MIGCLIM: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate

Many studies have forecasted the possible impact of climate change on plant distribution using models based on ecological niche theory. In their basic implementation, niche-based models do not constrain predictions by dispersal limitations. Hence, most niche-based modelling studies published so far have assumed dispersal to be either unlimited or null. However, depending on the rate of climatic change, the landscape fragmentation and the dispersal capabilities of individual species, these assumptions are likely to prove inaccurate, leading to under- or overestimation of future species distributions and yielding large uncertainty between these two extremes. As a result, the concepts of "potentially suitable" and "potentially colonisable" habitat are expected to differ significantly. To quantify to what extent these two concepts can differ, we developed MIGCLIM, a model simulating plant dispersal under climate change and landscape fragmentation scenarios. MIGCLIM implements various parameters, such as dispersal distance, increase in reproductive potential over time, barriers to dispersal or long distance dispersal. Several simulations were run for two virtual species in a study area of the western Swiss Alps, by varying dispersal distance and other parameters. Each simulation covered the hundred-year period 2001-2100 and three different IPCC-based temperature warming scenarios were considered. Our results indicate that: (i) using realistic parameter values, the future potential distributions generated using MIGCLIM can differ significantly (up to more than 95% decrease in colonized surface) from those that ignore dispersal; (ii) this divergence increases both with increasing climate warming and over longer time periods; (iii) the uncertainty associated with the warming scenario can be nearly as large as the one related to dispersal parameters; (iv) accounting for dispersal, even roughly, can importantly reduce uncertainty in projections.

Tumor necrosis factor-alpha and alphaB-crystallin up-regulation during antibody-mediated demyelination in vitro: a putative protective mechanism in oligodendrocytes.

By using an in vitro model of antibody-mediated demyelination, we investigated the relationship between tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) and heat shock protein (HSP) induction with respect to oligodendrocyte survival. Differentiated aggregate cultures of rat telencephalon were subjected to demyelination by exposure to antibodies against myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein (MOG) and complement. Cultures were analyzed 48 hr after exposure. Myelin basic protein (MBP) expression was greatly decreased, but no evidence was found for either necrosis or apoptosis. TNF-alpha was significantly up-regulated. It was localized predominantly in neurons and to a lesser extent in astrocytes and oligodendrocytes, and it was not detectable in microglial cells. Among the different HSPs examined, HSP32 and alphaB-crystallin were up-regulated; they may confer protection from oxidative stress and from apoptotic death, respectively. These results suggest that TNF-alpha, often regarded as a promoter of oligodendroglial death, could alternatively mediate a protective pathway through alphaB-crystallin up-regulation.

Comparaison des réponses hémodynamiques d'un repas modérément salé et d'un repas riche en sel : une hypothèse pour expliquer l'hypertrophie ventriculaire gauche des régimes hypersodés

