What makes for peaceful post-conflict elections?

Elections play a crucial role in post-conflict peace and democratization processes as, among other factors, they provide an answer to the question of who is to legitimately rule the country. However, because of the competitiveness arising from their central role in allocating power they can also represent windows of vulnerability where deeply rooted societal conflicts can come to the surface. This working paper focuses on two post-conflict elections (Sierra Leone 2007; Nepal 2008) which, despite perceived high risks, did not result in widespread violence or a return to armed conflict. The aim of these case studies is to identify the factors and measures that may have played an important role in contributing to this outcome. Each of the two case studies first outlines the risks associated with the elections and then analyzes the violence and conflict preventing factors. The paper shows that that the context greatly influences the type of measures that can be taken in such situations, but that there are also some similarities in the two cases studied. In particular, it appears that that the credibility of the elections, largely attributable to a good electoral administration, was an important factor in both Nepal and Sierra Leone. Furthermore, the inclusion of all key stakeholders in decisions regarding key electoral institutions helped to diffuse potential conflict. The study also shows that in both cases the international community played an important role by providing financial, logistical and technical support and by pressuring certain important actors to comply with the rules.

Radiolarian biochronology and Pacific origin of Jurassic-Cretaceous oceanic terranes in Costa Rica and Puerto Rico

AbstractAs demonstrated during several recent geological conferences, there is still a large debate concerning the origins of the Mesozoic oceanic remnants on the Caribbean Plate. The geodynamic models describing the Mesozoic history of the Caribbean realm can be divided into two main categories based on the origin of the Caribbean Plate: 1) An in situ origin between the Americas; 2) A Pacific origin and an eastward transport relative to the Americas. The study of the ribbon-bedded radiolarite is a key in determining the origins of associated Mesozoic oceanic terranes and may help to achieve a general agreement regarding the basic principles on the evolution of the Caribbean Plate. The Early Jurassic to early Late Cretaceous Bermeja Complex of Puerto Rico, witch contains serpentinized peridotite, altered basalt, amphibolite, and chert (Mariquita Chert Formation), and the contemporaneous Santa Rosa Accretionary Complex, which crops out in several half-windows along the south shores of the Santa Elena Peninsula in northwestern Costa Rica, are two of these little-known and crucial ophiolitic mélanges. The Manzanillo and Matambú fore-arc Terranes of the Nicoya Peninsula in the northwestern Costa Rica, which contain Late Cretaceous to Early Paleogene radiolarian-bearing siliceous mudstones and cherts associated with arc-derived mafic to intermediate volcaniclastics, bring important information on the history of the western active margin of the Caribbean Plate. A systematic radiolarian study of these three regions is presented herein in three different articles.The radiolarian biochronology of the Mariquita Chert Formation of the Bermeja Complex presented in this work indicate an early Middle Jurassic to early Late Cretaceous (late Bajocian-early Callovian to middle Albian-middle Cenomanian) age for the Mariquita Chert Formation. The illustrated assemblages contain 150 species, of which 3 are new (Pantanellium karinae, Loopus bermejaense, and L. boricus), and belonging to 59 genera. A review of the previous radiolarian published works on this formation and the results of this study suggest that the Bermeja Complex ranges in age from Middle Jurassic to early Late Cretaceous (late Aalenian to middle Cenomanian) and also reveal a possible feature of the complex, which is the youngling of radiolarian cherts from north to south, evoking a polarity of accretion. On the basis of a currently exhaustive inventory of the ribbonbedded radiolaritic facies on the Caribbean Plate, a re-examination of the distribution of Middle Jurassic sediments associated with oceanic crust from the Caribbean realm, and a paleoceanographical argumentation on the water currents, we come to the conclusion that the radiolarite and associated Mesozoic oceanic terranes of the Caribbean Plate are of Pacific origin. The previous argument for a Pacific origin of the Bermeja Complex presented by Montgomery et al. (1994a), based on their radiolarian age and their estimation of the oldest Proto-Caribbean oceanic crust, is nowadays seriously questionable, owing to the recent progresses in radiolarian biostratigraphy and new discoveries on the age of the first oceanic crust spreading between the Americas. Furthermore, we interpret the radiolarian Parvicingulidae-rich assemblages in the low-latitude Caribbean context as potential indicators of upwelling or land nutrients inputs, instead of indicators of paleolatitudes,as firstly stated by Pessagno