Testing a new multigroup inference approach to reconstructing past environmental conditions

A new, quantitative, inference model for environmental reconstruction (transfer function), based for the first time on the simultaneous analysis of multigroup species, has been developed. Quantitative reconstructions based on palaeoecological transfer functions provide a powerful tool for addressing questions of environmental change in a wide range of environments, from oceans to mountain lakes, and over a range of timescales, from decades to millions of years. Much progress has been made in the development of inferences based on multiple proxies but usually these have been considered separately, and the different numeric reconstructions compared and reconciled post-hoc. This paper presents a new method to combine information from multiple biological groups at the reconstruction stage. The aim of the multigroup work was to test the potential of the new approach to making improved inferences of past environmental change by improving upon current reconstruction methodologies. The taxonomic groups analysed include diatoms, chironomids and chrysophyte cysts. We test the new methodology using two cold-environment training-sets, namely mountain lakes from the Pyrenees and the Alps. The use of multiple groups, as opposed to single groupings, was only found to increase the reconstruction skill slightly, as measured by the root mean square error of prediction (leave-one-out cross-validation), in the case of alkalinity, dissolved inorganic carbon and altitude (a surrogate for air-temperature), but not for pH or dissolved CO2. Reasons why the improvement was less than might have been anticipated are discussed. These can include the different life-forms, environmental responses and reaction times of the groups under study.

Estudio del rendimiento cárnico de reproductores porcinos selectos de razas puras en estación de control

El sistema actual de testajes ofi ciales de porcino selecto en España, con el retorno de los mejores verracos a los núcleos de selección, ha demostrado ser muy efi caz para la selección y promoción de los futuros reproductores de élite. Esta metodología se ha ido mejorando y aproximando a los estándares europeos mediante la complementación de los parámetros de crecimiento, consumo de pienso, efi ciencia alimentaria, con parámetros de calidad de canal, de calidad de carne y de despiece de descendientes o colaterales de reproductores porcinos activos raza pura. En este artículo se presentan los resultados de los primeros 138 animales evaluados con esta nueva metodología. Production, carcass and meat quality of spanish pig pure breeds in Central Test Station The current system of pure breed offi cial tests in Spain, with the return of the best boars to the selection’s nucleus, up to now has proved to be very effective for the selection and the promotion of the future elite pure breed boars. This methodology has been improving and moving to European standards by means of the complementation of the growth, feed consumption, food effi ciency parameters with the quality of carcass, quality of meat and cutting parameters of relatives (sibblings) of active pedigree breeder. This chapter presents the results of fi rst 138 evaluated animals with this new methodology.

Traffic forecasts under uncertainty and capacity constraints

Traffic forecasts provide essential input for the appraisal of transport investment projects. However, according to recent empirical evidence, long-term predictions are subject to high levels of uncertainty. This paper quantifies uncertainty in traffic forecasts for the tolled motorway network in Spain. Uncertainty is quantified in the form of a confidence interval for the traffic forecast that includes both model uncertainty and input uncertainty. We apply a stochastic simulation process based on bootstrapping techniques. Furthermore, the paper proposes a new methodology to account for capacity constraints in long-term traffic forecasts. Specifically, we suggest a dynamic model in which the speed of adjustment is related to the ratio between the actual traffic flow and the maximum capacity of the motorway. This methodology is applied to a specific public policy that consists of suppressing the toll on a certain motorway section before the concession expires.

Reformulació dels Plans Docents de Creativitat i Disseny en crèdits ECTS

Els objectius estan orientats cap a l’assoliment dels criteris de qualitat i la seva adaptació a les característiques de la titulació. És a dir, en quina mesura les diferents activitats docents permeten assolir les competències definides en la titulació. En aquest sentit, a continuació es relacionen els objectius plantejats: 1. Fer el seguiment de la docència de les dues assignatures d’estudi del projecte. 2. Construir un protocol d’assegurament de la qualitat docent, en el marc de la titulació, que permeti el seguiment i l’aplicació a la totalitat de la titulació. 3. Establir els processos de control i assegurament de la qualitat docent segons els criteris d’aprenentatge de Bolonya. 4. Aquests objectius hauran de ser desenvolupats durant la docència de les matèries objecte d’estudi. Els procediments que es presenten en aquest treball se centren en l’avaluació experimental de dos indicadors centrals en cada una de les assignatures de la prova. Els resultats aconseguits en aquest projecte dintre de la Prova Pilot de la titulació de Publicitat i Relacions Públiques ens porten cap a dues direccions. Primerament, les primeres proves i els indicis obtinguts fins al moment permeten determinar que l’aplicació de la metodologia Bolonya demostra tenir una major potència docent en una de les assignatures analitzades “Introducció a la creativitat publicitària”, i que, a més, identifica el caràcter d’estudiants que més rendiment d’aprenentatge en treuen. En l’altra assignatura, els resultats encara no són concloents, tot i que s’endevina que manté el ritme de bons resultats que ja es mostraven d’inici. En segon lloc, els resultats analitzats permeten pensar que l’ús de la metodologia Bolonya no implica cap detriment docent i a més a més, permet treballar de manera millor les matèries. La present recerca, doncs, quantifica en quin grau s’estableix la progressió d’aprenentatge amb les activitats docents en la nova metodologia Bolonya expressat en aquest valor de potència docent.

