Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe

Aim Species distribution models (SDMs) based on current species ranges underestimate the potential distribution when projected in time and/or space. A multi-temporal model calibration approach has been suggested as an alternative, and we evaluate this using 13,000 years of data. Location Europe. Methods We used fossil-based records of presence for Picea abies, Abies alba and Fagus sylvatica and six climatic variables for the period 13,000 to 1000yr bp. To measure the contribution of each 1000-year time step to the total niche of each species (the niche measured by pooling all the data), we employed a principal components analysis (PCA) calibrated with data over the entire range of possible climates. Then we projected both the total niche and the partial niches from single time frames into the PCA space, and tested if the partial niches were more similar to the total niche than random. Using an ensemble forecasting approach, we calibrated SDMs for each time frame and for the pooled database. We projected each model to current climate and evaluated the results against current pollen data. We also projected all models into the future. Results Niche similarity between the partial and the total-SDMs was almost always statistically significant and increased through time. SDMs calibrated from single time frames gave different results when projected to current climate, providing evidence of a change in the species realized niches through time. Moreover, they predicted limited climate suitability when compared with the total-SDMs. The same results were obtained when projected to future climates. Main conclusions The realized climatic niche of species differed for current and future climates when SDMs were calibrated considering different past climates. Building the niche as an ensemble through time represents a way forward to a better understanding of a species' range and its ecology in a changing climate.

Myelin basic protein content of aggregating rat brain cell cultures treated with cytokines and/or demyelinating antibody: effects of macrophage enrichment.

The demyelinative potential of the cytokines interleukin-1 alpha (IL-1 alpha), interferon-gamma (IFN-gamma), and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) has been investigated in myelinating aggregate brain cell cultures. Treatment of myelinated cultures with these cytokines resulted in a reduction in myelin basic protein (MBP) content. This effect was additively increased by anti-myelin/oligodendrocyte glycoprotein (alpha-MOG) in the presence of complement. Qualitative immunocytochemistry demonstrated that peritoneal macrophages, added to the fetal telencephalon cell suspensions at the start of the culture period, successfully integrated into aggregate cultures. Supplementing the macrophage component of the cultures in this fashion resulted in increased accumulation of MBP. The effect of IFN-gamma on MBP content of cultures was not affected by the presence of macrophages in increased numbers.

The effect of a period of intensive exercise on the isoform test to detect growth hormone doping in sports.

OBJECTIVE: The major objective of this study was to investigate the effects of several days of intense exercise on growth hormone (hGH) testing using the World Anti-Doping Agencies hGH isoform differential immunoassays. Additionally the effects of circadian variation and exercise type on the isoform ratios were also investigated. STUDY DESIGN: 15 male athletes performed a simulated nine day cycling stage race. Blood samples were collected twice daily over a period of 15days (stage race+three days before and after). hGH isoforms were analysed by the official WADA immunoassays (CMZ Assay GmbH). RESULTS: All measured isoform ratios were far below the WADA decision limits for an adverse analytical finding. Changes in the isoform ratios could not be clearly connected to circadian variation, exercise duration or intensity. CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrates that the hGH isoform ratios are not significantly affected by exercise or circadian variation. We demonstrated that heavy, long term exercise does not interfere with the decision limits for an adverse analytical finding.

Effects of 2 different prior endurance exercises on whole-body fat oxidation kinetics: light vs. heavy exercise.