and Blome (1986). Eventually, a discussion on the origin of the cherts of the Mariquita Formation illustrated by Middle Jurassic to middle Cretaceous geodynamic models of the Pacific and Caribbean realms bring up the possibility that the rocks of the Bermeja Complex are remnants of two different oceans.The Santa Rosa Accretionary Complex contains various oceanic assemblages of alkaline basalt, radiolarite and polymictic breccias. The radiolarian biochronology (19 illustrated assemblages, 232 species belonging to 63 genera) presented in this work indicate an Early Jurassic to early Late Cretaceous (early Pliensbachian to earliest Turonian) age for the sediments associated with oceanic basalts or recovered from blocks in breccias or megabreccias from the Santa Rosa Accretionary Complex. This study brings to light the Early Jurassic age of a sequence of ribbon-bedded radiolarite, which was previously thought to be of Cretaceous age, intruded by alkaline basalts sills. The presence of Early Jurassic large reworked blocks of radiolarite in a polymictic megabreccia, firstly reported by De Wever et al. (1985) is confirmed. Therefore, the alkaline basalt associated with these radiolarites could be of Jurassic age. In the Carrizal tectonic window, Middle Jurassic radiolarian chert blocks and Early Cretaceous brick-red ribbon-bedded radiolarites overlying pillow basalts are interpreted as fragments of a Middle Jurassic oceanic basement accreted to an Early Cretaceous oceanic plate, in an intra-oceanic subduction context. Whereas, knobby radiolarites and black shale at Playa Carrizal are indicative of a shallower middle Cretaceous paleoenvironment. Other younger oceanic remnants documented the rapid approach of the site of sedimentation to a subduction trench during the late Early Cretaceous (AlbianCenomanian), maybe early Late Cretaceous (Turonian).In total, 60 species belonging to 34 genera were present in relatively well-preserved radiolarian faunas from volcaniclastics and associated pelagic and hemipelagic rocks of the Matambú and Manzanillo terranes, ranging in age from Late Cretaceous to Early Paleogene (middle Turonian-Santonian to late Thanetian-Ypresian). This study shows that radiolarians can provide significant biostratigraphic control in the Nicoya Peninsula where very similar lithologies of different ages are present. Two radiolarian samples directly date the Berrugate Formation for the first time (middle Turonian-Santonian and Coniacian-Santonian). These ages allow to determine a volcanic arc activity on the western edge of the future Caribbean Plate at least since the Santonian that could have lasted through the middle Turonian-early Campanian interval by stratigraphic superposition. Moreover on the basis of these radiolarian ages, the Loma Chumico Formation of Albian age, and the Berrugate Formation of middle Turonian-early Maastrichtian age, can now be clearly differentiated. Two samples from the Sabana Grande Formation give a Coniacian-Santonian age and a Coniacian-Campanian age and indicate that there is a stratigraphic gap of ~10 million years between this formation and the underlying Albian Loma Chumico Formation.RésuméComme cela a pu se vérifier à plusieurs reprises lors de conférences géologiques récentes, le débat sur l'origine des terrains océaniques mésozoïques de la Plaque Caraïbes est toujours d'actualité. Les modèles géodynamiques décrivant l'histoire de la région caraïbes peuvent être classés en deux catégories basées sur l'origine de la Plaque Caraïbes : 1) Une origine in situ entre les Amériques ; 2) Une origine Pacifique et un transport vers l'est, par rapport aux Amériques. L'étude des radiolarites rubanées est capitale pour la détermination de l'origine des terrains océaniques allochtones du Mésozoïque et peut être utile pour parvenir à un compromis général concernant les principes basiques de l'évolution de la Plaque Caraïbes. Le complexe de Bermeja à Porto Rico qui est constitué de péridotites serpentinisées, de basaltes altérés, d'amphibolites et de cherts (Formation des Cherts de Mariquita), et le Complexe d'Accrétion de Santa Rosa qui affleure dans plusieurs demi-fenêtres tectoniques au sud de la Péninsule de Santa Elena au nord-ouest du Costa Rica sont deux de ces mélanges ophiolitiques peu décrits et déterminants. Les terrains de fore-arc de Manzanillo et de Matambu dans la Péninsule de Nicoya au nord-ouest du Costa Rica qui sont composés de calcaires siliceux et de cherts riches en radiolaires associés à du matériel volcanique d'arc mafique à intermédiaire, apportent d'importantes informations sur l'histoire de la marge active occidentale de la Plaque Caraïbe. Une étude systématique des radiolaires de ces trois régions est présentée dans ce travail sous forme de trois articles.La biochronologie des radiolaires de la Formation des Cherts de Mariquita du Complexe d'Accrétion de Santa Rosa présentée dans ce travail indique un âge Jurassique Moyen inférieur à Crétacé Supérieur inférieur (Bajocien supérieur-Callovien inférieur à Albien moyen-Cénomanien moyen) pour la Formation des Cherts de Mariquita. Les assemblages illustrés contiennent 150 espèces, parmis lesquelles 3 sont nouvelles (Pantanellium karinae, Loopus