Looking for orders of magnitude : five essays in trade and the environment and economic geography

General Summary Although the chapters of this thesis address a variety of issues, the principal aim is common: test economic ideas in an international economic context. The intention has been to supply empirical findings using the largest suitable data sets and making use of the most appropriate empirical techniques. This thesis can roughly be divided into two parts: the first one, corresponding to the first two chapters, investigates the link between trade and the environment, the second one, the last three chapters, is related to economic geography issues. Environmental problems are omnipresent in the daily press nowadays and one of the arguments put forward is that globalisation causes severe environmental problems through the reallocation of investments and production to countries with less stringent environmental regulations. A measure of the amplitude of this undesirable effect is provided in the first part. The third and the fourth chapters explore the productivity effects of agglomeration. The computed spillover effects between different sectors indicate how cluster-formation might be productivity enhancing. The last chapter is not about how to better understand the world but how to measure it and it was just a great pleasure to work on it. "The Economist" writes every week about the impressive population and economic growth observed in China and India, and everybody agrees that the world's center of gravity has shifted. But by how much and how fast did it shift? An answer is given in the last part, which proposes a global measure for the location of world production and allows to visualize our results in Google Earth. A short summary of each of the five chapters is provided below. The first chapter, entitled "Unraveling the World-Wide Pollution-Haven Effect" investigates the relative strength of the pollution haven effect (PH, comparative advantage in dirty products due to differences in environmental regulation) and the factor endowment effect (FE, comparative advantage in dirty, capital intensive products due to differences in endowments). We compute the pollution content of imports using the IPPS coefficients (for three pollutants, namely biological oxygen demand, sulphur dioxide and toxic pollution intensity for all manufacturing sectors) provided by the World Bank and use a gravity-type framework to isolate the two above mentioned effects. Our study covers 48 countries that can be classified into 29 Southern and 19 Northern countries and uses the lead content of gasoline as proxy for environmental stringency. For North-South trade we find significant PH and FE effects going in the expected, opposite directions and being of similar magnitude. However, when looking at world trade, the effects become very small because of the high North-North trade share, where we have no a priori expectations about the signs of these effects. Therefore popular fears about the trade effects of differences in environmental regulations might by exaggerated. The second chapter is entitled "Is trade bad for the Environment? Decomposing worldwide SO2 emissions, 1990-2000". First we construct a novel and large database containing reasonable estimates of SO2 emission intensities per unit labor that vary across countries, periods and manufacturing sectors. Then we use these original data (covering 31 developed and 31 developing countries) to decompose the worldwide SO2 emissions into the three well known dynamic effects (scale, technique and composition effect). We find that the positive scale (+9,5%) and the negative technique (-12.5%) effect are the main driving forces of emission changes. Composition effects between countries and sectors are smaller, both negative and of similar magnitude (-3.5% each). Given that trade matters via the composition effects this means that trade reduces total emissions. We next construct, in a first experiment, a hypothetical world where no trade happens, i.e. each country produces its imports at home and does no longer produce its exports. The difference between the actual and this no-trade world allows us (under the omission of price effects) to compute a static first-order trade effect. The latter now increases total world emissions because it allows, on average, dirty countries to specialize in dirty products. However, this effect is smaller (3.5%) in 2000 than in 1990 (10%), in line with the negative dynamic composition effect identified in the previous exercise. We then propose a second experiment, comparing effective emissions with the maximum or minimum possible level of SO2 emissions. These hypothetical levels of emissions are obtained by reallocating labour accordingly across sectors within each country (under the country-employment and the world industry-production constraints). Using linear programming techniques, we show that emissions are reduced by 90% with respect to the worst case, but that they could still be reduced further by another 80% if emissions were to be minimized. The findings from this chapter go together with those from chapter one in the sense that trade-induced composition effect do not seem to be the main source of pollution, at least in the recent past. Going now to the economic geography part of this thesis, the third chapter, entitled "A Dynamic Model with Sectoral Agglomeration Effects" consists of a short note that derives the theoretical model estimated in the fourth chapter. The derivation is directly based on the multi-regional framework by Ciccone (2002) but extends it in order to include sectoral disaggregation and a temporal dimension. This allows us formally to write present productivity as a function of past productivity and other contemporaneous and past control variables. The fourth chapter entitled "Sectoral Agglomeration Effects in a Panel of European Regions" takes the final equation derived in chapter three to the data. We investigate the empirical link between density and labour productivity based on regional data (245 NUTS-2 regions over the period 1980-2003). Using dynamic panel techniques allows us to control for the possible endogeneity of density and for region specific effects. We find a positive long run elasticity of density with respect to labour productivity of about 13%. When using data at the sectoral level it seems that positive cross-sector and negative own-sector externalities are present in manufacturing while financial services display strong positive own-sector effects. The fifth and last chapter entitled "Is the World's Economic Center of Gravity Already in Asia?" computes the world economic, demographic and geographic center of gravity for 1975-2004 and compares them. Based on data for the largest cities in the world and using the physical concept of center of mass, we find that the world's economic center of gravity is still located in Europe, even though there is a clear shift towards Asia. To sum up, this thesis makes three main contributions. First, it provides new estimates of orders of magnitudes for the role of trade in the globalisation and environment debate. Second, it computes reliable and disaggregated elasticities for the effect of density on labour productivity in European regions. Third, it allows us, in a geometrically rigorous way, to track the path of the world's economic center of gravity.