Monetary policy rules and financial stress: does financial instability matter for monetary

We examine whether and how main central banks responded to episodes of financial stress over the last three decades. We employ a new methodology for monetary policy rules estimation, which allows for time-varying response coefficients as well as corrects for endogeneity. This flexible framework applied to the U.S., U.K., Australia, Canada and Sweden together with a new financial stress dataset developed by the International Monetary Fund allows not only testing whether the central banks responded to financial stress but also detects the periods and type of stress that were the most worrying for monetary authorities and to quantify the intensity of policy response. Our findings suggest that central banks often change policy

Haar wavelets-based approach for quantifying credit portfolio losses

This paper proposes a new methodology to compute Value at Risk (VaR) for quantifying losses in credit portfolios. We approximate the cumulative distribution of the loss function by a finite combination of Haar wavelet basis functions and calculate the coefficients of the approximation by inverting its Laplace transform. The Wavelet Approximation (WA) method is specially suitable for non-smooth distributions, often arising in small or concentrated portfolios, when the hypothesis of the Basel II formulas are violated. To test the methodology we consider the Vasicek one-factor portfolio credit loss model as our model framework. WA is an accurate, robust and fast method, allowing to estimate VaR much more quickly than with a Monte Carlo (MC) method at the same level of accuracy and reliability.

Including the workload effect in the parallel program signature

Performance prediction and application behavior modeling have been the subject of exten- sive research that aim to estimate applications performance with an acceptable precision. A novel approach to predict the performance of parallel applications is based in the con- cept of Parallel Application Signatures that consists in extract an application most relevant parts (phases) and the number of times they repeat (weights). Executing these phases in a target machine and multiplying its exeuction time by its weight an estimation of the application total execution time can be made. One of the problems is that the performance of an application depends on the program workload. Every type of workload affects differently how an application performs in a given system and so affects the signature execution time. Since the workloads used in most scientific parallel applications have dimensions and data ranges well known and the behavior of these applications are mostly deterministic, a model of how the programs workload affect its performance can be obtained. We create a new methodology to model how a program’s workload affect the parallel application signature. Using regression analysis we are able to generalize each phase time execution and weight function to predict an application performance in a target system for any type of workload within predefined range. We validate our methodology using a synthetic program, benchmarks applications and well known real scientific applications.

CoDaPack. An Excel and Visual Basic based software of compositional data analysis. Current version and discussion form upcoming versions

In the eighties, John Aitchison (1986) developed a new methodological approach for the statistical analysis of compositional data. This new methodology was implemented in Basic routines grouped under the name CODA and later NEWCODA inMatlab (Aitchison, 1997). After that, several other authors have published extensions to this methodology: Marín-Fernández and others (2000), Barceló-Vidal and others (2001), Pawlowsky-Glahn and Egozcue (2001, 2002) and Egozcue and others (2003). (...)

Bayesian tools for zero counts in compositional data

The log-ratio methodology makes available powerful tools for analyzing compositionaldata. Nevertheless, the use of this methodology is only possible for those data setswithout null values. Consequently, in those data sets where the zeros are present, aprevious treatment becomes necessary. Last advances in the treatment of compositionalzeros have been centered especially in the zeros of structural nature and in the roundedzeros. These tools do not contemplate the particular case of count compositional datasets with null values. In this work we deal with \count zeros" and we introduce atreatment based on a mixed Bayesian-multiplicative estimation. We use the Dirichletprobability distribution as a prior and we estimate the posterior probabilities. Then weapply a multiplicative modi¯cation for the non-zero values. We present a case studywhere this new methodology is applied.Key words: count data, multiplicative replacement, composition, log-ratio analysis

QFT control for vibration reduction in structures equipped with MR dampers

This short paper addresses the problem of designing a QFT (quantitative feedback theory) based controllers for the vibration reduction in a 6-story building structure equipped with shear-mode magnetorheological dampers. A new methodology is proposed for characterizing the nonlinear hysteretic behavior of the MR damper through the uncertainty template in the Nichols chart. The design procedure for QFT control design is briefly presented

