What drives invasibility? A multi-model inference test and spatial modelling of alien plant species richness patterns in northern Portugal

Understanding and anticipating biological invasions can focus either on traits that favour species invasiveness or on features of the receiving communities, habitats or landscapes that promote their invasibility. Here, we address invasibility at the regional scale, testing whether some habitats and landscapes are more invasible than others by fitting models that relate alien plant species richness to various environmental predictors. We use a multi-model information-theoretic approach to assess invasibility by modelling spatial and ecological patterns of alien invasion in landscape mosaics and testing competing hypotheses of environmental factors that may control invasibility. Because invasibility may be mediated by particular characteristics of invasiveness, we classified alien species according to their C-S-R plant strategies. We illustrate this approach with a set of 86 alien species in Northern Portugal. We first focus on predictors influencing species richness and expressing invasibility and then evaluate whether distinct plant strategies respond to the same or different groups of environmental predictors. We confirmed climate as a primary determinant of alien invasions and as a primary environmental gradient determining landscape invasibility. The effects of secondary gradients were detected only when the area was sub-sampled according to predictions based on the primary gradient. Then, multiple predictor types influenced patterns of alien species richness, with some types (landscape composition, topography and fire regime) prevailing over others. Alien species richness responded most strongly to extreme land management regimes, suggesting that intermediate disturbance induces biotic resistance by favouring native species richness. Land-use intensification facilitated alien invasion, whereas conservation areas hosted few invaders, highlighting the importance of ecosystem stability in preventing invasions. Plants with different strategies exhibited different responses to environmental gradients, particularly when the variations of the primary gradient were narrowed by sub-sampling. Such differential responses of plant strategies suggest using distinct control and eradication approaches for different areas and alien plant groups.

Advanced geostatistical and machine-learning models for spatial data analysis of radioactively contaminated regions

Radioactive soil-contamination mapping and risk assessment is a vital issue for decision makers. Traditional approaches for mapping the spatial concentration of radionuclides employ various regression-based models, which usually provide a single-value prediction realization accompanied (in some cases) by estimation error. Such approaches do not provide the capability for rigorous uncertainty quantification or probabilistic mapping. Machine learning is a recent and fast-developing approach based on learning patterns and information from data. Artificial neural networks for prediction mapping have been especially powerful in combination with spatial statistics. A data-driven approach provides the opportunity to integrate additional relevant information about spatial phenomena into a prediction model for more accurate spatial estimates and associated uncertainty. Machine-learning algorithms can also be used for a wider spectrum of problems than before: classification, probability density estimation, and so forth. Stochastic simulations are used to model spatial variability and uncertainty. Unlike regression models, they provide multiple realizations of a particular spatial pattern that allow uncertainty and risk quantification. This paper reviews the most recent methods of spatial data analysis, prediction, and risk mapping, based on machine learning and stochastic simulations in comparison with more traditional regression models. The radioactive fallout from the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant accident is used to illustrate the application of the models for prediction and classification problems. This fallout is a unique case study that provides the challenging task of analyzing huge amounts of data ('hard' direct measurements, as well as supplementary information and expert estimates) and solving particular decision-oriented problems.

