Female- and male-specific signals of quality in the barn owl

Most bird studies of female signalling have been confined to species in which females display a male-ornament in a vestigial form. However, a great deal of benefit may be gained from considering phenotypic traits that are specific to females. This is because (1) sex-specific traits may signal sex-specific qualities and (2) females may develop a male-ornament not because they are selected to do so, but because fathers transmit to daughters the underlying genes for its expression (genetic correlation between the sexes). We investigated these two propositions in the barn owl Tyto alba, a species in which male plumage is lighter in colour and less marked with black spots than that of females. Firstly, we present published evidence that female plumage spottiness reflects parasite resistance ability. We also show that male plumage coloration is correlated with reproductive success, male feeding rate and heart mass. Secondly, cross-fostering experiments demonstrate that plumage coloration and spottiness are genetically correlated between the sexes. This implies that if a given trait value is selected in one sex, the other sex will indirectly evolve towards a similar value. This prediction is supported by the observation that female plumage coloration and spottiness resembled that of males, in comparisons at the level of Tyto alba alba populations, Tyto alba subspecies and Tyto species. Our results therefore support the hypothesis that sex-specific traits signal sex-specific qualities and that a gene for a sex-specific trait can be expressed in the other sex as the consequence of a genetic correlation between the sexes.

Quantifying degradation rates of transmembrane receptor kinases.

Transmembrane receptor-kinases are widespread throughout eukaryotes and their activities are known to regulate all kinds of cellular responses in diverse organs and cell types. In order to guarantee the correct amplitude and duration of signals, receptor levels at the cellular surface need to be tightly controlled. The regulation of receptor degradation is the most direct way to achieve this and elaborate mechanisms are in place to control this process. Therefore, the rate of receptor degradation is a parameter of central importance for understanding the dynamics of a signal transduction cascade. Unfortunately, degradation of transmembrane receptors is a complicated multistep process that involves internalization from the plasma membrane, invagination into the lumen of endosomal compartments, and finally fusion with the vacuole for degradation by vacuolar proteases. Therefore, degradation should be measured in an as noninvasive way as possible, such as not to interfere with the complicated transport processes. Here, a method for minimally invasive, in vivo turn-over measurements in intact organs is provided. This technique was used for quantifying the turn-over rates of the Brassinosteroid receptor kinase BRI1 (BRASSINOSTEROID INSENSITIVE 1) in Arabidopsis thaliana root meristems. Pulse-chase expression of a fluorescently labeled BRI1 variant was used and its turn-over rate was determined by quantitative confocal microscopy. This method is well suited to measure turn-over of transmembrane kinases, but can evidently be extended to measure turn-over of any types of transmembrane proteins.

Intestinal bacteria condition dendritic cells to promote IgA production.

Immunoglobulin (Ig) A represents the predominant antibody isotype produced at the intestinal mucosa, where it plays an important role in limiting the penetration of commensal intestinal bacteria and opportunistic pathogens. We show in mice that Peyer's Patch-derived dendritic cells (PP-DC) exhibit a specialized phenotype allowing the promotion of IgA production by B2 cells. This phenotype included increased expression of the retinaldehyde dehydrogenase 1 (RALDH1), inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), B cell activating factor of the tumor necrosis family (BAFF), a proliferation-inducing ligand (APRIL), and receptors for the neuropeptide vasoactive intestinal peptide (VIP). The ability of PP-DC to promote anti-CD40 dependent IgA was partially dependent on retinoic acid (RA) and transforming growth factor (TGF)-beta, whilst BAFF and APRIL signaling were not required. Signals delivered by BAFF and APRIL were crucial for CD40 independent IgA production, although the contribution of B2 cells to this pathway was minimal. The unique ability of PP-DC to instruct naïve B cells to differentiate into IgA producing plasma cells was mainly imparted by the presence of intestinal commensal bacteria, and could be mimicked by the addition of LPS to the culture. These data indicate that exposure to pathogen-associated molecular patterns present on intestinal commensal bacteria condition DC to express a unique molecular footprint that in turn allows them to promote IgA production.

Activity in inferior parietal and medial prefrontal cortex signals the accumulation of evidence in a probability learning task.

