Ethnic and religious polarization and social conflict

In this paper we examine the link between ethnic and religious polarization and conflict using interpersonal distances for ethnic and religious attitudes obtained from the World Values Survey. We use the Duclos et al (2004) polarization index. We measure conflict by means on an index of social unrest, as well as by the standard conflict onset or incidence based on a threshold number of deaths. Our results show that taking distances into account significantly improves the quality of the fit. Our measure of polarization outperforms the measure used by Montalvo and Reynal-Querol (2005) and the fractionalization index. We also obtain that both ethnic and religious polarization are significant in explaining conflict. The results improve when we use an indicator of social unrest as the dependent variable.

Aspectos metabólicos y multivitamínicos del maíz

La deficiencia de vitamina A causa 2.2 millones de muertes al año. Por tanto, investigadores intentan elevar el contenido de β-caroteno y otros carotenoides en cereales mediante la ingeniería genética. Mi trabajo consistió en analizar carotenoides en maíz y callos de arroz transgénico con el fin de indentificar y cuantificar estos pigmentos y además analizar la ruta metabólica de los mismos. Por tal motivo, desarrollaré una técnica analítica por HPLC y UHPLC que me permitió separar la mezcla de carotenoides. Estas moléculas se detectaton utilizando un detector de arreglo de diodos y masas. Con éste último se probaron distintas técnicas de ionización (ESI, APCI y APPI) para encontrar la mejor técnica que ionizara carotenos y xantófilas. Además se hallaron transiciones para identificar a cada uno de los carotenoides. Para mostrar la confiabilidad del método analítico, realicé la validación del mismo y determiné factores importantes que influyen en el análisis de carotenoides, como por ejemplo, su estabilidad química. Para analizar la ruta metabólica de los carotenoides, se realizaron distintos experimentos, entre ellos, introducir distintas combinaciones de genes en el maíz y arroz que permitieran entender cuáles eran las enzimas importantes que permitían la acumulación de carotenoides. También se analizó la biosíntesis de carotenoides a distintas etapas del desarrollo de la semilla de maíz, desde los 15 días después de la polinización (DAP) hasta los 60 DAP y su estabilidad química a lo largo de todo este período. Finalmente, se profundizó en la identificación de nuevos carotenoides encontrados en las muestras, como los oxo-carotenoides (utilizados en la industria como colorantes). Para llevar acabo su identificación, se realizaron pruebas químicas, se determinaron sus espectros visibles y sus fragmentos por masas.   

Coherent forecasting of multiple-decrement life tables: a test using Japanese cause of death data

Planners in public and private institutions would like coherent forecasts of the components of age-specic mortality, such as causes of death. This has been di cult toachieve because the relative values of the forecast components often fail to behave ina way that is coherent with historical experience. In addition, when the group forecasts are combined the result is often incompatible with an all-groups forecast. It hasbeen shown that cause-specic mortality forecasts are pessimistic when compared withall-cause forecasts (Wilmoth, 1995). This paper abandons the conventional approachof using log mortality rates and forecasts the density of deaths in the life table. Sincethese values obey a unit sum constraint for both conventional single-decrement life tables (only one absorbing state) and multiple-decrement tables (more than one absorbingstate), they are intrinsically relative rather than absolute values across decrements aswell as ages. Using the methods of Compositional Data Analysis pioneered by Aitchison(1986), death densities are transformed into the real space so that the full range of multivariate statistics can be applied, then back-transformed to positive values so that theunit sum constraint is honoured. The structure of the best-known, single-decrementmortality-rate forecasting model, devised by Lee and Carter (1992), is expressed incompositional form and the results from the two models are compared. The compositional model is extended to a multiple-decrement form and used to forecast mortalityby cause of death for Japan

Influenza A H1N1/2009 Infection in Pediatric Solid Organ Transplant Recipients

The aim of this study was to describe the clinical characteristics of pandemic influenza A H1N1 infection. A retrospective study was performed in pediatric patients with solid organ transplantation and confirmed influenza A H1N1/2009 infection from June to December 2009, diagnosed in two Spanish teaching. Forty-nine patients were included. Pneumonia was diagnosed in 4 patients (8.2%), and 3 of them required respiratory support. There were no related deaths. Antiviral treatment within 48 hours was associated with a lower likelihood of pneumonia (0/38, 0%) than treatment started after 48 hours (4/11, 36.3%) (p&0.01).

