Validation of Logistic Regression Models for Landslide Susceptibility Maps

A wide range of numerical models and tools have been developed over the last decades to support the decision making process in environmental applications, ranging from physical models to a variety of statistically-based methods. In this study, a landslide susceptibility map of a part of Three Gorges Reservoir region of China was produced, employing binary logistic regression analyses. The available information includes the digital elevation model of the region, geological map and different GIS layers including land cover data obtained from satellite imagery. The landslides were observed and documented during the field studies. The validation analysis is exploited to investigate the quality of mapping.

Epilepsies d'origine auto-immune [Autoimmune epilepsies]

There is increasing recognition of an autoimmune origin of pharmacoresistant epileptic disorders. Besides the paraneoplastic limbic encephalopathies (LE), reports of syndromes of non-paraneoplastic LE are increasingly reported in the last 5-10 years. Three antibodies are now relatively well described: Voltagegated potassium channels (VGKC), Glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD) and N-methyl-D-apartate receptor-(NMDA) antibodies. We review clinical syndromes, associated imaging and laboratory findings. While most reports arise from adult populations, children and adolescents are also concerned as evidenced by increasing observations. Early recognition is mandatory, since early immunomodulatory treatment appears to be related to significant better outcome.

New genetic models and mesenchymal cells as tools to ameliorate anti-tumor immunity