In an uncertain environment, probabilities are key to predicting future events and making adaptive choices. However, little is known about how humans learn such probabilities and where and how they are encoded in the brain, especially when they concern more than two outcomes. During functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), young adults learned the probabilities of uncertain stimuli through repetitive sampling. Stimuli represented payoffs and participants had to predict their occurrence to maximize their earnings. Choices indicated loss and risk aversion but unbiased estimation of probabilities. BOLD response in medial prefrontal cortex and angular gyri increased linearly with the probability of the currently observed stimulus, untainted by its value. Connectivity analyses during rest and task revealed that these regions belonged to the default mode network. The activation of past outcomes in memory is evoked as a possible mechanism to explain the engagement of the default mode network in probability learning. A BOLD response relating to value was detected only at decision time, mainly in striatum. It is concluded that activity in inferior parietal and medial prefrontal cortex reflects the amount of evidence accumulated in favor of competing and uncertain outcomes.

A-kinase-anchoring protein-Lbc anchors IκB kinase β to support interleukin-6-mediated cardiomyocyte hypertrophy.

In response to stress, the heart undergoes a pathological remodeling process associated with hypertrophy and the reexpression of a fetal gene program that ultimately causes cardiac dysfunction and heart failure. In this study, we show that A-kinase-anchoring protein (AKAP)-Lbc and the inhibitor of NF-κB kinase subunit β (IKKβ) form a transduction complex in cardiomyocytes that controls the production of proinflammatory cytokines mediating cardiomyocyte hypertrophy. In particular, we can show that activation of IKKβ within the AKAP-Lbc complex promotes NF-κB-dependent production of interleukin-6 (IL-6), which in turn enhances fetal gene expression and cardiomyocyte growth. These findings provide a new mechanistic hypothesis explaining how hypertrophic signals are coordinated and conveyed to interleukin-mediated transcriptional reprogramming events in cardiomyocytes.

Analysis of the regulation of Nodal function by SPC-mediated cleavage during early mammalian development