Measuring the child mortality impact of official aid for fighting infectious diseases, 2000-2010

Aid for fighting infectious and parasitic diseases has had a statistically significant role in the under-five mortality reduction in the last decade. Point estimates indicate a country average reduction of 1.4 deaths per thousand under fives live-born attributable to aid at its average level in 2000-2010. The effect would be an average drop of 3.3 in the under-five mortality rate at the aid levels of 2010. By components, a dollar per capita spent in fighting malaria has caused the largest average impact, statistically higher than a dollar per capita spent in STD/HIV control. We do not find statistically significant effects of other infectious disease aid, including aid for the control of tuberculosis.

Exploring the conditions for a mortality crisis: bringing context back into the debate

This study engages with the debate over the mortality crises in the former Soviet Union and Central and Eastern Europe by 1) considering at length and as complementary to each other the two most prominent explanations for the post-communist mortality crisis, stress and alcohol consumption; 2) emphasizing the importance of context by exploiting systematic similarities and differences across the region. Differential mortality trajectories reveal three country groups that cluster both spatially and in terms of economic transition experiences. The first group are the countries furthest west in which mortality rates increased minimally after the transition began. The second group experienced a severe increase in mortality rates in the early 1990s, but recovered previous levels within a few years. These countries are located peripherally to Russia and its nearest neighbours. The final group consists of countries that experienced two mortality increases or in which mortality levels had not recovered to pre-transition levels well into the 21st century. Cross-sectional time-series data analyses of men’s and women’s age and cause-specific death rates reveal that the clustering of these countries and their mortality trajectories can be partially explained by the economic context, which is argued to be linked to stress and alcohol consumption. Above and beyond many basic differences in the country groups that are held constant—including geographically and historically shared cultural, lifestyle and social characteristics—poor economic conditions account for a remarkably consistent share of excess age-specific and cause-specific deaths.

Evolutionary analysis of genes of two pathways involved in placental malaria infection

Placental malaria is a special form of malaria that causes up to 200,000 maternal and infant deaths every year. Previous studies show that two receptor molecules, hyaluronic acid and chondroitin sulphate A, are mediating the adhesion of parasite-infected erythrocytes in the placenta of patients, which is believed to be a key step in the pathogenesis of the disease. In this study, we aimed at identifying sites of malaria-induced adaptation by scanning for signatures of natural selection in 24 genes in the complete biosynthesis pathway of these two receptor molecules. We analyzed a total of 24 Mb of publicly available polymorphism data from the International HapMap project for three human populations with European, Asian and African ancestry, with the African population from a region of presently and historically high malaria prevalence. Using the methods based on allele frequency distributions, genetic differentiation between populations, and on long-range haplotype structure, we found only limited evidence for malaria-induced genetic adaptation in this set of genes in the African population; however, we identified one candidate gene with clear evidence of selection in the Asian population. Although historical exposure to malaria in this population cannot be ruled out, we speculate that it might be caused by other pathogens, as there is growing evidence that these molecules are important receptors in a variety of host-pathogen interactions. We propose to use the present methods in a systematic way to help identify candidate regions under positive selection as a consequence of malaria.

A targeted association study of immunity genes and networks suggests novel associations with placental malaria infection

A large proportion of the death toll associated with malaria is a consequence of malaria infection during pregnancy, causing up to 200,000 infant deaths annually. We previously published the first extensive genetic association study of placental malaria infection, and here we extend this analysis considerably, investigating genetic variation in over 9,000 SNPs in more than 1,000 genes involved in immunity and inflammation for their involvement in susceptibility to placental malaria infection. We applied a new approach incorporating results from both single gene analysis as well as gene-gene interactionson a protein-protein interaction network. We found suggestive associations of variants in the gene KLRK1 in the single geneanalysis, as well as evidence for associations of multiple members of the IL-7/IL-7R signalling cascade in the combined analysis. To our knowledge, this is the first large-scale genetic study on placental malaria infection to date, opening the door for follow-up studies trying to elucidate the genetic basis of this neglected form of malaria.

Low birthweight, preterm, and small for gestational age babies in Scotland, 1981-1984.