Résumé Le but final de ce projet est d'utiliser des cellules T ou des cellules souches mésenchymateuses modifiées génétiquement afin de surexprimer localement les deux chémokines CXCL13 et CCL2 ensemble ou chacune séparément à l'intérieur d'une tumeur solide. CXCL13 est supposé induire des structures lymphoïdes ectopiques. Un niveau élevé de CCL2 est présumé initier une inflammation aiguë. La combinaison des deux effets amène à un nouveau modèle d'étude des mécanismes régulateur de la tolérance périphérique et de l'immunité tumorale. Les connaissances acquises grâce à ce modèle pourraient permettre le développement ou l'amélioration des thérapies immunes du cancer. Le but premier de ce travail a été l'établissement d'un modèle génétique de la souris permettant d'exprimer spécifiquement dans la tumeur les deux chémokines d'intérêt à des niveaux élevés. Pour accomplir cette tâche, qui est en fait une thérapie génétique de tumeurs solides, deux types de cellules porteuses potentielles ont été évaluées. Des cellules CD8+ T et des cellules mésenchymateuses de la moelle osseuse transférées dans des receveurs portant une tumeur. Si on pouvait répondre aux besoins de la thérapie génétique, indépendamment de la thérapie immune envisagée, on posséderait là un outil précieux pour bien d'autres approches thérapeutiques. Plusieurs lignées de souris transgéniques ont été générées comme source de cellules CD8+ T modifiées afin d'exprimer les chémokines d'intérêt. Dans une approche doublement transgénique les propriétés de deux promoteurs spécifiques de cellules T ont été combinées en utilisant la technologie Cre-loxP. Le promoteur de granzyme B confère une dépendance d'activation et le promoteur distal de lck assure une forte expression constitutive dès que les cellules CD8+ T ont été activées. Les transgènes construits ont montré une bonne performance in vivo et des souris qui expriment CCL2 dans des cellules CD8+ T activées ont été obtenues. Ces cellules peuvent maintenant être utilisées avec différents protocoles pour transférer des cellules T cytotoxiques (CTL) dans des receveurs porteur d'une tumeur, permettant ainsi d'évaluer leur capacité en tant que porteuse de chémokine d'infiltrer la tumeur. L'établissement de souris transgéniques, qui expriment pareillement CXCL13 est prévu dans un avenir proche. L'évaluation de cellules mésenchymateuses de la moelle osseuse a démontré que ces cellules se greffent efficacement dans le stroma tumoral suite à la co-injection avec des cellules tumorales. Cela représente un outil précieux pour la recherche, vu qu'il permet d'introduire des cellules manipulées dans un modèle tumoral. Les résultats confirment partiellement d'autres résultats rapportés dans un modèle amélioré. Cependant, l'efficacité et la spécificité suggérées de la migration systémique de cellules mésenchymateuses de la moelle osseuse dans une tumeur n'ont pas été observées dans notre modèle, ce qui indique, que ces cellules ne se prêtent pas à une utilisation thérapeutique. Un autre résultat majeur de ce travail est l'établissement de cultures de cellules mésenchymateuses de la moelle osseuse in vitro conditionnées par des tumeurs, ce qui a permis à ces cellules de s'étendre plus rapidement en gardant leur capacité de migration et de greffe. Cela offre un autre outil précieux, vu que la culture in vitro est un pas nécessaire pour une manipulation thérapeutique. Abstract The ultimate aim of the presented project is to use genetically modified T cells or mesenchymal stem cells to locally overexpress the two chemokines CXCL13 and CCL2 together or each one alone inside a solid tumor. CXCL13 is supposed to induce ectopic lymphoid structures and a high level of CCL2 is intended to trigger acute inflamation. The combination of these two effects represents a new model for studying mechanisms that regulate peripheral tolerance and tumor immunity. Gained insights may help developing or improving immunotherapy of cancer. The primary goal of the executed work was the establishment of a genetic mouse model that allows tumor-specific expression of high levels of the two chemokines of interest. For accomplishing this task, which represents gene therapy of solid tumors, two types of potentially useful carrier cells were evaluated. CD8+ T cells and mesenchymal bone marrow cells to be used in adoptive cell transfers into tumor-bearing mice. Irrespectively of the envisaged immunotherapy, satisfaction of so far unmet needs of gene therapy would be a highly valuable tool that may be employed by many other therapeutic approaches, too. Several transgenic mouse lines were generated as a source of CD8+ T cells modified to express the chemokines of interest. In a double transgenic approach the properties of two T cell-specific promoters were combined using Cre-loxP technology. The granzyme B promoter confers activation-dependency and the lck distal promoter assures strong constitutive expression once the CD8+ T cell has been activated. The constructed transgenes showed a good performance in vivo and mice expressing CCL2 in activated CD8+ T cells were obtained. These cells can now be used with different protocols for adoptively transferring cytotoxic T cells (CTL) into tumor-bearing recipients, thus allowing to study their capacity as tumor-infiltrating chemokine carrier. The establishment of transgenic mice likewisely expressing CXCL13 is expected in the near future. In addition, T cells from generated single transgenic mice that have high expression of an EGFP reporter in both CD4+ and CD8+ cells can be easily traced in vivo when setting up adoptive transfer conditions. The evaluation of mesenchymal bone marrow cells demonstrated that these cells can efficiently engraft into tumor stroma upon local coinjection with tumor cells. This represents a valuable tool for research purposes as it allows to introduce manipulated stromal cells into a tumor model. Therefore, the established engraftment model is suited for studying the envisaged immunotherapy. These results confirm to some extend previously reported results in an improved model, however, the suggested systemic tumor homing efficiency and specificity of mesenchymal bone marrow cells was not observed in our model indicating that these cells may not be suited for therapeutic use. Another major result of the presented work is the establishment oftumor-conditioned in vitro culture of mesenchymal bone marrow cells, which allowed to more rapidly expand these cells while maintaining their tumor homing and engrafting capacities. This offers another valuable tool as in vitro culture is a necessary step for therapeutic manipulations.