RÉSUMÉ Après implantation dans l'utérus, le foetus de mammifère est composé de trois populations différentes de cellules: l'epiblast, l'ectoderme extraembryonnaire et l'endoderme viscéral. Pendant la gastrulation, les cellules de l'epiblast donnent naissance aux trois lignées germinales: l'ectoderme, le mésoderme et l'endodermes. Les lignées germinales produisent par la suite les différents tissus et organes du corps embryonnaire et adulte. Les cellules de l'ectoderme extraembryonnaire donnent par la suite le composant foetal du placenta qui est essentiel à la survie de l'embryon dans l'utérus. L'épiblast et l'ectoderme extraembryonnaire sont entourés par l'endoderme viscéral et forment une structure connue sous le nom de bouton embryonnaire. L'endoderme viscéral joue un rôle important dans l'embryogenèse car il comporte une sous-population de cellules appelées l'endoderme viscéral antérieur dont les signaux influencent l'épiblast adjacent et déterminent le futur axe antéro-postérieur de l'embryon. La protéine de signalisation Nodal de la famille des TGFß est essentielle dans l'épiblast pour spécifier le mésendoderme, l'endoderme viscéral antérieur, ainsi que pour maintenir les cellules souche de l'ectoderme extraembryonnaire. Ainsi, dans les embryons mutants pour Nodal, aucun axe antéro-postérieur n'est établi, les lignées germinales ne sont pas spécifiés et le placenta ne se développe pas. Au niveau moléculaire, comme pour les protéines de la famille des TGFß, Nodal est initialement synthétisée sous forme de précurseur avant d'être clivée de façon endoproteolytique par des protéanes sécrétées, les proprotéines convertases du type subtilisin (SPC), qui suppriment la partie inhibitrice N-terminale du pro peptide. Dans ce contexte, le projet de ma thèse a été d'analyser l'influence des SPC sur la fonction de Nodal en employant une combinaison d'approches génétiques et biochimiques. Premièrement, nous avons constaté que le clivage du précurseur par les protéases active Nodal, mais en même temps augmente son turn-over et diminue la portée de son action. Deuxièmement, dans l'embryon, il apparaît que Nodal est activé par l'action combinée de Furin et de PACE4, deux protéases sécrétées qui sont spécifiquement exprimées dans les cellules de l'ectoderme extraembryonnaire, donc adjacentes au domaine d'expression de Nodal. De manière similaire aux mutants de Nodal, les embryons mutants pour les deux protéases ne forment pas d'endoderme viscéral antérieur et ne gastrulent pas. Cependant, certains gènes cible de Nodal restent exprimés, suggérant que toutes les activités de Nodal ne sont pas dépendent du clivage par les SPCs. En effet, la génération et l'analyse de mutants portant un allèle knock-in qui code pour une forme mutante de Nodal résistante aux SPC, ont montré que ces mutants ont les caractères phénotypique des mutants de Nodal seulement de façon partielle. La formation de mésoderme est partiellement induite, et de façon remarquable, la forme de Nodal résistante aux SPC est capable d'agir à une distance de sa source, maintenant l'expression de ses propres protéases et d'autres gènes essentiels pour la spécification de l'ectoderme extraembryonnaire. Ensemble, ces résultats prouvent que par leur action directe les protéases extraembryonnaire modulent la signalisation de Nodal pendant le développement mammifère précoce. SUMMARY : Early after implantation in the uterus, the mammalian conceptus is composed of three different cell populations: the epiblast, the extraembryonic ectoderm and the visceral endoderm. During gastrulation, epiblast cells give rise to the three embryonic germ layers: the ectoderm, the mesoderm and the endoderm. These germ layers then generate the different tissues and organs of the embryonic and adult bodies. In parallel, extraembryonic ectoderm cells give rise to the fetal component of the placenta, which is essential for the survival of the embryo in the uterus. Both the epiblast and extraembryonic ectoderm are surrounded by the visceral endoderm to form a structure known as the egg cylinder. The visceral endoderm plays an important role as it harbours a subpopulation of cells called the anterior visceral endoderm, from which signals influence the adjacent epiblast and determine the future antero-posterior embryonic axis. The TGFß-related signalling protein Nodal is required within the epiblast to specify the mesoderm, the endoderm,the anterior visceral endoderm and is also essential to maintain stem cells in the extraembryonic ectoderm. Thus, in Nodal null conceptuses, no antero-posterior axis is established, the germ layers are not specified and the placenta does not develop. At the molecular level, Nodal, like related proteins of the TGFß family, is initially synthesized as a precursor and undergoes endoproteolytic cleavage by secreted proteases of the subtilisin-like proprotein convertases (SPC) to remove an inhibitory N-terminal pro peptide. In the embryo, Nodal is activated by the combined action of Furin and PACE4, two secreted SPCs that are specifically expressed in cells of the extraembryonic ectoderm, thus adjacent to the Nodal expression domain. Similar to Nodal null .embryos, mutant embryos lacking both these proteases fail to specify the anterior visceral endoderm and to undergo gastrulation. However, these mutants still express a subset of Nodal target genes, suggesting that part of Nodal activity is independent on cleavage by SPCs. Indeed, by generating and analyzing mutants with a knock-in allele that encodes an SPC-resistant mutant form of Nodal, I could show that they retain a subset of Nodal activities. Mesoderm formation is partially induced, but most remarkably, SPC-resistant Nodal form is able to act at a distance from its source, maintaining the expression of its proteases and of other genes essential for maintenance of the extraembryonic ectoderm.

Danger signaling through the inflammasome acts as a master switch between tolerance and sensitization.

Efficient priming of adaptive immunity depends on danger signals provided by innate immune pathways. As an example, inflammasome-mediated activation of caspase-1 and IL-1beta is crucial for the development of reactive T cells targeting sensitizers like dinitrofluorobenzene (DNFB). Surprisingly, DNFB and dinitrothiocyanobenzene provide cross-reactive Ags yet drive opposing, sensitizing vs tolerizing, T cell responses. In this study, we show that, in mice, inflammasome-signaling levels can be modulated to turn dinitrothiocyanobenzene into a sensitizer and DNFB into a tolerizer, and that it correlates with the IL-6 and IL-12 secretion levels, affecting Th1, Th17, and regulatory T cell development. Hence, our data provide the first evidence that the inflammasome can define the type of adaptive immune response elicited by an Ag, and hint at new strategies to modulate T cell responses in vivo.