De nombreuses études cliniques ont révélé une corrélation étroite entre un régime alimentaire riche en sel et le développement d'une hypertrophie ventriculaire gauche. Cette association a été classiquement attribuée aux effets hypertensifs à long terme d'une alimentation riche en sel. Toutefois, les études épidémiologiques ont également démontré que l'hypertrophie ventriculaire gauche peut survenir indépendamment de changements de pression artérielle.¦L'ingestion de sel n'étant pas distribuée de manière homogène durant la journée mais ayant lieu principalement durant les repas, nous émettons l'hypothèse que chaque repas riche en sel induit une augmentation aiguë de la pression artérielle, des pressions de remplissage cardiaque, du volume d'éjection systolique et du débit cardiaque. L'augmentation résultante du travail cardiaque pourrait ainsi à la longue entraîner une hypertrophie cardiaque.¦Pour tester si un repas riche en sel conduit à des modifications hémodynamiques favorisant l'hypertrophie cardiaque, nous avons comparé chez la même personne jeune et en bonne santé la réponse hémodynamique à un repas modérément salé (45 mmol) à celle d'un repas riche en sel (165 mmol de sodium). Les repas ont été pris de manière randomisée à 7 jours d'intervalle. Divers paramètres hémodynamiques ont été mesurés en continu avant et jusqu'à 140 minutes après chaque repas. Nos résultats montrent que les augmentations post-prandiales du volume d'éjection systolique et du travail cardiaque ont été plus prononcées après un repas à haute teneur en sel par rapport à un repas modérément salé.¦Nous spéculons que des apports chroniques en sel induisent des charges hémodynamiques répétées. Etant donné que la concentration plasmatique de sodium, qui est augmentée après un repas salé, est également capable de stimuler la croissance des myocytes cardiaques, il est possible que la combinaison sur des mois ou des années de pics hypernatrémiques post-prandiaux et de charges cardiaques soit responsable de l'hypertrophie cardiaque souvent observée avec une alimentation riche en sel.¦-¦Many clinical studies have shown a close correlation between a chronic high salt diet and the development of left ventricular hypertrophy. This association has been classically attributed to the long-term hypertensive effects of a high salt diet. However, epidemiological studies have also shown that left ventricular hypertrophy may occur independently of changes in arterial pressure.¦Since salt ingestion during a high salt diet is not distributed evenly over a 24-hr period, but occurs essentially during meal periods, we speculate that each acute salt load could lead to greater acute increases in blood pressure, heart filling pressure, stroke volume and cardiac output, putting an additional work load on the heart, promoting in the long run cardiac hypertrophy.¦To test whether a high salt meal leads to hemodynamic changes that may favor cardiac hypertrophy, we compared in the same healthy young individual the response to a moderately salted meal (45 mmol) and to a high-salt meal (165 mmol sodium), given in a random order on separate days, on various cardiovascular parameters that were continuously monitored before and up to 140 minutes after the meal. Our results show that the post-prandial increases in stroke volume, and cardiac work were more pronounced after a high-salt meal than after a low-salt meal.¦We speculate that repetitive salt loads associated with a high salt diet may lead to repetitive hemodynamic loads. Since plasma sodium concentration, which is increased after a salty meal, is also capable to stimulate myocyte growth, it is possible that the combination of post-prandial hypernatremic peaks and of cardiac loads may be responsible, when repeated many times over period of months, of the cardiac hypertrophy often seen with a high salt diet.

Changes in leg-spring behavior during a 5000 m self-paced run in differently trained athletes

Summary Aims.-To explore whether fatigue-induced changes in spring-mass behavior during a 5000m self-paced run varied according to the runner's training status. Methods and results.-Six highly- and six well-trained triathletes completed a 5000m time trial. Running velocity and vertical stiffness decreased significantly (P < 0.05) with fatigue, whereas leg stiffness remained constant. None of these parameters displayed a significant interaction between fatigue and training status, despite vertical stiffness being higher (P < 0.05) in highly-trained triathletes. Conclusions.-During a 5000m self-paced run, impairments in leg-spring behavior that occur with fatigue are not affected by athletes' training status. © 2009 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved. Objectifs.-Étudier, chez des athlètes de niveaux différents, les modifications de raideur mécanique liées à l'apparition de la fatigue lors d'une course de 5000 m. Synthèse des faits.-Six triathlètes très entraînés et six autres bien entraînés ont réalisé une course de 5000 m. La vitesse de course et la raideur verticale diminuaient significativement (p < 0,05) avec la fatigue, alors que la raideur de la jambe demeurait inchangée. Aucune interaction entre la fatigue et le niveau d'entraînement n'a été détectée, malgré des niveaux de raideur verticale plus élevés (p < 0,05) chez les sujets les mieux entraînés.

