavy chain class switching largely dépends on the presence of CD4 Τ cell help, this result suggests that the adjuvant can influence the differentiation of elicited CD4 Τ cells, thereby contributing to the quality and function of both Β cells and CD8 Τ cells. The nature of the inflammatory processes in the tumour microenvironment can modulate CD8 Τ cell function. A collaboration was established for the investigation regulation of inflammasome activation in human primary monocytes. We identified IL- 4 and TGF-β as strong inhibitors of IL-1 β secretion, Indicating some level of regulation from effector Th2 and Treg responses. We further found a potent inhibition of inflammasome activation by type I interferon, and demonstrated in vivo inhibition of IL-1 β responses in monocytes from active multiple sclerosis patients under IFN-β therapy. This finding further offers a possible explanation for its success, which mechanism of action is still largely unclear. Interestingly, type I interferon is also being used as adjuvant treatment for tumour free metastatic cutaneous melanoma patients. While its clinical benefit has remained controversial, recent data suggest that the subset of patients with ulcerated primary melanoma lesions can benefit from this therapy. Future investigations will shed light on the implication of the inflammasome in this context, and may offer new strategies for improved adjuvant treatments of melanoma.2 RésuméLes patients atteints de cancer ont une meilleure chance de survie si leurs tumeurs s'avèrent être largement infiltrées par des cellules Τ mémoires. De plus, la surreprésentation d'une signature génique Th1 est en corrélation avec un pronostic favorable. Ainsi, la vaccination visant à induire des cellules Τ capables d'infiltrer et de détruire la tumeur parait être une stratégie prometteuse pour le traitement du cancer. Dans ce travail, j'ai procédé au monitoring de la réponse des cellules Τ CD4 dans des patients atteints de mélanome vaccinés avec les longs peptides synthétiques Melan-A16_35(A27L) et NY-ESO-179_108. Ces peptides représentent des antigènes tumoraux reconnus par des lymphocytes T. La majorité des patients a développé une réponse forte et diversifiée des cellules Τ CD4 spécifiques contre les peptides. L'analyse de la spécificité fine de la reconnaissance antigénique des cellules Τ CD4 nous a conduits à l'identification de deux nouveaux épitopes. Le peptide Melan-Aie. 35(A27L) a été délivré par des particules de type viral (VLPs) dérivés de bactériophages Qβ, qui ont eux-mêmes démontré une forte immunogénicité. Mon travail montre les preuves d'une induction de réponses spécifiques des cellules Τ CD4 contre les Qβ et Melan-A développant un profil fonctionnel Th1 après plusieurs cycles de vaccination. Elles secrètent aussi spécifiquement les chimiokines CCL-3 et CCL-4, qui jouent un rôle important dans l'attraction des cellules Τ CD8 à la surface des cellules présentatrices d'antigènes et contribuent ainsi à induire et former la mémoire cellulaire Τ CD8. Nous avons également remarqué une induction de fortes réponses humorales IgG après vaccination avec les VLPs, et que la composition des isotypes lgG1-lgG4 dépendait de l'adjuvant utilisé. Etant donné qu'une commutation de classe de la chaîne lourde dépend largement ùie l'aide des cellules Τ CD4, ce résultat suggère que l'adjuvant puisse influencer la différeritiation de cellules Τ CD4 en différent types, contribuant ainsi à la qualité et à la fonction des cellules Β et des cellules Τ CD8.La nature des processus d'inflammation dans le microenvironnement tumoral peut moduler la fonction des cellules Τ CD8. Une collaboration a été établie pour investiguer la régulation de l'activation de l'inflammasome dans des monocytes primaires humains. Nous avons identifié l'IL-4 et le TGF-β comme étant de puissants inhibiteurs de la sécrétion de IL-Ιβ, indiquant une certaine régulation de la réponse inflammatoire induite par les cellules Th2 et Τ régulatrices. Nous avons également trouvé une forte inhibition de l'activation de l'inflammasome par l'interféron type I, et nous avons démontré une inhibition in vivo de la réponse IL-1 β dans des monocytes de patients atteints d'une sclérose en plaque active sous traitement IFN-β. Ce résultat nous offre une possible explication du succès de cette thérapie, dont le mécanisme reste à ce jour encore largement obscur. Il est intéressant de noter que l'interféron de type I est également utilisé pour le traitement de patients atteints de mélanome cutané métastasique sans tumeurs. Bien que le bénéfice clinique de ce traitement reste controversé, des études récentes montrent qu'une partie des patients atteints de mélanome primaire ulcéré peut tirer bénéfice de cette thérapie. De futures investigations pourront mieux nous renseigner sur l'implication de l'inflammasome dans ce contexte et offrir de nouvelles stratégies pour améliorer les traitements adjuvants du mélanome.

LIF and sIL-2R plasma concentrations in IVF patients on the day of embryo transfer: predictive markers of IVF outcome.

Successful implantation is still the limiting step in IVF. We hypothesized that maternal plasma concentrations of certain cytokines at the time of embryo transfer could predict the likelihood of successful implantation and pregnancy. sIL-2R, IL-6, LIF, and MMP2 concentrations were measured in plasma from 160 IVF patients (natural and stimulated IVF cycles) on the morning of the embryo transfer (ET0) and 14days later (ET+14). Patients were ultimately subdivided into four groups depending on the IVF treatment outcome (pregnancy failure, biochemical pregnancy, first-trimester miscarriage and normal term delivery). In natural and stimulated IVF cycles at ET0, sIL-2R concentrations were threefold higher in biochemical pregnancies than in pregnancy failures (P=0.020), and in natural cycles only, 2.5-fold higher in normal term deliveries than in pregnancy failures (P=0.023). Conversely, in natural and stimulated IVF cycles at ET0, LIF concentrations were one third lower in biochemical pregnancies/first-trimester miscarriages compared with pregnancy failures (P=0.042). We suggest that high sIL-2R and low LIF concentrations in maternal plasma on the morning of the embryo transfer might be associated with increased risks of early pregnancy loss, while a basal level of sIL-2R is necessary for normal term delivery outcome. Both cytokine measurements might therefore be useful in the management of IVF patients, and modulation of their concentrations could be investigated as a therapeutic alternative for women with abnormal concentrations at the time of embryo transfer.

Use of a combined ex vivo/in vivo population approach for screening of human genes involved in the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 life cycle for variants influencing disease progression.

Humans differ substantially with respect to susceptibility to human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1). We evaluated variants of nine host genes participating in the viral life cycle for their role in modulating HIV-1 infection. Alleles were assessed ex vivo for their impact on viral replication in purified CD4 T cells from healthy blood donors (n = 128). Thereafter, candidate alleles were assessed in vivo in a cohort of HIV-1-infected individuals (n = 851) not receiving potent antiretroviral therapy. As a benchmark test, we tested 12 previously reported host genetic variants influencing HIV-1 infection as well as single nucleotide polymorphisms in the nine candidate genes. This led to the proposition of three alleles of PML, TSG101, and PPIA as potentially associated with differences in progression of HIV-1 disease. In a model considering the combined effects of new and previously reported gene variants, we estimated that their effect might be responsible for lengthening or shortening by up to 2.8 years the period from 500 CD4 T cells/mul to <200 CD4 T cells/mul.