Endoglycan mediates malignant leukocyte rolling on e-selectin and signals through SYK and the MAPK pathway

Selectins play a key role regulating leukocyte migration into tissues by mediating leukocyte tethering (capture) and rolling on inflamed endothelium and/or on adherent leukocytes or platelets. During leukocyte rolling, endothelial E- or P-selectin bind to glycoprotein ligands carrying sialyl Lewis χ (sLex) determinant. P-selectin glycoprotein ligand-1 (PSGL-1) is a common ligand for L-, P- and E-selectin, which sequentially cooperates with CD44 and E- selectin ligand-1 (ESL-1) to roll on E-selectin. During rolling on endothelial selectins, PSGL-1 and CD44 signal through Src family kinases and Syk, leading to αι_β2 integrin partial activation and slow rolling on intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1). Leukocyte exposure to chemokines then leads to firm adhesion. Little information is available on ligands that mediate malignant leukocyte rolling on E- selectin. We defined these ligands on U937 monoblasts by immunoadsorbtion and immunoblotting using mAb raised against CD43, CD44, PSGL-1, sLex/CLA determinants and E-selectin/IgM chimera. Immunoblotting and blot rolling assays demonstrated that PSGL-1, CD43, CD44 and a -125 kDa sLex/CLA positive ligand contribute to support E-seiectin- dependent rolling. This -125 kDa ligand is endoglycan, a member of the CD34 family of sialomucins. Endoglycan was frequently detected by flow cytometry on primary leukemia, lymphoma and multiple myeloma ceils (in -50% of cases). Endoglycan, immunopurified from U937 cells, as well as endoglycan/IgG chimera efficiently supported E-selectin dependent rolling. Membrane fractionation on sucrose gradient demonstrated that endoglycan is expressed in lipid rafts. We tested the hypothesis that it signals, like PSGL-1 and CD44, through Src kinases and the MAPK pathway. Indeed, endoglycan engagement induced Syk and ERK phosphorylation in a iipid raft-dependent manner. Syk activation was dependent on Src kinase activity. Downstream of Syk, endoglycan activated PI3K and Akt as well as Bruton's tyrosine kinase and p38 MAPK. Thus, endoglycan is a ligand for endothelial selectins which may contribute to regulate leukemia, lymphoma and multiple myeloma cell trafficking and interactions with bone marrow microenvironment. - Les sélectines contrôlent la migration tissulaire des leucocytes en assurant leur capture et leur roulement sur l'endothélium vasculaire enflammé et/ou sur des plaquettes ou des leucocytes adhérant à la paroi vasculaire. Lors du roulement leucocytaire, les sélectines endothéliales (E- et P-sélectine) se lient à des ligands porteurs du saccharide sialyl Lewis χ (sLex). PSGL-1 est un ligand commun des sélectines qui coopère avec CD44 et ESL-1 pour permettre la capture et le roulement des neutrophiles. Lorsque PSGL-1 et CD44 se lient aux sélectines endothéliales, elles induisent la phosphorylation des kinases Src et de Syk conduisant à l'activation partielle de l'intégrine aLp2 et au ralentissement des leucocytes sur les sélectines et ICAM-1. Les chimiokines induisent ensuite l'adhésion ferme des leucocytes. Les ligands des sélectines qui assurent le roulement, sur la E-sélectine, des cellules issues d'hémopathies malignes sont peu connus. Nous avons caractérisé ces ligands en les purifiant avec des anticorps dirigés contre CD43, CD44, PSGL-1, sLex/CLA et en utilisant la chimère E-sélectine/IgM. Des tests d'adhésion ont montré que PSGL-1, CD43, CD44 et une glycoprotéine de ~125 kDa soutiennent les interactions cellulaires dépendant de la E- sélectine. Le ligand de -125 kDa a été identifié comme étant l'endoglycan. Il a été détecté, par cytométrie de flux, sur les cellules leucémiques, les cellules de lymphomes ou de myélome multiple, dans ~50% des cas analysés. Sa forme membranaire, immunopurifiée, ou recombinante (endoglycan/lgG) soutient les interactions cellulaires dépendant de la E- sélectine. Nous avons montré qu'il réside dans les rafts lipidiques membranaires puis avons testé l'hypothèse que l'endoglycan, comme PSGL-1 et CD44, induit une signalisation via les kinases de type Src et la voie des MAPK. Nous avons pu observer que son engagement induit la phosphorylation de Syk et de ERK pour autant que la structure des rafts soit préservée. En aval de Syk, l'endoglycan active la PI3K, Akt, Btk et la MAPK p38. Ces résultats montrent que l'endoglycan est un ligand des sélectines endothéliales qui pourrait participer au contrôle du trafic et des interactions des cellules leucémiques, de lymphomes ou de myélomes multiples avec leur microenvironnement. - Le sang est un élément clé du fonctionnement de notre corps. La circulation sanguine permet la communication et le transfert de molécules et cellules entre divers organes. Lors d'une inflammation aiguë due à une réaction allergique, une infection ou une blessure, on observe un oedème local accompagné de rougeur, de chaleur et souvent de douleurs. Au sein des tissus enflammés, on observe des globules blancs (leucocytes) et diverses molécules inflammatoires qui attirent les leucocytes dans les tissus lésés (chimiokines). Le sang est composé de globules rouges, de plaquettes et de leucocytes spécialisés dans les défenses immunes. Pour atteindre le site d'inflammation, les leucocytes doivent quitter la circulation sanguine. Ils utilisent pour cela des molécules d'adhésion présentes à leur surface qui se lient à d'autres molécules d'adhésion de la paroi sanguine. Leurs interactions permettent aux leucocytes de rouler à la surface du vaisseau sanguin. Lorsqu'ils roulent au voisinage d'un site d'inflammation, les leucocytes sont exposés à des chimiokines qui induisent leur arrêt et les dirigent dans les tissus enflammés. Ce processus physiologique est aussi impliqué dans des pathologies telles que l'infarctus, l'artériosclérose ou la thrombose. Il peut être détourné à des fins moins louables par des cellules cancéreuses pour permettre leur dissémination (métastatisation). Dans ce travail de thèse, nous avons caractérisé une molécule d'adhésion qui soutient l'adhésion des leucocytes aux sélectines endothéliales: l'endoglycan. Nous avons observé que cette molécule d'adhésion est fréquemment exprimée par les cellules malignes de nombreuses maladies du sang comme les leucémies, les lymphomes et le myélome multiple. Nous avons également pu montrer que l'endoglycan envoie des signaux à l'intérieur des cellules malignes lorsqu'elles se lient aux sélectines endothéliales. Ces signaux pourraient jouer un rôle déterminant dans la régulation des interactions des cellules malignes avec leur microenvironnement. Elles pourraient peut-être aussi favoriser leur survie et leur prolifération.