Analysis and spatial modeling of the indoor radon Swiss data

The present research deals with an important public health threat, which is the pollution created by radon gas accumulation inside dwellings. The spatial modeling of indoor radon in Switzerland is particularly complex and challenging because of many influencing factors that should be taken into account. Indoor radon data analysis must be addressed from both a statistical and a spatial point of view. As a multivariate process, it was important at first to define the influence of each factor. In particular, it was important to define the influence of geology as being closely associated to indoor radon. This association was indeed observed for the Swiss data but not probed to be the sole determinant for the spatial modeling. The statistical analysis of data, both at univariate and multivariate level, was followed by an exploratory spatial analysis. Many tools proposed in the literature were tested and adapted, including fractality, declustering and moving windows methods. The use of Quan-tité Morisita Index (QMI) as a procedure to evaluate data clustering in function of the radon level was proposed. The existing methods of declustering were revised and applied in an attempt to approach the global histogram parameters. The exploratory phase comes along with the definition of multiple scales of interest for indoor radon mapping in Switzerland. The analysis was done with a top-to-down resolution approach, from regional to local lev¬els in order to find the appropriate scales for modeling. In this sense, data partition was optimized in order to cope with stationary conditions of geostatistical models. Common methods of spatial modeling such as Κ Nearest Neighbors (KNN), variography and General Regression Neural Networks (GRNN) were proposed as exploratory tools. In the following section, different spatial interpolation methods were applied for a par-ticular dataset. A bottom to top method complexity approach was adopted and the results were analyzed together in order to find common definitions of continuity and neighborhood parameters. Additionally, a data filter based on cross-validation was tested with the purpose of reducing noise at local scale (the CVMF). At the end of the chapter, a series of test for data consistency and methods robustness were performed. This lead to conclude about the importance of data splitting and the limitation of generalization methods for reproducing statistical distributions. The last section was dedicated to modeling methods with probabilistic interpretations. Data transformation and simulations thus allowed the use of multigaussian models and helped take the indoor radon pollution data uncertainty into consideration. The catego-rization transform was presented as a solution for extreme values modeling through clas-sification. Simulation scenarios were proposed, including an alternative proposal for the reproduction of the global histogram based on the sampling domain. The sequential Gaussian simulation (SGS) was presented as the method giving the most complete information, while classification performed in a more robust way. An error measure was defined in relation to the decision function for data classification hardening. Within the classification methods, probabilistic neural networks (PNN) show to be better adapted for modeling of high threshold categorization and for automation. Support vector machines (SVM) on the contrary performed well under balanced category conditions. In general, it was concluded that a particular prediction or estimation method is not better under all conditions of scale and neighborhood definitions. Simulations should be the basis, while other methods can provide complementary information to accomplish an efficient indoor radon decision making.

Dissociation between components of spatial memory in rats after recovery from the effects of retrohippocampal lesions

A series of 4 experiments examined the performance of rats with retrohippocampal lesions on a spatial water-maze task. The animals were trained to find and escape onto a hidden platform after swimming in a large pool of opaque water. The platform was invisible and could not be located using olfactory cues. Successful escape performance required the rats to develop strategies of approaching the correct location with reference solely to distal extramaze cues. The lesions encompassed the entire rostro-caudal extent of the lateral and medial entorhinal cortex, and included parts of the pre- and para-subiculum, angular bundle and subiculum. Groups ECR 1 and 2 sustained only partial damage of the subiculum, while Group ECR+S sustained extensive damage. These groups were compared with sham-lesion and unoperated control groups. In Expt 1A, a profound deficit in spatial localisation was found in groups ECR 1 and ECR+S, the rats receiving all training postoperatively. In Expt 1B, these two groups showed hyperactivity in an open-field. In Expt 2, extensive preoperative training caused a transitory saving in performance of the spatial task by group ECR 2, but comparisons with the groups of Expt 1A revealed no sustained improvement, except on one measure of performance in a post-training transfer test. All rats were then given (Expt 3) training on a cueing procedure using a visible platform. The spatial deficit disappeared but, on returning to the normal hidden platform procedure, it reappeared. Nevertheless, a final transfer test, during which the platform was removed from the apparatus, revealed a dissociation between two independent measures of performance: the rats with ECR lesions failed to search for the hidden platform but repeatedly crossed its correct location accurately during traverses of the entire pool. This partial recovery of performance was not (Expt 4) associated with any ability to discriminate between two locations in the pool. The apparently selective recovery of aspects of spatial memory is discussed in relation to O'Keefe and Nadel's (1978) spatial mapping theory of hippocampal function. We propose a modification of the theory in terms of a dissociation between procedural and declarative subcomponents of spatial memory. The declarative component is a flexible access system in which information is stored in a form independent of action. It is permanently lost after the lesion. The procedural component is "unmasked" by the retrohippocampal lesion giving rise to the partial recovery of spatial localisation performance.

Vision, spatial cognition and intellectual disability.

Vision is the most synthetic sensory channel and it provides specific information about the relative position of distant landmarks during visual exploration. In this paper we propose that visual exploration, as assessed by the recording of eye movements, offers an original method to analyze spatial cognition and to reveal alternative adaptation strategies in people with intellectual disabilities (ID). Our general assumption is that eye movement exploration may simultaneously reveal whether, why, and how, compensatory strategies point to specific difficulties related to neurological symptoms. An understanding of these strategies will also help in the development of optimal rehabilitation procedures.

