Transition modes and institutional outcomes in El Salvador and Guatemala

Institutions affect key dimensions of the political process –policy, stability, and conflict. The choice of institutions is thus consequential. I argue that transition modes affect the choice of institutions in predictable and systematic ways. The more balanced power is between the two main bargaining forces –regime elite and opposition– the likelier that the resulting institutions will be pluralistic. Contrarily, the more unbalanced power is in favour of regime elites vis a vis the opposition, the likelier that institutions will be majoritarian. The argument is tested for El Salvador and Guatemala.

Peacetime Violence in El Salvador and Honduras: A tale of two countries

The end of the Cold War did not bring about an end to violence in Central America. Today, so-called non-political violence continues to worsen. Academics and public policymakers are frequently influenced by the assumption that there is a causal relationship between the political violence of the 1980s and the non-political violence of today. By looking at the cases of El Salvador and Honduras, this working paper seeks to systematize existing claims about the causal relationship between past and present violence into two approaches. Our research shows that high levels of prolonged political violence, along with an abundance of firearms, can lead to high levels of prolonged non-political violence but not in the ways most often cited in existing literature. We propose a new model to better understand the connection between past and present violence and recommend indicators that can be used to measure variations in violence over time in contexts of protracted non-political violence.

Geomorphological method in the elaboration of hazard maps for flash-floods in the municipality of Jucuarán (El Salvador)

This work deals with the elaboration of flood hazard maps. These maps reflect the areas prone to floods based on the effects of Hurricane Mitch in the Municipality of Jucuarán of El Salvador. Stream channels located in the coastal range in the SE of El Salvador flow into the Pacific Ocean and generate alluvial fans. Communities often inhabit these fans can be affected by floods. The geomorphology of these stream basins is associated with small areas, steep slopes, well developed regolite and extensive deforestation. These features play a key role in the generation of flash-floods. This zone lacks comprehensive rainfall data and gauging stations. The most detailed topographic maps are on a scale of 1:25 000. Given that the scale was not sufficiently detailed, we used aerial photographs enlarged to the scale of 1:8000. The effects of Hurricane Mitch mapped on these photographs were regarded as the reference event. Flood maps have a dual purpose (1) community emergency plans, (2) regional land use planning carried out by local authorities. The geomorphological method is based on mapping the geomorphological evidence (alluvial fans, preferential stream channels, erosion and sedimentation, man-made terraces). Following the interpretation of the photographs this information was validated on the field and complemented by eyewitness reports such as the height of water and flow typology. In addition, community workshops were organized to obtain information about the evolution and the impact of the phenomena. The superimposition of this information enables us to obtain a comprehensive geomorphological map. Another aim of the study was the calculation of the peak discharge using the Manning and the paleohydraulic methods and estimates based on geomorphologic criterion. The results were compared with those obtained using the rational method. Significant differences in the order of magnitude of the calculated discharges were noted. The rational method underestimated the results owing to short and discontinuous periods of rainfall data with the result that probabilistic equations cannot be applied. The Manning method yields a wide range of results because of its dependence on the roughness coefficient. The paleohydraulic method yielded higher values than the rational and Manning methods. However, it should be pointed out that it is possible that bigger boulders could have been moved had they existed. These discharge values are lower than those obtained by the geomorphological estimates, i.e. much closer to reality. The flood hazard maps were derived from the comprehensive geomorphological map. Three categories of hazard were established (very high, high and moderate) using flood energy, water height and velocity flow deduced from geomorphological and eyewitness reports.

Aspectos organizacionales y de cooperación en I+D como criterios de clasificación. El caso de la industria alimentaria en la Comunidad Valenciana

En el presente artículo se presenta una clasificación del sector alimentario valenciano mediante la técnica estadística del análisis cluster. Esta técnica permite conformar conglomerados con similares características que permitirán diseñar políticas adecuadas a las mismas. Dentro de los factores considerados para la conformación de los clusters destacan la colaboración con la universidad, el tamaño empresarial (en número de empleados y en facturación), la existencia de un departamento de I+D que no realice controles de calidad y dos factores internos relacionados a la competitividad: el dominio de nuevas tecnologías y el desarrollo de nuevos productos. Se han conformado tres conglomerados conformados por tres tipos de empresas que denominamos líderes, innovadoras potencialmente colaboradoras con la universidad y tradicionales, que presentan características significativamente diferentes.

El Pigmalión de Shaw, manifiesto teatral de la lingüística

La comedia Pigmalión, que Bernard Shaw escribió en 1912 y estrenó al año siguiente, es una proclamación artística de la lingüística. A pesar de la popularidad de la obra, es un acontecimiento que se conoce como una anécdota extravagante. El extraordinario mérito de Pigmalión ha pasado desapercibido para la historia de la lingüística. Su mérito estriba en la calidad teatral, la capacidad prospectiva de Shaw y la intención social de su mensaje. Shaw anuncia la utilidad de la lingüística en facetas que, décadas después, se conocerán como sociolingüística, planificación lingüística y logopedia. Por otra parte, se ha relacionado de modo simplista el personaje del profesor Higgins al fonetista H. Sweet. The play Pygmalion, that Bernard Shaw wrote in 1912 and released the following year, is an artistic proclamation of Linguistics. Despite the popularity of the play, this event is known as an extravagant story. The History of Linguistics does not recognize the extraordinary merit of Pygmalion. Its merit lays in the theatrical quality ant the social intention of the message. Shaw announces the usefulness of Linguistics in facets that will be known as Sociolinguistics, Language Planning and Speech Therapy. And furthermore, in a simplistic way, the character of Professor Higgins has been linked to the phonetician H. Sweet.