Genome-wide analysis of SREBP1 activity around the clock reveals its combined dependency on nutrient and circadian signals.

In mammals, the circadian clock allows them to anticipate and adapt physiology around the 24 hours. Conversely, metabolism and food consumption regulate the internal clock, pointing the existence of an intricate relationship between nutrient state and circadian homeostasis that is far from being understood. The Sterol Regulatory Element Binding Protein 1 (SREBP1) is a key regulator of lipid homeostasis. Hepatic SREBP1 function is influenced by the nutrient-response cycle, but also by the circadian machinery. To systematically understand how the interplay of circadian clock and nutrient-driven rhythm regulates SREBP1 activity, we evaluated the genome-wide binding of SREBP1 to its targets throughout the day in C57BL/6 mice. The recruitment of SREBP1 to the DNA showed a highly circadian behaviour, with a maximum during the fed status. However, the temporal expression of SREBP1 targets was not always synchronized with its binding pattern. In particular, different expression phases were observed for SREBP1 target genes depending on their function, suggesting the involvement of other transcription factors in their regulation. Binding sites for Hepatocyte Nuclear Factor 4 (HNF4) were specifically enriched in the close proximity of SREBP1 peaks of genes, whose expression was shifted by about 8 hours with respect to SREBP1 binding. Thus, the cross-talk between hepatic HNF4 and SREBP1 may underlie the expression timing of this subgroup of SREBP1 targets. Interestingly, the proper temporal expression profile of these genes was dramatically changed in Bmal1-/- mice upon time-restricted feeding, for which a rhythmic, but slightly delayed, binding of SREBP1 was maintained. Collectively, our results show that besides the nutrient-driven regulation of SREBP1 nuclear translocation, a second layer of modulation of SREBP1 transcriptional activity, strongly dependent from the circadian clock, exists. This system allows us to fine tune the expression timing of SREBP1 target genes, thus helping to temporally separate the different physiological processes in which these genes are involved.

Pattern recognition of sleep in rodents using piezoelectric signals generated by gross body movements.

