107 resultados para likelihood to publication
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BACKGROUND: Selective publication of studies, which is commonly called publication bias, is widely recognized. Over the years a new nomenclature for other types of bias related to non-publication or distortion related to the dissemination of research findings has been developed. However, several of these different biases are often still summarized by the term 'publication bias'. METHODS/DESIGN: As part of the OPEN Project (To Overcome failure to Publish nEgative fiNdings) we will conduct a systematic review with the following objectives:- To systematically review highly cited articles that focus on non-publication of studies and to present the various definitions of biases related to the dissemination of research findings contained in the articles identified.- To develop and discuss a new framework on nomenclature of various aspects of distortion in the dissemination process that leads to public availability of research findings in an international group of experts in the context of the OPEN Project.We will systematically search Web of Knowledge for highly cited articles that provide a definition of biases related to the dissemination of research findings. A specifically designed data extraction form will be developed and pilot-tested. Working in teams of two, we will independently extract relevant information from each eligible article.For the development of a new framework we will construct an initial table listing different levels and different hazards en route to making research findings public. An international group of experts will iteratively review the table and reflect on its content until no new insights emerge and consensus has been reached. DISCUSSION: Results are expected to be publicly available in mid-2013. This systematic review together with the results of other systematic reviews of the OPEN project will serve as a basis for the development of future policies and guidelines regarding the assessment and prevention of publication bias.
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BACKGROUND: Workers with persistent disabilities after orthopaedic trauma may need occupational rehabilitation. Despite various risk profiles for non-return-to-work (non-RTW), there is no available predictive model. Moreover, injured workers may have various origins (immigrant workers), which may either affect their return to work or their eligibility for research purposes. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model that estimates the likelihood of non-RTW after occupational rehabilitation using predictors which do not rely on the worker's background. METHODS: Prospective cohort study (3177 participants, native (51%) and immigrant workers (49%)) with two samples: a) Development sample with patients from 2004 to 2007 with Full and Reduced Models, b) External validation of the Reduced Model with patients from 2008 to March 2010. We collected patients' data and biopsychosocial complexity with an observer rated interview (INTERMED). Non-RTW was assessed two years after discharge from the rehabilitation. Discrimination was assessed by the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration was evaluated with a calibration plot. The model was reduced with random forests. RESULTS: At 2 years, the non-RTW status was known for 2462 patients (77.5% of the total sample). The prevalence of non-RTW was 50%. The full model (36 items) and the reduced model (19 items) had acceptable discrimination performance (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.78 and 0.74, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.76, respectively) and good calibration. For the validation model, the discrimination performance was acceptable (AUC 0.73; 95% CI 0.70 to 0.77) and calibration was also adequate. CONCLUSIONS: Non-RTW may be predicted with a simple model constructed with variables independent of the patient's education and language fluency. This model is useful for all kinds of trauma in order to adjust for case mix and it is applicable to vulnerable populations like immigrant workers.
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1. 1. Summaries 1.1. Preamble and extended abstract The present thesis dissertation addresses the question of antiviral immunity from the particular standpoint of the adaptive T cell-mediated immune response. The experimental work is presented in the form of three published articles (two experimental articles and one review article, see sections 4.1, 4.2 and 4.3 on pages 73, 81 and 91, respectively), describing advances both in our understanding of viral control by CD8 T lymphocytes, and in vaccine development against the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV-1). Because the articles focus on rather specialized areas of antiviral immunity, the article sections are preceded by a general introduction (section 3) on the immune system in general, and on four viruses that were addressed in the experimental work, namely HIV-1, Cytomegalovirus (CMV), Epstein Barr Virus (EBV) and Influenzavirus (Flu). This introduction section is aimed at providing a glimpse on viral molecular biology and immunity, to help the hypothetical non-expert reader proceeding into the experimental part. For this reason, each section is presented