Genetic investigation of the functions of c-Myc and N-Myc in Hematopoietic stem cells

Résumé : c-Myc, le premier facteur de transcription de la famille Myc a été découvert il y a maintenant trente ans. Il reste à l'heure actuelle parmi les plus puissants proto-oncogènes connus. c-Myc est dérégulé dans plus de 50% des cancers, où il promeut la prolifération, la croissance cellulaire, et la néoangiogenèse. Myc peut aussi influencer de nombreuses autres fonctions de par sa capacité à activer ou à réprimer la transcription de nombreux gènes, et à agir globalement sur le génome à travers des modifications épigénétiques de la chromatine. La famille d'oncogènes Myc comprend, chez les mammifères, trois protéines structurellement proches: c-Myc, N-Myc et L-Myc. Ces protéines ont les mêmes proprietés biochimiques, exercent les mêmes fonctions mais sont le plus souvent exprimées de façon mutuellement exclusive. Myc a été récemment identifié comme un facteur clef dans la maintenance des cellules souches embryonnaires et adultes ainsi que dans la réacquisition des proprietés des cellules souches. Nous avons précédemment démontré que l'élimination de c-Myc provoque une accumulation de cellules souches hématopoïétiques (CSH) suite à un défaut de différenciation lié à la niche. Les CSH sont responsables de la production de tous les éléments cellulaires du sang pour toute la vie de l'individu et sont définies par leur capacité à s'auto-renouveler tout en produisant des précurseurs hématopoïétiques. Afin de mieux comprendre la fonction de Myc dans les CSH, nous avons choisi de combiner l'utilisation de modèles de souris génétiquement modifiées à une caractérisation systématique des schémas d'expression de c-Myc, N-Myc et L-Myc dans tout le système hématopoïétique. Nous avons ainsi découvert que les CSH les plus immatures expriment des quantités équivalentes de transcrits de c-myc et N-myc. Si les CSH déficientes en N-myc seulement ont une capacité d'auto-renouvellement à long-terme réduite, l'invalidation combinée des gènes c-myc et N-myc conduit à une pan-cytopénie suivie d'une mort rapide de l'animal, pour cause d'apoptose de tous les types cellulaires hématopoïétiques. En particulier, les CSH en cours d'auto-renouvelemment, mais pas les CSH quiescentes, accumulent du Granzyme B (GrB), une molécule fortement cytotoxique qui provoque une mort cellulaire rapide. Ces données ont ainsi mis au jour un nouveau mécanisme dont dépend la survie des CSH, à savoir la répression du GrB, une enzyme typiquement utilisée par le système immunitaire inné pour éliminer les tumeurs et les cellules infectées par des virus. Dans le but d'évaluer l'étendue de la redondance entre c-Myc et N-Myc dans les CSH, nous avons d'une part examiné des souris dans lesquelles les séquences codantes de c-myc sont remplacées par celles de N-myc (NCR) et d'autre part nous avons géneré une série allèlique de myc en éliminant de façon combinatoire un ou plusieurs allèles de c-myc et/ou de N-myc. Alors que l'analyse des souris NCR suggère que c-Myc et N-Myc sont qualitativement redondants, la série allélique indique que les efficiences avec lesquelles ces deux protéines influencent des procédés essentiels à la maintenance des CSH sont différentes. En conclusion, nos données génétiques montrent que l'activité générale de MYC, fournie par c-Myc et N-Myc, contrôle plusieurs aspects cruciaux de la fonction des CSH, notamment l'auto-renouvellement, la survie et la différenciation. Abstract : c-Myc, the first Myc transcription factor was discovered 30 years ago and is to date one of the most potent proto-oncogenes described. It is found to be misregulated in over 50% of all cancers, where it drives proliferation, cell growth and neo-angiogenesis. Myc can also influence a variety of other functions, owing to its ability to activate and repress transcription of many target genes and to globally regulate the genome via epigenetic modifications of the chromatin. The Myc family of oncogenes consists of three closely related proteins in mammals: c-Myc, N-Myc and L-Myc. These proteins share the same biochemical properties, exert mostly the same functions, but are most often expressed in mutually exclusive patterns. Myc is now emerging as a key factor in maintenance of embryonic and adult stem cells as well as in reacquisition of stem cell properties, including induced reprogramming. We previously showed that c-Myc deficiency can cause the accumulation of hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) due to a niche dependent differentiation defect. HSCs are responsible for life-long replenishment of all blood cell types, and are defined by their ability to self-renew while concomitantly giving rise to more commited progenitors. To gain further insight into the function of Myc in HSCs, in this study we combine the use of genetically-modified mouse models with the systematic characterization of c-myc, N-myc and L-myc transcription patterns throughout the hematopoietic system. Interestingly, the most immature HSCs express not only c-myc, but also about equal amounts of N-myc transcripts. Although conditional deletion of N-myc alone in the bone marrow does not affect steady-state hematopoiesis, N-myc null HSCs show impaired long-term self-renewal capacity. Strikingly, combined deficiency of c-Myc and N-Myc results in pan-cytopenia and rapid lethality, due to the apoptosis of most hematopoietic cell types. In particular, self-renewing HSCs, but not quiescent HSCs or progenitor cell types rapidly up-regulate and accumulate the potent cytotoxic molecule GranzymeB (GrB), causing their rapid cell death. These data uncover a novel pathway on which HSC survival depends on, namely repression of GrB, a molecule typically used by the innate immune system to eliminate tumor and virus infected cells. To evaluate the extent of redundancy between c-Myc and N-Myc in HSCs, we examined mice in which c-myc coding sequences are replaced by that of N-myc (NCR) and also generated an allelic series of myc, by combinatorially deleting one or several c-myc and/or N-myc alleles. While the analysis of NCR mice suggests that c-Myc and N-Myc are qualitatively functionally redundant, our allelic series indicates that the efficiencies with which these two proteins affect crucial HSC maintenance processes are likely to be distinct. Collectively, our genetic data show that general "MYC" activity delivered by c-Myc and N-Myc controls crucial aspects of HSC function, including self-renewal, survival and niche dependent differentiation.