Once and for all - How people change strategy to ignore irrelevant information in visual tasks

Ignoring irrelevant visual information aids efficient interaction with task environments. We studied how people, after practice, start to ignore the irrelevant aspects of stimuli. For this we focused on how information reduction transfers to rarely practised and novel stimuli. In Experiment 1, we compared competing mathematical models on how people cease to fixate on irrelevant parts of stimuli. Information reduction occurred at the same rate for frequent, infrequent, and novel stimuli. Once acquired with some stimuli, it was applied to all. In Experiment 2, simplification of task processing also occurred in a once-for-all manner when spatial regularities were ruled out so that people could not rely on learning which screen position is irrelevant. Apparently, changes in eye movements were an effect of a once-for-all strategy change rather than a cause of it. Overall, the results suggest that participants incidentally acquired knowledge about regularities in the task material and then decided to voluntarily apply it for efficient task processing. Such decisions should be incorporated into accounts of information reduction and other theories of strategy change in skill acquisition.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging techniques for motion-suppressed multi-dimensional coronary artery imaging with high spatial and temporal resolution

L'imagerie par résonance magnétique (IRM) peut fournir aux cardiologues des informations diagnostiques importantes sur l'état de la maladie de l'artère coronarienne dans les patients. Le défi majeur pour l'IRM cardiaque est de gérer toutes les sources de mouvement qui peuvent affecter la qualité des images en réduisant l'information diagnostique. Cette thèse a donc comme but de développer des nouvelles techniques d'acquisitions des images IRM, en changeant les techniques de compensation du mouvement, pour en augmenter l'efficacité, la flexibilité, la robustesse et pour obtenir plus d'information sur le tissu et plus d'information temporelle. Les techniques proposées favorisent donc l'avancement de l'imagerie des coronaires dans une direction plus maniable et multi-usage qui peut facilement être transférée dans l'environnement clinique. La première partie de la thèse s'est concentrée sur l'étude du mouvement des artères coronariennes sur des patients en utilisant la techniques d'imagerie standard (rayons x), pour mesurer la précision avec laquelle les artères coronariennes retournent dans la même position battement après battement (repositionnement des coronaires). Nous avons découvert qu'il y a des intervalles dans le cycle cardiaque, tôt dans la systole et à moitié de la diastole, où le repositionnement des coronaires est au minimum. En réponse nous avons développé une nouvelle séquence d'acquisition (T2-post) capable d'acquérir les données aussi tôt dans la systole. Cette séquence a été testée sur des volontaires sains et on a pu constater que la qualité de visualisation des artère coronariennes est égale à celle obtenue avec les techniques standard. De plus, le rapport signal sur bruit fourni par la séquence d'acquisition proposée est supérieur à celui obtenu avec les techniques d'imagerie standard. La deuxième partie de la thèse a exploré un paradigme d'acquisition des images cardiaques complètement nouveau pour l'imagerie du coeur entier. La technique proposée dans ce travail acquiert les données sans arrêt (free-running) au lieu d'être synchronisée avec le mouvement cardiaque. De cette façon, l'efficacité de la séquence d'acquisition est augmentée de manière significative et les images produites représentent le coeur entier dans toutes les phases cardiaques (quatre dimensions, 4D). Par ailleurs, l'auto-navigation de la respiration permet d'effectuer cette acquisition en respiration libre. Cette technologie rend possible de visualiser et évaluer l'anatomie du coeur et de ses vaisseaux ainsi que la fonction cardiaque en quatre dimensions et avec une très haute résolution spatiale et temporelle, sans la nécessité d'injecter un moyen de contraste. Le pas essentiel qui a permis le développement de cette technique est l'utilisation d'une trajectoire d'acquisition radiale 3D basée sur l'angle d'or. Avec cette trajectoire, il est possible d'acquérir continûment les données d'espace k, puis de réordonner les données et choisir les paramètres temporel des images 4D a posteriori. L'acquisition 4D a été aussi couplée avec un algorithme de reconstructions itératif (compressed sensing) qui permet d'augmenter la résolution temporelle tout en augmentant la qualité des images. Grâce aux images 4D, il est possible maintenant de visualiser les artères coronariennes entières dans chaque phase du cycle cardiaque et, avec les mêmes données, de visualiser et mesurer la fonction cardiaque. La qualité des artères coronariennes dans les images 4D est la même que dans les images obtenues avec une acquisition 3D standard, acquise en diastole Par ailleurs, les valeurs de fonction cardiaque mesurées au moyen des images 4D concorde avec les valeurs obtenues avec les images 2D standard. Finalement, dans la dernière partie de la thèse une technique d'acquisition a temps d'écho ultra-court (UTE) a été développée pour la visualisation in vivo des calcifications des artères coronariennes. Des études récentes ont démontré que les acquisitions UTE permettent de visualiser les calcifications dans des plaques athérosclérotiques ex vivo. Cepandent le mouvement du coeur a entravé jusqu'à maintenant l'utilisation des techniques UTE in