5 resultados para Simulated Environmental-change

em Consorci de Serveis Universitaris de Catalunya (CSUC), Spain


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We explain the choice between franchising and vertical integration by estimating a model of relative performance in a sample of 250 Spanish car distributors, controlling for self-selection and including environmental factors. The method allows us to estimate performance counterfactuals. Organizational choice seemingly aims to contain moral hazard for both distributors and manufacturers but it is subject to start-up constraints and switching costs. While the market for franchises remained underdeveloped, information asymmetries led to the opening of integrated outlets. Their subsequent conversion into franchised outlets probably involved prohibitive transaction costs. Consequently, they performed worse than would have been expected had they been independent, as confirmed by the systematic improvement observed when they were in fact converted. The timing of such conversions suggests that switching costs were prohibitive until firms developed a substantial cushion of temporary contracts, previously forbidden by regulation.

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Yeast successfully adapts to an environmental stress by altering physiology and fine-tuning metabolism. This fine-tuning is achieved through regulation of both gene expression and protein activity, and it is shaped by various physiological requirements. Such requirements impose a sustained evolutionary pressure that ultimately selects a specific gene expression profile, generating a suitable adaptive response to each environmental change. Although some of the requirements are stress specific, it is likely that others are common to various situations. We hypothesize that an evolutionary pressure for minimizing biosynthetic costs might have left signatures in the physicochemical properties of proteins whose gene expression is fine-tuned during adaptive responses. To test this hypothesis we analyze existing yeast transcriptomic data for such responses and investigate how several properties of proteins correlate to changes in gene expression. Our results reveal signatures that are consistent with a selective pressure for economy in protein synthesis during adaptive response of yeast to various types of stress. These signatures differentiate two groups of adaptive responses with respect to how cells manage expenditure in protein biosynthesis. In one group, significant trends towards downregulation of large proteins and upregulation of small ones are observed. In the other group we find no such trends. These results are consistent with resource limitation being important in the evolution of the first group of stress responses.

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A new, quantitative, inference model for environmental reconstruction (transfer function), based for the first time on the simultaneous analysis of multigroup species, has been developed. Quantitative reconstructions based on palaeoecological transfer functions provide a powerful tool for addressing questions of environmental change in a wide range of environments, from oceans to mountain lakes, and over a range of timescales, from decades to millions of years. Much progress has been made in the development of inferences based on multiple proxies but usually these have been considered separately, and the different numeric reconstructions compared and reconciled post-hoc. This paper presents a new method to combine information from multiple biological groups at the reconstruction stage. The aim of the multigroup work was to test the potential of the new approach to making improved inferences of past environmental change by improving upon current reconstruction methodologies. The taxonomic groups analysed include diatoms, chironomids and chrysophyte cysts. We test the new methodology using two cold-environment training-sets, namely mountain lakes from the Pyrenees and the Alps. The use of multiple groups, as opposed to single groupings, was only found to increase the reconstruction skill slightly, as measured by the root mean square error of prediction (leave-one-out cross-validation), in the case of alkalinity, dissolved inorganic carbon and altitude (a surrogate for air-temperature), but not for pH or dissolved CO2. Reasons why the improvement was less than might have been anticipated are discussed. These can include the different life-forms, environmental responses and reaction times of the groups under study.

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Los aludes son fenómenos recurrentes que se producen con una gran variedad de situaciones nivo-meteorológicas. Las actuaciones para minimizar el riesgo son básicamente dos: la predicción temporal (boletín del peligro de aludes), que hay que mantener, y la predicción en el espacio (cartografías). El riesgo de ser afectado por un alud se percibe con total indefensión por la población cuando un alud de gran magnitud impacta sobre un edificio o una infraestructura. Por tanto, es necesaria una legislación del uso de suelo que obligue a considerar los riesgos naturales en la calificación de suelos no urbanizables, basada en mapas de inventario y peligrosidad. Así se puede proteger a la población no especialista frente a las amenazas naturales extremas. Respecto al cambio climático, el IPCC, en su Tercer Informe de Evaluación expone una serie de probables escenarios de cambio climático a escala global. En todos ellos se concluye que muy probablemente las temperaturas mínimas serán más altas (irán en aumento), habrá menos días fríos, días de heladas y olas de frío en casi todas las zonas continentales. esto va a conllevar la elevación de la isoterma de 0ºC hacia mayores altitudes y, por lo tanto, la elevación del límite del manto nivoso continuo durante el invierno hacia mayores altitudes. Respecto a la precipitación y también a escala global, no se puede concluir que vaya a haber un incremento positivo de los eventos de temporal extremos, por lo que no se puede concluir que vaya a haber una variación del número de aludes extremos. Respecto al riesgo futuro, en el mejor de los casos se van a seguir produciendo aludes de la misma o mayor magnitud y en los mismos lugares. El deterioro del bosque de protección es muy probable, por lo será necesaria una buena gestión forestal. La minimización del riesgo deberá basarse en una buena legislación y una buena gestión territorial.

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Brown trout is a cold-adapted freshwater species with restricted distribution to headwater streams in rivers of the South European peninsulas, where populations are highly vulnerable because Mediterranean regions are highly sensitive to the global climatic warming. Moreover, these populations are endangered due to the introgressive hybridization with cultured stocks. Individuals from six remnant populations in Western Mediterranean rivers were sequenced for the complete mitochondrial DNA control region and genotyped for 11 nuclear markers. Three different brown trout lineages were present in the studied region. Significant genetic divergence was observed among locations and a strong effect of genetic drift was suggested. An important stocking impact (close to 25%) was detected in the zone. Significant correlations between mitochondrial-based rates of hatchery introgression and water flow variation suggested a higher impact of stocked females in unstable habitats. In spite of hatchery introgression, all populations remained highly differentiated, suggesting that native genetic resources are still abundant. However, climatic predictions indicated that suitable habitats for the species in these rivers will be reduced and hence trout populations are highly endangered and vulnerable. Thus, management policies should take into account these predictions to design upstream refuge areas to protect remnant native trout in the region