Einfluss von L-Carnitin-supplementierter total parenteraler Ernährung (TPE) auf die postoperative Fett- und Stickstoff-Utilisation [Effect of L-carnitine supplemented total parenteral nutrition on postoperative lipid and nitrogen utilization].

During episodes of trauma carnitine-free total parenteral nutrition (TPN) may result in a reduction of the total body carnitine pool, leading to a diminished rate of fat oxidation. Sixteen patients undergoing esophagectomy were equally and randomly divided and received isonitrogenous (0.2 gN/kg.day) and isocaloric (35 kcal/kg.day TPN over 11 days without and with L-carnitine supplementation (12 mg/kg.day). Compared with healthy controls, the total body carnitine pool was significantly reduced in both groups prior to the operation. Without supplementation carnitine concentrations were maintained, while daily provision of carnitine resulted in an elevation of total carnitine mainly due to an increase of the free fraction. Without supplementation the cumulative urinary carnitine losses were 11.5 +/- 6.3 mmol corresponding to 15.5% +/- 8.5% of the estimated total body carnitine pool. Patients receiving carnitine revealed a positive carnitine balance in the immediate postoperative phase, 11.1% +/- 19.0% of the infused carnitine being retained. After 11 days of treatment comparable values for respiratory quotient, plasma triglycerides, free fatty acids, ketone bodies, and cumulative nitrogen balance were observed. It is concluded that in the patient population studied here carnitine supplementation during postoperative TPN did not improve fat oxidation or nitrogen balance.

Portal glucose infusion in the mouse induces hypoglycemia: evidence that the hepatoportal glucose sensor stimulates glucose utilization.

To analyze the role of the murine hepatoportal glucose sensor in the control of whole-body glucose metabolism, we infused glucose at a rate corresponding to the endogenous glucose production rate through the portal vein of conscious mice (Po-mice) that were fasted for 6 h. Mice infused with glucose at the same rate through the femoral vein (Fe-mice) and mice infused with a saline solution (Sal-mice) were used as controls. In Po-mice, hypoglycemia progressively developed until glucose levels dropped to a nadir of 2.3 +/- 0.1 mmol/l, whereas in Fe-mice, glycemia rapidly and transiently developed, and glucose levels increased to 7.7 +/- 0.6 mmol/l before progressively returning to fasting glycemic levels. Plasma insulin levels were similar in both Po- and Fe-mice during and at the end of the infusion periods (21.2 +/- 2.2 vs. 25.7 +/- 0.9 microU/ml, respectively, at 180 min of infusion). The whole-body glucose turnover rate was significantly higher in Po-mice than in Fe-mice (45.9 +/- 3.8 vs. 37.7 +/- 2.0 mg x kg(-1) x min)-1), respectively) and in Sal-mice (24.4 +/- 1.8 mg x kg(-1) x min(-1)). Somatostatin co-infusion with glucose in Po-mice prevented hypoglycemia without modifying the plasma insulin profile. Finally, tissue glucose clearance, which was determined after injecting 14C-2-deoxyglucose, increased to a higher level in Po-mice versus Fe-mice in the heart, brown adipose tissue, and the soleus muscle. Our data show that stimulation of the hepatoportal glucose sensor induced hypoglycemia and increased glucose utilization by a combination of insulin-dependent and insulin-independent or -sensitizing mechanisms. Furthermore, activation of the glucose sensor and/or transmission of its signal to target tissues can be blocked by somatostatin.

