Learning about Bayesian networks for forensic interpretation : An example based on the "the problem of multiple propositions"

Both, Bayesian networks and probabilistic evaluation are gaining more and more widespread use within many professional branches, including forensic science. Notwithstanding, they constitute subtle topics with definitional details that require careful study. While many sophisticated developments of probabilistic approaches to evaluation of forensic findings may readily be found in published literature, there remains a gap with respect to writings that focus on foundational aspects and on how these may be acquired by interested scientists new to these topics. This paper takes this as a starting point to report on the learning about Bayesian networks for likelihood ratio based, probabilistic inference procedures in a class of master students in forensic science. The presentation uses an example that relies on a casework scenario drawn from published literature, involving a questioned signature. A complicating aspect of that case study - proposed to students in a teaching scenario - is due to the need of considering multiple competing propositions, which is an outset that may not readily be approached within a likelihood ratio based framework without drawing attention to some additional technical details. Using generic Bayesian networks fragments from existing literature on the topic, course participants were able to track the probabilistic underpinnings of the proposed scenario correctly both in terms of likelihood ratios and of posterior probabilities. In addition, further study of the example by students allowed them to derive an alternative Bayesian network structure with a computational output that is equivalent to existing probabilistic solutions. This practical experience underlines the potential of Bayesian networks to support and clarify foundational principles of probabilistic procedures for forensic evaluation.

Caveolin expression changes in the neurovascular unit after juvenile traumatic brain injury: signs of blood-brain barrier healing?

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is one of the major causes of death and disability in pediatrics, and results in a complex cascade of events including the disruption of the blood-brain barrier (BBB). A controlled-cortical impact on post-natal 17 day-old rats induced BBB disruption by IgG extravasation from 1 to 3 days after injury and returned to normal at day 7. In parallel, we characterized the expression of three caveolin isoforms, cav-1, cav-2 and cav-3. While cav-1 and cav-2 are expressed on endothelial cells, both cav-1 and cav-3 were found to be present on reactive astrocytes, in vivo and in vitro. Following TBI, cav-1 expression was increased in blood vessels at 1 and 7 days in the perilesional cortex. An increase of vascular cav-2 expression was observed 7 days after TBI. In contrast, astrocytic cav-3 expression decreased 3 and 7 days after TBI. Activation of eNOS (via its phosphorylation) was detected 1 day after TBI and phospho-eNOS was detected both in association with blood vessels and with astrocytes. The molecular changes involving caveolins occurring in endothelial cells following juvenile-TBI might participate, independently of eNOS activation, to a mechanism of BBB repair while, they might subserve other undefined roles in astrocytes.

L'incontinence urinaire chez des personnes âgées hospitalisées en unité de gériatrie: est-ce vraiment une priorité pour les infirmières [Urinary incontinence in hospitalized geriatric patients : is it really a priority for nurses?].

INTRODUCTION: urinary incontinence (UI) is a phenomenon with high prevalence in hospitalized elderly patients, effecting up to 70% of patients requiring long term care. However, despite the discomfort it causes and its association with functional decline, it seems to be given insufficient attention by nurses in geriatric care. OBJECTIVES: to assess the prevalence of urinary incontinence in geriatric patients at admission and the level of nurse involvement as characterized by the explicit documentation of UI diagnosis in the patient's record, prescription of nursing intervention, or nursing actions related to UI. METHODS: cross-sectional retrospective chart review. One hundred cases were randomly selected from those patients 65 years or older admitted to the geriatric ward of a university hospital. The variables examined included: total and continence scores on the Measure of Functional Independence (MIF), socio-demographic variables, presence of a nursing diagnosis in the medical record, prescription of or documentation of a nursing intervention related to UI. RESULTS: the prevalence of urinary incontinence was 72 % and UI was positively correlated with a low MIF score, age and status of awaiting placement. Of the examined cases, nursing diagnosis of UI was only documented in 1.4 % of cases, nursing interventions were prescribed in 54 % of cases, and at least one nursing intervention was performed in 72 % of cases. The vast majority of the interventions were palliative. DISCUSSION: the results on the prevalence of IU are similar to those reported in several other studies. This is also the case in relation to nursing interventions. In this study, people with UI were given the same care regardless of their MIF score MIF, age or gender. One limitation of this study is that it is retrospective and therefore dependent on the quality of the nursing documentation. CONCLUSIONS: this study is novel because it examines UI in relation to nursing interventions. It demonstrates that despite a high prevalence of UI, the general level of concern for nurses remains relatively low. Individualized care is desirable and clinical innovations must be developed for primary and secondary prevention of UI during hospitalization.