as individual entity and can be consulted separately. The four viruses described are of peculiar relevance to immunity because they induce an array of opposite host responses. Flu causes a self limiting disease after which the virus is eradicated. CMV and EBV cause pauci-symptomatic or asymptomatic diseases after which the viruses establish lifelong latency in the host cells, but are kept in check by immunity. Eventually, HIV-1 establishes both latency - by inserting its genome into the host cell chromosome - and proceeds in destroying the immune system in a poorly controlled fashion. Hence, understanding the fundamental differences between these kinds of viral host interactions might help develop new strategies to curb progressive diseases caused by viruses such as HIV-1. Publication #1: The first article (section 4.1, page 73) represents the main frame of my laboratory work. It analyses the ability of CD8 T lymphocytes recovered from viral-infected patients to secrete interferon γ (IFN-γ) alone or in conjunction with interleukin 2 (IL-2) when exposed in vitro to their cognate viral antigens. CD8 T cells are instrumental in controlling viral infection. They can identify infected cells by detecting viral antigens presented at the surface of the infected cells, and eliminate both the cell and its infecting virus by triggering apoptosis and/or lysis of the infected cell. Recognition of these antigens triggers the cognate CD8 cells to produce cytokines, including IFN-γ and IL-2, which in turn attract and activate other pro-inflammatory cells. IFN-γ triggers both intrinsic antiviral activity of the infected cells and distant activation of pro-inflammatory cells, which are important for the eradication of infection. IL-2 is essential for clonal expansion of the antigen (Ag)-specific CD8 T cell. Hence the existence of Ag-specific CD8 cells secreting both IFN-γand IL-2 should be beneficial for controlling infection. In this first work we determined the percentage of IFN-y/IL-2 double positive and single IFN-γsecreting CD8 T cells against antigens HIV-1, CMV, EBV and Flu in three groups of subjects: (i) HIV-1 infected patients progressing to disease (progressors), (ii) HIV-1-infected subjects not progressing to disease (long-term non progressors or LTNP), and (iii) HIV negative blood donors. The results disclosed a specific IFN-y/IL-2 double positive CD8 response in all subjects able to control infection. In other words, IFN-y/IL-2 double positive CD8 cells were present in virus-specific CD8 T cells against Flu, CMV and EBV as well against HIV-1 in LTNP. In contrast, progressors only had single IFN-γsecreting CD8 T cells. Hence, the ability to develop an IFN-y/IL-2 double positive response might be critical to control infection, independently of the nature of the virus. Additional experiments helped identify the developmental stage of the missing cells (using different markers such as CD45RA and CCR7) and showed a correlation between the absence of IL-2 secreting CD8 T cells and a failure in the proliferation capacity of virus-specific CD8 T cells. Addition of exogenous IL-2 could restore clonal expansion of HIV-1 specific CD8 T cells, at least in vitro. It could further been shown, that IL-2 secreting CD8 T cells are sufficient to support proliferation even in absence of CD4 help. However, the reason for the missing IFN-y/IL-2 double positive CD8 T cell response in HIV-1 progessors has yet to be determined. Publication #2: The second article (section 4.2, page 81) explores new strategies to trigger CD8 T cell immunity against specific HIV-1 proteins believed to be processed and exposed as "infection signal" at the surface of infected cells. Such signals consist of peptide fragments (8- 13 amino acids) originating from viral proteins and presented to CD8 T cells in the frame of particular cell surface molecules of the major histocompatibility complex class I* (MHC I). To mimic "natural" viral infection, the HIV-1 polyprotein Gagpolnef was inserted and expressed in either of two attenuated viruses i.e. vaccinia virus (MVA) or poxvirus (NYVAC). Mice were infected with these recombinant viruses and specific CD8 T cell response to Gagpolnef peptides was sought. Mice could indeed mount a CD8 T cell response against the HIV-1 antigens, indicating that the system worked, at least in this animal model. To further test whether peptides from Gagpolnef could also be presented in the frame of the human MHC class I proteins, a second round of experiments was performed in "humanized" transgenic mice expressing human MHC molecules. The transgenic mice were also able to load Gagpolnef peptides on their human MHC molecule, and these cells could be detected and destroyed by Ag-specific CD8 T cells isolated from HIV-1-infected patients. Therefore, expressing Gagpolnef on attenuated recombinant viruses might represent a valid strategy for anti-HIV-1 immunization in human. Publication #3: This is a review paper (section 4.3, page 91) describing the immune response to CMV and newly developed methods to detect this cellular immune response. Some of it focuses on the detection of T cells by using in vitro manufactured tetramers. These consist of four MHC class I molecules linked together and loaded with the appropriate antigenic peptide. The tetramer can be labeled with a fluorochrome and analyzed with a fluorescence-activated cell sorter. Taken together, the work presented indicates that (i) an appropriate CD8 T cell response consisting of IFN-y/IL-2 double positive effectors, can potentially control viral infection, including HIV-1 infection, (ii) such a response might be triggered by recombinant viral vaccines, and (iii) CD8 T cell response can be monitored by a variety of techniques, including recently-developed MHC class I tetramers. 