Decreased Probability of Initial Pain Cessation in Classic Trigeminal Neuralgia Treated With Gamma Knife Surgery in Case of Previous Microvascular Decompression: A Prospective Series of 45 Patients With >1 Year of Follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Microvascular decompression (MVD) is the reference technique for pharmacoresistant trigeminal neuralgia (TN). OBJECTIVE: To establish whether the safety and efficacy of Gamma Knife surgery for recurrent TN are influenced by prior MVD. METHODS: Between July 1992 and November 2010, 54 of 737 patients (45 of 497 with >1 year of follow-up) had a history of MVD (approximately half also with previous ablative procedure) and were operated on with Gamma Knife surgery for TN in the Timone University Hospital. A single 4-mm isocenter was positioned in the cisternal portion of the trigeminal nerve at a median distance of 7.6 mm (range, 3.9-11.9 mm) anterior to the emergence of the nerve. A median maximum dose of 85 Gy (range, 70-90 Gy) was delivered. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 39.5 months (range, 14.1-144.6 months). Thirty-five patients (77.8%) were initially pain free in a median time of 14 days (range, 0-180 days), much lower compared with our global population of classic TN (P = .01). Their actuarial probabilities of remaining pain-free without medication at 3, 5, 7, and 10 years were 66.5%, 59.1%, 59.1%, and 44.3%. The hypoesthesia actuarial rate at 1 year was 9.1% and remained stable until 12 years (median, 8 months). CONCLUSION: Patients with previous MVD showed a significantly lower probability of initial pain cessation compared with our global population with classic TN (P = .01). The toxicity was low (only 9.1% hypoesthesia); furthermore, no patient reported bothersome hypoesthesia. However, the probability of maintaining pain relief without medication was 44.3% at 10 years, similar to our global series of classic TN (P = .85). ABBREVIATIONS: BNI, Barrow Neurological InstituteCI, confidence intervalCTN, classic trigeminal neuralgiaGKS, Gamma Knife surgeryHR, hazard ratioMVD, microvascular decompressionTN, trigeminal neuralgia.

Effect of different warm-up strategies on simulated laparoscopy performance: a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this trial was to assess which type of warm-up has the highest effect on virtual reality (VR) laparoscopy performance. The following warm-up strategies were applied: a hands-on exercise (group 1), a cognitive exercise (group 2), and no warm-up (control, group 3). DESIGN: This is a 3-arm randomized controlled trial. SETTING: The trial was conducted at the department of surgery of the University Hospital Basel in Switzerland. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 94 participants, all laypersons without any surgical or VR experience, completed the study. RESULTS: A total of 96 participants were randomized, 31 to group 1, 31 to group 2, and 32 to group 3. There were 2 postrandomization exclusions. In the multivariate analysis, we found no evidence that the intervention had an effect on VR performance as represented by 6 calculated subscores of accuracy, time, and path length for (1) camera manipulation and (2) hand-eye coordination combined with 2-handed maneuvers (p = 0.795). Neither the comparison of the average of the intervention groups (groups 1 and 2) vs control (group 3) nor the pairwise comparisons revealed any significant differences in VR performance, neither multivariate nor univariate. VR performance improved with increasing performance score in the cognitive exercise warm-up (iPad 3D puzzle) for accuracy, time, and path length in the camera navigation task. CONCLUSIONS: We were unable to show an effect of the 2 tested warm-up strategies on VR performance in laypersons. We are currently designing a follow-up study including surgeons rather than laypersons with a longer warm-up exercise, which is more closely related to the final task.

Bilateral extraperitoneal uterosacral vaginal vault suspension: a 2-year follow-up longitudinal case series of 123 patients.

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: The objective of this study is to assess anatomical and functional results of the extraperitoneal uterosacral ligament suspension (USL) in women with post-hysterectomy vaginal vault prolapse. METHODS: One hundred and twenty-three consecutive women were included. Concurrent procedures were anterior colporraphy with fascial repair (20%) and mesh reinforcement (49%), posterior colporraphy with fascial repair (38%) and mesh reinforcement (56%) and a sling procedure (29%). Women were assessed using Baden and Walker and pelvic organ prolapse quantification classification pre- and post-operatively. RESULTS: One hundred and ten patients (89%) were available for follow-up. Mean follow-up was 2 years. Objective success rate regarding the vaginal cuff is 95.4%. Global anatomical success rate was 85.5%. Urinary, coital and bowel symptoms were improved following surgery. Mesh exposure rate was 19.3%, with all cases managed conservatively or with minor interventions. CONCLUSION: Bilateral extraperitoneal USL is an effective operation to restore apical support with low morbidity, which avoids potential risks associated with opening the peritoneal cavity.

Evolution of glucose induced thermogenesis in obese subjects with and without diabetes: a six-year follow-up study.

