Implementing statistical learning methods through Bayesian networks. Part 1: a guide to Bayesian parameter estimation using forensic science data

As a thorough aggregation of probability and graph theory, Bayesian networks currently enjoy widespread interest as a means for studying factors that affect the coherent evaluation of scientific evidence in forensic science. Paper I of this series of papers intends to contribute to the discussion of Bayesian networks as a framework that is helpful for both illustrating and implementing statistical procedures that are commonly employed for the study of uncertainties (e.g. the estimation of unknown quantities). While the respective statistical procedures are widely described in literature, the primary aim of this paper is to offer an essentially non-technical introduction on how interested readers may use these analytical approaches - with the help of Bayesian networks - for processing their own forensic science data. Attention is mainly drawn to the structure and underlying rationale of a series of basic and context-independent network fragments that users may incorporate as building blocs while constructing larger inference models. As an example of how this may be done, the proposed concepts will be used in a second paper (Part II) for specifying graphical probability networks whose purpose is to assist forensic scientists in the evaluation of scientific evidence encountered in the context of forensic document examination (i.e. results of the analysis of black toners present on printed or copied documents).

Molecular crime and cellular punishment: active detoxification of misfolded and aggregated proteins in the cell by the chaperone and protease networks.

Labile or mutation-sensitised proteins may spontaneously convert into aggregation-prone conformations that may be toxic and infectious. This hazardous behavior, which can be described as a form of "molecular criminality", can be actively counteracted in the cell by a network of molecular chaperone and proteases. Similar to law enforcement agents, molecular chaperones and proteases can specifically identify, apprehend, unfold and thus neutralize "criminal" protein conformers, allowing them to subsequently refold into harmless functional proteins. Irreversibly damaged polypeptides that have lost the ability to natively refold are preferentially degraded by highly controlled ATP-consuming proteases. Damaged proteins that escape proteasomal degradation can also be "incarcerated" into dense amyloids, "evicted" from the cell, or internally "exiled" to the lysosome to be hydrolysed and recycled. Thus, remarkable parallels exist between molecular and human forms of criminality, as well as in the cellular and social responses to various forms of crime. Yet, differences also exist: whereas programmed death is the preferred solution chosen by aged and aggregation-stressed cells, collective suicide is seldom chosen by lawless societies. Significantly, there is no cellular equivalent for the role of familial care and of education in general, which is so crucial to the proper shaping of functional persons in the society. Unlike in the cell, humanism introduces a bias against radical solutions such as capital punishment, favouring crime prevention, reeducation and social reinsertion of criminals.

Stochastic models and numerical algorithms for a class of regulatory gene networks.

Regulatory gene networks contain generic modules, like those involving feedback loops, which are essential for the regulation of many biological functions (Guido et al. in Nature 439:856-860, 2006). We consider a class of self-regulated genes which are the building blocks of many regulatory gene networks, and study the steady-state distribution of the associated Gillespie algorithm by providing efficient numerical algorithms. We also study a regulatory gene network of interest in gene therapy, using mean-field models with time delays. Convergence of the related time-nonhomogeneous Markov chain is established for a class of linear catalytic networks with feedback loops.

Regional deterministic characterization of fracture networks and its application to GIS-based rock fall risk assessment

The study investigates the possibility to incorporate fracture intensity and block geometry as spatially continuous parameters in GIS-based systems. For this purpose, a deterministic method has been implemented to estimate block size (Bloc3D) and joint frequency (COLTOP). In addition to measuring the block size, the Bloc3D Method provides a 3D representation of the shape of individual blocks. These two methods were applied using field measurements (joint set orientation and spacing) performed over a large field area, in the Swiss Alps. This area is characterized by a complex geology, a number of different rock masses and varying degrees of metamorphism. The spatial variability of the parameters was evaluated with regard to lithology and major faults. A model incorporating these measurements and observations into a GIS system to assess the risk associated with rock falls is proposed. The analysis concludes with a discussion on the feasibility of such an application in regularly and irregularly jointed rock masses, with persistent and impersistent discontinuities.

18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT findings in pleural effusions of patients with known cancer. A cytopathological correlation.

