Estimating the net contribution of interleukin-28B variation to spontaneous hepatitis C virus clearance.

The identification of associations between interleukin-28B (IL-28B) variants and the spontaneous clearance of hepatitis C virus (HCV) raises the issues of causality and the net contribution of host genetics to the trait. To estimate more precisely the net effect of IL-28B genetic variation on HCV clearance, we optimized genotyping and compared the host contributions in multiple- and single-source cohorts to control for viral and demographic effects. The analysis included individuals with chronic or spontaneously cleared HCV infections from a multiple-source cohort (n = 389) and a single-source cohort (n = 71). We performed detailed genotyping in the coding region of IL-28B and searched for copy number variations to identify the genetic variant or haplotype carrying the strongest association with viral clearance. This analysis was used to compare the effects of IL-28B variation in the two cohorts. Haplotypes characterized by carriage of the major alleles at IL-28B single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were highly overrepresented in individuals with spontaneous clearance versus those with chronic HCV infections (66.1% versus 38.6%, P = 6 × 10(-9) ). The odds ratios for clearance were 2.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.6-3.0] and 3.9 (95% CI = 1.5-10.2) in the multiple- and single-source cohorts, respectively. Protective haplotypes were in perfect linkage (r(2) = 1.0) with a nonsynonymous coding variant (rs8103142). Copy number variants were not detected. We identified IL-28B haplotypes highly predictive of spontaneous HCV clearance. The high linkage disequilibrium between IL-28B SNPs indicates that association studies need to be complemented by functional experiments to identify single causal variants. The point estimate for the genetic effect was higher in the single-source cohort, which was used to effectively control for viral diversity, sex, and coinfections and, therefore, offered a precise estimate of the net host genetic contribution.

Neurobiology of suicide: do biomarkers exist?

Clinical risk factors have a low predictive value on suicide. This may explain the increasing interest in potential neurobiological correlates and specific heritable markers of suicide vulnerability. This review aims to present the current neurobiological findings that have been shown to be implicated in suicide completers and to discuss how postmortem studies may be useful in characterizing these individuals. Data on the role of the main neurobiological systems in suicidality, such as the neurotransmitter families, hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis, neurotrophic factors, and polyamines, are exposed at the different biochemical, genetic, and epigenetic levels. Some neuroanatomic and neuropathological aspects as well as their in vivo morphological and functional neuroimaging correlates are also described. Except for the serotoninergic system, particularly with respect to the polymorphism of the gene coding for the serotonin transporter (5-HTTLPR) and brain-derived neurotrophic factor, data did not converge to produce a univocal consensus. The possible limitations of currently published studies are discussed, as well as the scope for long-term prospective studies.

Glomerular filtration rate: measure creatinine and height rather than cystatin C!

AIM: Inulin clearance (Cin) is the gold standard for assessing glomerular filtration rate (GFR). Other methods are based on the plasma creatinine concentration (Pcreat), creatinine clearance (Ccreat), the Haycock-Schwartz formula and the plasma concentration of cystatin C (PcysC), a 13 kDa basic protein produced at a constant rate by all nucleated cells. The present prospective study was thus designed to evaluate the reliability of PcysC as a marker of GFR in comparison with that of Pcreat, Ccreat and the Haycock-Schwartz formula, using Cin as the gold standard. METHODS: Ninety-nine children (51 m/48 f), with a median age of 8.3 y (1.0-17.9) were studied. Using a cut-off for Cin of 100 ml/min per 1.73 m2, 54 children (54.5%) had impaired GFR. Those with normal GFR were comparable for age, height, weight and body mass index. RESULTS: Logistic regression, ROC analysis and linear regression all showed that Ccreat was the best parameter to discriminate between impaired and normal GFR, followed by the Haycock-Schwartz formula, PcysC, and finally Pcreat, each one being significantly more predictive than the next. CONCLUSION: GFR is better assessed by the Haycock-Schwartz formula than by PcysC or Pcreat alone. It is therefore concluded that when urine collection is not possible, simply measuring the child's Pcreat and height is the best, easiest and cheapest way to assess GFR.

Tandem repeat sequence variation as causative cis-eQTLs for protein-coding gene expression variation: the case of CSTB.