The thermogenic response to a 100 g oral glucose load was measured prospectively (by indirect calorimetry) in three groups of obese subjects: (1) normal glucose tolerance (n = 12, initial weight 86.4 +/- 3.9 kg, BMI 30.4 +/- 1.1 kg/m2; (2) impaired glucose tolerance (n = 8, initial weight 105.3 +/- 7.6 kg, body mass index (BMI) 37.6 +/- 2.9 kg/m2; (3) diabetes (n = 12), initial weight 102.1 +/- 5.3 kg, BMI 36.2 +/- 2.0 kg/m2). The thermogenic response to glucose averaged 6.8 +/- 1.1 and 7.0 +/- 1.0 per cent, in the two non-diabetic obese groups respectively, and was significantly lower in the obese diabetic group (3.1 +/- 0.8 per cent). With the evolution of obesity (i.e. 6 years later), the glucose-induced thermogenesis (GIT) was significantly reduced in the non-diabetic groups (P less than 0.05) to 4.1 +/- 0.8 and 3.0 +/- 1.1 per cent respectively, and was still blunted in the diabetic group (2.1 +/- 0.7 per cent). The decrease in GIT was accompanied by a reduction in glucose tolerance and insulin response with no change in fasting plasma insulin. These effects were observed despite the fact that the body weight of the subject did not change significantly over the 6-year period. It is concluded that the decrease in GIT which accompanies the worsening of glucose tolerance and the occurrence of diabetes is a mechanism which may contribute to maintain the obesity state by a reduction of energy expenditure.

Follow-up of optic pathway gliomas in children with neurofibromatosis type 1.

Optic pathway gliomas (OPG) are found in about 15% of patients with neurofibromatosis Type 1 (NF-1). The natural history of OPG is not yet well documented. Treatment in cases with growing tumors is still controversial. Twenty-one patients with NF-1 and OPG, diagnosed over a 20-year period, and followed neuroradiologically and ophthalmologically for at least two years, were reevaluated. The diagnosis of OPG was made at a mean age of 7.1 years (range 0-14.5 years); six children were asymptomatic, 15 were symptomatic. The mean follow-up was 9.0 years (2.0-18.5 (years). In eight initially operated or biopsied patients (three optic nerve and five chiasmal gliomas) tumor regrowth was found in one patient without progression on subsequent follow-up. Improvement of visual acuity occurred in one child after operation of a large suprasellar tumor and deterioration in one patient after biopsy of a chiasmal glioma. The neuroradiological follow-up of the 13 not-operated and not-radiated patients (four optic nerve and nine chiasmal gliomas) was stable in 10, progressive in three, resulting in visual loss in one patient. In 11 children (52%) a second tumor outside the optic pathway was found at a mean age of 4.0 years after the diagnosis of an OPG. Until now they are mostly asymptomatic. Second site tumors were operated in two children because of rapid tumor growth, one child died of a brainstem tumor. OPG are a frequent complication in children with NF-1, appearing within the first decade.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Interpretation of plasma amino acids in the follow-up of patients: the impact of compartmentation

Results of plasma or urinary amino acids are used for suspicion, confirmation or exclusion of diagnosis, monitoring of treatment, prevention and prognosis in inborn errors of amino acid metabolism. The concentrations in plasma or whole blood do not necessarily reflect the relevant metabolite concentrations in organs such as the brain or in cell compartments; this is especially the case in disorders that are not solely expressed in liver and/or in those which also affect nonessential amino acids. Basic biochemical knowledge has added much to the understanding of zonation and compartmentation of expressed proteins and metabolites in organs, cells and cell organelles. In this paper, selected old and new biochemical findings in PKU, urea cycle disorders and nonketotic hyperglycinaemia are reviewed; the aim is to show that integrating the knowledge gained in the last decades on enzymes and transporters related to amino acid metabolism allows a more extensive interpretation of biochemical results obtained for diagnosis and follow-up of patients and may help to pose new questions and to avoid pitfalls. The analysis and interpretation of amino acid measurements in physiological fluids should not be restricted to a few amino acids but should encompass the whole quantitative profile and include other pathophysiological markers. This is important if the patient appears not to respond as expected to treatment and is needed when investigating new therapies. We suggest that amino acid imbalance in the relevant compartments caused by over-zealous or protocol-driven treatment that is not adjusted to the individual patient's needs may prolong catabolism and must be corrected