bermejaense et L. boricus), et appartenant à 59 genres différents. Une révision des travaux publiés précédemment sur les radiolaires de cette formation, ainsi que les résultats de cette étude suggèrent que le Complexe de Bermeja a un âge allant du Jurassique moyen au Crétacé Supérieur inférieur (Aalénien supérieur à Cénomanien moyen) et révèle aussi une caractéristique éventuelle du complexe qui est le rajeunissement des radiolarites du nord au sud, évoquant une polarité d'accrétion. Sur la base d'un inventaire actuellement exhaustif du facies radiolaritique rubané sur la Plaque Caraïbes, d'un nouvel examen de la distribution globale des sédiments du Jurassique Moyen associés à de la croûte océanique et d'une argumentation paléocéanographique sur les courants, nous arrivons à la conclusion que les radiolarites et les unités tectoniques océaniques du Mésozoïque associées de la Plaque Caraïbes sont d'origine pacifique. L'argument antérieur pour une origine pacifique du Complexe de Bermeja présenté par Montgomery et al. (1994a), basé sur leur âge à radiolaire et leur estimation de l'âge de la plus vieille croûte océanique des Proto-Caraïbes, est sérieusement remis en question aujourd'hui, en raison des progrès récents de la biostratigraphie des radiolaires et des nouvelles découvertes concernant l'âge du début de l'océanisation entre les Amériques. En outre, dans le contexte de basses latitudes des Caraïbes, nous interprétons les assemblages à radiolaires riches en Parvicingulidae comme étant des indicateurs potentiels d'apports en nutriments des zones d'uppwelling ou des terres, plutôt que des indicateurs de paléolatitudes, comme exposer pour la première fois par Pessagno et Blome (1986). Finalement, une discussion sur l'origine des cherts de la Formation de Mariquita illustrée par des modèles géodynamiques du Jurassique Moyen au Crétacé moyen des régions pacifique et caraïbes, fait poindre la possibilité que les roches du Complexe de Bermeja proviennent de deux océans différents.Le Complexe d'Accrétion de Santa Rosa contient plusieurs assemblages océaniques différents de basaltes alcalins, radiolarites et brèches polymictes. La biochronologie des radiolaires (19 assemblages illustrés, 232 espèces appartenant à 63 genres) présentée dans ce second travail indique un âge Jurassique Inférieur à Crétacé Supérieur inférieur (Pliensbachien inférieur à Turonien initial) pour les sédiments associés aux basaltes océaniques ou provenant de blocs dans des brèches ou des mégabrèches du Complexe d'Accrétion de Santa Rosa. Cette étude met en évidence l'âge Jurassique Inférieur d'une séquence de radiolarites rubanées entrecoupée de sills de basaltes alcalins, dont l'âge estimé était précédemment le Crétacé.La présence de blocs plurimétriques de radiolarites d'âge Jurassique Inférieur remaniés dans une mégabrèche polymicte, dont la présence avait été signalée par De Wever et al. (1985), est confirmée. Par conséquent, les basaltes alcalins associés à ces radiolarites pourraient aussi être d'âge Jurassique. Dans la fenêtre tectonique de Carrizal, des blocs de radiolarites d'âge Jurassique Moyen et des radiolarites du Crétacé Inférieur recouvrant des basaltes en coussins sont interprétés comme des fragments d'une croûte océanique d'âge Jurassique Moyen accrétés à une plaque océanique d'âge Crétacé Inférieur, dans un contexte de subduction intra-océanique. Alors que dans la même zone, les radiolarites « noueuses » et les argiles noires associées sont interprétées comme des indicateurs d'un milieu peu profond au Crétacé. D'autres fragments océaniques plus jeunes documentent une approche rapide du lieu de sédimentation vers une fosse de subduction pendant le Crétacé Inférieur supérieur (Albien-Cénomanien), peut-être Crétacé Supérieur (Turonien).Au total, 60 espèces appartenant à 34 genres ont été déterminées à partir de faunes à radiolaires relativement bien préservées, extraites de roches volcanoclastiques et pélagiques à hémipélagiques associées, provenant des terrains de Matambu et Manzanillo et ayant des âges compris entre le Crétacé Supérieur et le Paléogène Inférieur (Turonien moyen-Santonien à Thanétien supérieur-Yprésien). Cette étude montre que les radiolaires peuvent fournir un contrôle stratigraphique significatif dans la Péninsule de Nicoya, où des lithologies similaires, mais d'âges différents sont présentes. Deux échantillons à radiolaires permettent de dater la Formation de Berrugate pour la première fois (Turonien moyen-Santonien et Coniacien-Santonien). Ces âges permettent d'établir une activité volcanique d'arc le long de la marge occidentale de la futur Plaque Caraïbes au moins depuis le Santonien et qui pourrait avoir durée jusqu'au Turonien moyen-Campanien inférieur. De plus, sur la base de ces âges à radiolaires, la Formation de Loma Chumico d'âge Albien, et la Formation de Berrugate d'âge Turonien moyen-Maastrichtien inférieur, peuvent maintenant être différenciées. Deux échantillons de la Formation de Sabana Grande donnent des âges Coniacien-Santonien et Coniacien-Campanien et indiquent qu'il existe une lacune stratigraphique d'environ 10 millions d'années entre cette formation et la Formation de Loma Chumico sous-jacente d'âge Albien.

