Multimodel inference and multimodel averaging in empirical modeling of occupational exposure levels.

Empirical modeling of exposure levels has been popular for identifying exposure determinants in occupational hygiene. Traditional data-driven methods used to choose a model on which to base inferences have typically not accounted for the uncertainty linked to the process of selecting the final model. Several new approaches propose making statistical inferences from a set of plausible models rather than from a single model regarded as 'best'. This paper introduces the multimodel averaging approach described in the monograph by Burnham and Anderson. In their approach, a set of plausible models are defined a priori by taking into account the sample size and previous knowledge of variables influent on exposure levels. The Akaike information criterion is then calculated to evaluate the relative support of the data for each model, expressed as Akaike weight, to be interpreted as the probability of the model being the best approximating model given the model set. The model weights can then be used to rank models, quantify the evidence favoring one over another, perform multimodel prediction, estimate the relative influence of the potential predictors and estimate multimodel-averaged effects of determinants. The whole approach is illustrated with the analysis of a data set of 1500 volatile organic compound exposure levels collected by the Institute for work and health (Lausanne, Switzerland) over 20 years, each concentration having been divided by the relevant Swiss occupational exposure limit and log-transformed before analysis. Multimodel inference represents a promising procedure for modeling exposure levels that incorporates the notion that several models can be supported by the data and permits to evaluate to a certain extent model selection uncertainty, which is seldom mentioned in current practice.

Suivi du patient après transplantation cardiaque: monitoring et adaptation de l'immunosuppression [Monitoring and adjustment of immunosuppression after heart transplantation].

Heart transplantation remains the best therapeutic option for the treatment of end-stage heart failure. However, good survival rates can be obtained only if patients are closely monitored, particularly for their immunosuppressive regimens. Currently, a triple-drug regimen usually based on calcineurin-inhibitors (cyclosporin A or tacrolimus), anti-proliferative agents and steroids is used in most recipients. New agents such as the mTOR inhibitors, a more recently developed class of immunosuppressive drugs, can also be used in some patients. The aim of this article is to review currently used immunosuppressive regimens after heart transplantation, and to propose some individualized options depending on specific patient characteristics and recent pharmacological developments in the field.

Adaptation to larval malnutrition does not affect fluctuating asymmetry in Drosophila melanogaster

Both stress during development and response to directional selection were proposed to lead to reduced developmental stability of an organism, commonly measured as fluctuating asymmetry. Here, we investigated the direct physiological (plastic) effect of larval malnutrition and the effect of evolutionary adaptation to this form of stress on developmental stability, measured as fluctuating asymmetry of several wing measurements. The measurements were made on female Drosophila melanogaster from populations which, in the course of 84 generations of experimental evolution, adapted to malnutrition and from non-adapted controls, raised either under standard conditions or under nutritional stress. We detected no changes in the levels of fluctuating asymmetry as either a plastic or an evolutionary response. Thus, neither nutritional stress within lifetime nor directional selection it imposes seems to affect developmental stability in flies.

Natural Arabidopsis brx loss-of-function alleles confer root adaptation to acidic soil.

Soil acidification is a major agricultural problem that negatively affects crop yield. Root systems counteract detrimental passive proton influx from acidic soil through increased proton pumping into the apoplast, which is presumably also required for cell elongation and stimulated by auxin. Here, we found an unexpected impact of extracellular pH on auxin activity and cell proliferation rate in the root meristem of two Arabidopsis mutants with impaired auxin perception, axr3 and brx. Surprisingly, neutral to slightly alkaline media rescued their severely reduced root (meristem) growth by stimulating auxin signaling, independent of auxin uptake. The finding that proton pumps are hyperactive in brx roots could explain this phenomenon and is consistent with more robust growth and increased fitness of brx mutants on overly acidic media or soil. Interestingly, the original brx allele was isolated from a natural stock center accession collected from acidic soil. Our discovery of a novel brx allele in accessions recently collected from another acidic sampling site demonstrates the existence of independently maintained brx loss-of-function alleles in nature and supports the notion that they are advantageous in acidic soil pH conditions, a finding that might be exploited for crop breeding.

L'intégration de l'adaptation au changement climatique dans la conduite des politiques publiques: déficit de mise en oeuvre ou déficit de légitimité?