This study aimed to compare the effects of 2 different prior endurance exercises on subsequent whole-body fat oxidation kinetics. Fifteen men performed 2 identical submaximal incremental tests (Incr2) on a cycle ergometer after (i) a ∼40-min submaximal incremental test (Incr1) followed by a 90-min continuous exercise performed at 50% of maximal aerobic power-output and a 1-h rest period (Heavy); and (ii) Incr1 followed by a 2.5-h rest period (Light). Fat oxidation was measured using indirect calorimetry and plotted as a function of exercise intensity during Incr1 and Incr2. A sinusoidal equation, including 3 independent variables (dilatation, symmetry and translation), was used to characterize the fat oxidation kinetics and to determine the intensity (Fat(max)) that elicited the maximal fat oxidation (MFO) during Incr. After the Heavy and Light trials, Fat(max), MFO, and fat oxidation rates were significantly greater during Incr2 than Incr1 (p < 0.001). However, Δ (i.e., Incr2-Incr1) Fat(max), MFO, and fat oxidation rates were greater in the Heavy compared with the Light trial (p < 0.05). The fat oxidation kinetics during Incr2(Heavy) showed a greater dilatation and rightward asymmetry than Incr1(Heavy), whereas only a greater dilatation was observed in Incr2(Light) (p < 0.05). This study showed that although to a lesser extent in the Light trial, both prior exercise sessions led to an increase in Fat(max), MFO, and absolute fat oxidation rates during Incr2, inducing significant changes in the shape of the fat oxidation kinetics.

The effects of losartan on renal function in the newborn rabbit.

The low GFR of newborns is maintained by various factors including the renin-angiotensin system. We previously established the importance of angiotensin II in the newborn kidney, using the angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor perindoprilat. The present study was designed to complement these observations by evaluating the role of angiotensin-type 1 (AT(1)) receptors, using losartan, a specific AT(1)-receptor blocker. Increasing doses of losartan were infused into anesthetized, ventilated, newborn rabbits. Renal function and hemodynamic variables were assessed using inulin and para-aminohippuric acid clearances as markers of GFR and renal plasma flow, respectively. Losartan 0.1 mg/kg slightly decreased mean blood pressure (-11%) and increased diuresis (+22%). These changes can be explained by inhibition of the AT(1)-mediated vasoconstrictive and antidiuretic effects of angiotensin, and activation of vasodilating and diuretic AT(2) receptors widely expressed in the neonatal period. GFR and renal blood flow were not modified. Losartan 0.3 mg/kg decreased mean blood pressure significantly (-15%), probably by inhibiting systemic AT(1) receptors. GFR significantly decreased (-25%), whereas renal blood flow remained stable. The decrease in filtration fraction (-21%) indicates predominant efferent vasodilation. At 3 mg/kg, the systemic hypotensive effect of losartan was marked (mean blood pressure, -28%), with decreased GFR and renal blood flow (-57% and -51%, respectively), a stable filtration fraction, and an increase in renal vascular resistance by 124%. The renal response to this dose can be considered as reflex vasoconstriction of afferent and efferent arterioles, rather than specific receptor antagonism. We conclude that under physiologic conditions, the renin-angiotensin is critically involved in the maintenance of GFR in the immature kidney.

Différences induites par la définition des périodes diurnes et nocturnes sur la pression artérielle et le dipping lors d'une mesure ambulatoire de la pression artérielle [Effects of nighttime and daytime interval definition on blood pressure and dipping in patients referred for ambulatory blood pressure measurement].

Ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) has become indispensable for the diagnosis and control of hypertension. However, no consensus exists on how daytime and nighttime periods should be defined. OBJECTIVE: To compare daytime and nighttime blood pressure (BP) defined by an actigraph and by body position with BP resulting from arbitrary daytime and nighttime periods. PATIENTS AND METHOD: ABPM, sleeping periods and body position were recorded simultaneously using an actigraph (SenseWear Armband(®)) in patients referred for ABPM. BP results obtained with the actigraph (sleep and position) were compared to the results obtained with fixed daytime (7a.m.-10p.m.) and nighttime (10p.m.-7a.m.) periods. RESULTS: Data from 103 participants were available. More than half of them were taking antihypertensive drugs. Nocturnal BP was lower (systolic BP: 2.08±4.50mmHg; diastolic BP: 1.84±2.99mmHg, P<0.05) and dipping was more marked (systolic BP: 1.54±3.76%; diastolic BP: 2.27±3.48%, P<0.05) when nighttime was defined with the actigraph. Standing BP was higher (systolic BP 1.07±2.81mmHg; diastolic BP: 1.34±2.50mmHg) than daytime BP defined by a fixed period. CONCLUSION: Diurnal BP, nocturnal BP and dipping are influenced by the definition of daytime and nighttime periods. Studies evaluating the prognostic value of each method are needed to clarify which definition should be used.

