El discurs polític: la immigració com a pretext

El treball és una d’anàlisi del discurs polític que apareix en els programes electorals dels candidats a les presidencials franceses 2012, centrant l’atenció en el terme immigration. L’objectiu és identificar de quina manera expressen la seva ideologia, concretar les semblances, les divergències i els matisos que determinen en els seus discursos.

Conditional compositional biplots: theory and application

The biplot has proved to be a powerful descriptive and analytical tool in many areasof applications of statistics. For compositional data the necessary theoreticaladaptation has been provided, with illustrative applications, by Aitchison (1990) andAitchison and Greenacre (2002). These papers were restricted to the interpretation ofsimple compositional data sets. In many situations the problem has to be described insome form of conditional modelling. For example, in a clinical trial where interest isin how patients’ steroid metabolite compositions may change as a result of differenttreatment regimes, interest is in relating the compositions after treatment to thecompositions before treatment and the nature of the treatments applied. To study thisthrough a biplot technique requires the development of some form of conditionalcompositional biplot. This is the purpose of this paper. We choose as a motivatingapplication an analysis of the 1992 US President ial Election, where interest may be inhow the three-part composition, the percentage division among the three candidates -Bush, Clinton and Perot - of the presidential vote in each state, depends on the ethniccomposition and on the urban-rural composition of the state. The methodology ofconditional compositional biplots is first developed and a detailed interpretation of the1992 US Presidential Election provided. We use a second application involving theconditional variability of tektite mineral compositions with respect to major oxidecompositions to demonstrate some hazards of simplistic interpretation of biplots.Finally we conjecture on further possible applications of conditional compositionalbiplots

An agenda-setting model of electoral competition

This paper presents a model of electoral competition focusing on the formation of thepublic agenda. An incumbent government and a challenger party in opposition competein elections by choosing the issues that will key out their campaigns. Giving salience toan issue implies proposing an innovative policy proposal, alternative to the status-quo.Parties trade off the issues with high salience in voters concerns and those with broadagreement on some alternative policy proposal. Each party expects a higher probabilityof victory if the issue it chooses becomes salient in the voters decision. But remarkably,the issues which are considered the most important ones by a majority of votes may notbe given salience during the electoral campaign. An incumbent government may survivein spite of its bad policy performance if there is no sufficiently broad agreement on apolicy alternative. We illustrate the analytical potential of the model with the case of theUnited States presidential election in 2004.

The Instrumental voter goes to the news-agent: demand for information, election closeness, and the media

This paper studies the impact of instrumental voting on information demand and mass media behaviour during electoral campaigns. If voters act instrumentally then information demand should increase with the closeness of an election. Mass media are modeled as profit-maximizing firms that take into account information demand, the value of customers to advertisers and the marginal cost of customers. Information supply should be larger in electoral constituencies where the contest is expected to be closer, there is a higher population density, and customers are on average more profitable for advertisers. The impact of electorate size is theoretically undetermined. These conclusions are then tested with comfortable results on data from the 1997 general election in Britain.

The 2004 election in Spain: terrorism, accountability, and voting

In this paper the electoral consequences of the Islamist terrorist attacks on March 11, 2004 are analysed. According to a quantitative analysis based on a post-electoral survey, we show the causal mechanisms that transform voters’ reactions to the bombings into a particular electoral behaviour and estimate their relevance in the electoral results on March 14, 2004

1st National Accessiblity Plan 2004-2012: achieving equal opportunities and full participation through design for all

According to official statistics, disabled people in Spain number 3.5 million and make up 8.8% of the Spanish population. This group of people are increasingly being recognised as members of society with equal rights, and many of their demands are gradually being transformed into solutions that benefit society as a whole. One example is improved accessibility. Accessible built environments are more human and inclusive places, as well as being easier to get around. Improved accessibility is now recognised as a requirement shared by all members of society, although it is achieved thanks to the demands of disabled people and their representatives. The 1st National Accessibility Plan is a strategic framework for action aimed at ensuring that new products, services and built environments are designed to be accessible for as many people as possible (Design for All) and that existing ones are gradually duly adapted.