vivo. Pour résoudre ce problème nous avons développé une séquence d'acquisition UTE avec trajectoire radiale 3D et l'avons testée sur des volontaires. La technique proposée utilise une auto-navigation 3D pour corriger le mouvement respiratoire et est synchronisée avec l'ECG. Trois échos sont acquis pour extraire le signal de la calcification avec des composants au T2 très court tout en permettant de séparer le signal de la graisse depuis le signal de l'eau. Les résultats sont encore préliminaires mais on peut affirmer que la technique développé peut potentiellement montrer les calcifications des artères coronariennes in vivo. En conclusion, ce travail de thèse présente trois nouvelles techniques pour l'IRM du coeur entier capables d'améliorer la visualisation et la caractérisation de la maladie athérosclérotique des coronaires. Ces techniques fournissent des informations anatomiques et fonctionnelles en quatre dimensions et des informations sur la composition du tissu auparavant indisponibles. CORONARY artery magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has the potential to provide the cardiologist with relevant diagnostic information relative to coronary artery disease of patients. The major challenge of cardiac MRI, though, is dealing with all sources of motions that can corrupt the images affecting the diagnostic information provided. The current thesis, thus, focused on the development of new MRI techniques that change the standard approach to cardiac motion compensation in order to increase the efficiency of cardioavscular MRI, to provide more flexibility and robustness, new temporal information and new tissue information. The proposed approaches help in advancing coronary magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) in the direction of an easy-to-use and multipurpose tool that can be translated to the clinical environment. The first part of the thesis focused on the study of coronary artery motion through gold standard imaging techniques (x-ray angiography) in patients, in order to measure the precision with which the coronary arteries assume the same position beat after beat (coronary artery repositioning). We learned that intervals with minimal coronary artery repositioning occur in peak systole and in mid diastole and we responded with a new pulse sequence (T2~post) that is able to provide peak-systolic imaging. Such a sequence was tested in healthy volunteers and, from the image quality comparison, we learned that the proposed approach provides coronary artery visualization and contrast-to-noise ratio (CNR) comparable with the standard acquisition approach, but with increased signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). The second part of the thesis explored a completely new paradigm for whole- heart cardiovascular MRI. The proposed techniques acquires the data continuously (free-running), instead of being triggered, thus increasing the efficiency of the acquisition and providing four dimensional images of the whole heart, while respiratory self navigation allows for the scan to be performed in free breathing. This enabling technology allows for anatomical and functional evaluation in four dimensions, with high spatial and temporal resolution and without the need for contrast agent injection. The enabling step is the use of a golden-angle based 3D radial trajectory, which allows for a continuous sampling of the k-space and a retrospective selection of the timing parameters of the reconstructed dataset. The free-running 4D acquisition was then combined with a compressed sensing reconstruction algorithm that further increases the temporal resolution of the 4D dataset, while at the same time increasing the overall image quality by removing undersampling artifacts. The obtained 4D images provide visualization of the whole coronary artery tree in each phases of the cardiac cycle and, at the same time, allow for the assessment of the cardiac function with a single free- breathing scan. The quality of the coronary arteries provided by the frames of the free-running 4D acquisition is in line with the one obtained with the standard ECG-triggered one, and the cardiac function evaluation matched the one measured with gold-standard stack of 2D cine approaches. Finally, the last part of the thesis focused on the development of ultrashort echo time (UTE) acquisition scheme for in vivo detection of calcification in the coronary arteries. Recent studies showed that UTE imaging allows for the coronary artery plaque calcification ex vivo, since it is able to detect the short T2 components of the calcification. The heart motion, though, prevented this technique from being applied in vivo. An ECG-triggered self-navigated 3D radial triple- echo UTE acquisition has then been developed and tested in healthy volunteers. The proposed sequence combines a 3D self-navigation approach with a 3D radial UTE acquisition enabling data collection during free breathing. Three echoes are simultaneously acquired to extract the short T2 components of the calcification while a water and fat separation technique allows for proper visualization of the coronary arteries. Even though the results are still preliminary, the proposed sequence showed great potential for the in vivo visualization of coronary artery calcification. In conclusion, the thesis presents three novel MRI approaches aimed at improved characterization and assessment of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease. These approaches provide new anatomical and functional information in four dimensions, and support tissue characterization for coronary artery plaques.