Developmental critical period in genetic redox dysregulation: animal and human studies in schizophrenia

Converging evidence favors an abnormal susceptibility to oxidative stress in schizophrenia. Decreased levels of glutathione (GSH), the major cellular antioxidant and redox regulator, was observed in cerebrospinal-fluid and prefrontal cortex of patients. Importantly, abnormal GSH synthesis of genetic origin was observed: Two case-control studies showed an association with a GAG trinucleotide repeat (TNR) polymorphism in the GSH key synthesizing enzyme glutamate-cysteine-ligase (GCL) catalytic subunit (GCLC) gene. The most common TNR genotype 7/7 was more frequent in controls, whereas the rarest TNR genotype 8/8 was three times more frequent in patients. The disease associated genotypes (35% of patients) correlated with decreased GCLC protein, GCL activity and GSH content. Similar GSH system anomalies were observed in early psychosis patients. Such redox dysregulation combined with environmental stressors at specific developmental stages could underlie structural and functional connectivity anomalies. In pharmacological and knock-out (KO) models, GSH deficit induces anomalies analogous to those reported in patients. (a) morphology: spine density and GABA-parvalbumine immunoreactivity (PV-I) were decreased in anterior cingulate cortex. KO mice showed delayed cortical PV-I at PD10. This effect is exacerbated in mice with increased DA from PD5-10. KO mice exhibit cortical impairment in myelin and perineuronal net known to modulate PV connectivity. (b) physiology: In cultured neurons, NMDA response are depressed by D2 activation. In hippocampus, NMDA-dependent synaptic plasticity is impaired and kainate induced g-oscillations are reduced in parallel to PV-I. (c) cognition: low GSH models show increased sensitivity to stress, hyperactivity, abnormal object recognition, olfactory integration and social behavior. In a clinical study, GSH precursor N-acetyl cysteine (NAC) as add on therapy, improves the negative symptoms and decreases the side effects of antipsychotics. In an auditory oddball paradigm, NAC improves the mismatched negativity, an evoked potential related to pre-attention and to NMDA receptors function. In summary, clinical and experimental evidence converge to demonstrate that a genetically induced dysregulation of GSH synthesis combined with environmental insults in early development represent a major risk factor contributing to the development of schizophrenia

Meta-analysis of the effects of MI training on clinicians' behavior.

MI-based interventions are widely used with a number of different clinical populations and their efficacy has been well established. However, the clinicians' training has not traditionally been the focus of empirical investigations. We conducted a meta-analytic review of clinicians' MI-training and MI-skills findings. Fifteen studies were included, involving 715 clinicians. Pre-post training effect sizes were calculated (13 studies) as well as group contrast effect sizes (7 studies). Pre-post training comparisons showed medium to large ES of MI training, which are maintained over a short period of time. When compared to a control group, our results also suggested higher MI proficiency in the professionals trained in MI than in nontrained ones (medium ES). However, this estimate of ES may be affected by a publication bias and therefore, should be considered with caution. Methodological limitations and potential sources of heterogeneity of the studies included in this meta-analysis are discussed.

Long-term effects of neonatal hypoglycemia on brain growth and psychomotor development in small-for-gestational-age preterm infants.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of neonatal hypoglycemia on physical growth and neurocognitive function.Study design: A systematic detection of hypoglycemia (<2.6 mmol/L or 47 mg/dL) was carried out in 85 small-for-gestational-age preterm neonates. Prospective serial evaluations of physical growth and psychomotor development were performed. Retrospectively, infants were grouped according to their glycemic status. RESULTS: The incidence of hypoglycemia was 72.9%. Infants with repeated episodes of hypoglycemia had significantly reduced head circumferences and lower scores in specific psychometric tests at 3.5 years of age. Hypoglycemia also caused reduced head circumferences at 18 months and lower psychometric scores at 5 years of age. Infants with moderate recurrent hypoglycemia had lower scores at 3.5 and 5 years of age compared with the group of infants who had 1 single severe hypoglycemic episode. CONCLUSION: Recurrent episodes of hypoglycemia were strongly correlated with persistent neurodevelopmental and physical growth deficits until 5 years of age. Recurrent hypoglycemia also was a more predictable factor for long-term effects than the severity of a single hypoglycemic episode. Therefore repetitive blood glucose monitoring and rapid treatment even for mild hypoglycemia are recommended for small-for-gestational-age infants in the neonatal period.