Association studies have revealed expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) for a large number of genes. However, the causative variants that regulate gene expression levels are generally unknown. We hypothesized that copy-number variation of sequence repeats contribute to the expression variation of some genes. Our laboratory has previously identified that the rare expansion of a repeat c.-174CGGGGCGGGGCG in the promoter region of the CSTB gene causes a silencing of the gene, resulting in progressive myoclonus epilepsy. Here, we genotyped the repeat length and quantified CSTB expression by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction in 173 lymphoblastoid cell lines (LCLs) and fibroblast samples from the GenCord collection. The majority of alleles contain either two or three copies of this repeat. Independent analysis revealed that the c.-174CGGGGCGGGGCG repeat length is strongly associated with CSTB expression (P = 3.14 × 10(-11)) in LCLs only. Examination of both genotyped and imputed single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within 2 Mb of CSTB revealed that the dodecamer repeat represents the strongest cis-eQTL for CSTB in LCLs. We conclude that the common two or three copy variation is likely the causative cis-eQTL for CSTB expression variation. More broadly, we propose that polymorphic tandem repeats may represent the causative variation of a fraction of cis-eQTLs in the genome.

Brief DISCERN, six questions for the evaluation of evidence-based content of health-related websites.

OBJECTIVE: To extract and to validate a brief version of the DISCERN which could identify mental health-related websites with good content quality. METHOD: The present study is based on the analysis of data issued from six previous studies which used DISCERN and a standardized tool for the evaluation of content quality (evidence-based health information) of 388 mental health-related websites. After extracting the Brief DISCERN, several psychometric properties (content validity through a Factor analysis, internal consistency by the Cronbach's alpha index, predictive validity through the diagnostic tests, concurrent validity by the strength of association between the Brief DISCERN and the original DISCERN scores) were investigated to ascertain its general applicability. RESULTS: A Brief DISCERN composed of two factors and six items was extracted from the original 16 items version of the DISCERN. Cronbach's alpha coefficients were more than acceptable for the complete questionnaire (alpha=0.74) and for the two distinct domains: treatments information (alpha=0.87) and reliability (alpha=0.83). Sensibility and specificity of the Brief DISCERN cut-off score > or =16 in the detection of good content quality websites were 0.357 and 0.945, respectively. Its predictive positive and negative values were 0.98 and 0.83, respectively. A statistically significant linear correlation was found between the total scores of the Brief DISCERN and those of the original DISCERN (r=0.84 and p<0.0005). CONCLUSION: The Brief DISCERN seems to be a reliable and valid instrument able to discriminate between websites with good and poor content quality. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: The Brief DISCERN is a simple tool which could facilitate the identification of good information on the web by patients and general consumers.

Trends in mortality from coronary heart and cerebrovascular disease in Switzerland, 1969-87.

Trends in age-specific and age-standardized death certification rates from all ischaemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease in Switzerland have been analysed for the period 1969-87, i.e. since the introduction of the Eighth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases for coding causes of death. For coronary heart disease, overall age-standardized rates of males in the mid-late 1980's were similar to those in the late 1960's, although some upward trend was evident up to the mid 1970's (with a peak rate of 120.4/100,000, World standard, in 1978) followed by steady declines in more recent years (103.8/100,000 in 1987). These falls were larger in truncated (35 to 64 years) rates. For females, overall age-standardized rates were stable around a value of 40/100,000, while truncated rates tended to decrease, particularly over most recent years, with an overall decline of over 25%. Examination of age-specific trends showed that in both sexes declines at younger ages were already evident in the earlier calendar period, while above age 50 some fall became evident only in most recent years. Thus, in a formal log-linear age/period/cohort model, both a period and a cohort component emerged. In relation to cerebrovascular diseases, the overall declines were around 40% in males (from 67.4 to 41.2/100,000, World standard) and 45% for females (from 56.6 to 31.7/100,000), and were proportionally comparable across subsequent age groups above age 45. The estimates for the age/period/cohort model were thus downwards both for the period and the cohort component although, in such a situation, it is difficult to disentangle the major underlying component.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

CHARACTERIZATION OF NrsZ, A NOVEL SMALL REGULATORY NON-CODING RNA INVOLVED IN THE ADAPTATION OF PSEUDOMONAS AERUGINOSA PAO1

