Cross-section data, disequilibrium situations and estimated coefficients: evidence from car ownership demand

The objective of this paper is to analyse to what extent the use of cross-section data will distort the estimated elasticities for car ownership demand when the observed variables do not correspond to a state equilibrium for some individuals in the sample. Our proposal consists of approximating the equilibrium values of the observed variables by constructing a pseudo-panel data set which entails averaging individuals observed at different points of time into cohorts. The results show that individual and aggregate data lead to almost the same value for income elasticity, whereas with respect to working adult elasticity the similarity is less pronounced.

Interlinkages and forecasting made possible by the use of the DECOIN analytical tool kit

This technical report is a document prepared as a deliverable [D4.3 Report of the Interlinkages and forecasting prototype tool] of a EU project – DECOIN Project No. 044428 - FP6-2005-SSP-5A. The text is divided into 4 sections: (1) this short introductory section explains the purpose of the report; (2) the second section provides a general discussion of a systemic problem found in existing quantitative analysis of sustainability. It addresses the epistemological implications of complexity, which entails the need of dealing with the existence of Multiple-Scales and non-equivalent narratives (multiple dimensions/attributes) to be used to define sustainability issues. There is an unavoidable tension between a “steady-state view” (= the perception of what is going on now – reflecting a PAST --& PRESENT view of the reality) versus an “evolutionary view” (= the unknown transformation that we have to expect in the process of becoming of the observed reality and in the observer – reflecting a PRESENT --& FUTURE view of the reality). The section ends by listing the implications of these points on the choice of integrated packages of sustainability indicators; (3) the third section illustrates the potentiality of the DECOIN toolkit for the study of sustainability trade-offs and linkages across indicators using quantitative examples taken from cases study of another EU project (SMILE). In particular, this section starts by addressing the existence of internal constraints to sustainability (economic versus social aspects). The narrative chosen for this discussion focuses on the dark side of ageing and immigration on the economic viability of social systems. Then the section continues by exploring external constraints to sustainability (economic development vs the environment). The narrative chosen for this discussion focuses on the dark side of current strategy of economic development based on externalization and the “bubbles-disease”; (4) the last section presents a critical appraisal of the quality of energy data found in energy statistics. It starts with a discussion of the general goal of statistical accounting. Then it introduces the concept of multipurpose grammars. The second part uses the experience made in the activities of the DECOIN project to answer the question: how useful are EUROSTAT energy statistics? The answer starts with an analysis of basic epistemological problems associated with accounting of energy. This discussion leads to the acknowledgment of an important epistemological problem: the unavoidable bifurcations in the mechanism of accounting needed to generate energy statistics. By using numerical example the text deals with the following issues: (i) the pitfalls of the actual system of accounting in energy statistics; (ii) a critical appraisal of the actual system of accounting in BP statistics; (iii) a critical appraisal of the actual system of accounting in Eurostat statistics. The section ends by proposing an innovative method to represent energy statistics which can result more useful for those willing develop sustainability indicators.

Itinerari d'educació ambiental i sensorial de Sant Pere del Burgal

El Parc Natural de l’Alt Pirineu (PNAP) va ser creat l’any 2003. Actualment, el parc està desenvolupant una xarxa d’itineraris d’Educació Ambiental (EA). L’Ecomuseu de la Vall d’Àneu (EVA) ofereix rutes guiades al sender del Monestir de Sant Pere del Burgal, ja senyalitzat i equipat pel PNAP, en estar inscrit al seu àmbit territorial. Es tracta d’un sender de fàcil accés i recorregut, molt ample al primer tram tot oferint una gran varietat d’aspectes d’interès. L’objectiu principal del present projecte és plantejar un itinerari d’EA sensorial adaptat als col·lectius amb mobilitat reduïda i persones invidents. Amb aquesta finalitat es desenvolupen continguts i materials didàctics i es determinen les accions que els articularan. En un primer moment s'ha analitzat la viabilitat de l’itinerari aplicant el protocol de valoració dissenyat pel grup Edukamb. La puntuació obtinguda és de 74 punts sobre 100, corroborant la idoneïtat del seu recorregut pels visitants. En el disseny de l’itinerari, s’han determinat els elements i processos d’interès a l’entorn, s’han proposat quatre parades sensorials i una pasarel·la de fusta al primer tram i quatre parades de component antropològica i la instal·lació d’una corda perimetral al segon tram. Finalment també, la instal·lació de maquetes tridimensionals tàctils, una descriptiva dels aspectes i les parades de l’itinerari a l’inici del camí i una arquitectònica de l’entorn del monestir en arrivar al mateix. S’han proposat millores en la senyalització present, alternatives i complements al material pedagògic considerat al projecte i el disseny de protocols de valoració per itineraris adaptats a tot tipus de col·lectius.