Potential health-care service utilization substitution effects induced by case management for emergency department frequent users

BACKGROUND: In most of the emergency departments (ED) in developed countries, a subset of patients visits the ED frequently. Despite their small numbers, these patients are the source of a disproportionally high number of all ED visits, and use a significant proportion of healthcare resources. They place a heavy economic burden on hospital and healthcare systems budgets overall. Several interventions have been carried out to improve the management of these ED frequent users. Case management has been shown in some North American studies to reduce ED utilization and costs. In these studies, cost analyses have been carried out from the hospital perspective without examining the costs induced by healthcare consumed in the community. However, case management might reduce ED visits and costs from the hospital's perspective, but induce substitution effects, and increase health service utilization outside the hospital. This study examined if an interdisciplinary case-management intervention-compared to standard ED care -reduced costs generated by frequent ED users not only from the hospital perspective, but also from the healthcare system perspective-that is, from a broader perspective taking into account the costs of healthcare services used outside the hospital. METHODS: In this randomized controlled trial, 250 adult frequent emergency department users (5 or more visits during the previous 12 months) who visited the ED of the University Hospital of Lausanne, Switzerland, between May 2012 and July 2013 were allocated to one of two groups: case management intervention (CM) or standard ED care (SC), and followed up for 12 months. Depending on the perspective of the analysis, costs were evaluated differently. For the analysis from the hospital's perspective, the true value of resources used to provide services was used as a cost estimate. These data were obtained from the hospital's analytical accounting system. For the analysis from the health-care system perspective, all health-care services consumed by users and charged were used as an estimate of costs. These data were obtained from health insurance providers for a subsample of participants. To allow comparisons in a same time period, individual monthly average costs were calculated. Multivariate linear models including a fixed effect "group" were run using socio-demographic characteristics and health-related variables as controlling variables (age, gender, educational level, citizenship, marital status, somatic and mental health problems, and risk behaviors).

Prolonged Period of Cortical Plasticity upon Redox Dysregulation in Fast-Spiking Interneurons.

BACKGROUND: Oxidative stress and the specific impairment of perisomatic gamma-aminobutyric acid circuits are hallmarks of the schizophrenic brain and its animal models. Proper maturation of these fast-spiking inhibitory interneurons normally defines critical periods of experience-dependent cortical plasticity. METHODS: Here, we linked these processes by genetically inducing a redox dysregulation restricted to such parvalbumin-positive cells and examined the impact on critical period plasticity using the visual system as a model (3-6 mice/group). RESULTS: Oxidative stress was accompanied by a significant loss of perineuronal nets, which normally enwrap mature fast-spiking cells to limit adult plasticity. Accordingly, the neocortex remained plastic even beyond the peak of its natural critical period. These effects were not seen when redox dysregulation was targeted in excitatory principal cells. CONCLUSIONS: A cell-specific regulation of redox state thus balances plasticity and stability of cortical networks. Mistimed developmental trajectories of brain plasticity may underlie, in part, the pathophysiology of mental illness. Such prolonged developmental plasticity may, in turn, offer a therapeutic opportunity for cognitive interventions targeting brain plasticity in schizophrenia.

Twist1 Is a TNF-Inducible Inhibitor of Clock Mediated Activation of Period Genes.