The opportunistic ubiquitous pathogen Pseudomonas aeruginosa strain PAOl is a versatile Gram-negative bacterium that has the extraordinary capacity to colonize a wide diversity of ecological niches and to cause severe and persistent infections in humans. To ensure an optimal coordination of the genes involved in nutrient utilization, this bacterium uses the NtrB/C and/or the CbrA/B two-component systems, to sense nutrients availability and to regulate in consequence the expression of genes involved in their uptake and catabolism. NtrB/C is specialized in nitrogen utilization, while the CbrA/B system is involved in both carbon and nitrogen utilization and both systems activate their target genes expression in concert with the alternative sigma factor RpoN. Moreover, the NtrB/C and CbrA/B two- component systems regulate the secondary metabolism of the bacterium, such as the production of virulence factors. In addition to the fine-tuning transcriptional regulation, P. aeruginosa can rapidly modulate its metabolism using small non-coding regulatory RNAs (sRNAs), which regulate gene expression at the post-transcriptional level by diverse and sophisticated mechanisms and contribute to the fast physiological adaptability of this bacterium. In our search for novel RpoN-dependent sRNAs modulating the nutritional adaptation of P. aeruginosa PAOl, we discovered NrsZ (Nitrogen regulated sRNA), a novel RpoN-dependent sRNA that is induced under nitrogen starvation by the NtrB/C two-component system. NrsZ has a unique architecture, formed of three similar stem-loop structures (SL I, II and II) separated by variant spacer sequences. Moreover, this sRNA is processed in short individual stem-loop molecules, by internal cleavage involving the endoribonuclease RNAse E. Concerning NrsZ functions in P. aeruginosa PAOl, this sRNA was shown to trigger the swarming motility and the rhamnolipid biosurfactants production. This regulation is due to the NrsZ-mediated activation of rhlA expression, a gene encoding for an enzyme essential for swarming motility and rhamnolipids production. Interestingly, the SL I structure of NrsZ ensures its regulatory function on rhlA expression, suggesting that the similar SLs are the functional units of this modular sRNA. However, the regulatory mechanism of action of NrsZ on rhlA expression activation remains unclear and is currently being investigated. Additionally, the NrsZ regulatory network was investigated by a transcriptome analysis, suggesting that numerous genes involved in both primary and secondary metabolism are regulated by this sRNA. To emphasize the importance of NrsZ, we investigated its conservation in other Pseudomonas species and demonstrated that NrsZ is conserved and expressed under nitrogen limitation in Pseudomonas protegens Pf-5, Pseudomonas putida KT2442, Pseudomonas entomophila L48 and Pseudomonas syringae pv. tomato DC3000, strains having different ecological features, suggesting an important role of NrsZ in the adaptation of Pseudomonads to nitrogen starvation. Interestingly the architecture of the different NrsZ homologs is similarly composed by SL structures and variant spacer sequences. However, the number of SL repetitions is not identical, and one to six SLs were predicted on the different NrsZ homologs. Moreover, NrsZ is processed in short molecules in all the strains, similarly to what was previously observed in P. aeruginosa PAOl, and the heterologous expression of the NrsZ homologs restored rhlA expression, swarming motility and rhamnolipids production in the P. aeruginosa NrsZ mutant. In many aspects, NrsZ is an atypical sRNA in the bacterial panorama. To our knowledge, NrsZ is the first described sRNA induced by the NtrB/C. Moreover, its unique modular architecture and its processing in similar short SL molecules suggest that NrsZ belongs to a novel family of bacterial sRNAs. -- L'agent pathogène opportuniste et ubiquitaire Pseudomonas aeruginosa souche PAOl est une bactérie Gram négative versatile ayant l'extraordinaire capacité de coloniser différentes niches écologiques et de causer des infections sévères et persistantes chez l'être humain. Afin d'assurer