Predicción de incendios forestales basada en algoritmos evolutivos guiados por los datos

En este trabajo se propone un método para mejorar la predicción de la propagación de incendios forestales. En la actualidad existen diversos simuladores de comportamiento del fuego los cuales utilizan diversos parámetros de entrada. Estos parámetros de entrada suelen ser una fuente de imprecisión dada la dificultad que resulta disponer de sus valores reales. Este trabajo intenta mejorar las predicciones mediante la mejora de la precisión de los parámetros de entrada. Se utiliza un algoritmo genético guiado utilizando conocimiento disponible. Los resultados observados demuestran que utilizar conocimiento mejora la precisión de las predicciones y acelera dicho proceso.

Factors explaining local privatization: A meta-regression analysis

Privatization of local public services has been implemented worldwide in the last decades. Why local governments privatize has been the subject of much discussion, and many empirical works have been devoted to analyzing the factors that explain local privatization. Such works have found a great diversity of motivations, and the variation among reported empirical results is large. To investigate this diversity we undertake a meta-regression analysis of the factors explaining the decision to privatize local services. Overall, our results indicate that significant relationships are very dependent upon the characteristics of the studies. Indeed, fiscal stress and political considerations have been found to contribute to local privatization specially in the studies of US cases published in the eighties that consider a broad range of services. Studies that focus on one service capture more accurately the influence of scale economies on privatization. Finally, governments of small towns are more affected by fiscal stress, political considerations and economic efficiency, while ideology seems to play a major role for large cities.

Deconstructing Purism: Unconscious Drives and Meta-argumentation in Straight Photography

The thesis investigates the nature of the Purist discourse in photography, with the aim of unveiling its lack of a solid theoretical foundation and its unconscious content. Purism outlines the fact that photography is a unique craft, that may not borrow ideas from painting or any other art forms. What makes the Purist discourse suspect and attracts attention to its possible circular style? The fact that the views expressed by its supporters include a frenzied edge, an unnecessary ardor, a combative tone that discloses that there’s something hidden, something that doesn’t serve the purpose of presenting an unbiased philosophical claim

Utilidad del Dímero-D en los algoritmos diagnósticos de trombosis venosa profunda: análisis según edad y tiempo de evolución

El diagnòstic de la Trombosi Venosa Profunda pot ser difícil degut a una clínica poc específica. S’han desenvolupat diversos algoritmes en què el Dímer-D té un important paper, degut al seu elevat valor predictiu negatiu. El Dímer-D augmenta amb l’edat i disminueix des de l’aparició dels símptomes, si ajustem el seu punt de tall tenint en compte aquests dos paràmetres, és possible augmentar el seu rendiment diagnòstic. Segons els nostres resultats, als subjectes majors de 70 anys i als que presenten una clínica inferior a 14 dies, es podria utilitzar un punt de tall de 1000 ng/mL

Dependencia de los algoritmos con el consumo de energía en sistemas HPC

El consumo energético es un aspecto cada vez más importante en el diseño de microprocesadores. Este trabajo experimenta con una técnica de control del consumo, el escalado dinámico de tensión y frecuencia (DVFS, siglas en inglés), para determinar cuan efectiva es la misma en la ejecución de programas con diferentes cargas de trabajo, intensivas en cómputo o memoria. Además, se ha extendido la experimentación a varios núcleos de ejecución, permitiendo comprobar en que medida las características de la ejecución en una arquitectura multicore afecta al desempeño de dicha técnica.