Analysis and spatial modeling of the indoor radon Swiss data

The present research deals with an important public health threat, which is the pollution created by radon gas accumulation inside dwellings. The spatial modeling of indoor radon in Switzerland is particularly complex and challenging because of many influencing factors that should be taken into account. Indoor radon data analysis must be addressed from both a statistical and a spatial point of view. As a multivariate process, it was important at first to define the influence of each factor. In particular, it was important to define the influence of geology as being closely associated to indoor radon. This association was indeed observed for the Swiss data but not probed to be the sole determinant for the spatial modeling. The statistical analysis of data, both at univariate and multivariate level, was followed by an exploratory spatial analysis. Many tools proposed in the literature were tested and adapted, including fractality, declustering and moving windows methods. The use of Quan-tité Morisita Index (QMI) as a procedure to evaluate data clustering in function of the radon level was proposed. The existing methods of declustering were revised and applied in an attempt to approach the global histogram parameters. The exploratory phase comes along with the definition of multiple scales of interest for indoor radon mapping in Switzerland. The analysis was done with a top-to-down resolution approach, from regional to local lev¬els in order to find the appropriate scales for modeling. In this sense, data partition was optimized in order to cope with stationary conditions of geostatistical models. Common methods of spatial modeling such as Κ Nearest Neighbors (KNN), variography and General Regression Neural Networks (GRNN) were proposed as exploratory tools. In the following section, different spatial interpolation methods were applied for a par-ticular dataset. A bottom to top method complexity approach was adopted and the results were analyzed together in order to find common definitions of continuity and neighborhood parameters. Additionally, a data filter based on cross-validation was tested with the purpose of reducing noise at local scale (the CVMF). At the end of the chapter, a series of test for data consistency and methods robustness were performed. This lead to conclude about the importance of data splitting and the limitation of generalization methods for reproducing statistical distributions. The last section was dedicated to modeling methods with probabilistic interpretations. Data transformation and simulations thus allowed the use of multigaussian models and helped take the indoor radon pollution data uncertainty into consideration. The catego-rization transform was presented as a solution for extreme values modeling through clas-sification. Simulation scenarios were proposed, including an alternative proposal for the reproduction of the global histogram based on the sampling domain. The sequential Gaussian simulation (SGS) was presented as the method giving the most complete information, while classification performed in a more robust way. An error measure was defined in relation to the decision function for data classification hardening. Within the classification methods, probabilistic neural networks (PNN) show to be better adapted for modeling of high threshold categorization and for automation. Support vector machines (SVM) on the contrary performed well under balanced category conditions. In general, it was concluded that a particular prediction or estimation method is not better under all conditions of scale and neighborhood definitions. Simulations should be the basis, while other methods can provide complementary information to accomplish an efficient indoor radon decision making.