BACKGROUND: Activation of the immune system affects the circadian clock. Tumor necrosis factor (TNF) and Interleukin (IL)-1β inhibit the expression of clock genes including Period (Per) genes and the PAR-bZip clock-controlled gene D-site albumin promoter-binding protein (Dbp). These effects are due to cytokine-induced interference of E-box mediated transcription of clock genes. In the present study we have assessed the two E-box binding transcriptional regulators Twist1 and Twist2 for their role in cytokine induced inhibition of clock genes. METHODS: The expression of the clock genes Per1, Per2, Per3 and of Dbp was assessed in NIH-3T3 mouse fibroblasts and the mouse hippocampal neuronal cell line HT22. Cells were treated for 4h with TNF and IL-1β. The functional role of Twist1 and Twist2 was assessed by siRNAs against the Twist genes and by overexpression of TWIST proteins. In luciferase (luc) assays NIH-3T3 cells were transfected with reporter gene constructs, which contain a 3xPer1 E-box or a Dbp E-box. Quantitative chromatin immunoprecipitation (ChIP) was performed using antibodies to TWIST1 and CLOCK, and the E-box consensus sequences of Dbp (CATGTG) and Per1 E-box (CACGTG). RESULTS: We report here that siRNA against Twist1 protects NIH-3T3 cells and HT22 cells from down-regulation of Period and Dbp by TNF and IL-1β. Overexpression of Twist1, but not of Twist2, mimics the effect of the cytokines. TNF down-regulates the activation of Per1-3xE-box-luc, the effect being prevented by siRNA against Twist1. Overexpression of Twist1, but not of Twist2, inhibits Per1-3xE-box-luc or Dbp-E-Box-luc activity. ChIP experiments show TWIST1 induction by TNF to compete with CLOCK binding to the E-box of Period genes and Dbp. CONCLUSION: Twist1 plays a pivotal role in the TNF mediated suppression of E-box dependent transactivation of Period genes and Dbp. Thereby Twist1 may provide a link between the immune system and the circadian timing system.

Respiratory health effects of fifteen years of improved collective protection in a wheat-processing worker population.

INTRODUCTION: Occupational exposure to grain dust causes respiratory symptoms and pathologies. To decrease these effects, major changes have occurred in the grain processing industry in the last twenty years. However, there are no data on the effects of these changes on workers' respiratory health. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate the respiratory health of grain workers and farmers involved in different steps of the processing industry of wheat, the most frequently used cereal in Europe, fifteen years after major improvements in collective protective equipment due to mechanisation. MATERIALS AND METHOD: Information on estimated personal exposure to wheat dust was collected from 87 workers exposed to wheat dust and from 62 controls. Lung function (FEV1, FVC, and PEF), exhaled nitrogen monoxide (FENO) and respiratory symptoms were assessed after the period of highest exposure to wheat during the year. Linear regression models were used to explore the associations between exposure indices and respiratory effects. RESULTS: Acute symptoms - cough, sneezing, runny nose, scratchy throat - were significantly more frequent in exposed workers than in controls. Increased mean exposure level, increased cumulative exposure and chronic exposure to more than 6 mg.m (-3) of inhaled wheat dust were significantly associated with decreased spirometric parameters, including FEV1 and PEF (40 ml and 123 ml.s (-1) ), FEV1 and FVC (0.4 ml and 0.5 ml per 100 h.mg.m (-3) ), FEV1 and FVC (20 ml and 20 ml per 100 h at >6 mg.m (-3) ). However, no increase in FENO was associated with increased exposure indices. CONCLUSIONS: The lung functions of wheat-related workers are still affected by their cumulative exposure to wheat dust, despite improvements in the use of collective protective equipment.