Assessing the quality of alternative energy sources: Energy Return On the Investment (EROI), the metabolic pattern of societies and energy statistics

This paper presents an initial challenge to tackle the every so "tricky" points encountered when dealing with energy accounting, and thereafter illustrates how such a system of accounting can be used when assessing for the metabolic changes in societies. The paper is divided in four main sections. The first three, present a general discussion on the main issues encountered when conducting energy analyses. The last section, subsequently, combines this heuristic approach to the actual formalization of it, in quantitative terms, for the analysis of possible energy scenarios. Section one covers the broader issue of how to account for the relevant categories used when accounting for Joules of energy; emphasizing on the clear distinction between Primary Energy Sources (PES) (which are the physical exploited entities that are used to derive useable energy forms (energy carriers)) and Energy Carriers (EC) (the actual useful energy that is transmitted for the appropriate end uses within a society). Section two sheds light on the concept of Energy Return on Investment (EROI). Here, it is emphasized that, there must already be a certain amount of energy carriers available to be able to extract/exploit Primary Energy Sources to thereafter generate a net supply of energy carriers. It is pointed out that this current trend of intense energy supply has only been possible to the great use and dependence on fossil energy. Section three follows up on the discussion of EROI, indicating that a single numeric indicator such as an output/input ratio is not sufficient in assessing for the performance of energetic systems. Rather an integrated approach that incorporates (i) how big the net supply of Joules of EC can be, given an amount of extracted PES (the external constraints); (ii) how much EC needs to be invested to extract an amount of PES; and (iii) the power level that it takes for both processes to succeed, is underlined. Section four, ultimately, puts the theoretical concepts at play, assessing for how the metabolic performances of societies can be accounted for within this analytical framework.

Caracterització i conservació d’una població de tortuga de rierol (Mauremys Leprosa) a l’ein del riu Llobregat al terme d’Abrera

S'ha estudiat una població de tortuga de rierol (Mauremys leprosa) present al curs principal del riu Llobregat, al seu pas pel municipi d'Abrera (Baix Llobregat). El tram té una longitud de 4.140 metres de recorregut sinuós, inclòs a l'EIN Riu Llobregat, amb predomini d'albaredes i pollancredes. S'ha caracteritzat el tram de riu segons el tipus de secció que presenta al llarg de l'àrea d'estudi. L'activitat de les tortugues comprèn de mitjans de febrer a mitjans de novembre, sense que s'hagi detectat una disminució a l'estiu. L'ús de l'espai no és uniforme amb una marcada preferència per trams del riu amb una certa fondària i velocitat de l'aigua alentida. S’han capturat 68 tortugues de rierol mitjançant nanses de pesca adaptades i, un cop marcades, s'han alliberat al mateix lloc. Per a cada animal es van obtenir les dades biomètriques i es va determinar el sexe. Mitjançant el mètode de captura-recaptura s'ha estimat la mida de la població en 100 ± 11 individus. La ràtio de sexes de la població és de 2:1 a favor dels mascles. La distribució de classes d'edats permet comprovar que la població està ben estructurada. No s'ha comprovat la reproducció, tot i que el nombre de femelles reproductores és elevat. La falta de captures de nounats i d’individus d'un hivern d’edat, i el baix nombre de juvenils capturats fa pensar que la taxa de reclutament és baixa. La mobilitat dels animals aigües amunt està limitada per la presència de dos assuts a l'àrea d'estudi, la qual cosa compromet la connectivitat de la població dins i fora de l'àrea d'estudi. També s'ha detectat la presència de tortuga de Florida (Trachemys scripta spp.) sense que s'hagi observat cap interacció entre ambdues espècies. Es proposen un seguit de mesures per afavorir la conservació de la tortuga de rierol.