Drug-induced linear IgA bullous dermatosis probably induced by furosemide.

Linear IgA bullous dermatosis (LABD) is an autoimmune disease, characterized by linear deposition of IgA along the basement membrane zone. Drug-induced LABD is rare but increasing in frequency. A new case of drug-induced LABD associated with the administration of furosemide is described.

Resting-State Functional Connectivity Emerges from Structurally and Dynamically Shaped Slow Linear Fluctuations.

Brain fluctuations at rest are not random but are structured in spatial patterns of correlated activity across different brain areas. The question of how resting-state functional connectivity (FC) emerges from the brain's anatomical connections has motivated several experimental and computational studies to understand structure-function relationships. However, the mechanistic origin of resting state is obscured by large-scale models' complexity, and a close structure-function relation is still an open problem. Thus, a realistic but simple enough description of relevant brain dynamics is needed. Here, we derived a dynamic mean field model that consistently summarizes the realistic dynamics of a detailed spiking and conductance-based synaptic large-scale network, in which connectivity is constrained by diffusion imaging data from human subjects. The dynamic mean field approximates the ensemble dynamics, whose temporal evolution is dominated by the longest time scale of the system. With this reduction, we demonstrated that FC emerges as structured linear fluctuations around a stable low firing activity state close to destabilization. Moreover, the model can be further and crucially simplified into a set of motion equations for statistical moments, providing a direct analytical link between anatomical structure, neural network dynamics, and FC. Our study suggests that FC arises from noise propagation and dynamical slowing down of fluctuations in an anatomically constrained dynamical system. Altogether, the reduction from spiking models to statistical moments presented here provides a new framework to explicitly understand the building up of FC through neuronal dynamics underpinned by anatomical connections and to drive hypotheses in task-evoked studies and for clinical applications.

Differences in glucose transporter gene expression between rat pancreatic alpha- and beta-cells are correlated to differences in glucose transport but not in glucose utilization.

Glucose exerts inverse effects upon the secretory function of islet alpha- and beta-cells, suppressing glucagon release and increasing insulin release. This diverse action may result from differences in glucose transport and metabolism between the two cell types. The present study compares glucose transport in rat alpha- and beta-cells. beta-Cells transcribed GLUT2 and, to a lesser extent, GLUT 1; alpha-cells contained GLUT1 but no GLUT2 mRNA. No other GLUT-like sequences were found among cDNAs from alpha- or beta-cells. Both cell types expressed 43-kDa GLUT1 protein which was enhanced by culture. The 62-kDa beta-cell GLUT2 protein was converted to a 58-kDa protein after trypsin treatment of the cells without detectable consequences upon glucose transport kinetics. In beta-cells, the rates of glucose transport were 10-fold higher than in alpha-cells. In both cell types, glucose uptake exceeded the rates of glucose utilization by a factor of 10 or more. Glycolytic flux, measured as D-[5(3)H]glucose utilization, was comparable in alpha- and beta-cells between 1 and 10 mmol/liter substrate. In conclusion, differences in glucose transporter gene expression between alpha- and beta-cells can be correlated with differences in glucose transport kinetics but not with different glucose utilization rates.