Problemas en la implementación de algoritmos de routing de alta complejidad en dispositivos móviles: el caso Itiner@

La aparición de terminales de telefonía móvil cada vez más potentes abre un nuevo abanico de posibilidades en cuanto a usos y aplicaciones. Sin embargo, y dadas las limitaciones tanto de memoria como de CPU que tienen estos dispositivos, algunas de las aplicaciones potenciales resultan muy difíciles o incluso imposibles de llevar a la práctica. Este es el caso, por ejemplo, de aplicaciones de cálculo de rutas. En el contexto del proyecto Itiner@, un asistente para rutas turísticas completamente autónomo que debe funcionar incluso sin conexión a Internet, todos los procesos deben ejecutarse íntegramente de forma local en el dispositivo móvil. Dado que es un proyecto orientado al ocio, es importante que la experiencia del usuario sea satisfactoria, por lo que además de poder ejecutar el algoritmo de cálculo de rutas, el sistema debe hacerlo de forma rápida. En este sentido, los algoritmos recursivos habituales son demasiado costosos o lentos para su uso en Itiner@ y ha sido necesario reinventar este tipo de algoritmos en función de las limitaciones que tienen estos dispositivos. En el presente trabajo se presenta el proceso seguido y las dificultades encontradas para implementar un algoritmo recursivo de cálculo de rutas que se ejecute íntegramente en un dispositivo móvil Android de forma eficiente. Así, finalmente se llega a un algoritmo recursivo de cálculo de rutas para dispositivos móviles que se ejecuta de forma más eficiente frente a algoritmos directamente portados a dispositivos móviles. La principal contribución del trabajo es doble: por un lado ofrece algunas guías útiles al desarrollo de algoritmos más eficientes para dispositivos móviles; y por el otro, muestra un algoritmo de cálculo de rutas que funciona con un tiempo de respuesta aceptable, en un entorno exigente, como es el de las aplicaciones de turismo en móviles

Infraestructura de comunicaciones para algoritmos colaborativos

Este proyecto intenta crear un sistema cliente/servidor de comunicaciones para distintas máquinas paralelas en C++ utilizando WCF como tecnología en el servidor.

Diseño e implementación de un gestor para realizar evaluaciones heurísticas

El trabajo consiste en el desarrollo de una aplicación que permita gestionar evaluaciones heurísticas de diferentes proyectos. Debe almacenar la información del proyecto y de los evaluadores, la heurística empleada, la evaluación y los resultados de la misma.

Determinants of linear judgment: A meta-analysis of lens model studies

The mathematical representation of Brunswik s lens model has been usedextensively to study human judgment and provides a unique opportunity to conduct ameta-analysis of studies that covers roughly five decades. Specifically, we analyzestatistics of the lens model equation (Tucker, 1964) associated with 259 different taskenvironments obtained from 78 papers. In short, we find on average fairly high levelsof judgmental achievement and note that people can achieve similar levels of cognitiveperformance in both noisy and predictable environments. Although overall performancevaries little between laboratory and field studies, both differ in terms of components ofperformance and types of environments (numbers of cues and redundancy). An analysisof learning studies reveals that the most effective form of feedback is information aboutthe task. We also analyze empirically when bootstrapping is more likely to occur. Weconclude by indicating shortcomings of the kinds of studies conducted to date, limitationsin the lens model methodology, and possibilities for future research.

Meta-structure correlation in protein space unveils different selection rules for folded and intrinsically disordered proteins

The number of existing protein sequences spans a very small fraction of sequence space. Natural proteins have overcome a strong negative selective pressure to avoid the formation of insoluble aggregates. Stably folded globular proteins and intrinsically disordered proteins (IDP) use alternative solutions to the aggregation problem. While in globular proteins folding minimizes the access to aggregation prone regions IDPs on average display large exposed contact areas. Here, we introduce the concept of average meta-structure correlation map to analyze sequence space. Using this novel conceptual view we show that representative ensembles of folded and ID proteins show distinct characteristics and responds differently to sequence randomization. By studying the way evolutionary constraints act on IDPs to disable a negative function (aggregation) we might gain insight into the mechanisms by which function - enabling information is encoded in IDPs.

A hybrid algorithm combining metaheuristic with Monte Carlo simulation for solving the Stochastic Flow Shop problem

In this paper, a hybrid simulation-based algorithm is proposed for the StochasticFlow Shop Problem. The main idea of the methodology is to transform the stochastic problem into a deterministic problem and then apply simulation to the latter. In order to achieve this goal, we rely on Monte Carlo Simulation and an adapted version of a deterministic heuristic. This approach aims to provide flexibility and simplicity due to the fact that it is not constrained by any previous assumption and relies in well-tested heuristics.