Growth in a Cross-Section of Cities: Location, Increasing Returns or Random Growth?

This article analyzes empirically the main existing theories on income and population city growth: increasing returns to scale, locational fundamentals and random growth. To do this we implement a threshold nonlinearity test that extends standard linear growth regression models to a dataset on urban, climatological and macroeconomic variables on 1,175 U.S. cities. Our analysis reveals the existence of increasing returns when per-capita income levels are beyond $19; 264. Despite this, income growth is mostly explained by social and locational fundamentals. Population growth also exhibits two distinct equilibria determined by a threshold value of 116,300 inhabitants beyond which city population grows at a higher rate. Income and population growth do not go hand in hand, implying an optimal level of population beyond which income growth stagnates or deteriorates

Estimating the probability of leaving unemployment using uncompleted spells from repeated cross-section data

We propose a new econometric estimation method for analyzing the probabilityof leaving unemployment using uncompleted spells from repeated cross-sectiondata, which can be especially useful when panel data are not available. Theproposed method-of-moments-based estimator has two important features:(1) it estimates the exit probability at the individual level and(2) it does not rely on the stationarity assumption of the inflowcomposition. We illustrate and gauge the performance of the proposedestimator using the Spanish Labor Force Survey data, and analyze the changesin distribution of unemployment between the 1980s and 1990s during a periodof labor market reform. We find that the relative probability of leavingunemployment of the short-term unemployed versus the long-term unemployedbecomes significantly higher in the 1990s.

Comparative advantage and the cross-section of business cycles

Business cycles are both less volatile and more synchronized with the world cycle in rich countries than in poor ones. We develop two alternative explanations based on the idea that comparative advantage causes rich countries to specialize in industries that use new technologies operated by skilled workers, while poor countries specialize in industries that use traditional technologies operated by unskilled workers. Since new technologies are difficult to imitate, the industries of rich countries enjoy more market power and face more inelastic product demands than those of poor countries. Since skilled workers are less likely to exit employment as a result of changes in economic conditions, industries in rich countries face more inelastic labour supplies than those of poor countries. We show that either asymmetry in industry characteristics can generate cross-country differences in business cycles that resemble those we observe in the data.

Majority carrier capture cross section determination in the large deep trap concentration cases

A method to determine the thermal cross section of a deep level from capacitance measurements is reported. The results enable us to explain the nonexponential behavior of the capacitance versus capture time when the trap concentration is not negligible with respect to that of the shallow one, and the Debye tail effects are taken into account. A figure of merit for the nonexponential behavior of the capture process is shown and discussed for different situations of doping and applied bias. We have also considered the influence of the position of the trap level"s energy on the nonexponentiality of the capture transient. The experimental results are given for the gold acceptor level in silicon and for the DX center in Al0.55 Ga0.45As, which are in good agreement with the developed theory.

High-momentum proton removal from 16 O and the (e,e'p) cross section

The cross section for the removal of high-momentum protons from 16O is calculated for high missing energies. The admixture of high-momentum nucleons in the 16O ground state is obtained by calculating the single-hole spectral function directly in the finite nucleus with the inclusion of short-range and tensor correlations induced by a realistic meson-exchange interaction. The presence of high-momentum nucleons in the transition to final states in 15N at 60¿100 MeV missing energy is converted to the coincidence cross section for the (e,e¿p) reaction by including the coupling to the electromagnetic probe and the final state interactions of the outgoing proton in the same way as in the standard analysis of the experimental data. Detectable cross sections for the removal of a single proton at these high missing energies are obtained which are considerably larger at higher missing momentum than the corresponding cross sections for the p-wave quasihole transitions. Cross sections for these quasihole transitions are compared with the most recent experimental data available.