Effects of Three Types of Exercise Interventions on Healthy Old Adults' Gait Speed : A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Habitual walking speed predicts many clinical conditions later in life, but it declines with age. However, which particular exercise intervention can minimize the age-related gait speed loss is unclear. PURPOSE: Our objective was to determine the effects of strength, power, coordination, and multimodal exercise training on healthy old adults' habitual and fast gait speed. METHODS: We performed a computerized systematic literature search in PubMed and Web of Knowledge from January 1984 up to December 2014. Search terms included 'Resistance training', 'power training', 'coordination training', 'multimodal training', and 'gait speed (outcome term). Inclusion criteria were articles available in full text, publication period over past 30 years, human species, journal articles, clinical trials, randomized controlled trials, English as publication language, and subject age ≥65 years. The methodological quality of all eligible intervention studies was assessed using the Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro) scale. We computed weighted average standardized mean differences of the intervention-induced adaptations in gait speed using a random-effects model and tested for overall and individual intervention effects relative to no-exercise controls. RESULTS: A total of 42 studies (mean PEDro score of 5.0 ± 1.2) were included in the analyses (2495 healthy old adults; age 74.2 years [64.4-82.7]; body mass 69.9 ± 4.9 kg, height 1.64 ± 0.05 m, body mass index 26.4 ± 1.9 kg/m(2), and gait speed 1.22 ± 0.18 m/s). The search identified only one power training study, therefore the subsequent analyses focused only on the effects of resistance, coordination, and multimodal training on gait speed. The three types of intervention improved gait speed in the three experimental groups combined (n = 1297) by 0.10 m/s (±0.12) or 8.4 % (±9.7), with a large effect size (ES) of 0.84. Resistance (24 studies; n = 613; 0.11 m/s; 9.3 %; ES: 0.84), coordination (eight studies, n = 198; 0.09 m/s; 7.6 %; ES: 0.76), and multimodal training (19 studies; n = 486; 0.09 m/s; 8.4 %, ES: 0.86) increased gait speed statistically and similarly. CONCLUSIONS: Commonly used exercise interventions can functionally and clinically increase habitual and fast gait speed and help slow the loss of gait speed or delay its onset.

Pharmacogenetic and clinical study on adverse effects induced by psychotropic drugs