1. 2. Préambule et résumé élargi Le présent travail de thèse s'intéresse à l'immunité antivirale du point de vue particulier de la réponse adaptative des cellules T. Le travail expérimental est présenté sous la forme de trois articles publiés (2 articles expérimentaux et 1 article de revue, voir sections 4.1, 4.2 et 4.3, pages 58, 66 et 77, respectivement), décrivant des progrès dans la compréhension du contrôle de l'infection virale par les lymphocytes T CD8, ainsi que dans le développement de nouveaux vaccins contre le Virus d'Immunodéficience de Humaine de type 1 (VIH-1). En raison du caractère spécialisé de l'immunité antivirale de type cellulaire, les articles sont précédés par une introduction générale (section 3), dont le but est de pourvoir le lecteur non avisé avec des bases nécessaire à une meilleure appréhension du travail expérimental. Cette introduction présente les grandes lignes du système immunitaire, et décrit de façon générale les 4 virus utilisés dans le travail expérimental: à savoir le virus VIH-1, le Cytomégalovirus (CMV), le virus Epstein Barr (EBV) et le virus Influenza A (Flu). Toutes les sections sont présentées de façon individuelle et peuvent être consultées séparément. La description des 4 virus a une pertinence particulière quant à leur interaction avec le système immun. En effet, ils induisent une panoplie de réponses immunitaires s'étendant aux extrêmes de la réaction de l'hôte. Influenza A est à l'origine d'une maladie cytopathique aiguë, au décours de laquelle le virus est éradiqué par l'hôte. CMV et EBV sont classiquement à l'origine d'infections pauci-symptomatiques, voire asymptomatiques, après lesquelles les virus persistent de façon latente dans la cellule hôte. Cependant, ils restent sous le contrôle du système immun, qui peut prévenir une éventuelle réactivation. Enfin, VIH-1 s'établit à la fois en infection latente - par l'insertion de son génome dans le chromosome des cellules hôtes - et en infection productive et cytopathique, échappant au contrôle immunitaire et détruisant ses cellules cibles. La compréhension des différences fondamentales entre ces différents types d'interactions virus-hôte devraient faciliter le développement de nouvelles stratégies antivirales. Article 1: Le premier article (section 4.1 Page 58) représente l'objet principal de mon travail de laboratoire. Il analyse la capacité des lymphocytes T CD8 spécifiques de différent virus à sécréter de l'interféron gamma (IFN-y) et/ou de l'interleukine 2 (IL-2) après stimulation par leur antigène spécifique. Les cellules T CD8 jouent un rôle crucial dans le contrôle des infections virales. Elles identifient les cellules infectées en détectant des antigènes viraux présentés à la surface de ces mêmes cellules, et éliminent à la fois les cellules infectées et les virus qu'elles contiennent en induisant l'apoptose et/ou la lyse des cellules cibles. Parallèlement, l'identification de l'antigène par la cellule T CD8 la stimule à sécréter des cytokines. L'IFN-γen est un exemple. L'IFN-γ stimule les cellules infectées à développer une activé antivirale intrinsèque. De plus, il attire sur place d'autres cellules de l'inflammation, et active leur fonction d'éradication des pathogènes. L'IL-2 est un autre exemple. L'IL-2 est essentielle à l'expansion clonale des cellules T CD8 spécifiques à un virus donné. Elle est donc essentielle à augmenter le pool de lymphocytes antiviraux. En conséquence, la double capacité de sécréter de l'IFN-γ et de IL-2 pourrait être un avantage pour le contrôle antiviral par les cellules T CD8. Dans ce travail nous avons comparé les proportions de lymphocytes T CD8 doubles positifs (IFN-γ/IL-2) et simples positifs (IFN-γ) chez trois groupes de sujets: (i) des patients infectés par VIH-1 qui ne contrôlent pas l'infection (progresseurs), (ii) des patients infectés par VIH-1, mais contrôlant l'infection malgré l'absence de traitement ("long term non progressors" [LTNP]) et (iii) des donneurs de sang négatifs pour l'infection à VIH-1. Les résultats ont montré que les individus capables de contrôler une infection possédaient des cellules T CD8 doubles positifs (IFN-γ/IL-2), alors que les patients ne contrôlant pas l'infection procédaient prioritairement des CD8 simples positifs (IFN-γ). Spécifiquement, les lymphocytes T spécifiques pour Flu, CMV, EBV, et VII-1-1 chez les LTNP étaient tous IFN-γ/IL-2 doubles positifs. Au contraire, les lymphocytes T CD8 spécifique à VIH-1 étaient IFN-γ simples positifs chez les progresseurs. La capacité de développer une réponse IFN-γ/IL-2 pourraient être primordiale pour le contrôle de l'infection, indépendamment de la nature du virus. En effet, il a été montré que l'absence de sécrétion d'IL2 par les lymphocytes T CD8 corrélait avec leur incapacité de proliférer. Dans nos mains, cette prolifération a pu être restaurée in vitro par l'adjonction exogène d'IL-2. Toutefois, la faisabilité