A hybrid algorithm combining metaheuristic with Monte Carlo simulation for solving the Stochastic Flow Shop problem

In this paper, a hybrid simulation-based algorithm is proposed for the StochasticFlow Shop Problem. The main idea of the methodology is to transform the stochastic problem into a deterministic problem and then apply simulation to the latter. In order to achieve this goal, we rely on Monte Carlo Simulation and an adapted version of a deterministic heuristic. This approach aims to provide flexibility and simplicity due to the fact that it is not constrained by any previous assumption and relies in well-tested heuristics.

Effectiveness of psychotropic medications in the maintenance phase of bipolar disorder:a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

The purpose of this meta-analysis was to examine the efficacy of maintenance treatments for bipolar disorder. Placebo-controlled or active comparator bipolar maintenance clinical trials of ≥6 months' duration with at least 15 patients/treatment group were identified using Medline, EMBASE, clinicaltrials.gov, and Cochrane databases (1993 to July 2010). The main outcome measure was relative risk for relapse for patients in remission. Twenty trials (5,364 patients) were identified. Overall, lithium and quetiapine were the most studied agents (eight and five trials, respectively). The majority of studies included patients who had previously responded to treatment for an acute episode. All interventions, with the exception of perphenazine+mood stabilizer, showed a relative risk for manic/mixed or depressive relapse below 1.0, although there was variation in the statistical significance of the findings vs. placebo. No monotherapy was associated with a significantly reduced risk for both manic/mixed and depressed relapse. Of the combination treatments, only quetiapine+lithium/divalproex, was associated with a significantly reduced risk vs. comparator (placebo+lithium/valproate) for relapse at both the manic/mixed and depressed poles of bipolar illness. Limitations for the analysis include differences in study durations and definitions of relapse. In conclusion, available maintenance therapies show considerable variation in efficacy. The efficacy of lithium and divalproex has been confirmed, but newer therapies, such as a number of atypical antipsychotics were also shown to be effective in bipolar disorder. Efficacy of all maintenance interventions needs to be balanced against the safety and tolerability profiles of individual agents.

Effectiveness of pharmacist care in the improvement of adherence to antidepressants: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Pharmacists can play a decisive role in the management of ambulatory patients with depression who have poor adherence to antidepressant drugs. OBJECTIVE: To systematically evaluate the effectiveness of pharmacist care in improving adherence of depressed outpatients to antidepressants. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was conducted. RCTs were identified through electronic databases (MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Institute for Scientific Information Web of Knowledge, and Spanish National Research Council) from inception to April 2010, reference lists were checked, and experts were consulted. RCTs that evaluated the impact of pharmacist interventions on improving adherence to antidepressants in depressed patients in an outpatient setting (community pharmacy or pharmacy service) were included. Methodologic quality was assessed and methodologic details and outcomes were extracted in duplicate. RESULTS: Six RCTs were identified. A total of 887 patients with an established diagnosis of depression who were initiating or maintaining pharmacologic treatment with antidepressant drugs and who received pharmacist care (459 patients) or usual care (428 patients) were included in the review. The most commonly reported interventions were patient education and monitoring, monitoring and management of toxicity and adverse effects, adherence promotion, provision of written or visual information, and recommendation or implementation of changes or adjustments in medication. Overall, no statistical heterogeneity or publication bias was detected. The pooled odds ratio, using a random effects model, was 1.64 (95% CI 1.24 to 2.17). Subgroup analysis showed no statistically significant differences in results by type of pharmacist involved, adherence measure, diagnostic tool, or analysis strategy. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that pharmacist intervention is effective in the improvement of patient adherence to antidepressants. However, data are still limited and we would recommend more research in this area, specifically outside of the US.