une coordination optimale des gènes impliqués dans l'utilisation de différents nutriments, cette bactérie se sert de systèmes à deux composants tel que NtrB/C et CbrA/B afin de détecter la disponibilité des ressources nutritives, puis de réguler en conséquence l'expression des gènes impliqués dans leur importation et leur catabolisme. Le système NtrB/C régule l'utilisation des sources d'azote alors que le système CbrA/B est impliqué à la fois dans l'utilisation des sources de carbone et d'azote. Ces deux systèmes activent l'expression de leurs gènes-cibles de concert avec le facteur sigma alternatif RpoN. En outre, NtrB/C et CbrA/B régulent aussi le métabolisme secondaire, contrôlant notamment la production d'importants facteurs de virulence. En plus de toutes ces régulations génétiques fines ayant lieu au niveau transcriptionnel, P. aeruginosa est aussi capable de moduler son métabolisme en se servant de petits ARNs régulateurs non-codants (ARNncs), qui régulent l'expression génétique à un niveau post- transcriptionnel par divers mécanismes sophistiqués et contribuent à rendre particulièrement rapide l'adaptation physiologique de cette bactérie. Au cours de nos recherches sur de nouveaux ARNncs dépendant du facteur sigma RpoN et impliqués dans l'adaptation nutritionnelle de P. aeruginosa PAOl, nous avons découvert NrsZ (Nitrogen regulated sRNA), un ARNnc induit par la cascade NtrB/C-RpoN en condition de carence en azote. NrsZ a une architecture unique, composée de trois structures en tige- boucle (TB I, II et III) hautement similaires et séparées par des « espaceurs » ayant des séquences variables. De plus, cet ARNnc est clivé en petits fragments correspondant au trois molécules en tige-boucle, par un processus de clivage interne impliquant l'endoribonucléase RNase E. Concernant les fonctions de NrsZ chez P. aeruginosa PAOl, cet ARNnc est capable d'induire la motilité de type « swarming » et la production de biosurfactants, nommés rhamnolipides. Cette régulation est due à l'activation par NrsZ de l'expression de rhlA, un gène essentiel pour la motilité de type swarming et pour la production de rhamnolipides. Étonnamment, la structure TB I est capable d'assurer à elle seule la fonction régulatrice de NrsZ sur l'expression de rhlA, suggérant que ces molécules TBs sont les unités fonctionnelles de cet ARNnc modulaire. Cependant, le mécanisme moléculaire par lequel NrsZ active l'expression de rhlA demeure à ce jour incertain et est actuellement à l'étude. En plus, le réseau de régulations médiées par NrsZ a été étudié par une analyse de transcriptome qui a indiqué que de nombreux gènes impliqués dans le métabolisme primaire ou secondaire seraient régulés par NrsZ. Pour accentuer l'importance de NrsZ, nous avons étudié sa conservation dans d'autres espèces de Pseudomonas. Ainsi, nous avons démontré que NrsZ est conservé et exprimé en situation de carence d'azote par les souches Pseudomonas protegens Pf-5, Pseudomonas putida KT2442, Pseudomonas entomophila L48, Pseudomonas syringae pv. tomato DC3000, quatre espèces ayant des caractéristiques écologiques très différentes, suggérant que NrsZ joue un rôle important dans l'adaptation du genre Pseudomonas envers la carence en azote. Chez toutes les souches étudiées, les différents homologues de NrsZ présentent une architecture similaire faite de TBs conservées et d'espaceurs. Cependant, le nombre de TBs n'est pas identique et peut varier de une à six copies selon la souche. Les différentes versions de NrsZ sont clivées en petites molécules dans ces quatre souches, comme il a été observé chez P. aeruginosa PAOl. De plus, l'expression hétérologue des différentes variantes de NrsZ est capable de restaurer l'expression de rhlA, la motilité swarming et la production de rhamnolipides dans une souche de P. aeruginosa dont nrsZ a été inactivé. Par bien des aspects, NrsZ est un ARNnc atypique dans le monde bactérien. À notre connaissance, NrsZ est le premier ARNnc décrit comme étant régulé par le système NtrB/C. De plus, son unique architecture modulaire et son clivage en petites molécules similaires suggèrent que NrsZ appartient à une nouvelle famille d'ARNncs bactériens.