de ce type de complémentation in vivo n'est pas claire. Des expériences additionnelles ont permis de préciser de stade de développement des lymphocytes doubles positifs et simples positifs par le biais des marqueurs CD45RA et CCR7. Il reste maintenant à comprendre pourquoi certains lymphocytes T CD8 spécifiques sont incapables à sécréter de l'IL-2. Article 2: Le deuxième article explore des nouvelles stratégies pour induire une immunité T CD8 spécifique aux protéines du VIH-1, qui sont édités et exposés à la surface des cellules infectées. Ces signaux consistent en fragments de peptide de 8-13 acide aminés provenant de protéines virales, et exposées à la surface des cellules infectées dans le cadre des molécules spécialisées d'histocompatibilité de classe I (en anglais "major histocompatibility class I" ou MHC I). Pour mimer une infection virale, la polyprotéine Gagpolnef du VIH-1 a été insérée et exprimée dans deux vecteurs viraux atténués, soit MVA (provenant de vaccinia virus) ou NYVAC (provenant d'un poxvirus). Ensuite des souris ont été infectées avec ces virus recombinants et la réponse T CD8 aux peptides issus de Gagpolnef a été étudiée. Les souris ont été capables de développer une réponse de type CD8 T contre ces antigènes du VIH-1. Pour tester si ces antigènes pouvaient aussi être présentés par dans le cadre de molécules MHC humaines, des expériences supplémentaires ont été faites avec des souris exprimant un MHC humain. Les résultats de ces manipulations ont montré que des cellules T CD8 spécifique aux protéines du VIH pouvaient être détectées. Ce travail ouvre de nouvelles options quant à l'utilisation des virus recombinants exprimant Gagpolnef comme stratégie vaccinale contre le virus VIH-I chez l'homme. Article 3: Ces revues décrivent la réponse immunitaire à CMV ainsi que des nouvelles méthodes pouvant servir à sa détection. Une partie du manuscrit décrit la détection de cellule T à l'aide de tétramères. Il s'agit de protéines chimériques composées de 4 quatre molécules MHC liées entre elles. Elles sont ensuite "chargées" avec le peptide antigénique approprié, et utilisée pour détecter les cellules T CD8 spécifiques à ce montage. Elles sont aussi marquées par un fluorochrome, qui permet une analyse avec un cytomètre de flux, et l'isolement ultime des CD8 d'intérêt. En résumé, le travail présenté dans cette thèse indique que (i) une réponse T CD8 appropriée - définie par la présence des cellules effectrices doublement positives pour l'IFN-γ et l'IL-2 - semble indispensable pour le contrôle des infections virales, y compris par le VIH-1, (ii) une telle réponse peut être induite par des vaccin viral recombinant, et (iii) la réponse T CD8 peut être analysée et suivie grâce à plusieurs techniques, incluant celle des tétramères de MHC class I. 1.3. Résumé pour un large public Le système immunitaire humain est composé de différents éléments (cellules, tissus et organes) qui participent aux défenses de l'organisme contre les pathogènes (bactéries, virus). Parmi ces cellules, les lymphocytes T CD8, également appelés cellules tueuses, jouent un rôle important dans la réponse immunitaire et le contrôle des infections virales. Les cellules T CD8 reconnaissent de manière spécifique des fragments de protéines virales qui sont exposés à la surface des cellules infectées par le virus. Suite à cette reconnaissance, les cellules T CD8 sont capables de détruire et d'éliminer ces cellules infectées, ainsi que les virus qu'elles contiennent. Dans le contexte d'une infection par le virus de l'immunodéficience humaine (VIH), le virus responsable du SIDA, il a pu être montré que la présence des cellules T CD8 est primordiale. En effet, en l'absence de ces cellules, les individus infectés par le VIH progressent plus rapidement vers le SIDA. Au cours de la vie, l'Homme est exposé à plusieurs virus. Mais à l'opposé du VIH, certains d'entre eux ne causent pas des maladies graves : par exemple le virus de la grippe (Influenza), le cytomégalovirus ou encore le virus d'Epstein-Barr. Certains de ces virus peuvent être contrôlés et éliminés de l'organisme (p. ex. le virus de la grippe), alors que d'autres ne sont que contrôlés par notre système immunitaire et restent présents en petite quantité dans le corps sans avoir d'effet sur notre santé. Le sujet de mon travail de thèse porte sur la compréhension du mécanisme de contrôle des infections virales par le système immunitaire : pourquoi certains virus peuvent être contrôlés ou même éliminés de l'organisme alors que d'autres, et notamment le VIH, ne le sont pas. Ce travail a permis de démontrer que les cellules T CD8 spécifiques du VIH ne sécrètent pas les mêmes substances, nécessaires au développement d'une réponse antivirale efficace, que les cellules T CD8 spécifiques des virus contrôlés (le virus de la grippe, le cytomégalovirus et le virus d'Epstein-Barr). Parallèlement nous avons également observé que les lymphocytes T CD8 spécifiques du VIH ne possèdent pas la capacité de se diviser. Ils sont ainsi incapables d'être présents en quantité suffisante pour assurer un combat efficace contre le virus du SIDA. La (les) différence(s) entre les cellules T CD8 spécifiques aux virus contrôlés (grippe, cytomégalovirus et Epstein-Barr) et au VIH pourront peut-être nous amener à comprendre comment restaurer une immunité efficace contre ce dernier.