Evidence for middle Cretaceous accretion at Santa Elena Peninsula (Santa Rosa Accretionary Complex), Costa Rica

An oceanic assemblage of alkaline basalts, radiolarites and polymictic breccias forms the tectonic substratum of the Santa Elena Nappe, which is constituted by extensive outcrops of ultramafic and mafic rocks of the Santa Elena Peninsula (NW Costa Rica). The undulating basal contact of this nappe defines several half-windows along the south shores of the Santa Elena Peninsula. Lithologically it is constituted by vesicular pillowed and massive alkaline basaltic flows, alkaline sills, ribbon-bedded and knobby radiolarites, muddy tuffaceous and detrital turbidites, debris flows and polymictic breccias and megabreccias. Sediments and basalt flows show predominant subvertical dips and occur in packages separated by roughly bed-parallel thrust planes. Individual packages reveal a coherent internal stratigraphy that records younging to the east in all packages and shows rapid coarsening upwards of the detrital facies. Alkaline basalt flows, pillow breccias and sills within radiolarite successions are genetically related to a mid-Cretaceous submarine seamount. Detrital sedimentary facies range form distal turbidites to proximal debris flows and culminate in megabreccias related to collapse and mass wasting in an accretionary prism. According to radiolarian dating, bedded radiolarites and soft-sediment- deformed clasts in the megabreccias formed in a short, late Aptian to Cenomanian time interval. Middle Jurassic to Lower Cretaceous radiolarian ages are found in clasts and blocks reworked from an older oceanic basement. We conclude that the oceanic assemblage beneath the Santa Elena Nappe does not represent a continuous stratigraphic succession. It is a pile of individual thrust sheets constituting an accretionary sequence, where intrusion and extrusion of alkaline basalts, sedimentation of radiolarites, turbidites and trench fill chaotic sediments occurred during the Aptian-Cenomanian. These thrust sheets formed shortly before the off-scraping and accretion of the complex. Here we define the Santa Rosa Accretionary Complex and propose a new hypothesis not considered in former interpretations. This hypothesis would be the basis for further research.

The Football Stadium - A Place Where Right-Wing Extremists Recruit ? Case Studies of Three Swiss Clubs

Der Sammelband ,,Right-wing extremism" hat ein doppeltes Ziel. Zum einen soll er das Nationale Forschungsprogramm 40plus und seine Projekte präsentieren (die alle mit Beiträgen präsent sind), zum anderen sollen diese nationalen Beiträge in eine internationale Perspektive gestellt werden, sodass in der Übersicht und Umschau eine Verortung der schweizerischen Forschung (und damit auch des NFP40plus selbst) und ihrer Resultate möglich wird. Eingeladen wurden dazu führende europäische Forscher auf dem Gebiet des Rechtsextremismus.

Contribution of fine particulate matter sources to indoor exposure in bars, restaurants, and cafes

This study investigated the contribution of sources and establishment characteristics, on the exposure to fine particulate matter (PM(2.5)) in the non-smoking sections of bars, cafes, and restaurants in central Zurich. PM(2.5)-exposure was determined with a nephelometer. A random sample of hospitality establishments was investigated on all weekdays, from morning until midnight. Each visit lasted 30 min. Numbers of smokers and other sources, such as candles and cooking processes, were recorded, as were seats, open windows, and open doors. Ambient air pollution data were obtained from public authorities. Data were analysed using robust MM regression. Over 14 warm, sunny days, 102 establishments were measured. Average establishment PM(2.5) concentrations were 64.7 microg/m(3) (s.d. = 73.2 microg/m(3), 30-min maximum 452.2 microg/m(3)). PM(2.5) was significantly associated with the number of smokers, percentage of seats occupied by smokers, and outdoor PM. Each smoker increased PM(2.5) on average by 15 microg/m(3). No associations were found with other sources, open doors or open windows. Bars had more smoking guests and showed significantly higher concentrations than restaurants and cafes. Smokers were the most important PM(2.5)-source in hospitality establishments, while outdoor PM defined the baseline. Concentrations are expected to be even higher during colder, unpleasant times of the year. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Smokers and ambient air pollution are the most important sources of fine airborne particulate matter (PM(2.5)) in the non-smoking sections of bars, restaurants, and cafes. Other sources do not significantly contribute to PM(2.5)-levels, while opening doors and windows is not an efficient means of removing pollutants. First, this demonstrates the impact that even a few smokers can have in affecting particle levels. Second, it implies that creating non-smoking sections, and using natural ventilation, is not sufficient to bring PM(2.5) to levels that imply no harm for employees and non-smoking clients. [Authors]

Cross-frequency coupling in EEG revealed by adaptive oscillation tracking.

