A priori parameterisation of the CERES soil-crop models and tests against several European data sets

Mechanistic soil-crop models have become indispensable tools to investigate the effect of management practices on the productivity or environmental impacts of arable crops. Ideally these models may claim to be universally applicable because they simulate the major processes governing the fate of inputs such as fertiliser nitrogen or pesticides. However, because they deal with complex systems and uncertain phenomena, site-specific calibration is usually a prerequisite to ensure their predictions are realistic. This statement implies that some experimental knowledge on the system to be simulated should be available prior to any modelling attempt, and raises a tremendous limitation to practical applications of models. Because the demand for more general simulation results is high, modellers have nevertheless taken the bold step of extrapolating a model tested within a limited sample of real conditions to a much larger domain. While methodological questions are often disregarded in this extrapolation process, they are specifically addressed in this paper, and in particular the issue of models a priori parameterisation. We thus implemented and tested a standard procedure to parameterize the soil components of a modified version of the CERES models. The procedure converts routinely-available soil properties into functional characteristics by means of pedo-transfer functions. The resulting predictions of soil water and nitrogen dynamics, as well as crop biomass, nitrogen content and leaf area index were compared to observations from trials conducted in five locations across Europe (southern Italy, northern Spain, northern France and northern Germany). In three cases, the model’s performance was judged acceptable when compared to experimental errors on the measurements, based on a test of the model’s root mean squared error (RMSE). Significant deviations between observations and model outputs were however noted in all sites, and could be ascribed to various model routines. In decreasing importance, these were: water balance, the turnover of soil organic matter, and crop N uptake. A better match to field observations could therefore be achieved by visually adjusting related parameters, such as field-capacity water content or the size of soil microbial biomass. As a result, model predictions fell within the measurement errors in all sites for most variables, and the model’s RMSE was within the range of published values for similar tests. We conclude that the proposed a priori method yields acceptable simulations with only a 50% probability, a figure which may be greatly increased through a posteriori calibration. Modellers should thus exercise caution when extrapolating their models to a large sample of pedo-climatic conditions for which they have only limited information.

Protestants and Catholics: Similar work ethic, different social ethic

This article develops two hypotheses about economically-relevant values of Christianbelievers, according to which Protestants should work more and more effectively, as in the work ethic argument of Max Weber, or display a stronger social ethic that would lead themto monitor each other s conduct, support political and legal institutions and hold morehomogeneous values. Tests using current survey data confirm substantial partial correlations andpossible different effects in mutual social control, institutional performance and homogeneityof values but no difference in work ethics. Protestantism therefore seems conducive to capitalisteconomic development, not by the direct psychological route of the Weberian work ethic butrather by promoting an alternative social ethic that facilitates impersonal trade.

Hausman tests for inefficient estimators: application to demand for health care service (revised)

The Hausman (1978) test is based on the vector of differences of two estimators. It is usually assumed that one of the estimators is fully efficient, since this simplifies calculation of the test statistic. However, this assumption limits the applicability of the test, since widely used estimators such as the generalized method of moments (GMM) or quasi maximum likelihood (QML) are often not fully efficient. This paper shows that the test may easily be implemented, using well-known methods, when neither estimator is efficient. To illustrate, we present both simulation results as well as empirical results for utilization of health care services.

Thermal tests on the LISA pathfinder engineering model

Report for the scientific sojourn carried out at Albert Einstein Institut in Germany, from April to July 2006.