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BACKGROUND: No previous studies have explored how closely women follow their psychotropic drug regimens during pregnancy. This study aimed to explore patterns of and factors associated with low adherence to psychotropic medication during pregnancy. METHODS: Multinational web-based study was performed in 18 countries in Europe, North America, and Australia. Uniform data collection was ensured via an electronic questionnaire. Pregnant women were eligible to participate. Adherence was measured via the 8-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale (MMAS-8). The Beliefs about Prescribed Medicines Questionnaire (BMQ-specific), the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS), and a numeric rating scale were utilized to measure women's beliefs, depressive symptoms, and antidepressant risk perception, respectively. Participants reporting use of psychotropic medication during pregnancy (n = 160) were included in the analysis. RESULTS: On the basis of the MMAS-8, 78 of 160 women (48.8%, 95% CI: 41.1-56.4%) demonstrated low adherence during pregnancy. The rates of low adherence were 51.3% for medication for anxiety, 47.2% for depression, and 42.9% for other psychiatric disorders. Smoking during pregnancy, elevated antidepressant risk perception (risk≥6), and depressive symptoms were associated with a significant 3.9-, 2.3-, and 2.5-fold increased likelihood of low medication adherence, respectively. Women on psychotropic polytherapy were less likely to demonstrate low adherence. The belief that the benefit of pharmacotherapy outweighed the risks positively correlated (r = .282) with higher medication adherence. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one of two pregnant women using psychotropic medication demonstrated low adherence in pregnancy. Life-style factors, risk perception, depressive symptoms, and individual beliefs are important factors related to adherence to psychotropic medication in pregnancy.
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Given the cost constraints of the European health-care systems, criteria are needed to decide which genetic services to fund from the public budgets, if not all can be covered. To ensure that high-priority services are available equitably within and across the European countries, a shared set of prioritization criteria would be desirable. A decision process following the accountability for reasonableness framework was undertaken, including a multidisciplinary EuroGentest/PPPC-ESHG workshop to develop shared prioritization criteria. Resources are currently too limited to fund all the beneficial genetic testing services available in the next decade. Ethically and economically reflected prioritization criteria are needed. Prioritization should be based on considerations of medical benefit, health need and costs. Medical benefit includes evidence of benefit in terms of clinical benefit, benefit of information for important life decisions, benefit for other people apart from the person tested and the patient-specific likelihood of being affected by the condition tested for. It may be subject to a finite time window. Health need includes the severity of the condition tested for and its progression at the time of testing. Further discussion and better evidence is needed before clearly defined recommendations can be made or a prioritization algorithm proposed. To our knowledge, this is the first time a clinical society has initiated a decision process about health-care prioritization on a European level, following the principles of accountability for reasonableness. We provide points to consider to stimulate this debate across the EU and to serve as a reference for improving patient management.
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This thesis is composed of three main parts. The first consists of a state of the art of the different notions that are significant to understand the elements surrounding art authentication in general, and of signatures in particular, and that the author deemed them necessary to fully grasp the microcosm that makes up this particular market. Individuals with a solid knowledge of the art and expertise area, and that are particularly interested in the present study are advised to advance directly to the fourth Chapter. The expertise of the signature, it's reliability, and the factors impacting the expert's conclusions are brought forward. The final aim of the state of the art is to offer a general list of recommendations based on an exhaustive review of the current literature and given in light of all of the exposed issues. These guidelines are specifically formulated for the expertise of signatures on paintings, but can also be applied to wider themes in the area of signature examination. The second part of this thesis covers the experimental stages of the research. It consists of the method developed to authenticate painted signatures on works of art. This method is articulated around several main objectives: defining measurable features on painted signatures and defining their relevance in order to establish the separation capacities between groups of authentic and simulated signatures. For the first time, numerical analyses of painted signatures have been obtained and are used to attribute their authorship to given artists. An in-depth discussion of the developed method constitutes the third and final part of this study. It evaluates the opportunities and constraints when applied by signature and handwriting experts in forensic science. A brief summary covering each chapter allows a rapid overview of the study and summarizes the aims and main themes of each chapter. These outlines presented below summarize the aims and main themes addressed in each chapter. Part I - Theory Chapter 1 exposes legal aspects surrounding the authentication of works of art by art experts. The definition of what is legally authentic, the quality and types of the experts that can express an opinion concerning the authorship of a specific painting, and standard deontological rules are addressed. The practices applied in Switzerland will be specifically dealt with. Chapter 2 presents an overview of the different scientific analyses that can be carried out on paintings (from the canvas to the top coat). Scientific examinations of works of art have become more common, as more and more museums equip themselves with laboratories, thus an understanding of their role in the art authentication process is vital. The added value that a signature expertise can have in comparison to other scientific techniques is also addressed. Chapter 3 provides a historical overview of the signature on paintings throughout the ages, in order to offer the reader an understanding of the origin of the signature on works of art and its evolution through time. An explanation is given on the transitions that the signature went through from the 15th century on and how it progressively took on its widely known modern form. Both this chapter and chapter 2 are presented to show the reader the rich sources of information that can be provided to describe a painting, and how the signature is one of these sources. Chapter 4 focuses on the different hypotheses