Empirical determination of the very high energy heavy quark cross section from nonaccelerator data

To cosmic rays incident near the horizon the Earth's atmosphere represents a beam dump with a slant depth reaching 36 000 g cm-2 at 90. The prompt decay of a heavy quark produced by very high energy cosmic ray showers will leave an unmistakable signature in this dump. We translate the failure of experiments to detect such a signal into an upper limit on the heavy quark hadroproduction cross section in the energy region beyond existing accelerators. Our results disfavor any rapid growth of the cross section or the gluon structure function beyond conservative estimates based on perturbative QCD.

Cross section of a resonant-mass detector for scalar gravitational waves

Gravitationally coupled scalar fields, originally introduced by Jordan, Brans and Dicke to account for a non-constant gravitational coupling, are a prediction of many non-Einsteinian theories of gravity not excluding perturbative formulations of string theory. In this paper, we compute the cross sections for scattering and absorption of scalar and tensor gravitational waves by a resonant-mass detector in the framework of the Jordan-Brans-Dicke theory. The results are then specialized to the case of a detector of spherical shape and shown to reproduce those obtained in general relativity in a certain limit. Eventually we discuss the potential detectability of scalar waves emitted in a spherically symmetric gravitational collapse.

Estudi de les aigües salines a la conca del riu Llobregat i Cardener : implicacions ambientals

L’increment de la salinitat a les aigües subterrànies a prop de la zones de les explotacions mineres salines representa un problema ambiental amb moltes implicacions socio-econòmiques. La part mitja de la conca del riu Llobregat i Cardener és un clar exemple d’aquesta problemàtica. En molts casos l’origen de la salinitat és dubtós, ja que pot provenir del contacte de l’aigua de l’aqüífer amb formacions geològiques salines naturals o per l’afectació de les escombreres produïdes per l’explotació minera de potasses que es troba en aquesta regió. L’objectiu d’aquest treball és demostrar que el Ra pot ser un bon traçador per determinar l’origen de la salinitat de les aigües i complementar les analítiques químiques elementals i dels isòtops del sofre i de l’oxigen del sulfat (δ34SSO4 i δ18OSO4). La presència dels diversos isòtops del Ra en les aigües subterrànies dependrà de la geologia i del temps de residència de l’aigua dins l’aqüífer. L’anàlisi de 12 mostres de la comarca indica que el 226Ra és el millor dels isòtops del Ra que permet diferenciar l’origen de les aigües subterrànies.

Dessalinització nuclear : estudi preliminar per l'aplicació a Catalunya

Aquest document pretén donar a conèixer el concepte de dessalinització nuclear, determinar els avantatges i inconvenients a nivell ambiental, així com els costos econòmics i energètics que poden suposar. Podem definir dessalinització nuclear com una planta de dessalinització d’aigua marina que és alimentada pel seu complet funcionament per un reactor nuclear. La planta utilitza tant l’energia elèctrica que es produeix com l’energia calorífica retinguda en l’aigua que surt del reactor. S’ha estructurat el treball en tres parts. La primera és una anàlisi de quin és l’ús que se’n fa a nivell mundial de la tecnologia de dessalinització. S’ofereixen dades de la producció mundial d’aigua dolça a partir d’aquesta tecnologia, en quins països se’n fa més ús i perquè. També es defineixen els tipus de plantes de dessalinització que es poden construir. El segon apartat és un anàlisi històric i d’actualitat de la dessalinització nuclear mundial. S’analitza el perquè del desenvolupament d’aquesta tecnologia i s’estudien les necessitats hídriques que es podran tenir en un futur. Es planteja si aquesta tecnologia pot satisfer-les. S’estudien les onze plantes de dessalinització nuclear que han funcionat. El tercer apartat és un estudi de la possible transformació de les dues plantes dessalinitzadores catalanes en dessalinitzadores nuclears. Es fa un anàlisi de costos energètics i de producció, sense tenir en compte els d’instal·lació. També s’investiga els possibles impactes per contaminació radiològica que podria generar l’aigua produïda amb aquesta tecnologia.