Aim: Pleural effusion is common in cancer patients and to determine its malignant origin is of huge clinical significance. PET/CT with 18F-FDG is of diagnostic value in staging and follow-up, but its ability to differentiate between malignant and benign effusions is not precisely known. Patients, methods: We examined 50 PET/CT from 47 patients (29 men, 18 women, 60±16 years) with pleural effusion and known cancer (24 NSCLC, 7 lymphomas, 5 breasts, 4 GIST, 3 mesotheliomas, 2 head and neck, 2 malignant teratoma, 1 colorectal, 1 oesophageal, 1 melanoma) for FDG uptake in the effusions using SUVmax. This was correlated to cytopathology performed after a median of 21 days (interquartile range -3 to 23), which included pH, relative distribution (macrophages, neutrophils, eosinophils, basophils, lymphocytes, plasmocytes), and absolute cell count. Results: Malignant cells were found in 17 effusions (34%) (6 NSCLC, 5 lymphomas, 2 breasts, 2 mesotheliomas, 2 malignant teratomas). SUV in malignant effusions were higher than in benign ones [3.7 (95%CI 1.8-5.6) vs. 1.7 g/ml (1.5-1.9), p = 0.001], with a correlation between malignant effusion and SUV (Spearman coefficient r = 0.50, p = 0.001), but not with other cytopathological or radiological parameters (ROC area 0.83±0.06). Using a 2.2-mg/l SUV threshold, 12 PET/CT studies were positive and 38 negative with sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of 53%, 91%, 75% and 79%, respectively. For NSCLC only (n = 24), ROC area was 0.95±0.04, 7 studies were positive and 17 negative with a sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of 83%, 89%, 71 and 94%, respectively. Conclusion: PET/CT may help to differentiate the malignant or benign origin of a pleural effusion with a high specificity in patients with known cancer, in particular NSCLC.

Correlation between microtensile bond strength data and clinical outcome of Class V restorations.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if the results of resin-dentin microtensile bond strength (µTBS) is correlated with the outcome parameters of clinical studies on non-retentive Class V restorations. METHODS: Resin-dentin µTBS data were obtained from one test center; the in vitro tests were all performed by the same operator. The µTBS testing was performed 8h after bonding and after 6 months of storing the specimens in water. Pre-test failures (PTFs) of specimens were included in the analysis, attributing them a value of 1MPa. Prospective clinical studies on cervical restorations (Class V) with an observation period of at least 18 months were searched in the literature. The clinical outcome variables were retention loss, marginal discoloration and marginal integrity. Furthermore, an index was formulated to be better able to compare the laboratory and clinical results. Estimates of adhesive effects in a linear mixed model were used to summarize the clinical performance of each adhesive between 12 and 36 months. Spearman correlations between these clinical performances and the µTBS values were calculated subsequently. RESULTS: Thirty-six clinical studies with 15 adhesive/restorative systems for which µTBS data were also available were included in the statistical analysis. In general 3-step and 2-step etch-and-rinse systems showed higher bond strength values than the 2-step/3-step self-etching systems, which, however, produced higher values than the 1-step self-etching and the resin modified glass ionomer systems. Prolonged water storage of specimens resulted in a significant decrease of the mean bond strength values in 5 adhesive systems (Wilcoxon, p<0.05). There was a significant correlation between µTBS values both after 8h and 6 months of storage and marginal discoloration (r=0.54 and r=0.67, respectively). However, the same correlation was not found between µTBS values and the retention rate, clinical index or marginal integrity. SIGNIFICANCE: As µTBS data of adhesive systems, especially after water storage for 6 months, showed a good correlation with marginal discoloration in short-term clinical Class V restorations, longitudinal clinical trials should explore whether early marginal staining is predictive for future retention loss in non-carious cervical restorations.

Correlation of photodynamic activity and fluorescence signaling for free and pegylated mTHPC in mesothelioma xenografts