Bistability of mitochondrial respiration underlies paradoxical reactive oxygen species generation induced by anoxia

Increased production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) in mitochondria underlies major systemic diseases, and this clinical problem stimulates a great scientific interest in the mechanism of ROS generation. However, the mechanism of hypoxia-induced change in ROS production is not fully understood. To mathematically analyze this mechanism in details, taking into consideration all the possible redox states formed in the process of electron transport, even for respiratory complex III, a system of hundreds of differential equations must be constructed. Aimed to facilitate such tasks, we developed a new methodology of modeling, which resides in the automated construction of large sets of differential equations. The detailed modeling of electron transport in mitochondria allowed for the identification of two steady state modes of operation (bistability) of respiratory complex III at the same microenvironmental conditions. Various perturbations could induce the transition of respiratory chain from one steady state to another. While normally complex III is in a low ROS producing mode, temporal anoxia could switch it to a high ROS producing state, which persists after the return to normal oxygen supply. This prediction, which we qualitatively validated experimentally, explains the mechanism of anoxia-induced cell damage. Recognition of bistability of complex III operation may enable novel therapeutic strategies for oxidative stress and our method of modeling could be widely used in systems biology studies.

Una nova estimació retrospectiva del VAB regional industrial. Espanya, 1860-1930

[cat] En aquest treball, es realitza una nova estimació del VAB industrial espanyol a un nivell de desagregació territorial corresponent a les províncies (NUTSIII) i les Comunitats Autònomes (NUTS II). Per assolir aquest objectiu es planteja una nova metodologia d’estimació de les xifres històriques de VAB industrial regional. Front a les aproximacions tradicionals, basades en la utilització de fonts fiscals com a forma d’aproximar la capacitat productiva industrial, en aquest treball s’ofereix una estimació que també es basa en les rendes generades per la producció industrial de les regions. Amb aquest objectiu, es fa servir la metodologia proposada per Geary i Stark (2002) i les millores proposades per Crafts (2005). La utilització d’aquesta metodologia permet elaborar una nova estimació retrospectiva del VAB industrial de les regions espanyoles a diversos talls temporals corresponents al període 1860-1930.

Una nova estimació retrospectiva del VAB regional industrial. Espanya, 1860-1930

[cat] En aquest treball, es realitza una nova estimació del VAB industrial espanyol a un nivell de desagregació territorial corresponent a les províncies (NUTSIII) i les Comunitats Autònomes (NUTS II). Per assolir aquest objectiu es planteja una nova metodologia d’estimació de les xifres històriques de VAB industrial regional. Front a les aproximacions tradicionals, basades en la utilització de fonts fiscals com a forma d’aproximar la capacitat productiva industrial, en aquest treball s’ofereix una estimació que també es basa en les rendes generades per la producció industrial de les regions. Amb aquest objectiu, es fa servir la metodologia proposada per Geary i Stark (2002) i les millores proposades per Crafts (2005). La utilització d’aquesta metodologia permet elaborar una nova estimació retrospectiva del VAB industrial de les regions espanyoles a diversos talls temporals corresponents al període 1860-1930.

Implantació de la metodologia àgil SCRUM en el manteniment de sistemes CRM

L'objectiu d'aquest projecte és definir una metodologia de treball àgil en el manteniment de sistemes CRM basada en la metodologia de desenvolupament de software SCRUM. A partir de l'estudi d'aquesta metodologia i de la definició dels processos de manteniment d'un sistema CRM, el projecte adapta aquests processos i proposa una nova metodologia que millorarà el rendiment, l'eficiència i la satisfacció tant dels equips de treball que participen en l'execució d’aquests processos com dels clients finals.

El treball amb percussió corporal ajuda a millorar l'atenció i la concentració?

Diferents civilitzacions han basat les seves mostres culturals en el ritme i l’ús del cos com a instrument. Moltes són tradicions ancestrals, que passen de generació en generació, sense cap anotació musical. Per tant, aquestes danses, basades en la percussió corporal, tenen com a elements bàsics l’atenció i la memorització. Diversos professionals (K. Terry, J. Romero, S. Serratosa...) han defensat que la pràctica de la percussió corporal aporta beneficis a tots nivells: potenciació de l’autoestima, reconeixement i acceptació del propi cos... Són precisament aquests fets els que han convertit aquesta disciplina en una metodologia present a les aules de Primària. L’objectiu d’aquesta recerca segueix aquesta línia: comprovar si, a través del treball de la percussió corporal, els alumnes de cicle mitjà del centre La Monjoia milloren la seva capacitat d’atenció i memorització. Per avaluar-ho, s’usaran un test de percepció auditiva i un de percepció visual i els resultats es contrastaran amb l’opinió de diversos docents.