Fossé urbain - rural : étude sur les votations populaires entre 1981 et 2014

Ce mémoire de recherche se concentrera sur un phénomène en particulier : le fossé urbain - rural. Le terme de « fossé » a été privilégié à celui de « clivage ». En effet, un clivage, tout comme un fossé, correspond à une opposition observable, entre deux groupes sociaux, lors des votations fédérales. Lorsque celui-ci est nommé « urbain - rural », il correspondant à une opposition entre les communes urbaines et rurales. Pour des raisons de clarté et d'exactitude le terme de fossé urbain - rural sera gardé pour rendre compte, au plus juste, de l'opposition entre les communes urbaines et rurales dans le but de rester fidèle à l'observation du comportement de vote. Cette recherche empirique a deux ordres d'intérêt : politologique et scientifique (méthodologique). L'intérêt politologique est de répondre à la question, peu traitée dans la littérature en sciences sociales et administratives, de savoir si le fossé urbain - rural est un phénomène d'actualité dans l'explication du comportement de vote en Suisse. Si tel est le cas, il permettra de déterminer pour quels facteurs, liés à la démocratie directe, il est pertinent.

Decreasing educational differences in mortality over 40 years: evidence from the Turin Longitudinal Study (Italy)

BACKGROUND: Recent studies suggest that inequalities in premature mortality have continued to rise over the last decade in most European countries, but not in southern European countries. METHODS: In this study, we assess long-term trends (1971-2011) in absolute and relative educational inequalities in all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the Turin Longitudinal Study (Turin, Italy), a record-linkage study including all individuals resident in Turin in the 1971, 1981, 1991 and 2001 censuses, and aged 30-99 years (more than 2 million people). We examined mortality for all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), all cancers and specific cancers (lung, breast), as well as smoking and alcohol-related mortality. RESULTS: Overall mortality substantially decreased in all educational groups over the study period, although cancer rates only slightly declined. Absolute inequalities decreased for both genders (SII=962/694 in men/women in 1972-1976 and SII=531/259 in 2007-2011, p<0.01). Among men, absolute inequalities for CVD and alcohol-related causes declined (p<0.05), while remaining stable for other causes of death. Among women, declines in absolute inequalities were observed for CVD, smoking and alcohol-related causes and lung cancer (p<0.05). Relative inequalities in all-cause mortality remained stable for men and decreased for women (RII=1.92/2.03 in men/women in 1972-1976 and RII=2.15/1.32 in 2007-2011). Among men, relative inequalities increased for smoking-related causes, while among women they decreased for all cancers, CVD, smoking-related causes and lung cancer (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Absolute inequalities in mortality strongly declined over the study period in both genders. Relative educational inequalities in mortality were generally stable among men; while they tended to narrow among women. In general, this study supports the hypothesis that educational inequalities in mortality have decreased in southern European countries.