Disseny d'itineraris d'educació ambiental en ambients de fons de vall

L’anàlisi de l’estat actual dels equipaments i activitats d’educació ambiental (EA) en l’àmbit del Parc Natural de l’Alt Pirineu (PNAP) ha detectat un grau de desenvolupament molt baix d’aquesta disciplina. Per aquest motiu, s’elabora una nova eina, amb l’objectiu d’establir unes pautes per a l’elaboració d’una activitat d’EA concreta: els itineraris d’EA; i així ampliar l’escassa oferta actual. El protocol per al disseny d’itineraris d’EA, dóna unes directrius per a estandarditzar la descripció i l’anàlisi de la zona proposada. La finalitat del qual és facilitar i agilitar la implantació d’itineraris que presentin unes condicions mínimes establertes. La eficiència d’aquesta eina, queda verificada amb els resultats obtinguts en la realització de dues proves pilot en dues zones amb possibilitats de desenvolupar-hi itineraris d’EA. Una de les zones ha quedat descartada, per l’incompliment d’un dels criteris que s’ha definit en el protocol com a imprescindibles pel bon desenvolupament de l’activitat que es planteja. Mentre que en l’altre zona, el compliment de totes aquestes condicions o criteris, fan viable la implantació de l’itinerari d’EA, duent a terme així el seu posterior disseny. Malgrat l’estudi es centri en un espai natural protegit concret, és una eina que pretén ser extrapolable en d’altres espais d’aquesta categoria.

New evidence of the real interest rate parity for OECD countries using panel unit root tests with breaks

This paper tests for real interest parity (RIRP) among the nineteen major OECD countries over the period 1978:Q2-1998:Q4. The econometric methods applied consist of combining the use of several unit root or stationarity tests designed for panels valid under cross-section dependence and presence of multiple structural breaks. Our results strongly support the fulfillment of the weak version of the RIRP for the studied period once dependence and structural breaks are accounted for.

Determinació de la deposició atmosfèrica de metalls pesants a les Muntanyes de Prades (Tarragona) a partir dels bioindicadors Xanthoria parietina i Hypnum cupressiforme

En aquest estudi s’ha determinat la deposició atmosfèrica de metalls pesants a partir dels bioindicadors Xanthoria parietina (liquen) i Hypnum cupressiforme (molsa), en 16 punts de mostreig repartits per la zona on s’ubicarà el futur parc natural de les Muntanyes de Prades (Tarragona). A partir de la comparació de les concentracions obtingudes en aquest treball amb les d’altres estudis de plantejament equiparable, es va comprovar que la majoria de valors de concentració dels metalls eren similars als d’altres zones geogràfiques estudiades, a excepció del crom i el níquel, que presentaven valors clarament més elevats. A partir de proves estadístiques (ANOVA, regressions múltiples) es va determinar que existien diferències significatives entre les concentracions de metalls dels diferents punts de mostreig. També es van detectar correlacions significatives entre les concentracions dels punts de mostreig i la distància d’aquests respecte els focus potencials de contaminació que s’havien considerat prèviament. Amb les dades obtingudes a partir un petit anàlisi de la riquesa liquènica dels punts de mostreig, es va disposar d’informació extra per poder avaluar les fonts i el patró de distribució d’aquests contaminants.

Automatització de tests per a una aplicació J2EE

Aquest projecte consisteix en la creació d’una eina que permeti automatitzar els tests que s’han de fer a una aplicació comercial j2ee, amb el propòsit de facilitar i estalviar feina a les persones encarregades de testejar aquesta aplicació, ajudant-les així en la seva tasca de cerca d’errors. Concretament, s’ha creat una aplicació construïda per capes, modulable i fàcilment ampliable, la qual arriba més enllà de l’automatització dels tests més habituals, permetent executar un conjunt de tests per tal de validar si la versió de l’aplicació a testejar és vàlida o no.

What if there was a stronger pharmaceutical price competition in Spain? When regulation has a similar effect to collusion

This paper examines statins competition in the Spanish pharmaceutical market, where prices are highly regulated, and simulates a situation in which there is unrestricted price competition. A nested logit demand model is estimated with a panel of monthly data for pharmaceuticals prescribed from 1997 to 2005. The simulation indicates that the regulation of prices is similar in its effects to cooperation among producers, since the regulated prices are close to those that would be observed in a scenario of perfect collusion. Freedom to set prices and a regulatory framework with appropriate incentives would result in a general reduction in prices and may make the current veiled competition in the form of discounts to pharmacists become more visible. The decrease in prices would be partially offset by an increase in consumption but the net effect would be an overall decrease in expenditure. The counterfactual set-up would also lead to important changes in the market shares of both manufacturers and active ingredients, and a reversal of generic drugs. Therefore, pro-competitive regulation would be welfare-enhancing but would imply winners and losers.