L'échec des tentatives de juguler les émissions globales de gaz à effet de serre a mené au renforcement d'un discours sur la nécessité de l'adaptation au changement climatique. Il est de plus souvent considéré qu'une transformation de l'action publique serait nécessaire afin de réduire les impacts de grande magnitude qui découlent du changement climatique. Depuis les années 2000, on constate ainsi un développement des activités étatiques dans le domaine de l'adaptation. Cette évolution suscite une question centrale: quels sont les effets réels que provoque l'intégration de l'adaptation au changement climatique dans la conduite des politiques publiques et comment expliquer les éventuelles limites à ces processus? La littérature spécialisée sur l'adaptation fait preuve d'un certain réductionnisme à l'égard de la complexité de l'action publique en considérant que lorsque la capacité d'agir contre le problème de la vulnérabilité au changement climatique existe, toute forme d'inaction publique serait un déficit de mise en oeuvre provoqué par des barrières à l'action qu'il faudrait lever. A contrario, cette thèse considère l'adaptation comme une norme de politique publique dont l'intégration est susceptible de provoquer des changements institutionnels dans la forme et le contenu des politiques publiques, et des effets concrets sur les acteurs vulnérables au changement climatique. Afin de mesurer les effets de l'intégration politique de l'adaptation, un concept est formulé sur la base d'un idéal-type du régime institutionnel adaptatif, soit une construction théorique des régulations qu'impliquerait une gestion cohérente du système socioécologique complexe dans lequel s'insère le système climatique. L'auteur propose un cadre d'analyse empirique des processus publics d'adaptation qu'il applique ensuite à deux États: l'Inde (politique agricole) et la Suisse (politique du tourisme hivernal), avec pour objectif de repérer des mécanismes explicatifs communs aux effets de l'intégration dans ces deux contextes extrêmement dissemblables. L'étude débouche sur six résultats qui constituent une contribution appréciable à la littérature. L'auteur montre: premièrement, que l'intégration politique de l'adaptation conduit à une production d'actes symboliques, qui s'explique notamment par le manque de pression publique à agir sur le problème de la vulnérabilité au changement climatique; deuxièmement, que le processus d'intégration agit sur la réalité sociale par le biais d'un mécanisme d'attribution de ressources publiques à certains acteurs du champ politique; troisièmement, que les groupes sociaux qui bénéficient de ces ressources publiques ne sont pas nécessairement les plus vulnérables, mais ceux détenant les ressources d'action nécessaires à l'activation de l'intervention publique; quatrièmement, que l'absence de clefs de répartition des coûts de l'adaptation, de procédures de monitoring et d'instruments d'action contraignants limitent les effets des programmes publics d'adaptation; cinquièmement, que la faible articulation institutionnelle entre objectif d'adaptation et objectifs de protection de l'environnement accentue le risque de processus d'adaptation produisant des externalités environnementales; sixièmement, que les transformations dont la littérature souligne la nécessité ne sont pas nécessairement faisables ni désirables. Sur la base de cette analyse, cette thèse s'écarte de la littérature dominante en concluant que les processus publics d'adaptation ne souffrent pas d'un déficit de mise en oeuvre, mais d'un déficit de légitimité lié à leurs effets pernicieux. L'auteur formule alors trois recommandations pour améliorer la légitimité de ces politiques et trois questions ouvertes sur le futur politique de l'adaptation.

Occupational exposure of truck drivers to dust and polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons: a pilot study in Geneva, Switzerland.

The exposure to dust and polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) of 15 truck drivers from Geneva, Switzerland, was measured. The drivers were divided between "long-distance" drivers and "local" drivers and between smokers and nonsmokers and were compared with a control group of 6 office workers who were also divided into smokers and nonsmokers. Dust was measured on 1 workday both by a direct-reading instrument and by sampling. The local drivers showed higher exposure to dust (0.3 mg/m3) and PAH than the long-distance drivers (0.1 mg/m3), who showed no difference with the control group. This observation may be due to the fact that the local drivers spend more time in more polluted areas, such as streets with heavy traffic and construction sites, than do the long-distance drivers. Smoking does not influence exposure to dust and PAH of professional truck drivers, as measured in this study, probably because the ventilation rate of the truck cabins is relatively high even during cold days (11-15 r/h). The distribution of dust concentrations was shown in some cases to be quite different from the expected log-normal distribution. The contribution of diesel exhaust to these exposures could not be estimated since no specific tracer was used. However, the relatively low level of dust exposure dose not support the hypothesis that present day levels of diesel exhaust particulates play a significant role in the excess occurrence of lung cancer observed in professional truck drivers.

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Musculoskeletal disorders (MSD) are the most prevalent pain disorders in industrialized countries, and their costs can represent up to 2% of gross national product. MSD are often work associated and recurrent and may lead to disability. In occupational health we are interested in the opposite process : in the return to work (RTW). Different models of disability and RTW exist with different conceptions of psychosocial factors. We therefore propose to analyze the influence of factors from work, patient, health care providers, and broader societal domains along the different phases of the MSD process, adopting a biopsychosocial approach. The analysis of risk factors for the different phases of MSD indicate that work stress factors have an impact on the occurrence of MSD and RTW with MSD, but their effect is low to moderate and nonspecific. Physical work demands, work place adaptation, and pain experience are much stronger predictors of RTW. Lack of modified or adapted work is one of the major factors that hinder RTW. The longer the pain lasts, the longer the patient is out of work, the more personal factors and broader context factors become dominant. There is a clear lack of RTW studies concerning neck and upper limb pain. MSD and especially chronic MSD should be viewed as public health concerns, implying a wider socio-economic and insurance and disability problem. Adequate medical support tailored to the different dimensions and phases of MSD must be on offer, and work accommodations must be promoted and supported.

Solid phase microextraction as a short-term sampling technique for BTEX occupational exposure

Solid phase microextraction (SPME) has been widely used for many years in various applications, such as environmental and water samples, food and fragrance analysis, or biological fluids. The aim of this study was to suggest the SPME method as an alternative to conventional techniques used in the evaluation of worker exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene (BTEX). Polymethylsiloxane-carboxen (PDMS/CAR) showed as the most effective stationary phase material for sorbing BTEX among other materials (polyacrylate, PDMS, PDMS/divinylbenzene, Carbowax/divinylbenzene). Various experimental conditions were studied to apply SPME to BTEX quantitation in field situations. The uptake rate of the selected fiber (75 microm PDMS/CAR) was determined for each analyte at various concentrations, relative humidities, and airflow velocities from static (calm air) to dynamic (> 200 cm/s) conditions. The SPME method also was compared with the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health method 1501. Unlike the latter, the SPME approach fulfills the new requirement for the threshold limit value-short term exposure limit (TLV-STEL) of 2.5 ppm for benzene (8 mg/m(3))