Current research on sleep using experimental animals is limited by the expense and time-consuming nature of traditional EEG/EMG recordings. We present here an alternative, noninvasive approach utilizing piezoelectric films configured as highly sensitive motion detectors. These film strips attached to the floor of the rodent cage produce an electrical output in direct proportion to the distortion of the material. During sleep, movement associated with breathing is the predominant gross body movement and, thus, output from the piezoelectric transducer provided an accurate respiratory trace during sleep. During wake, respiratory movements are masked by other motor activities. An automatic pattern recognition system was developed to identify periods of sleep and wake using the piezoelectric generated signal. Due to the complex and highly variable waveforms that result from subtle postural adjustments in the animals, traditional signal analysis techniques were not sufficient for accurate classification of sleep versus wake. Therefore, a novel pattern recognition algorithm was developed that successfully distinguished sleep from wake in approximately 95% of all epochs. This algorithm may have general utility for a variety of signals in biomedical and engineering applications. This automated system for monitoring sleep is noninvasive, inexpensive, and may be useful for large-scale sleep studies including genetic approaches towards understanding sleep and sleep disorders, and the rapid screening of the efficacy of sleep or wake promoting drugs.

Molecular characterization of signalling complexes involved in G-protein coupled receptor-induced cardiac hypertrophy

In response to pathological stresses, the heart undergoes a remodelling process associated with cardiac hypertrophy. Since sustained hypertrophy can progress to heart failure, there is an intense investigation about the intracellular signalling pathways that control cardiomyocyte growth. Accumulating evidence has demonstrated that most stimuli known to initiate pathological changes associated with the development of cardiac hypertrophy activate G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs) including the αl-adrenergic- (αl-AR), Angiotensin II- (AT-R) and endothelin-1- (ET-R) receptors. In this context, we have previously identified a cardiac scaffolding protein, called AKAP-Lbc (Α-kinase anchoring protein), with an intrinsic Rho specific guanine nucleotide exchange factor activity, that plays a key role in integrating and transducing hypertrophic signals initiated by these GPCRs (Appert-Collin, Cotecchia et al. 2007). Activated RhoA controls the transcriptional activation of genes involved in cardiomyocyte hypertrophy through signalling pathways that remain to be characterized. Here, we identified the nuclear factor-Kappa Β (NF-κΒ) activating kinase ΙΚΚβ as a novel AKAP-Lbc interacting protein. This raises the hypothesis that AKAP-Lbc might promote cardiomyocyte growth by maintaining a signalling complex that promotes the activation of the pro-hypertrophic transcription factor NF-κΒ. In fact, the activation of NF- κΒ-dependent transcription has been detected in numerous disease contexts, including hypertrophy, ischemia/reperfusion injury, myocardial infarction, allograft rejection, myocarditis, apoptosis, and more (Hall, Hasday et al. 2006). While it is known by more than a decade that NF-κΒ is a critical mediator of cardiac hypertrophy, it is currently poorly understood how pro-hypertrophic signals controlling NF-κΒ transcriptional activity are integrated and coordinated within cardiomyocytes. In this study, we show that AKAP-Lbc and ΙΚΚβ form a transduction complex in cardiomyocytes that couples activation of αl-ARs to NF-κB-mediated transcriptional reprogramming events associated with cardiomyocyte hypertrophy. In particular, we can show that activation of ΙΚΚβ within the AKAP-Lbc complex promotes NF-κB-dependent production of interleukine-6 (IL-6), which, in turn, enhances foetal gene expression. These findings indicate that the AKAP-Lbc/ΙΚΚβ complex is critical for selectively directing catecholamine signals to the induction of cardiomyocyte hypertrophy.

War Signals: A Theory of Trade, Trust and Conflict

We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is inhabitated by two ethnic groups. Inter-ethnic trade requires imperfectly observed bilateral investments and one group has to form beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since conflict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals that the aggressor has a low propensity to trade. Agents observe the history of conflicts and update their beliefs over time, transmitting them to the next generation. The theory bears a set of testable predictions. First, war is a stochastic process whose frequency depends on the state of endogenous beliefs. Second, the probability of future conflicts increases after each conflict episode. Third, "accidental" conflicts that do not reflect economic fundamentals can lead to a permanent breakdown of trust, plunging a society into a vicious cycle of recurrent conflicts (a war trap). The incidence of conflict can be reduced by policies abating cultural barriers, fostering inter-ethnic trade and human capital, and shifting beliefs. Coercive peace policies such as peacekeeping forces or externally imposed regime changes have instead no persistent effects.