I Plan Nacional de Accesibilidad 2004-2012

El I Plan Nacional de Accesibilidad 2004-2012 (PNdA) es el mecanismo por el cual la Administración General del Estado se propone acometer de forma ordenada y conjunta con otras administraciones y entidades, la transformación de entornos, servicios y productos, para hacerlos plenamente accesibles a todas las personas, especialmente a aquellas con alguna discapacidad. Por ello la exigencia de desarrollo del Plan surge del articulado de una ley, la Ley 51/2003 sobre igualdad de oportunidades, no discriminación y accesibilidad universal de las personas con discapacidad. Su plazo de ejecución comprende hasta el año 2012.

I Plan Nacional de Accesibilidad 2004-2012: Informe de aplicación. Memoria final

Para arrancar y poner en práctica el Plan se ha considerado la necesidad de desarrollar una “hoja de ruta” (Informe de Puesta en Marcha y Aplicación) de cada una de las acciones consideradas más prioritarias en el primer trienio, a modo de guía para su implementación.

Desarrollo de una metodología para la creación de indicadores de evaluación del ProAire León 2008-2012

El uso de indicadores es una herramienta muy útil cuando intervienen varios factores dentro de un mismo estudio o comparación. En el presente proyecto se ha propuesto una metodología para evaluar un programa específico de acciones para la mejora de la calidad del aire (ProAire) en la ciudad guanajuatense de León, México. Se trata de la propuesta de indicadores ambientales, de salud, económicos y sociales que puedan aplicar en acciones del ProAire para evaluar su puesta en marcha y cómo, mediante toda la información recopilada a lo largo de este estudio, se van a aplicar estos indicadores, que van a dar una idea sobre cómo se está desarrollando el ProAire y si éste requiere de alguna modificación para mejorar. Al aplicarse los indicadores, se realiza un balance de cuáles son las acciones más importantes ambientalmente y socialmente y se hace hincapié en la necesidad de prestarles mayor atención. También se describen varias propuestas de mejora y consejos a aplicar en el programa para que éste sea más eficiente y los actores implicados puedan desarrollar sus acciones con mayor rapidez. Mediante el presente estudio se puede comprobar cómo de importante es la sociedad y los recursos económicos dentro de la problemática medioambiental.

The Disadvantage of winning an election

This paper analyzes the problem that an incumbent faces during the legislature when deciding how to react to popular initiatives or policy proposals coming from different sources. We argue that this potential source of electoral disadvantage that the incumbent obtains after being elected can jeopardize the reelection possibilities of the incumbent. We analyze the decision of the incumbent when facing reelection and we characterize the conditions under which the advantages that the incumbent obtains can overcome the disadvantages. Finally, we use the results of this analysis to discuss some implications of the use of mechanisms of direct democracy like referenda and popular assemblies on electoral competition.

A Political Agency Model of Coattail Voting

In this paper, I provide a formal justi…cation for a well-established coattail effect, when a popular candidate at one branch of government attracts votes to candidates from the same political party for other branches of government. A political agency frame- work with moral hazard is applied to analyze coattails in simultaneous presidential and congressional elections. I show that coattail voting is a natural outcome of the optimal reelection scheme adopted by a representative voter to motivate politicians' efforts in a retrospective voting environment. I assume that an office-motivated politician (executive or congressman) prefers her counterpart to be affiliated with the same political party. This correlation of incentives leads the voter to adopt a joint performance evaluation rule, which is conditioned on the politicians belonging to the same party or different parties. The two-sided coattail effects then arise. On the one hand, the executive's suc- cess/failure props up/drags down her partisan ally in congressional election, which implies presidential coattails. On the other hand, the executive's reelection itself is affected by the congressman's performance, which results in reverse coattails. JEL classi…fication: D72, D86. Keywords: Coattail voting; Presidential coattails; Reverse coattails; Simultaneous elections; Political Agency; Retrospective voting.

Jornades de seguretat viària al món local Mollet del Vallès, 27 i 28 de gener de 2012: recull de ponències

Proporcionar els coneixements i les eines més adients als càrrecs electes i al personal tècnic dels ajuntaments sobre el trànsit, la seguretat viària i sobre els recursos de què disposen per millorar la mobilitat en el seu municipi.

TFC de base de dades relacionals

El projecte consisteix en crear un disseny de base de dades segons els requeriments del client, en aquest cas la comunitat Europea, que emmagatzemi les dades de la futura aplicació que gestionarà les votacions ciutadanes. A més del disseny de la base de dades, el projecte haurà d'incorporar una sèrie de processos que consultin dades que podran ser demanades pel programari que faci la interacció amb els usuaris. Programari que no està inclòs en aquesta fase del pla de la Comunitat Europea.