Rapport de synthèse : Introduction : Les premières applications cliniques de la thérapie photodynamique (PDT) remontent à plus d'une vingtaine d'années. Basée sur l'activation d'un médicament photosensibilisateur par une source lumineuse à une longueur d'onde spécifique, la PDT permet la destruction sélective de tissus contenant le produit actif. Ce procédé a été expérimenté dans le traitement de cancers en raison de la propriété du médicament à se concentrer dans les tumeurs tout en épargnant les structures normales contigües. Cependant, les photosensibilisateurs utilisés jusqu'à ce jour n'ont pas démontré une accumulation exclusive dans les tissus néoplasiques mais également dans les structures saines avoisinantes induisant une destruction tissulaire non sélective. Notamment, d'importantes complications ont été rapportées suite à l'utilisation de la PDT dans la cavité thoracique après la résection de mésothéliomes pleuraux, et ce malgré l'arrivée de photosensibilisateurs de secondes générations. De ce fait, plusieurs études expérimentales ont été menées afin d'améliorer la sélectivité tumorale du médicament en modulant différentes conditions de traitement et en modifiant la structure du photosensibilisateur par pégylation. Le but de cette étude expérimentale est de corréler l'activité photodynamique, la phototoxicité et la distribution du m-tetrahydroxyphenylchlorin (mTHPC) et de sa forme pégylée, le PEG-mTHPC. De ce fait, un modèle de souris nues porteur de xenogreffes de mésothéliome humain a été utilisé pour étudier les deux photosensibilisateurs. De récents travaux avec ce modèle ont montré que la mesure de la concentration tissulaire du mTHPC et de sa forme pégylée par HPLC restait limitée afin de prédire l'activité photodynamique. De ce fait, nous pensons que les mesures de fluorescence peuvent être plus appropriée. Le signalement fluorescent est mesuré dans le tissu tumoral et dans une région contrôle de la peau afin d'étudier la distribution et l'intensité des deux sensibilisateurs. Méthode : Des souris nues (cd1nu/nu mice) de 8 semaines ont été transplantées avec des fragments de mésothéliome malin humain (H-meso-1). Ces derniers ont été obtenus à partir d'une suspension cellulaire. Au moins trois passages ont été faits dans les animaux, avant que le traitement soit initié. Deux groupes de 6 souris chacun ont été utilisés pour l'injection intraveineuse par la queue du mTHPC à 0.15 mg/kg et du PEG-mTHPC à dose équimolaire. Après trois jour, la tumeur ainsi qu'une région contrôle de la cuisse ont été illuminées sur une surface d'un diamètre de 1.2 cm et pendant 133 secondes avec un laser à une longueur d'onde à 652 nm (fluence 20 J/cm2, fluence rate 150 mW/cm2). Les animaux ont été ensuite sacrifiés 72 heures après l'illumination. L'étendue de la nécrose tumorale et de la région contrôle ont été déterminées en aveugle par histomorphometrie par un pathologue (HJA). La fluorescence microscopique a été évaluée dans 12 souris à une concentration de 0.15 et 0.5 mg/kg pour le mTHPC, et à doses équimolaires pour le PEG-mTHPC. Trois animaux ont été injectés avec le mTHPC à 0.15 mg/kg, 3 autres à dose équimolaire avec la forme pégylée et 6 souris avec le mTHPC à 0.5 mg/kg et à dose équimolaire. Les animaux ont été sacrifiés 72 heures après injection. L'intensité fluorescente des sensibilisateurs a été mesurée dans la tumeur et la région contrôle. Suite à cela, les coupes ont été fixées par H&E et superposées aux images fluorescentes, afin de localiser la distribution des deux photosensibilisateurs dans les différents compartiments tissulaires. Six souris transplantées n'ayant ni été injectées avec les sensibilisateurs ou illuminées ont servi de groupe contrôle. Résultats : Trois jours après l'illumination, la PDT provoque une nécrose tumorale de 10 ±5.4 mm2 pour le mTHPC à 0.15mg/kg et 5.2 ± 4.6 mm2 pour sa forme pégylée à dose équimolaire. Cependant, la nécrose tumorale induite par les deux formulations du sensibilisateur est significativement plus élevée que dans le groupe contrôle (0.33 ± 0.58 mm2) (P=0.02). Toutefois, le mTHPC pégylé provoque une photosensibilité cutanée moins importante que la forme non-pegylée. Dans les deux groupes, aucune nécrose n'a été observée dans la cuisse des animaux. Trois jours après l'injection du mTHPC et de la forme pégylée à 0.15 mg/kg, aucune activité fluorescente n'a été détectée. Cependant, à 0.5 mg/kg, la fluorescence microscopique révèle une distribution hétérogène des deux photo-sensibilisateurs dans le tissu tumoral avec une accumulation prédominante dans les régions peri-vasculaires. Les deux médicaments montrent une distribution intracellulaire homogène dans le cytoplasme et une absence de signalement dans le nucleus. La mesure de l'intensité fluorescente du mTHPC à 0.5mg/kg ne montre pas de différence significative entre le tissu tumoral et la région contrôle. Par contre, le PEG-mTHPC montre une intensité fluorescente supérieure dans le tissu tumoral que dans la peau (ratio tumeur- peau 0.94 pour le mTHPC et 1.73 pour le PEG-mTHPC). Conclusion : L'utilisation du mTHPC à 0.15mg/kg induit une nécrose tumorale similaire à celle du PEG-mTHPC à dose équimolaire. Cependant, ce dernier démontre une photo-toxicité plus atténuée de la peau. La fluorescence microscopique permet de localiser les deux sensibilisateurs dans les différents compartiments tissulaires à partir d'une dose de 0.5 mg/kg. Le PEG-mTHPC induit un signalement fluorescent supérieur dans le tissu tumoral par rapport à la peau. La mesure du signalement fluorescent a le potentiel de prédire l'activité photodynamique du mTHPC et de sa forme pégylée dans les xénogreffes de mésothéliome humain dans un modèle de souris nue.

Plastic modifications within inhibitory control networks induced by practicing a stop-signal task: an electrical neuroimaging study.