hMMP9 as predictive factor for response and progression free survival in breast cancer patients treated with bevacizumab and pegylated liposomal doxorubicin (PLD)

Background: The anti-angiogenic drug, bevacizumab (Bv), is currently used in the treatment of different malignancies including breast cancer. Many angiogenesis-associated molecules are found in the circulation of cancer patients. Until now, there are no prognostic or predictive factors identified in breast cancer patients treated with Bv. We present here the first results of the prospective monitoring of 6 angiogenesis-related molecules in the peripheral blood of breast cancer patients treated with a combination of Bv and PLD in the phase II trial, SAKK 24/06. Methods: Patients were treated with PLD (20 mg/m2) and Bv (10 mg/kg) on days 1 and 15 of each 4-week cycle for a maximum of 6 cycles, followed by Bv monotherapy maintenance (10 mg/m2 q2 weeks) until progression or severe toxicity. Plasma and serum samples were collected at baseline, after 2 months of therapy, then every 3 months and at treatment discontinuation. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (Quantikine, R&D Systems and Reliatech) were used to measure the expression levels of human vascular endothelial growth factor (hVEGF), placental growth factor (hPlGF), matrix metalloproteinase 9 (hMMP9) and soluble VEGF receptors hsVEGFR-1, hsVEGFR-2 and hsVEGFR-3. The log-transformed data (to reduce the skewness) for each marker was analyzed using an analysis of variance (ANOVA) model to determine if there was a difference between the mean of the subgroups of interest (where α = 0.05). The untransformed data was also analyzed in the same manner as a "sensitivity" check. Results: 132 blood samples were collected in 41 out of 43 enrolled patients. Baseline levels of the molecules were compared to disease status according to RECIST. There was a statistically significant difference in the mean of the log-transformed levels of hMMP9 between responders [CR+PR] versus the mean in patients with PD (p-value=0.0004, log fold change=0.7536), and between patients with disease control [CR+PR+SD] and those with PD (p-value=<0.0001, log fold change=0.81559), with the log-transformed level of hMMP9 being higher for the responder group. The mean of the log-transformed levels of hsVEGFR-1 was statistically significantly different between patients with disease control [CR+PR+SD] and those with PD (p-value=0.0068, log fold change=-0.6089), where the log-transformed level of hsVEGFR-1 was lower for the responder group. The log-transformed level of hMMP9 at baseline was identified as a significant prognostic factor in terms of progression free survival (PFS): p-value=0.0417, hazard ratio (HR)=0.574 with a corresponding 95% confidence interval (0.336 - 0.979)). No strong correlation was shown either between the log-transformed levels of hsVEGF, hPlGF, hsVEGFR-2 or hsVEGFR-3 and clinical response or the occurrence of severe toxicity, or between the levels of the different molecules. Conclusions: Our results suggest that baseline plasma level of the matrix metalloproteinase, hMMP9, could predict tumor response and PFS in patients treated with a combination of Bv and PLD. These data justify further investigation in breast cancer patients treated with anti-angiogenic therapy.

Chemoendocrine compared with endocrine adjuvant therapies for node-negative breast cancer: predictive value of centrally reviewed expression of estrogen and progesterone receptors--International Breast Cancer Study Group.

PURPOSE: To centrally assess estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) levels by immunohistochemistry and investigate their predictive value for benefit of chemo-endocrine compared with endocrine adjuvant therapy alone in two randomized clinical trials for node-negative breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: International Breast Cancer Study Group Trial VIII compared cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil (CMF) chemotherapy for 6 cycles followed by endocrine therapy with goserelin with either modality alone in pre- and perimenopausal patients. Trial IX compared three cycles of CMF followed by tamoxifen for 5 years versus tamoxifen alone in postmenopausal patients. Central Pathology Office reviewed 883 (83%) of 1,063 patients on Trial VIII and 1,365 (82%) of 1,669 on Trial IX and determined ER and PgR by immunohistochemistry. Disease-free survival (DFS) was compared across the spectrum of expression of each receptor using the Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot methodology. RESULTS: Both receptors displayed a bimodal distribution, with substantial proportions showing no staining (receptor absent) and most of the remainder showing a high percentage of stained cells. Chemo-endocrine therapy yielded DFS superior to endocrine therapy alone for patients with receptor-absent tumors, and in some cases also for those with low levels of receptor expression. Among patients with ER-expressing tumors, additional prediction of benefit was suggested in absent or low PgR in Trial VIII but not in Trial IX. CONCLUSION: Low levels of ER and PgR are predictive of the benefit of adding chemotherapy to endocrine therapy. Low PgR may add further prediction among pre- and perimenopausal but not postmenopausal patients whose tumors express ER.

Pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy is an independent predictive factor irrespective of simplified breast cancer intrinsic subtypes: a landmark and two-step approach analyses from the EORTC 10994/BIG 1-00 phase III trial.