The aim was to examine the effect of maternal age, gravidity, marital status, previous perinatal deaths, and parental social class on babies born low birthweight, preterm, and small for gestational age. DESIGN--The study used data on discharge summaries from all maternity hospitals in Scotland. SETTING--The study was based on all singleton deliveries in Scotland. PARTICIPANTS--The analysis involved information on 259,462 singleton babies born during the four years 1981-84 in Scotland. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--Previous perinatal death was found to be the strongest predictor for both preterm and low birthweight. Single mothers were at particularly high risk of having a small for gestational age baby and those who were previously married of having a preterm baby. Women aged less than 20 years old, those over 34 years old, nulligravidae, and those of parity 3 or more were also at increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcome. Mothers and fathers in manual social classes and those who could not be assigned a social class on the basis of their occupation were at increased risk for all three adverse outcomes studied. The babies of parents who were in manual occupations were twice as likely as those of parents in non-manual occupations to be small for gestational age and almost twice as likely to be low birthweight. CONCLUSIONS--Mother's social class is a risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcome independent of maternal age, parity, and adverse reproductive history, and also independent of father's social class. Information on both parents' occupations should be collected in maternity discharge systems.

Predictors of death among patients who completed tuberculosis treatment: a population-based cohort study.

Background: Mortality among patients who complete tuberculosis (TB) treatment is still high among vulnerable populations. The objective of the study was to identify the probability of death and its predictive factors in a cohort of successfully treated TB patients. Methods: A population-based retrospective longitudinal study was performed in Barcelona, Spain. All patients who successfully completed TB treatment with culture-confirmation and available drug susceptibility testing between 1995 1997 were retrospectively followed-up until December 31, 2005 by the Barcelona TB Control Program. Socio-demographic, clinical, microbiological and treatment variables were examined. Mortality, TB Program and AIDS registries were reviewed. Kaplan-Meier and a Cox regression methods with time-dependent covariates were used for the survival analysis, calculating the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Among the 762 included patients, the median age was 36 years, 520 (68.2%) were male, 178 (23.4%) HIV-infected, and 208 (27.3%) were alcohol abusers. Of the 134 (17.6%) injecting drug users (IDU), 123 (91.8%) were HIV-infected. A total of 30 (3.9%) recurrences and 173 deaths (22.7%) occurred (mortality rate: 3.4/100 person-years of follow-up). The predictors of death were: age between 4160 years old (HR: 3.5; CI:2.15.7), age greater than 60 years (HR: 14.6; CI:8.924), alcohol abuse (HR: 1.7; CI:1.22.4) and HIV-infected IDU (HR: 7.9; CI:4.713.3). Conclusions: The mortality rate among TB patients who completed treatment is associated with vulnerable populations such as the elderly, alcohol abusers, and HIV-infected IDU. We therefore need to fight against poverty, and promote and develop interventions and social policies directed towards these populations to improve their survival.

Monitoring mortality as an indicator of influenza in Catalonia, Spain.

This study aimed to investigate the behaviour of two indicators of influenza activity in the area of Barcelona and to evaluate the usefulness of modelling them to improve the detection of influenza epidemics. DESIGN: Descriptive time series study using the number of deaths due to all causes registered by funeral services and reported cases of influenza-like illness. The study concentrated on five influenza seasons, from week 45 of 1988 to week 44 of 1993. The weekly number of deaths and cases of influenza-like illness registered were processed using identification of a time series ARIMA model. SETTING: Six large towns in the Barcelona province which have more than 60,000 inhabitants and funeral services in all of them. MAIN RESULTS: For mortality, the proposed model was an autoregressive one of order 2 (ARIMA (2,0,0)) and for morbidity it was one of order 3 (ARIMA (3,0,0)). Finally, the two time series were analysed together to facilitate the detection of possible implications between them. The joint study of the two series shows that the mortality series can be modelled separately from the reported morbidity series, but the morbidity series is influenced as much by the number of previous cases of influenza reported as by the previous mortality registered. CONCLUSIONS: The model based on general mortality is useful for detecting epidemic activity of influenza. However, because there is not an absolute gold standard that allows definition of the beginning of the epidemic, the final decision of when it is considered an epidemic and control measures recommended should be taken after evaluating all the indicators included in the influenza surveillance programme.

Anàlisi dels aspectes mèdics de la mort violenta a Lleida a la Baixa Edat Mitjana: vol. 1

Aquest treball és el primer volum de la tesi presentada pel doctor Camps i Clemente, publicada pel Seminari Pere Mata per tal de donar-li major difusió. En aquesta tesi, l'autor estudia d'una forma extensa i profunda els episodis de mort violenta reportats a Lleida entre els anys 1308 i 1516. Els 342 procediments estudiats es guarden a la Paeria de Lleida i aporten dades sobre la realitat mèdico-sanitària i social de l'època baix-medieval.