Introduction: Neuronal oscillations have been the focus of increasing interest in the neuroscientific community, in part because they have been considered as a possible integrating mechanism through which internal states can influence stimulus processing in a top-down way (Engel et al., 2001). Moreover, increasing evidence indicates that oscillations in different frequency bands interact with one other through coupling mechanisms (Jensen and Colgin, 2007). The existence and the importance of these cross-frequency couplings during various tasks have been verified by recent studies (Canolty et al., 2006; Lakatos et al., 2007). In this study, we measure the strength and directionality of two types of couplings - phase-amplitude couplings and phase-phase couplings - between various bands in EEG data recorded during an illusory contour experiment that were identified using a recently-proposed adaptive frequency tracking algorithm (Van Zaen et al., 2010). Methods: The data used in this study have been taken from a previously published study examining the spatiotemporal mechanisms of illusory contour processing (Murray et al., 2002). The EEG in the present study were from a subset of nine subjects. Each stimulus was composed of 'pac-man' inducers presented in two orientations: IC, when an illusory contour was present, and NC, when no contour could be detected. The signals recorded by the electrodes P2, P4, P6, PO4 and PO6 were averaged, and filtered into the following bands: 4-8Hz, 8-12Hz, 15-25Hz, 35-45Hz, 45-55Hz, 55-65Hz and 65-75Hz. An adaptive frequency tracking algorithm (Van Zaen et al., 2010) was then applied in each band in order to extract the main oscillation and estimate its frequency. This additional step ensures that clean phase information is obtained when taking the Hilbert transform. The frequency estimated by the tracker was averaged over sliding windows and then used to compare the two conditions. Two types of cross-frequency couplings were considered: phase-amplitude couplings and phase-phase couplings. Both types were measured with the phase locking value (PLV, Lachaux et al., 1999) over sliding windows. The phase-amplitude couplings were computed with the phase of the low frequency oscillation and the phase of the amplitude of the high frequency one. Different coupling coefficients were used when measuring phase-phase couplings in order to estimate different m:n synchronizations (4:3, 3:2, 2:1, 3:1, 4:1, 5:1, 6:1, 7:1, 8:1 and 9:1) and to take into account the frequency differences across bands. Moreover, the direction of coupling was estimated with a directionality index (Bahraminasab et al., 2008). Finally, the two conditions IC and NC were compared with ANOVAs with 'subject' as a random effect and 'condition' as a fixed effect. Before computing the statistical tests, the PLV values were transformed into approximately normal variables (Penny et al., 2008). Results: When comparing the mean estimated frequency across conditions, a significant difference was found only in the 4-8Hz band, such that the frequency within this band was significantly higher for IC than NC stimuli starting at ~250ms post-stimulus onset (Fig. 1; solid line shows IC and dashed line NC). Significant differences in phase-amplitude couplings were obtained only when the 4-8 Hz band was taken as the low frequency band. Moreover, in all significant situations, the coupling strength is higher for the NC than IC condition. An example of significant difference between conditions is shown in Fig. 2 for the phase-amplitude coupling between the 4-8Hz and 55-65Hz bands (p-value in top panel and mean PLV values in the bottom panel). A decrease in coupling strength was observed shortly after stimulus onset for both conditions and was greater for the condition IC. This phenomenon was observed with all other frequency bands. The results obtained for the phase-phase couplings were more complex. As for the phase-amplitude couplings, all significant differences were obtained when the 4-8Hz band was considered as the low frequency band. The stimulus condition exhibiting the higher coupling strength depended on the ratio of the coupling coefficients. When this ratio was small, the IC condition exhibited the higher phase-phase coupling strength. When this ratio was large, the NC condition exhibited the higher coupling strength. Fig. 3 shows the phase-phase couplings between the 4-8Hz and 35-45Hz bands for the coupling coefficient 6:1, and the coupling strength was significantly higher for the IC than NC condition. By contrast, for the coupling coefficient 9:1 the NC condition gave the higher coupling strength (Fig. 4). Control analyses verified that it is not a consequence of the frequency difference between the two conditions in the 4-8Hz band. The directionality measures indicated a transfer of information from the low frequency components towards the high frequency ones. Conclusions: Adaptive tracking is a feasible method for EEG analyses, revealing information both about stimulus-related differences and coupling patterns across frequencies. Theta oscillations play a central role in illusory shape processing and more generally in visual processing. The presence vs. absence of illusory shapes was paralleled by faster theta oscillations. Phase-amplitude couplings were decreased more for IC than NC and might be due to a resetting mechanism. The complex patterns in phase-phase coupling between theta and beta/gamma suggest that the contribution of these oscillations to visual binding and stimulus processing are not as straightforward as conventionally held. Causality analyses further suggest that theta oscillations drive beta/gamma oscillations (see also Schroeder and Lakatos, 2009). The present findings highlight the need for applying more sophisticated signal analyses in order to establish a fuller understanding of the functional role of neural oscillations.