Post-traumatic overload or acute syndrome of the os trigonum: a possible cause of posterior ankle impingement.

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the post-traumatic overload syndrome of the os trigonum as a possible cause of posterior ankle impingement and hindfoot pain. We have reviewed 19 athletes who were referred to our foot unit between 1995 and 2001 because of posterior ankle pain, and in whom a post-traumatic overload syndrome of os trigonum was diagnosed. All these patients were followed up over a period of 2 years. In 11 cases a chronic repetitive movements in forced plantar flexion was found. In the other eight cases the pain appeared to persist after a standard treatment of an ankle sprain in inversion plantar flexion. The diagnosis was based on clinical history, physical examination and X-rays that revealed a non-fused os trigonum. The confirmation of diagnosis was carried-out injecting local anaesthetic under fluoroscopic control. In all cases a corticosteroid injection as first line treatment was performed. In 6 cases a second injection was necessary to alleviate pain because incomplete recovery with the first injection. Three cases (16%) were recalcitrant to this treatment and in these three cases a surgical excision of the os trigonum was carried out. Our conclusion is that after some chronic athletic activity or an acute ankle sprain the os trigonum, if present, may undergo mechanical overload, remain undisrupted and become painful. Treatment by corticosteroid injection often resolves the problem.

Réactualisation de la douzième conférence de consensus de la Société de réanimation de langue française (SRLF) : infections liées aux cathéters veineux centraux en réanimation [Updating of the 12th consensus conference of the Société de Réanimation de langue française (SRLF) : catheter related infections in Intensive Care unit]

Concerning catheter-related infections, many studies have been conducted until the last consensus conference of the Sociétéde réanimation de langue française (SRLF) in 1994. This text is the synthesis of the considerable amount of work performed by the experts of the society to review recent studies. The experts' texts as well as extensive bibliography are available at http://www.srlf.org.

Sources d'exposition aux phtalates dans une unité de soins néonatals [Phthalate exposure in the neonatal intensive care unit].

There are growing concerns on long-term health consequences, notably on fertility rates, of plasticizers such as phthalates. While di(2-ethylhexyl)phthalate (DEHP) is currently used in several medical devices, newborns in the neonatal intensive care unit are both more exposed and more vulnerable to DEHP. The objectives of this study were to identify, count, and describe possible sources of DEHP in a neonatal care unit. Our method consisted in the listing and the inspection of the information on packaging, complemented by contact with manufacturers when necessary. According to the results, 6% of all products and 10% of plastic products contained some DEHP; 71% of these involved respiratory support devices. A vast majority of the items showed no information on the content of DEHP. Further research is needed, particularly to determine the effects of such an early exposure and to study and develop safer alternatives.