A bio-inspired agent-based programming environment for pervasive platforms

Abstract in English : Ubiquitous Computing is the emerging trend in computing systems. Based on this observation this thesis proposes an analysis of the hardware and environmental constraints that rule pervasive platforms. These constraints have a strong impact on the programming of such platforms. Therefore solutions are proposed to facilitate this programming both at the platform and node levels. The first contribution presented in this document proposes a combination of agentoriented programming with the principles of bio-inspiration (Phylogenesys, Ontogenesys and Epigenesys) to program pervasive platforms such as the PERvasive computing framework for modeling comPLEX virtually Unbounded Systems platform. The second contribution proposes a method to program efficiently parallelizable applications on each computing node of this platform. Résumé en Français : Basée sur le constat que les calculs ubiquitaires vont devenir le paradigme de programmation dans les années à venir, cette thèse propose une analyse des contraintes matérielles et environnementale auxquelles sont soumises les plateformes pervasives. Ces contraintes ayant un impact fort sur la programmation des plateformes. Des solutions sont donc proposées pour faciliter cette programmation tant au niveau de l'ensemble des noeuds qu'au niveau de chacun des noeuds de la plateforme. La première contribution présentée dans ce document propose d'utiliser une alliance de programmation orientée agent avec les grands principes de la bio-inspiration (Phylogénèse, Ontogénèse et Épigénèse). Ceci pour répondres aux contraintes de programmation de plateformes pervasives comme la plateforme PERvasive computing framework for modeling comPLEX virtually Unbounded Systems . La seconde contribution propose quant à elle une méthode permettant de programmer efficacement des applications parallélisable sur chaque noeud de calcul de la plateforme

Linear relations between writhe and minimal crossing number in Conway families of ideal knots and links

We showed earlier how to predict the writhe of any rational knot or link in its ideal geometric configuration, or equivalently the average of the 3D writhe over statistical ensembles of random configurations of a given knot or link (Cerf and Stasiak 2000 Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 97 3795). There is no general relation between the minimal crossing number of a knot and the writhe of its ideal geometric configuration. However, within individual families of knots linear relations between minimal crossing number and writhe were observed (Katritch et al 1996 Nature 384 142). Here we present a method that allows us to express the writhe as a linear function of the minimal crossing number within Conway families of knots and links in their ideal configuration. The slope of the lines and the shift between any two lines with the same

Off-label utilization of antidepressants

Rapport de synthèse : De nombreuses études sont effectuées sur les antidépresseurs avant leur mise sur le marché, puis des règles précises sont établies pour leur prescription dans des indications délimitées. Leur utilisation dans des indications «off-label » (hors indication officiellement admise) manque souvent de validation par des bases de données scientifiques et leur prescription se base le plus souvent sur un consensus proposé par des experts. Le but du présent travail a été d'étudier les habitudes de prescription de psychiatres d'hôpitaux en ce qui concerne les antidépresseurs, en comparant des patients traités pour une dépression et des troubles anxieux avec des patients recevant un traitement «off-label ». Pour cette étude, les données d'utilisation de médicaments sont celles recueillies lors de 6 jours de référence, entre avril 1999 et novembre 2001, à l'hôpital psychiatrique de Lausanne (Suisse) comprenant 98 lits. La prescription de médicaments chez 174 patients a été prise en compte. Tandis que le diagnostic n'influençait pas le choix entre des nouveaux et anciens antidépresseurs, les patients présentant un trouble anxieux avaient un risque 4.5 fois (p < 0.05) plus élevé et les patients présentant un autre diagnostic 8 fois plus élevé de recevoir une comédication antipsychotique, en comparaison avec des patients dont le diagnostic primaire était un trouble dépressif. De plus, les patients recevant comme comédication un hypnotique non-benzodiazépine avaient moins de risque que l'on prescrive un ancien antidépresseur (p < 0.05). Alors que les patients avec un trouble anxieux et ceux souffrant d'une dépression majeure recevaient un antidépresseur à des doses comparables, les patients répondant à une indication off-label étaient de préférence traités avec des doses plus faibles. Les résultats de cette étude suggèrent que les psychiatres d'hôpitaux développent des préférences en ce qui concerne le choix de la classe d'antidépresseurs, et qu'ils les utilisent alors aussi bien dans des indications reconnues que non-reconnues. Puis ils semblent adapter la dose et la comédication en tenant compte du diagnostic, ce qui confirme l'hypothèse initiale de l'étude,