Validación chilena del cuestionario de evaluación de apego en el adulto CAMIR

El objetivo de esta investigación fue examinar la confiabilidad y validez del instrumento de evaluación de apego en el adulto, "Cartes: Modèles Individuels de Relation (CAMIR), en la realidad sociocultural chilena. Este instrumento, basado en la teoría del apego, es un cuestionario de auto-reporte que evalúa los modelos operativos internos en adultos y otras escalas relacionadas al apego. Los participantes fueron 578 sujetos, 204 hombres y 374 mujeres, con edades entre 14 y 80 años. Los sujetos completaron el CAMIR y medidas de vínculo y sintomatología actual, a través del Parental Bonding Instrument (PBI) and Outcome Questionnaire OQ-45.2. A través del análisis estadístico de los resultados se evaluaron las características psicométricas del test y de analiz ó la posibilidad de generar normas locales para la prueba. Los resultados confirmaron que el CAMIR es un instrumento confiable y válido en la evaluación de los modelos internos de relación en adultos. This study was designed to estimate the validity and reliability of the "Cartes: Modèles Individuels de Relation (CAMIR), in Chile. This inventory, based on attachment's theory, it's a auto-questionnaire evaluates the working models in adults and other scales relating to attachment. Participants were 578 individuals, 204 males and 374 females, 14 a 80 years old. Individuals completed the CAMIR and measures of bond and actual symptoms, with the Parental Bonding Instrument (PBI) and Outcome Questionnaire OQ-45.2. The general norms were obtained according to a statistical analysis of the results and to an evaluation of the psychometric characteristics of the test. The results confirmed that the psychometric characteristics of the CAMIR make it a reliable and valid tool to assess working models in adults.

Modern statistical models for forensic fingerprint examinations : a critical review

Over the last decade, the development of statistical models in support of forensic fingerprint identification has been the subject of increasing research attention, spurned on recently by commentators who claim that the scientific basis for fingerprint identification has not been adequately demonstrated. Such models are increasingly seen as useful tools in support of the fingerprint identification process within or in addition to the ACE-V framework. This paper provides a critical review of recent statistical models from both a practical and theoretical perspective. This includes analysis of models of two different methodologies: Probability of Random Correspondence (PRC) models that focus on calculating probabilities of the occurrence of fingerprint configurations for a given population, and Likelihood Ratio (LR) models which use analysis of corresponding features of fingerprints to derive a likelihood value representing the evidential weighting for a potential source.