Second-generation antipsychotics (SGAs) have become the first-line antipsychotic treatment for psychotic disorders due to their better overall tolerance compared to classical antipsychotics. However, metabolic side effects such as weight gain are frequently described during treatment with SGAs and/or other psychotropic drugs including some antidepressants and mood stabilizers, which may also result in poor adherence to treatment. The aim of this work was to investigate different methods to predict common side effects, in particular weight gain during treatment with weight gain inducing psychotropic drugs. Firstly, clinical data were used to determine the potential predictive power of a one month weight gain on weight increase after three and 12 months of treatment (n=351 patients). A fast and strong weight gain of >5% after a period of one month (>5%WG) was found to be the best predictor for an important weight gain at three (>15%) and 12 months (>20%). Similar analyses in an independent cohort of psychiatric adolescents (n=42), showed that a comparable >4% weight gain at one month is the best predictor for an important weight gain at three months (>15%). Secondly, we aimed to determine whether an extensive analysis of genes could be used, in addition to clinical factors, to predict patients at risk for >5%WG or for type 2 diabetes (T2D). Adding genetic markers to clinical variables to predict >5%WG increased significantly the area under the curve (AUC) of the analysis (AUCfinai:0.92, AUCdmicai:0.75, pcO.OOOl, n=248). Conversely, genetic risk scores were found to be associated with T2D (OR: 2.5, p=0.03, n=285) but without a significant increase of AUC'when compared to the prediction based to clinical factors alone. Finally, therapeutic drug monitoring was used to predict extrapyramidal symptoms during risperidone treatment (n=150). Active moiety (sum of risperidone and of its active metabolite 9- hydroxyrisperidone plasma concentrations) of >40 ng/ml should be targeted only in case of insufficient response. These results highlight different approaches for personalizing psychotropic treatments in order to reduce related side effects. Further research is needed, in particular on the identification of genetic markers, to improve the implementation of these results into clinical practice. Résumé Les antipsychotiques atypiques (APA) sont devenus le traitement antipsychotique de première intention pour le traitement des psychoses, grâce à un profil d'effets secondaires plus favorables comparé aux antipsychotiques typiques. Néanmoins, d'autres effets indésirables d'ordre métabolique (ex. prise pondérale) sont observés sous APA, stabilisateurs de l'humeur et/ou certains antidépresseurs, pouvant aussi limiter l'adhérence au traitement. L'objectif de ce travail est d'explorer différentes méthodes permettant de prédire des effets secondaires courants, en particulier la prise de poids durant un traitement avec des psychotropes pouvant induire un tel effet. Dans une première partie, des données cliniques ont été évaluées pour leurs potentiels prédictifs d'une prise de poids à un mois sur une prise de poids à trois et 12 mois de traitement (n=351 patients). Une prise de poids rapide et forte >5% à un mois (PP>5%) s'est avérée être le meilleur prédicteur pour une prise pondérale importante à trois (>15%) et 12 (>20%) mois de traitement. Des analyses similaires dans une cohorte pédiatrique (n=42) ont indiqué une prise de poids >4% à un mois comme le meilleur prédicteur pour une prise pondérale importante (>15%) à trois mois de traitement. Dans une deuxième partie, des marqueurs génétiques, en complément aux données cliniques, ont été analysés pour leur contribution potentielle à la prédiction d'une PP>5% et au dépistage du diabète de type 2 (DT2). L'ajout de variants génétiques aux données cliniques afin de prédire une PP>5% a augmenté significativement l'aire sous la courbe (ASC) de l'analyse (ASCflnai:0.92, ASCC|inique:0.75, p<0.0001, n=248). Concernant le DT2, un score génétique est associé au DT2 (OR: 2.5, p=0.03, n=285), néanmoins aucune augmentation significative de l'ASC n'a été observée par rapport à l'analyse avec les données cliniques seules. Finalement, des mesures de concentrations plasmatiques de médicaments ont été utilisées pour prédire la survenue de symptômes extrapyramidaux sous rispéridone (n=150). Cette analyse nous a permis d'établir qu'une concentration plasmatique de rispéridone associée à son métabolite actif >40 ng/ml ne devrait être recherchée qu'en cas de réponse clinique insuffisante. Ces différents résultats soulignent différentes approches pour personnaliser la prescription de psychotropes afin de réduire la survenue d'effets secondaires. Des études supplémentaires sont néanmoins nécessaires, en particulier sur l'identification de marqueurs génétiques, afin d'améliorer l'implémentation de ces résultats en pratique clinique. Résumé large publique Les antipsychotiques atypiques et autres traitements psychotropes sont couramment utilisés pour traiter les symptômes liés à la schizophrénie et aux troubles de l'humeur. Comme pour tout médicament, des effets secondaires sont observés. L'objectif de ce travail est d'explorer différentes méthodes qui permettraient de prédire la survenue de certains effets indésirables, en particulier une prise de poids et la survenue d'un diabète. Dans une première partie, nous avons évalué l'effet d'une prise de poids précoce sur une prise de poids au long terme sous traitement psychotrope. Les analyses ont mis en évidence dans une population psychiatrique qu'une prise de poids à un mois >5% par rapport au poids initial permettait de prédire une prise pondérale importante après trois (>15%) et 12 (>20%) mois de traitement. Un résultat semblable a. été observé dans un autre groupe de patients exclusivement pédiatriques. Dans une deuxième partie, nous avons évalué la contribution potentielle de marqueurs génétiques à la prédiction d'une prise pondérale de >5% après un mois de traitement ainsi que dans la survenue d'un diabète de type 2. Pour la prise de poids, la combinaison des données génétiques aux données cliniques a permis d'augmenter de 17% la précision de la prédiction, en passant de 70% à 87%. Concernant la survenue d'un diabète, les données génétiques n'ont pas amélioré la prédiction. Finalement, nous avons analysé la relation possible entre les concentrations sanguines d'un antipsychotique atypique couramment utilisé, la rispéridone, et la survenue d'effets secondaires (ici les tremblements). Il est ressorti de cette étude qu'une concentration plasmatique du médicament supérieure à 40 ng/ml ne devrait être dépassée qu'en cas de réponse thérapeutique insuffisante, au risque de voir augmenter la survenue d'effets secondaires du type tremblements. Ces résultats démontrent la possibilité de prédire avec une bonne précision la survenue de certains effets secondaires. Cependant, en particulier dans le domaine de la génétique, d'autres études sont nécessaires afin de confirmer les résultats obtenus dans nos analyses. Une fois cette étape franchie, il serait possible d'utiliser ces outils dans la pratique clinique. A terme, cela pourrait permettre au prescripteur de sélectionner les traitements les mieux adaptés aux profils spécifiques de chaque patient.