the FHE must keep in mind when examining a painted signature, since a number of scenarios can be encountered when dealing with signatures on works of art. The different forms of signatures, as well as the variables that may have an influence on the painted signatures, are also presented. Finally, the current state of knowledge of the examination procedure of signatures in forensic science in general, and in particular for painted signatures, is exposed. The state of the art of the assessment of the authorship of signatures on paintings is established and discussed in light of the theoretical facets mentioned previously. Chapter 5 considers key elements that can have an impact on the FHE during his or her2 examinations. This includes a discussion on elements such as the skill, confidence and competence of an expert, as well as the potential bias effects he might encounter. A better understanding of elements surrounding handwriting examinations, to, in turn, better communicate results and conclusions to an audience, is also undertaken. Chapter 6 reviews the judicial acceptance of signature analysis in Courts and closes the state of the art section of this thesis. This chapter brings forward the current issues pertaining to the appreciation of this expertise by the non- forensic community, and will discuss the increasing number of claims of the unscientific nature of signature authentication. The necessity to aim for more scientific, comprehensive and transparent authentication methods will be discussed. The theoretical part of this thesis is concluded by a series of general recommendations for forensic handwriting examiners in forensic science, specifically for the expertise of signatures on paintings. These recommendations stem from the exhaustive review of the literature and the issues exposed from this review and can also be applied to the traditional examination of signatures (on paper). Part II - Experimental part Chapter 7 describes and defines the sampling, extraction and analysis phases of the research. The sampling stage of artists' signatures and their respective simulations are presented, followed by the steps that were undertaken to extract and determine sets of characteristics, specific to each artist, that describe their signatures. The method is based on a study of five artists and a group of individuals acting as forgers for the sake of this study. Finally, the analysis procedure of these characteristics to assess of the strength of evidence, and based on a Bayesian reasoning process, is presented. Chapter 8 outlines the results concerning both the artist and simulation corpuses after their optical observation, followed by the results of the analysis phase of the research. The feature selection process and the likelihood ratio evaluation are the main themes that are addressed. The discrimination power between both corpuses is illustrated through multivariate analysis. Part III - Discussion Chapter 9 discusses the materials, the methods, and the obtained results of the research. The opportunities, but also constraints and limits, of the developed method are exposed. Future works that can be carried out subsequent to the results of the study are also presented. Chapter 10, the last chapter of this thesis, proposes a strategy to incorporate the model developed in the last chapters into the traditional signature expertise procedures. Thus, the strength of this expertise is discussed in conjunction with the traditional conclusions reached by forensic handwriting examiners in forensic science. Finally, this chapter summarizes and advocates a list of formal recommendations for good practices for handwriting examiners. In conclusion, the research highlights the interdisciplinary aspect of signature examination of signatures on paintings. The current state of knowledge of the judicial quality of art experts, along with the scientific and historical analysis of paintings and signatures, are overviewed to give the reader a feel of the different factors that have an impact on this particular subject. The temperamental acceptance of forensic signature analysis in court, also presented in the state of the art, explicitly demonstrates the necessity of a better recognition of signature expertise by courts of law. This general acceptance, however, can only be achieved by producing high quality results through a well-defined examination process. This research offers an original approach to attribute a painted signature to a certain artist: for the first time, a probabilistic model used to measure the discriminative potential between authentic and simulated painted signatures is studied. The opportunities and limits that lie within this method of scientifically establishing the authorship of signatures on works of art are thus presented. In addition, the second key contribution of this work proposes a procedure to combine the developed method into that used traditionally signature experts in forensic science. Such an implementation into the holistic traditional signature examination casework is a large step providing the forensic, judicial and art communities with a solid-based reasoning framework for the examination of signatures on paintings. The framework and preliminary results associated with this research have been published (Montani, 2009a) and presented at international forensic science conferences (Montani, 2009b; Montani, 2012).
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The increase of publicly available sequencing data has allowed for rapid progress in our understanding of genome composition. As new information becomes available we should constantly be updating and reanalyzing existing and newly acquired data. In this report we focus on transposable elements (TEs) which make up a significant portion of nearly all sequenced genomes. Our ability to accurately identify and classify these sequences is critical to understanding their impact on host genomes. At the same time, as we demonstrate in this report, problems with existing classification schemes have led to significant misunderstandings of the evolution of both TE sequences and their host genomes. In a pioneering publication Finnegan (1989) proposed classifying all TE sequences into two classes based on transposition mechanisms and structural features: the retrotransposons (class I) and the DNA transposons (class II). We have retraced how ideas regarding TE classification and annotation in both prokaryotic and eukaryotic scientific communities have changed over time. This has led us to observe that: (1) a number of TEs have convergent structural features and/or transposition mechanisms that have led to misleading conclusions regarding their classification, (2) the evolution of TEs is similar to that of viruses by having several unrelated origins, (3) there might be at least 8 classes and 12 orders of TEs including 10 novel orders. In an effort to address these classification issues we propose: (1) the outline of a universal TE classification, (2) a set of methods and classification rules that could be used by all scientific communities involved in the study of TEs, and (3) a 5-year schedule for the establishment of an International Committee for Taxonomy of Transposable Elements (ICTTE).