Using 3D surface datasets to understand landslide evolution: From analogue models to real case study

Early detection of landslide surface deformation with 3D remote sensing techniques, as TLS, has become a great challenge during last decade. To improve our understanding of landslide deformation, a series of analogue simulation have been carried out on non-rigid bodies coupled with 3D digitizer. All these experiments have been carried out under controlled conditions, as water level and slope angle inclination. We were able to follow 3D surface deformation suffered by complex landslide bodies from precursory deformation still larger failures. These experiments were the basis for the development of a new algorithm for the quantification of surface deformation using automatic tracking method on discrete points of the slope surface. To validate the algorithm, comparisons were made between manually obtained results and algorithm surface displacement results. Outputs will help in understanding 3D deformation during pre-failure stages and failure mechanisms, which are fundamental aspects for future implementation of 3D remote sensing techniques in early warning systems.

Do pseudo-absence selection strategies influence species distribution models and their predictions? An information-theoretic approach based on simulated data

Background Multiple logistic regression is precluded from many practical applications in ecology that aim to predict the geographic distributions of species because it requires absence data, which are rarely available or are unreliable. In order to use multiple logistic regression, many studies have simulated "pseudo-absences" through a number of strategies, but it is unknown how the choice of strategy influences models and their geographic predictions of species. In this paper we evaluate the effect of several prevailing pseudo-absence strategies on the predictions of the geographic distribution of a virtual species whose "true" distribution and relationship to three environmental predictors was predefined. We evaluated the effect of using a) real absences b) pseudo-absences selected randomly from the background and c) two-step approaches: pseudo-absences selected from low suitability areas predicted by either Ecological Niche Factor Analysis: (ENFA) or BIOCLIM. We compared how the choice of pseudo-absence strategy affected model fit, predictive power, and information-theoretic model selection results. Results Models built with true absences had the best predictive power, best discriminatory power, and the "true" model (the one that contained the correct predictors) was supported by the data according to AIC, as expected. Models based on random pseudo-absences had among the lowest fit, but yielded the second highest AUC value (0.97), and the "true" model was also supported by the data. Models based on two-step approaches had intermediate fit, the lowest predictive power, and the "true" model was not supported by the data. Conclusion If ecologists wish to build parsimonious GLM models that will allow them to make robust predictions, a reasonable approach is to use a large number of randomly selected pseudo-absences, and perform model selection based on an information theoretic approach. However, the resulting models can be expected to have limited fit.

Designing business models of cloud platforms

Cloud computing and its three facets (Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS)) are terms that denote new developments in the software industry. In particular, PaaS solutions, also referred to as cloud platforms, are changing the way software is being produced, distributed, consumed, and priced. Software vendors have started considering cloud platforms as a strategic option but are battling to redefine their offerings to embrace PaaS. In contrast to SaaS and IaaS, PaaS allows for value co-creation with partners to develop complementary components and applications. It thus requires multisided business models that bring together two or more distinct customer segments. Understanding how to design PaaS business models to establish a flourishing ecosystem is crucial for software vendors. This doctoral thesis aims to address this issue in three interrelated research parts. First, based on case study research, the thesis provides a deeper understanding of current PaaS business models and their evolution. Second, it analyses and simulates consumers' preferences regarding PaaS business models, using a conjoint approach to find out what determines the choice of cloud platforms. Finally, building on the previous research outcomes, the third part introduces a design theory for the emerging class of PaaS business models, which is grounded on an extensive action design research study with a large European software vendor. Understanding PaaS business models from a market as well as a consumer perspective will, together with the design theory, inform and guide decision makers in their business model innovation plans. It also closes gaps in the research related to PaaS business model design and more generally related to platform business models.