La programmmation foetale de la dysfonction vasculaire pulmonaire chez la souris : rôle des mécanismes épigénétiques = Fetal programming of pulmonary vascular dysfunction in mice : role of epigenetic mechanisms

Rapport de synthèseDes événements pathologiques survenant pendant la période foetale prédisposent la descendance aux maladies cardiovasculaires systémiques. Il existe peu de connaissances au sujet de la circulation pulmonaire et encore moins quant aux mécanismes sous-jacents. La sous-alimentation maternelle pendant la grossesse peut représenter un modèle d'investigation de ces mécanismes, parce que chez l'animal et l'homme elle est associée à une dysfonction vasculaire systémique chez la progéniture. Chez le rat, la diète restrictive pendant la grossesse induit une augmentation du stress oxydatif dans le placenta. Les dérivés de l'oxygène sont connus pour induire des altérations épigénétiques et peuvent traverser la barrière placentaire. Nous avons dès lors spéculé que chez la souris la diète restrictive pendant la grossesse induit une dysfonction vasculaire pulmonaire chez sa progéniture qui serait liée à un mécanisme épigénétique.Pour tester cette hypothèse, nous avons examiné la fonction vasculaire pulmonaire et la méthylation de l'ADN pulmonaire à la fin de 2 semaines d'exposition à l'hypoxie chez la progéniture de souris soumises à une diète restrictive pendant la grossesse et des souris contrôles. Nous avons trouvé que la vasodilatation endothélium-dépendante de l'artère pulmonaire in vitro était défectueuse, et que l'hypertension pulmonaire et l'hypertrophie ventriculaire droite induites par l'hypoxie in vivo étaient exagérées chez la progéniture de souris soumises à une diète restrictive pendant la grossesse. Cette dysfonction vasculaire pulmonaire était associée avec une altération de la méthylation de l'ADN pulmonaire. L'administration d'inhibiteurs de la déacétylase des histones, le Butyrate et la Trichostatine-A à la progéniture de souris soumises à une diète restrictive pendant la grossesse a normalisé la méthylation de l'ADN et la fonction vasculaire pulmonaire. Finalement, l'administration du nitroxyde Tempol aux mères durant la diète restrictive pendant la grossesse a prévenu la dysfonction vasculaire et la dysméthylation chez la progéniture.Ces découvertes démontrent que chez la souris la sous-alimentation pendant la gestation induit une dysfonction vasculaire chez la progéniture qui est causée par un mécanisme épigénétique. Il est possible qu'un mécanisme similaire soit impliqué dans la programmation foetale de la dysfonction vasculaire chez les humains.

Linear random knots and their scaling behavior

We present here a nonbiased probabilistic method that allows us to consistently analyze knottedness of linear random walks with up to several hundred noncorrelated steps. The method consists of analyzing the spectrum of knots formed by multiple closures of the same open walk through random points on a sphere enclosing the walk. Knottedness of individual "frozen" configurations of linear chains is therefore defined by a characteristic spectrum of realizable knots. We show that in the great majority of cases this method clearly defines the dominant knot type of a walk, i.e., the strongest component of the spectrum. In such cases, direct end-to-end closure creates a knot that usually coincides with the knot type that dominates the random closure spectrum. Interestingly, in a very small proportion of linear random walks, the knot type is not clearly defined. Such walks can be considered as residing in a border zone of the configuration space of two or more knot types. We also characterize the scaling behavior of linear random knots.

Glucose uptake, utilization, and signaling in GLUT2-null islets.