INTRODUCTION: Inhibitory control refers to our ability to suppress ongoing motor, affective or cognitive processes and mostly depends on a fronto-basal brain network. Inhibitory control deficits participate in the emergence of several prominent psychiatric conditions, including attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder or addiction. The rehabilitation of these pathologies might therefore benefit from training-based behavioral interventions aiming at improving inhibitory control proficiency and normalizing the underlying neurophysiological mechanisms. The development of an efficient inhibitory control training regimen first requires determining the effects of practicing inhibition tasks. METHODS: We addressed this question by contrasting behavioral performance and electrical neuroimaging analyses of event-related potentials (ERPs) recorded from humans at the beginning versus the end of 1 h of practice on a stop-signal task (SST) involving the withholding of responses when a stop signal was presented during a speeded auditory discrimination task. RESULTS: Practicing a short SST improved behavioral performance. Electrophysiologically, ERPs differed topographically at 200 msec post-stimulus onset, indicative of the engagement of distinct brain network with learning. Source estimations localized this effect within the inferior frontal gyrus, the pre-supplementary motor area and the basal ganglia. CONCLUSION: Our collective results indicate that behavioral and brain responses during an inhibitory control task are subject to fast plastic changes and provide evidence that high-order fronto-basal executive networks can be modified by practicing a SST.

Stimulus statistics shape oscillations in nonlinear recurrent neural networks.

Rhythmic activity plays a central role in neural computations and brain functions ranging from homeostasis to attention, as well as in neurological and neuropsychiatric disorders. Despite this pervasiveness, little is known about the mechanisms whereby the frequency and power of oscillatory activity are modulated, and how they reflect the inputs received by neurons. Numerous studies have reported input-dependent fluctuations in peak frequency and power (as well as couplings across these features). However, it remains unresolved what mediates these spectral shifts among neural populations. Extending previous findings regarding stochastic nonlinear systems and experimental observations, we provide analytical insights regarding oscillatory responses of neural populations to stimulation from either endogenous or exogenous origins. Using a deceptively simple yet sparse and randomly connected network of neurons, we show how spiking inputs can reliably modulate the peak frequency and power expressed by synchronous neural populations without any changes in circuitry. Our results reveal that a generic, non-nonlinear and input-induced mechanism can robustly mediate these spectral fluctuations, and thus provide a framework in which inputs to the neurons bidirectionally regulate both the frequency and power expressed by synchronous populations. Theoretical and computational analysis of the ensuing spectral fluctuations was found to reflect the underlying dynamics of the input stimuli driving the neurons. Our results provide insights regarding a generic mechanism supporting spectral transitions observed across cortical networks and spanning multiple frequency bands.

Graph theory reveals dysconnected hubs in 22q11DS and altered nodal efficiency in patients with hallucinations.

Schizophrenia is postulated to be the prototypical dysconnection disorder, in which hallucinations are the core symptom. Due to high heterogeneity in methodology across studies and the clinical phenotype, it remains unclear whether the structural brain dysconnection is global or focal and if clinical symptoms result from this dysconnection. In the present work, we attempt to clarify this issue by studying a population considered as a homogeneous genetic sub-type of schizophrenia, namely the 22q11.2 deletion syndrome (22q11.2DS). Cerebral MRIs were acquired for 46 patients and 48 age and gender matched controls (aged 6-26, respectively mean age = 15.20 ± 4.53 and 15.28 ± 4.35 years old). Using the Connectome mapper pipeline (connectomics.org) that combines structural and diffusion MRI, we created a whole brain network for each individual. Graph theory was used to quantify the global and local properties of the brain network organization for each participant. A global degree loss of 6% was found in patients' networks along with an increased Characteristic Path Length. After identifying and comparing hubs, a significant loss of degree in patients' hubs was found in 58% of the hubs. Based on Allen's brain network model for hallucinations, we explored the association between local efficiency and symptom severity. Negative correlations were found in the Broca's area (p < 0.004), the Wernicke area (p < 0.023) and a positive correlation was found in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) (p < 0.014). In line with the dysconnection findings in schizophrenia, our results provide preliminary evidence for a targeted alteration in the brain network hubs' organization in individuals with a genetic risk for schizophrenia. The study of specific disorganization in language, speech and thought regulation networks sharing similar network properties may help to understand their role in the hallucination mechanism.

The α1-adrenergic receptors: diversity of signaling networks and regulation.

The α(1)-adrenergic receptor (AR) subtypes (α(1a), α(1b), and α(1d)) mediate several physiological effects of epinephrine and norepinephrine. Despite several studies in recombinant systems and insight from genetically modified mice, our understanding of the physiological relevance and specificity of the α(1)-AR subtypes is still limited. Constitutive activity and receptor oligomerization have emerged as potential features regulating receptor function. Another recent paradigm is that β arrestins and G protein-coupled receptors themselves can act as scaffolds binding a variety of proteins and this can result in growing complexity of the receptor-mediated cellular effects. The aim of this review is to summarize our current knowledge on some recently identified functional paradigms and signaling networks that might help to elucidate the functional diversity of the α(1)-AR subtypes in various organs.