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OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence of discontinuation and nonpublication of surgical versus medical randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and to explore risk factors for discontinuation and nonpublication of surgical RCTs. BACKGROUND: Trial discontinuation has significant scientific, ethical, and economic implications. To date, the prevalence of discontinuation of surgical RCTs is unknown. METHODS: All RCT protocols approved between 2000 and 2003 by 6 ethics committees in Canada, Germany, and Switzerland were screened. Baseline characteristics were collected and, if published, full reports retrieved. Risk factors for early discontinuation for slow recruitment and nonpublication were explored using multivariable logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: In total, 863 RCT protocols involving adult patients were identified, 127 in surgery (15%) and 736 in medicine (85%). Surgical trials were discontinued for any reason more often than medical trials [43% vs 27%, risk difference 16% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 5%-26%); P = 0.001] and more often discontinued for slow recruitment [18% vs 11%, risk difference 8% (95% CI: 0.1%-16%); P = 0.020]. The percentage of trials not published as full journal article was similar in surgical and medical trials (44% vs 40%, risk difference 4% (95% CI: -5% to 14%); P = 0.373). Discontinuation of surgical trials was a strong risk factor for nonpublication (odds ratio = 4.18, 95% CI: 1.45-12.06; P = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Discontinuation and nonpublication rates were substantial in surgical RCTs and trial discontinuation was strongly associated with nonpublication. These findings need to be taken into account when interpreting surgical literature. Surgical trialists should consider feasibility studies before embarking on full-scale trials.
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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of a complex intervention implementing best practice guidelines recommending clinicians screen and counsel young people across multiple psychosocial risk factors, on clinicians' detection of health risks and patients' risk taking behaviour, compared to a didactic seminar on young people's health. DESIGN: Pragmatic cluster randomised trial where volunteer general practices were stratified by postcode advantage or disadvantage score and billing type (private, free national health, community health centre), then randomised into either intervention or comparison arms using a computer generated random sequence. Three months post-intervention, patients were recruited from all practices post-consultation for a Computer Assisted Telephone Interview and followed up three and 12 months later. Researchers recruiting, consenting and interviewing patients and patients themselves were masked to allocation status; clinicians were not. SETTING: General practices in metropolitan and rural Victoria, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: General practices with at least one interested clinician (general practitioner or nurse) and their 14-24 year old patients. INTERVENTION: This complex intervention was designed using evidence based practice in learning and change in clinician behaviour and general practice systems, and included best practice approaches to motivating change in adolescent risk taking behaviours. The intervention involved training clinicians (nine hours) in health risk screening, use of a screening tool and motivational interviewing; training all practice staff (receptionists and clinicians) in engaging youth; provision of feedback to clinicians of patients' risk data; and two practice visits to support new screening and referral resources. Comparison clinicians received one didactic educational seminar (three hours) on engaging youth and health risk screening. OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were patient report of (1) clinician detection of at least one of six health risk behaviours (tobacco, alcohol and illicit drug use, risks for sexually transmitted infection, STI, unplanned pregnancy, and road risks); and (2) change in one or more of the six health risk behaviours, at three months or at 12 months. Secondary outcomes were likelihood of future visits, trust in the clinician after exit interview, clinician detection of emotional distress and fear and abuse in relationships, and emotional distress at three and 12 months. Patient acceptability of the screening tool was also described for the intervention arm. Analyses were adjusted for practice location and billing type, patients' sex, age, and recruitment method, and past health risks, where appropriate. An intention to treat analysis approach was used, which included multilevel multiple imputation for missing outcome data. RESULTS: 42 practices were randomly allocated to intervention or comparison arms. Two intervention practices withdrew post allocation, prior to training, leaving 19 intervention (53 clinicians, 377 patients) and 21 comparison (79 clinicians, 524 patients) practices. 69% of patients in both intervention (260) and comparison (360) arms completed the 12 month follow-up. Intervention clinicians discussed more health risks per patient (59.7%) than comparison clinicians (52.7%) and thus were more likely to detect a higher proportion of young people with at least one of the six health risk behaviours (38.4% vs 26.7%, risk difference [RD] 11.6%, Confidence Interval [CI] 2.93% to 20.3%; adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.7, CI 1.1 to 2.5). Patients reported less illicit drug use (RD -6.0, CI -11 to -1.2; OR 0·52, CI 0·28 to 0·96), and less risk for STI (RD -5.4, CI -11 to 0.2; OR 0·66, CI 0·46 to 0·96) at three months in the intervention relative to the comparison arm, and for unplanned pregnancy at 12 months (RD -4.4; CI -8.7 to -0.1; OR 0·40, CI 0·20 to 0·80). No differences were detected between arms on other health risks. There were no differences on secondary outcomes, apart from a greater detection of abuse (OR 13.8, CI 1.71 to 111). There were no reports of harmful events and intervention arm youth had high acceptance of the screening tool. CONCLUSIONS: A complex intervention, compared to a simple educational seminar for practices, improved detection of health risk behaviours in young people. Impact on health outcomes was inconclusive. Technology enabling more efficient, systematic health-risk screening may allow providers to target counselling toward higher risk individuals. Further trials require more power to confirm health benefits. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN.com ISRCTN16059206.
