Incidence and mortality from non-Hodgkin lymphoma in Europe: the end of an epidemic?

Non-Hodgkin lymphomas (NHL) are among the few neoplasms whose incidence and mortality have been rising in Europe and North America over the last few decades. To update trends from NHL, we considered mortality data up to 2004 in several European countries, and for comparative purpose in the USA and Japan. We also analyzed patterns in incidence for selected European countries providing national data. In most European countries, NHL mortality rose up to the mid 1990s, and started to level off or decline in the following decade. The rates were, however, still increasing in eastern Europe. Overall, in the European Union, mortality from NHL declined from 4.3/100,000 to 4.1 in men and from 2.7 to 2.5 in women between the late 1990s and the early 2000s. Similarly, NHL mortality rates declined from 6.5/100,000 to 5.5 in US men and from 4.2 to 3.5 in US women. In most countries considered, NHL incidence rates rose up to 1995-99, while they tended to level off or decline thereafter, with particular favorable patterns in countries from northern Europe. Thus, the epidemic of NHL observed during the second half of the 20th century has now started to level off in Europe as in other developed areas of the world.

Inferring epidemic contact structure from phylogenetic trees.

Contact structure is believed to have a large impact on epidemic spreading and consequently using networks to model such contact structure continues to gain interest in epidemiology. However, detailed knowledge of the exact contact structure underlying real epidemics is limited. Here we address the question whether the structure of the contact network leaves a detectable genetic fingerprint in the pathogen population. To this end we compare phylogenies generated by disease outbreaks in simulated populations with different types of contact networks. We find that the shape of these phylogenies strongly depends on contact structure. In particular, measures of tree imbalance allow us to quantify to what extent the contact structure underlying an epidemic deviates from a null model contact network and illustrate this in the case of random mixing. Using a phylogeny from the Swiss HIV epidemic, we show that this epidemic has a significantly more unbalanced tree than would be expected from random mixing.

Contrôle d'une épidémie d'entérocoques résistant à la vancomycine dans plusieurs hôpitaux de Suisse romande [Control of an outbreak of vancomycin-resistant enterococci in several hospitals of western Switzerland].

An outbreak of vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) occurred in 2011 in several hospitals of western Switzerland. Given that VRE can spread rapidly within hospitals and due to the potential transfer of resistance genes to other nosocomial pathogens like MRSA, stringent control measures were implemented. Excellent coordination of control measures between partner healthcare settings was successful in stopping the outbreak.

La place des registres dans la surveillance des maladies transmissibles. [The role of registries in the surveillance of transmissible diseases].

Registries are among the oldest methods used in public health for epidemiological surveillance and decision making in the area of communicable diseases. Although other sources of data are now available in many developed countries, registries still provide important information. This article reviews the main aims and characteristics of modern registries, providing several examples of current epidemiological problems. Practical advantages and disadvantages of registries are also discussed, as well as some developmental perspectives in this area.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus: phylogenetic relatedness between European epidemic clones and Swiss sporadic strains.

We have compared the phylogenetic diversity of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) strains from Switzerland and their phylogenetic relationships with European epidemic clones, using multiprimer random amplification polymorphic DNA (RAPD). Strains included 24 European epidemic clones (59 strains), 66 sporadic strains isolated in Switzerland in 1996-1997, and 15 reference strains of five other Staphylococcus species. Similarity and clustering analysis with the Jaccard's coefficient showed that the maximum genetic distance between MRSA strains was 0.43, whereas the minimum genetic distance between the six Staphylococcus species was 0.97, indicating that the method permits phylogenetic hierarchization. The 24 MRSA clones reported to be epidemic in European countries during the 1990s were distributed into seven different genetic clusters with a maximum distance of 0.29 among them. This clustering pattern was confirmed by the analysis of a subset of MRSA strains by multilocus enzyme electrophoresis at 12 loci. Most of the sporadic Swiss strains were distributed into these seven different genetic clusters, together with the epidemic MRSA clones. This suggests that there is no phylogenetic cluster specific to epidemic clones of MRSA.

Sterblichkeit während Grippeepidemien in der Schweiz 1969-1985. [Mortality in influenza epidemics in Switzerland 1969-1985].

In Switzerland from 1969-1985, 9 out of 11 influenza epidemics were associated with a statistically significant increase in mortality. A total of 12,202 excess deaths from all causes was identified. Expected deaths were forecast for each epidemic period separately for 4 age groups using Fourier and Arima modeling. 75.7% of all-cause excess deaths occurred in age group 70 to 89 and 5.1% in age group 1-59. In the 70-89 years old group the excess mortality risk during influenza epidemics was 271.6 per 100,000, whereas in age group 1-59 it was only 1.7 per 100,000. Only 40% of all excess deaths had been ascribed to acute respiratory conditions. Influenza viruses A H3N2 were the most frequently identified agents. In some instances mortality increased before the morbidity reports of the Swiss practitioners indicated the occurrence of an epidemic. Also, morbidity reporting decreased over successive years. A decrease in mortality following the epidemics was not observed. A more complete vaccination of high risk patients in Switzerland is desirable.