BACKGROUND: Pathological complete response (pCR) following chemotherapy is strongly associated with both breast cancer subtype and long-term survival. Within a phase III neoadjuvant chemotherapy trial, we sought to determine whether the prognostic implications of pCR, TP53 status and treatment arm (taxane versus non-taxane) differed between intrinsic subtypes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients were randomized to receive either six cycles of anthracycline-based chemotherapy or three cycles of docetaxel then three cycles of eprirubicin/docetaxel (T-ET). pCR was defined as no evidence of residual invasive cancer (or very few scattered tumour cells) in primary tumour and lymph nodes. We used a simplified intrinsic subtypes classification, as suggested by the 2011 St Gallen consensus. Interactions between pCR, TP53 status, treatment arm and intrinsic subtype on event-free survival (EFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) were studied using a landmark and a two-step approach multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Sufficient data for pCR analyses were available in 1212 (65%) of 1856 patients randomized. pCR occurred in 222 of 1212 (18%) patients: 37 of 496 (7.5%) luminal A, 22 of 147 (15%) luminal B/HER2 negative, 51 of 230 (22%) luminal B/HER2 positive, 43 of 118 (36%) HER2 positive/non-luminal, 69 of 221(31%) triple negative (TN). The prognostic effect of pCR on EFS did not differ between subtypes and was an independent predictor for better EFS [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.40, P < 0.001 in favour of pCR], DMFS (HR = 0.32, P < 0.001) and OS (HR = 0.32, P < 0.001). Chemotherapy arm was an independent predictor only for EFS (HR = 0.73, P = 0.004 in favour of T-ET). The interaction between TP53, intrinsic subtypes and survival outcomes only approached statistical significance for EFS (P = 0.1). CONCLUSIONS: pCR is an independent predictor of favourable clinical outcomes in all molecular subtypes in a two-step multivariate analysis. CLINICALTRIALSGOV: EORTC 10994/BIG 1-00 Trial registration number NCT00017095.

Elderly age is not a negative predictive factor for virological response to therapy with pegylated interferon-α and ribavirin in chronic hepatitis C virus patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Age is frequently discussed as negative host factor to achieve a sustained virological response (SVR) to antiviral therapy of chronic hepatitis C. However, elderly patients often show advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis as known negative predictive factor. The aim of this study was to assess age as an independent predictive factor during antiviral therapy. METHODS: Overall, 516 hepatitis C patients were treated with pegylated interferon-α and ribavirin, thereof 66 patients ≥60 years. We analysed the impact of host factors (age, gender, fibrosis, haemoglobin, previous hepatitis C treatment) and viral factors (genotype, viral load) on SVR per therapy course by performing a generalized estimating equations (GEE) regression modelling, a matched pair analysis and a classification tree analysis. RESULTS: Overall, SVR per therapy course was 42.9 and 26.1%, respectively, in young and elderly patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes 1/4/6. The corresponding figures for HCV genotypes 2/3 were 74.4 and 84%. In the GEE model, age had no significant influence on achieving SVR. In matched pair analysis, SVR was not different in young and elderly patients (54.2 and 55.9% respectively; P = 0.795 in binominal test). In classification tree analysis, age was not a relevant splitting variable. CONCLUSIONS: Age is not a significant predictive factor for achieving SVR, when relevant confounders are taken into account. As life expectancy in Western Europe at age 60 is more than 20 years, it is reasonable to treat chronic hepatitis C in selected elderly patients with relevant fibrosis or cirrhosis but without major concomitant diseases, as SVR improves survival and reduces carcinogenesis.

Clinical factors associated with trabecular bone score.

Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) measurement of bone mineral density (BMD) is the reference standard for diagnosing osteoporosis but does not directly reflect deterioration in bone microarchitecture. The trabecular bone score (TBS), a novel grey-level texture measurement that can be extracted from DXA images, predicts osteoporotic fractures independent of BMD. Our aim was to identify clinical factors that are associated with baseline lumbar spine TBS. In total, 29,407 women ≥50yr at the time of baseline hip and spine DXA were identified from a database containing all clinical results for the Province of Manitoba, Canada. Lumbar spine TBS was derived for each spine DXA examination blinded to clinical parameters and outcomes. Multiple linear regression and logistic regression (lowest vs highest tertile) was used to define the sensitivity of TBS to other risk factors associated with osteoporosis. Only a small component of the TBS measurement (7-11%) could be explained from BMD measurements. In multiple linear regression and logistic regression models, reduced lumbar spine TBS was associated with recent glucocorticoid use, prior major fracture, rheumatoid arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, high alcohol intake, and higher body mass index. In contrast, recent osteoporosis therapy was associated with a significantly lower likelihood for reduced TBS. Similar findings were seen after adjustment for lumbar spine or femoral neck BMD. In conclusion, lumbar spine TBS is strongly associated with many of the risk factors that are predictive of osteoporotic fractures. Further work is needed to determine whether lumbar spine TBS can replace some of the clinical risk factors currently used in fracture risk assessment.

Biodiversity: predictive traits to the rescue

Climate change poses new challenges to the conservation of species, which at present requires data-hungry models to meaningfully anticipate future threats. Now a study suggests that species traits may offer a simpler way to help predict future extinction risks.