We previously reported that pancreatic islet beta-cells from GLUT2-null mice lost the first phase but preserved the second phase of glucose-stimulated insulin secretion (GSIS). Furthermore, we showed that the remaining secretory activity required glucose uptake and metabolism because it can be blocked by inhibition of oxidative phosphorylation. Here, we extend these previous studies by analyzing, in GLUT2-null islets, glucose transporter isoforms and glucokinase expression and by measuring glucose usage, GSIS, and glucose-stimulated insulin mRNA biosynthesis. We show that in the absence of GLUT2, no compensatory expression of either GLUT1 or GLUT3 is observed and that glucokinase is expressed at normal levels. Glucose usage by isolated islets was increased between 1 and 6 mmol/l glucose but was not further increased between 6 and 20 mmol/l glucose. Parallel GSIS measurements showed that insulin secretion was not stimulated between 2.8 and 6 mmol/l glucose but was increased by &gt;4-fold between 6 and 20 mmol/l glucose. Stimulation by glucose of total protein and insulin biosynthesis was also markedly impaired in the absence of GLUT2. Finally, we re-expressed GLUT2 in GLUT2-null beta-cells using recombinant lentiviruses and demonstrated a restoration of normal GSIS. Together, these data show that in the absence of GLUT2, glucose can still be taken up by beta-cells, albeit at a low rate, and that this transport activity is unlikely to be attributed to GLUT1 or GLUT3. This uptake activity, however, is limiting for normal glucose utilization and signaling to secretion and translation. These data further demonstrate the key role of GLUT2 in murine beta-cells for glucose signaling to insulin secretion and biosynthesis.

Programming of marginal zone B-cell fate by basic Kruppel-like factor (BKLF/KLF3).

Splenic marginal zone (MZ) B cells are a lineage distinct from follicular and peritoneal B1 B cells. They are located next to the marginal sinus where blood is released. Here they pick up antigens and shuttle the load onto follicular dendritic cells inside the follicle. On activation, MZ B cells rapidly differentiate into plasmablasts secreting antibodies, thereby mediating humoral immune responses against blood-borne type 2 T-independent antigens. As Krüppel-like factors are implicated in cell differentiation/function in various tissues, we studied the function of basic Krüppel-like factor (BKLF/KLF3) in B cells. Whereas B-cell development in the bone marrow of KLF3-transgenic mice was unaffected, MZ B-cell numbers in spleen were increased considerably. As revealed in chimeric mice, this occurred cell autonomously, increasing both MZ and peritoneal B1 B-cell subsets. Comparing KLF3-transgenic and nontransgenic follicular B cells by RNA-microarray revealed that KLF3 regulates a subset of genes that was similarly up-regulated/down-regulated on normal MZ B-cell differentiation. Indeed, KLF3 expression overcame the lack of MZ B cells caused by different genetic alterations, such as CD19-deficiency or blockade of B-cell activating factor-receptor signaling, indicating that KLF3 may complement alternative nuclear factor-κB signaling. Thus, KLF3 is a driving force toward MZ B-cell maturation.

Comparison between a linear ion trap and a triple quadruple MS in the sensitive detection of large peptides at femtomole amounts on column.

In addition to the importance of sample preparation and extract separation, MS detection is a key factor in the sensitive quantification of large undigested peptides. In this article, a linear ion trap MS (LIT-MS) and a triple quadrupole MS (TQ-MS) have been compared in the detection of large peptides at subnanomolar concentrations. Natural brain natriuretic peptide, C-peptide, substance P and D-Junk-inhibitor peptide, a full D-amino acid therapeutic peptide, were chosen. They were detected by ESI and simultaneous MS(1) and MS(2) acquisitions. With direct peptide infusion, MS(2) spectra revealed that fragmentation was peptide dependent, milder on the LIT-MS and required high collision energies on the TQ-MS to obtain high-intensity product ions. Peptide adsorption on surfaces was overcome and peptide dilutions ranging from 0.1 to 25 nM were injected onto an ultra high-pressure LC system with a 1 mm id analytical column and coupled with the MS instruments. No difference was observed between the two instruments when recording in LC-MS(1) acquisitions. However, in LC-MS(2) acquisitions, a better sensitivity in the detection of large peptides was observed with the LIT-MS. Indeed, with the three longer peptides, the typical fragmentation in the TQ-MS resulted in a dramatic loss of sensitivity (> or = 10x).