Early Jurassic to Early late Cretaceous radiolarians from the Santa Rosa accretionary complex (Northwestern Costa Rica)

In the circum-Pacific ophiolitic belts, when no other biogenic constituents are found, radiolarians have the potential to provide significant biostratigraph- ic information. The Santa Rosa Accretionary Complex, which crops out in several half-windows (Carrizal, Sitio Santa Rosa, Bahia Nancite, Playa Naranjo) along the south shores of the Santa Elena Peninsula in northwestern Costa Rica, is one of these little-known ophiolitic mélanges. It contains various oceanic assemblages of alkaline basalt, radiolarite and polymictic breccias. The radiolarian biochronology presented in this work is mainly based by correlation on the biozonations of Carter et al. (2010), Baumgartner et al. (1995b), and O'Dogherty (1994) and indicate an Early Jurassic to early Late Cretaceous (early Pliensbachian to earliest Turonian) age for the sediments associated with oceanic basalts or recovered from blocks in breccias or megabreccias. The 19 illus- trated assemblages from the Carrizal tectonic window and Sitio Santa Rosa contain in total 162 species belonging to 65 genera. The nomenclature of tecton- ic units is the one presented by (Baumgartner and Denyer, 2006). This study brings to light the Early Jurassic age of a succession of radiolarite, which was previously thought to be of Cretaceous age, intruded by alkaline basalts sills (Unit 3). The presence of Early Jurassic large reworked blocks in a polymictic megabreccia, firstly reported by De Wever et al. (1985) is confirmed (Unit 4). Therefore, the alkaline basalt associated with the radiolarites of these two units (and maybe also Units 5 and 8) could be of Jurassic age. In the Carrizal tectonic window, Middle to early Late Jurassic radiolarian chert blocks associ- ated with massive tholeitic basalts and Early Cretaceous brick-red ribbon cherts overlying pillow basalts are interpreted as fragments of a Middle Jurassic oceanic basement accreted to an Early Cretaceous oceanic Plate, in an intra-oceanic subduction context. Whereas, the knobby radiolarites and black shales of Playa Carrizal are indicative of a shallower middle Cretaceous paleoenvironment. Other remnants of this oceanic basin are found in Units 2, 6, and 7, which documented the rapid approach of the depocentre to a subduction trench during the late Early Cretaceous (Albian-Cenomanian), to possibly early Late Cretaceous (Turonian).

A matter of time: delayed mate encounter postpones mating window initiation and reduces the strength of female choosiness

Reproductive success is determined by the presence and timing of encounter of mates. The latter depends on species-specific reproductive characteristics (e.g. initiation/duration of the mating window), season, and reproductive strategies (e.g. intensity of choosiness) that may potentially mitigate constraints imposed by mating windows. Despite their potentially crucial role for fitness and population dynamics, limited evidence exists about mating window initiation, duration and reproductive strategies. Here, we experimentally tested the mechanisms of initiation and the duration of the common lizard's Zootoca vivipara mating window, by manipulating the timing of mate encounter and analyzing its effect on (re-)mating probability. We furthermore tested treatment effects on female reproductive strategies, by measuring female choosiness. The timing of mate encounter and season did not significantly affect mating probability. However, a longer delay until mate encounter reduced female choosiness. Re-mating probability decreased with re-mating delay and was independent of mating delay. This indicates that mating window initiation depends on mate encounter, that its duration is fixed, and that plastic reproductive strategies exist. These findings contrast with previous beliefs and shows that mating windows per se may not necessarily constrain reproductive success, which is congruent with rapid range expansion and absence of positive density-effects on reproductive success (Allee effects). In summary, our results show that predicting the effect of mating windows on reproduction is complex and that experimental evidence is essential for evaluating their effect on reproduction and reproductive strategies, both being important determinants of population dynamics and the colonization of new habitats.