Pharmacogenetic Study on Antidementia Drugs

Differences in efficacy and safety of drugs among patients are a recognized problem in pharmacotherapy. The reasons are multifactorial and, therefore, the choice of a drug and its dosage for a particular patient based on different clinical and genetic factors is suggested to improve the clinical outcome. Four drugs are currently used for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease: three acetylcholinesterase inhibitors (donepezil, galantamine, rivastigmine) and the N-methyl-D-aspartate-antagonist memantine. For these drugs, a high interindividual variability in plasma levels was observed, which might influence the response to treatment. The main objective of this thesis was to provide a better understanding of clinical and genetic factors affecting the plasma levels of antidementia drugs. Furthermore, the relationship between plasma levels, genetic variations and side effects was assessed. For this purpose, a pharmacogenetic study was conducted including 300 patients from a naturalistic clinical setting. Analytical methods for the simultaneous measurement of antidementia drugs in plasma have been developed and validated using liquid chromatography methods coupled with mass spectrometry detection. Presently, these methods are used in the therapeutic drug monitoring service of our laboratory. The routine use of therapeutic drug monitoring for antidementia drugs cannot yet be recommended with the available data, but it may be beneficial for some patients in special clinical cases such as insufficient treatment response, side effects or drug interactions. Donepezil and galantamine are extensively metabolized by the liver enzymes cytochromes P450 (CYP) 2D6 and 3A and are substrates of the drug transporter P-glycoprotein. The relationship of variations in genes affecting the activity of these metabolic enzymes and drug transporter (CYP2D6, CYP3A, POR, NR1I2, ABCB1) with donepezil and galantamine plasma levels was investigated. The CYP2D6 genotype appeared to be the major genetic factor involved in the pharmacokinetics of these two drugs. Thus, CYP2D6 poor metabolizers demonstrated significantly higher drug plasma levels than extensive metabolizers. Additionally, in the donepezil study population, the frequency of side effects was significantly increased in poor metabolizers. Lower donepezil plasma levels were observed in ultra rapid metabolizers, which might expose those patients to the risk of non-response. Memantine is mainly eliminated unchanged by the kidney, with implication of tubular secretion by renal transporters. A population pharmacokinetic model was developed to quantify the effects of clinical factors and genetic variations in renal cation transporters (SLC22A1/2/5, SLC47A1, ABCB1), and nuclear receptors (NR1I2, NR1I3, PPARG) involved in transporter expression, on memantine plasma levels. In addition to the renal function and gender, a genetic variation in the nuclear receptor Pregnane-X-Receptor (NR1I2) significantly affected memantine elimination. These findings suggest that an individualized therapy approach for antidementia drugs, taking into account clinical characteristics and genetic background of a patient, might increase efficacy and safety of the treatment. - Les différences interindividuelles dans l'efficacité et la tolérance des médicaments sont un problème connu en pharmacothérapie. Les raisons sont multiples, et le choix du médicament et de la dose, basé sur des facteurs cliniques et génétiques spécifiques au patient, peut contribuer à améliorer la réponse clinique. Quatre médicaments sont couramment utilisés dans le traitement de la maladie d'Alzheimer : trois inhibiteurs de l'acétylcholinestérase (donépézil, galantamine, rivastigmine) et un antagoniste du récepteur N-méthyl-D-aspartate, la mémantine. Une forte variabilité interindividuelle dans les taux plasmatiques de ces quatre composés a été observée, ce qui pourrait influencer la réponse au traitement. L'objectif principal de ce travail de thèse est de mieux comprendre les facteurs cliniques et génétiques influençant les taux des médicaments pro-cognitifs. En outre, des associations entre les taux, la variabilité génétique et les effets secondaires ont été recherchées. Dans ce but, 300 patients sous traitement avec un médicament pro-cognitif ont été recrutés pour une étude pharmacogénétique. Des méthodes de dosage simultané de médicaments pro-cognitifs par chromatographie liquide couplée à la spectrométrie de masse ont été développées et validées. Ces méthodes sont actuellement utilisées dans le service de suivi thérapeutique de notre unité. Malgré le fait qu'un suivi des taux sanguins des pro-cognitifs ne puisse pas encore être recommandé en routine, un dosage peut être utile dans des cas cliniques spécifiques, comme une réponse insuffisante, une intolérance ou une interaction médicamenteuse. Le donépézil et la galantamine sont fortement métabolisés par les cytochromes P450 (CYP) 2D6 et 3A, et sont également substrats du transporteur P-glycoprotéine. Les associations entre les polymorphismes génétiques de ces enzymes, cofacteur, récepteur nucléaire et transporteur (CYP2D6, CYP3A, POR, NR1I2, ABCB1) et les taux de donépézil et de galantamine ont été étudiées. Le génotype du CYP2D6 a été montré comme le facteur génétique majeur impliqué dans la pharmacocinétique de ces deux médicaments. Ainsi, les métaboliseurs déficients du CYP2D6 ont démontré des taux plasmatiques significativement plus élevés comparé aux bons métaboliseurs. De plus, dans la population traitée avec le donépézil, la fréquence des effets secondaires était plus élevée chez les métaboliseurs déficients. Des taux plasmatiques bas ont été mesurés chez les métaboliseurs ultra-rapides traités avec le donépézil, ce qui pourrait être un facteur de risque à une non-réponse au traitement. La mémantine est principalement éliminée sous forme inchangée par les reins, et partiellement par sécrétion tubulaire grâce à des transporteurs rénaux. Un modèle de cinétique de population a été développé pour quantifier les effets des différents facteurs cliniques et de la variabilité génétique des transporteurs rénaux (SLC22A1/2/5, SLC47A1, ABCB1) et des récepteurs nucléaires (NR1I2, NR1I3, PPARG, impliqués dans l'expression des transporteurs) sur les taux plasmatiques de mémantine. En plus de la fonction rénale et du genre, une variation génétique dans le récepteur nucléaire Pregnane-X-Receptor (NR1I2) a montré une influence significative sur l'élimination de la mémantine. Ces résultats suggèrent qu'une approche thérapeutique individualisée, prenant en compte des facteurs cliniques et génétiques du patient, pourrait améliorer l'efficacité et la sécurité du traitement pro-cognitif.