Statistical tests for scaling in the inter-event times of earthquakes in California

We explore in depth the validity of a recently proposed scaling law for earthquake inter-event time distributions in the case of the Southern California, using the waveform cross-correlation catalog of Shearer et al. Two statistical tests are used: on the one hand, the standard two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is in agreement with the scaling of the distributions. On the other hand, the one-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic complemented with Monte Carlo simulation of the inter-event times, as done by Clauset et al., supports the validity of the gamma distribution as a simple model of the scaling function appearing on the scaling law, for rescaled inter-event times above 0.01, except for the largest data set (magnitude greater than 2). A discussion of these results is provided.

Los tests proyectivos en la comprensión de la recepción del arte gráfico

Una aproximació a la psicologia de la recepció de l'obra d'art a partir dels tests projectius.

Tests de conduir amb .NET i AJAX autotest

Es tracta d'una aplicació Web que serveix perquè les persones puguin practicar i millorar els seus coneixements de cara a l'examen teòric de conduir. S'ha realitzat l'anàlisi, el disseny i la implementació utilitzant una arquitectura .NET amb 4 capes.

Sistema de joc electrònic remot de BlackJack amb seguretat similar a la dels casinos tradicionals

L'objectiu d'aquest treball és dissenyar, i implementar, un sistema de joc electrònic de BlackJack remot, que ofereixi els jugadors un nivell de seguretat similar al que es pot tenir quan juguem en un casino tradicional.

Mecanismos de deformación en aceros inoxidables austeníticos metaestables

La deformación plástica puede inducir a la transformación de la austenita a martensita en los aceros inoxidables austeníticos metaestables. Para analizar este hecho, el inoxidable austenítico metaestable grado AISI 301 LN fue estudiado en dos condiciones diferentes: recocido y laminado en frío. En el primer caso, el acero era completamente austenítico, mientras que después de la laminación presentaba un importante porcentaje de α’-martensita. Se evaluó el cambio de fase cuando el acero es sometido a ensayos monotónicos y cíclicos, así como cuando ha sido modificada la superficie mediante el granallado o se han realizado tratamientos térmicos de reversión. Se utilizaron diferentes técnicas de caracterización microestructural para detectar y cuantificar la martensita, como microscopía óptica, difracción de rayos-X (DRX) y difracción de electrones retrodispersados (EBSD); como también de caracterización mecánica para evaluar el comportamiento de los aceros, trabajo esencial de fractura (TEF), conformabilidad, fatiga de alto número de ciclos (HCF) y nanoindentación. Los resultados mostraron un incremento en la resistencia mecánica del acero laminado en comparación al acero recocido; este hecho está relacionado con la presencia de martensita originada por la laminación. Sin embargo, en términos de deformación y endurecimiento el acero recocido presenta un mejor desempeño como consecuencia del elevado porcentaje de fase austenítica. Así mismo, revertir la martensita de laminación a austenita y refinar la austenita presente permite obtener un acero con una propiedades mecánicas similares a cuando esta en la condición laminado.

Grain size analyses in tin-lead glazes based on 2d-sections

A problem in the archaeometric classification of Catalan Renaissance pottery is the fact, thatthe clay supply of the pottery workshops was centrally organized by guilds, and thereforeusually all potters of a single production centre produced chemically similar ceramics.However, analysing the glazes of the ware usually a large number of inclusions in the glaze isfound, which reveal technological differences between single workshops. These inclusionshave been used by the potters in order to opacify the transparent glaze and to achieve a whitebackground for further decoration.In order to distinguish different technological preparation procedures of the single workshops,at a Scanning Electron Microscope the chemical composition of those inclusions as well astheir size in the two-dimensional cut is recorded. Based on the latter, a frequency distributionof the apparent diameters is estimated for each sample and type of inclusion.Following an approach by S.D. Wicksell (1925), it is principally possible to transform thedistributions of the apparent 2D-diameters back to those of the true three-dimensional bodies.The applicability of this approach and its practical problems are examined using differentways of kernel density estimation and Monte-Carlo tests of the methodology. Finally, it istested in how far the obtained frequency distributions can be used to classify the pottery