Local optima networks of hard combinatorial landscapes

Combinatorial optimization involves finding an optimal solution in a finite set of options; many everyday life problems are of this kind. However, the number of options grows exponentially with the size of the problem, such that an exhaustive search for the best solution is practically infeasible beyond a certain problem size. When efficient algorithms are not available, a practical approach to obtain an approximate solution to the problem at hand, is to start with an educated guess and gradually refine it until we have a good-enough solution. Roughly speaking, this is how local search heuristics work. These stochastic algorithms navigate the problem search space by iteratively turning the current solution into new candidate solutions, guiding the search towards better solutions. The search performance, therefore, depends on structural aspects of the search space, which in turn depend on the move operator being used to modify solutions. A common way to characterize the search space of a problem is through the study of its fitness landscape, a mathematical object comprising the space of all possible solutions, their value with respect to the optimization objective, and a relationship of neighborhood defined by the move operator. The landscape metaphor is used to explain the search dynamics as a sort of potential function. The concept is indeed similar to that of potential energy surfaces in physical chemistry. Borrowing ideas from that field, we propose to extend to combinatorial landscapes the notion of the inherent network formed by energy minima in energy landscapes. In our case, energy minima are the local optima of the combinatorial problem, and we explore several definitions for the network edges. At first, we perform an exhaustive sampling of local optima basins of attraction, and define weighted transitions between basins by accounting for all the possible ways of crossing the basins frontier via one random move. Then, we reduce the computational burden by only counting the chances of escaping a given basin via random kick moves that start at the local optimum. Finally, we approximate network edges from the search trajectory of simple search heuristics, mining the frequency and inter-arrival time with which the heuristic visits local optima. Through these methodologies, we build a weighted directed graph that provides a synthetic view of the whole landscape, and that we can characterize using the tools of complex networks science. We argue that the network characterization can advance our understanding of the structural and dynamical properties of hard combinatorial landscapes. We apply our approach to prototypical problems such as the Quadratic Assignment Problem, the NK model of rugged landscapes, and the Permutation Flow-shop Scheduling Problem. We show that some network metrics can differentiate problem classes, correlate with problem non-linearity, and predict problem hardness as measured from the performances of trajectory-based local search heuristics.

Annual Review of the European Football Players' Labour Market / Etude annuelle du marché du travail européen des footballeurs

The key reference on the labour market and the logics of squad formation in the five main European leagues. One hundred richly coloured pages, illustrated by graphics, maps, rankings, statistical models and analysis in French and English which... - inform managers about potential strategies to put their clubs on the road to success - help managers of federations and players' unions to understand current trends and to take decisions - suggest to journalists new lines of investigation likely to interest the general public - allow researchers and students to benefit from reliable and comparable sources, developed with the greatest possible rigour - give fans the possibility to understand in detail the dynamics at work in their favourite sport and club Demographic Study of Footballers in Europe The Demographic Study of European Footballers is an annual publication destined for anyone who wishes to acquire a scientific understanding of the European football players' labour market. It presents the dynamics at work in 36 first division leagues in UEFA member countries. This edition covers our biggest ever survey comprising more than 520 clubs and 13,000 footballers. Statistical indicators relative to nine thematics (morphology, age, experience training, origin, etc.) allow the comparison of player profiles and squad compositions at league and club level. Through easily-understable regression analyses, the Study brings to light the principle differences between clubs and leagues according to economic and sporting level of championships. The final part presents the list of the most promising players under 23 years of age by league and position

Decoding auditory EEG responses in healthy and clinical populations: A comparative study.

BACKGROUND: Analyses of brain responses to external stimuli are typically based on the means computed across conditions. However in many cognitive and clinical applications, taking into account their variability across trials has turned out to be statistically more sensitive than comparing their means. NEW METHOD: In this study we present a novel implementation of a single-trial topographic analysis (STTA) for discriminating auditory evoked potentials at predefined time-windows. This analysis has been previously introduced for extracting spatio-temporal features at the level of the whole neural response. Adapting the STTA on specific time windows is an essential step for comparing its performance to other time-window based algorithms. RESULTS: We analyzed responses to standard vs. deviant sounds and showed that the new implementation of the STTA gives above-chance decoding results in all subjects (in comparison to 7 out of 11 with the original method). In comatose patients, the improvement of the decoding performance was even more pronounced than in healthy controls and doubled the number of significant results. COMPARISON WITH EXISTING METHOD(S): We compared the results obtained with the new STTA to those based on a logistic regression in healthy controls and patients. We showed that the first of these two comparisons provided a better performance of the logistic regression; however only the new STTA provided significant results in comatose patients at group level. CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide quantitative evidence that a systematic investigation of the accuracy of established methods in normal and clinical population is an essential step for optimizing decoding performance.