Inhibition of Notch Pathway Enhances Photoreceptor Commitment From Cultured Retinal Stem Cells

Purpose: Consequently to the principle that photoreceptors have to be at a very precise development stage to be successfully transplanted (MacLaren 2006), we are trying to mimic this development stage in vitro using retinal stem cells. The latter one isolated from the newborn mouse retina, derived from the radial glia population, which were previously isolated and characterized in our laboratory. We developed a protocol to commit these cells to the photoreceptor fate, but even if the percentage of cells expressing photoreceptor markers is high (30%), the differentiation process is incomplete so far (Merhi-Soussi 2006). Methods: In order to ameliorate photoreceptor differentiation, we hypothesized that the Notch pathway may interfere with this process by either promoting glia commitment, or maintaining an undifferentiated state. We are thus using a gamma-secretase inhibitor (DAPT), which inhibits Notch receptor cleavage and thus Notch activation. DAPT was used either during the whole differentiation stimulation, or only during a restricted period in two various retinal stem cell lines (RSC AA and RSC MP1). Results: RT-PCR performed during cell proliferation, showed the same positive expression in both cell lines for the following genes: Math3, Six3, Hes1, NeuroD, Pax6 and Notch1. Additionally, Mash1, Hes5, Prox1, Crx and Otx2 were detected in both cell lines but with a stronger expression in RSC MP1. Opposite results were obtained for Chx10. Nrl, Peripherin/RDS, GFAP and Math5 were detected neither in RSC AA, nor in RSC MP1. The constant presence of DAPT i) leads to a 233% (RSC AA) or 900% (RSC MP1) increase in peripherin/RDS-positive (photoreceptor marker) cells, compared to controls (no DAPT, n=3, P<0.02) along with a 68% (RSC AA) or 80% (RSC MP1) decrease in GFAP- positive cells (n=3, P<0.04), ii) modifies the ratio between uni-/bi- (23%) and multi- (77%) polar peripherin/RDS-positive cells to 45% and 55%, respectively, for both cell lines and iii) reduces by 50% the total cell number during the whole differentiation process for both cell lines. Conclusions: We are now exploring whether this reduction in total cell number is due to inhibition of cell proliferation or to cell death and whether photoreceptor differentiation is promoted instead of glial induction. We also want to confirm the results obtained with DAPT with RSCs isolated from Notch1-loxP mice. Such protocol may help to better mimic photoreceptor development, but this needs to be confirmed by genomic and proteomic profile analyses.