Anàlisi dels aspectes mèdics de la mort violenta a Lleida a la Baixa Edat Mitjana: vol. 2

Aquí tenim el segon volum de la tesi del doctor Camps i Clemente sobre la mort violenta en el territori lleidatà durant els segles XIV i XV

Uso de la hipotermia en el síndrome posparada cardíaca

Antecedentes: La parada cardiorrespiratoria es uno de los principalesproblemas sanitarios en los países desarrollados, además de por la mortalidadproducida, por las importantes repercusiones neurológicas posteriores quepresentan las personas que sobreviven. Hasta un 64% de los supervivientespuede presentar secuelas de gravedad, y tan solo un 1,4% queda exento dealgún tipo de alteración neurológica. Distintos ensayos clínicos, muestran quela hipotermia inducida ligera, es decir, el descenso controlado de latemperatura corporal mejora la supervivencia y los daños neurológicos en lospacientes adultos inconscientes tras una resucitación cardiopulmonar. Sinembargo, no está del todo claro cuáles son los pacientes más indicados pararecibir la terapia, la técnica de inducción ideal, la temperatura objetivo, suduración y la tasa idónea de recalentamiento.Objetivos: El objetivo del estudio es conocer la técnica de hipotermiaterapéutica como cuidado posresucitación tras sufrir una parada cardíaca.Metodología: Para ello, se realizó una búsqueda bibliográfica a través de lassiguientes bases de datos: CSIC, Medline PubMed, CINAHL, BibliotecaCochrane, Cuiden Plus, Dialnet, Scopus y ScienceDirect. Finalmente, seaceptaron 8 artículos que pertenecían a los criterios de inclusión: revisionessistemáticas, ensayos clínicos, revisiones bibliográficas y documentos deconsenso tras consejo de expertos, en español o inglés, publicados desde elaño 2005 hasta el año 2013 cuyos sujetos de estudio son adultos.Resultados: en la actualidad, se recomienda que los pacientes adultosinconscientes, con recuperación de la circulación espontánea tras una paradacardíaca extrahospitalaria, deben ser enfriados a 32-34ºC durante un periodode 12-24 horas cuando el ritmo inicial sea fibrilación ventricular. Se establecen4 periodos de tratamiento: inducción (desde el ingreso en la unidad hasta quese alcanzan los 33ºC), mantenimiento (desde el logro de los 33ºC hasta 24horas después), recalentamiento (12 horas de incremento de la temperatura,hasta alcanzar los 37ºC) y estabilización térmica (12 horas posteriores aalcanzar los 37ºC). Los métodos de inducción y mantenimiento de la hipotermiason diversos y se establecen dos grupos: técnicas invasivas y no invasivas.Palabras clave: hipotermia inducida, parada cardíaca, técnicas enfriamiento

Mortality rates in by-caught loggerhead turtle Caretta caretta in the Mediterranean Sea and implications for the Atlantic populations

Reliable estimates of the post-release mortality probability of marine turtles after incidental by-catch are essential for assessing the impact of longline fishing on these species.Large numbers of loggerhead turtles Caretta caretta from rookeries in the northwestern Atlantic Ocean have been by-caught annually in the southwestern Mediterranean Sea since the 1980s, but nothing is known about their post-release mortality probability under natural conditions. Pop-up archival transmitting tags were attached to 26 loggerhead turtles following incidental capture by Spanish longliners. Hooks were not removed, and 40 cm of line was left in place. The post-release mortality probability during the 90 d following release ranged from 0.308 to 0.365, and was independent of hook location. When the post-release mortality probability was combined with previously reported estimates of the mortality probability before hauling, the aggregated by-catch mortality probability ranged from 0.321 to 0.378. Assuming a total annual by-catch of 10656 loggerhead turtles by the Spanish longline fleet operating in the southwestern Mediterranean, by-catch results in 3421 to 4028 turtle deaths annually. This range is equivalent to 8.5−10.1% of the approximately 40000 turtles inhabiting the fishing grounds used by Spanish longliners, most of them from rookeries in the northwestern Atlantic. As a consequence, the accumulated mortality during the oceanic stage is expected to be larger for those loggerhead turtles of Atlantic origin that spend several years in the Mediterranean Sea than for turtles of the same cohort that remain in the Atlantic. For this reason, the Mediterranean can be considered a dead end for loggerhead turtle populations nesting in the Atlantic, although the actual demographic relevance of by-catch mortality of loggerhead turtles in the Mediterranean remains unknown.