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Objective: Based on a literature review, we propose a model of physician behavioral adaptability (PBA) with the goal of inspiring new research. PBA means that the physician adapts his or her behavior according to patients' different preferences. The PBA model shows how physicians infer patients' preferences and adapt their interaction behavior from one patient to the other. We claim that patients will benefit from better outcomes if their physicians show behavioral adaptability rather than a "one size fits all" approach. Method: This literature review is based on a literature search of the PsycINFO1 and MEDLINE1 databases. Results: The literature review and first results stemming from the authors' research support the validity and viability of parts of the PBA model. There is evidence suggesting that physicians are able to show behavioral flexibility when interacting with their different patients, that a match between patients' preferences and physician behavior is related to better consultation outcomes, and that physician behavioral adaptability is related to better consultation outcomes. Practice implications: Training of physicians' behavioral flexibility and their ability to infer patients' preferences can facilitate physician behavioral adaptability and positive patient outcomes.
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Previous research suggests that female physicians may not receive appropriate credit in patients' eyes for their patient-centered skills compared to their male counterparts. An experiment was conducted to determine whether a performance of higher (versus lower) verbal patient-centeredness would result in a greater difference in analogue patient satisfaction for male than female physicians. Two male and two female actors portrayed physicians speaking to a patient using high or low patient-centered scripts while not varying their nonverbal cues. One hundred ninety-two students served as analogue patients by assuming the patient role while watching one of the videos and rating their satisfaction and other evaluative responses to the physician. Greater verbal patient-centeredness had a stronger positive effect on satisfaction and evaluations for male than for female physicians. This pattern is consistent with the hypothesis that the different associations between patient-centeredness and patients' satisfaction for male versus female physicians occur because of the overlap between stereotypical female behavior and behaviors that comprise patient-centered medical care. If this is the case, high verbal patient-centered behavior by female physicians is not recognized as a marker of clinical competence, as it is for male physicians, but is rather seen as expected female behavior.
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BACKGROUND: Fever is a frequent cause of medical consultation among returning travelers. The objectives of this study were to assess whether physicians were able to identify patients with influenza and whether the use of an influenza rapid diagnostic test (iRDT) modified the clinical management of such patients. METHODS: Randomized controlled trial conducted at 2 different Swiss hospitals between December 2008 and November 2012. Inclusion criteria were 1) age ≥18 years, 2) documented fever of ≥38 °C or anamnestic fever + cough or sore throat within the last 4 days, 3) illness occurring within 14 days after returning from a trip abroad, 4) no definitive alternative diagnosis. Physicians were asked to estimate the likelihood of influenza on clinical grounds, and a single nasopharyngeal swab was taken. Thereafter patients were randomized into 2 groups: i) patients with iRDT (BD Directigen A + B) performed on the nasopharyngeal swab, ii) patients receiving usual care. A quantitative PCR to detect influenza was done on all nasopharyngeal swabs after the recruitment period. Clinical management was evaluated on the basis of cost of medical care, number of X-rays requested and prescription of anti-infective drugs. RESULTS: 100 eligible patients were referred to the investigators. 93 patients had a naso-pharyngeal swab for a PCR and 28 (30%) swabs were positive for influenza. The median probability of influenza estimated by the physician was 70% for the PCR positive cases and 30% for the PCR negative cases (p < 0.001). The sensitivity of the iRDT was only 20%, and specificity 100%. Mean medical cost for the patients managed with iRDT and without iRDT were USD 581 (95%CI 454-707) and USD 661 (95%CI 522-800) respectively. 14/60 (23%) of the patients managed with iRDT were prescribed antibiotics versus 13/33 (39%) in the control group (p = 0.15). No patient received antiviral treatment. CONCLUSION: Influenza was a frequent cause of fever among these febrile returning travelers. Based on their clinical assessment, physicians had a higher level of suspicion for influenza in PCR positive cases. The iRDT used in this study showed a disappointingly low sensitivity and can therefore not be recommended for the management of these patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00821626.
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William Whewell's and Richard Jones's criticism of Jeremy Bentham's and David Ricardo's "dismal" views on the relation of theory and evidence in political economy was motivated by the former's views on the structuring role of natural theology for questions of method and evidence in the sciences, including political economy. In comparison, natural theology was for Richard Whately as structuring on these issues as it was for the Cambridge men. Whately's view on natural theology, however, conformed with the Ricardian predilection for theory over facts. The differences between the Cambridge men and Whately became manifest after (or better: during) the publication of Jones's book on rent in 1831 and led to a somewhat acerbic exchange of views on the role of definitions in science and the use of history for establishing scientific evidence. As far as political economy was concerned, Whately's stance carried the day in Victorian England.
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The interpretation of complex DNA profiles is facilitated by a Bayesian approach. This approach requires the development of a pair of propositions: one aligned to the prosecution case and one to the defense case. This note explores the issue of proposition setting in an adversarial environment by a series of examples. A set of guidelines generalize how to formulate propositions when there is a single person of interest and when there are multiple individuals of interest. Additional explanations cover how to handle multiple defense propositions, relatives, and the transition from subsource level to activity level propositions. The propositions depend on case information and the allegations of each of the parties. The prosecution proposition is usually known. The authors suggest that a sensible proposition is selected for the defense that is consistent with their stance, if available, and consistent with a realistic defense if their position is not known.