The colonial origins of Civil War

The dominant hypothesis in the literature that studies conflict is that poverty is the main cause of civil wars. We instead analyze the effect of institutions on civil war, controlling for income per capita. In our set up, institutions are endogenous and colonial origins affect civil wars through their legacy on institutions. Our results indicate that institutions, proxied by the protection of property rights, rule of law and the efficiency of the legal system, are a fundamental cause of civil war. In particular, an improvement in institutions from the median value in the sample to the 75th percentile is associated with a 38 percentage points reduction in the incidence of civil wars. Moreover, once institutions are included as explaining civil wars, income does not have any effect on civil war, either directly or indirectly.

Ethnic polarization, potential conflict and civil wars

This paper analyzes the relationship between ethnic fractionalization, polarization, and conflict. In recent years many authors have found empirical evidence that ethnic fractionalization has a negative effect on growth. One mechanism that can explain this nexus is the effect of ethnic heterogeneity on rent-seeking activities and the increase in potential conflict, which is negative for investment. However the empirical evidence supporting the effect of ethnic fractionalization on the incidence of civil conflicts is very weak. Although ethnic fractionalization may be important for growth, we argue that the channel is not through an increase in potential ethnic conflict. We discuss the appropriateness of indices of polarization to capture conflictive dimensions. We develop a new measure of ethnic heterogeneity that satisfies the basic properties associated with the concept of polarization. The empirical section shows that this index of ethnic polarization is a significant variable in the explanation of the incidence of civil wars. This result is robust to the presence of other indicators of ethnic heterogeneity, other sources of data for the construction of the index, and other data structures.

Economic shocks and civil conflict: A comment

Miguel, Satyanath, and Sergenti (2004) argue that lowerrainfall levels and negative rainfall shocks increase conflictrisk in Sub-Saharan Africa. This conclusion rests on theirfinding of a negative correlation between conflict in t andrainfall growth between t-1 and t-2. I argue that this findingis driven by a positive correlation between conflict in t andrainfall levels in t-2. If lower rainfall levels or negativerainfall shocks increased conflict, one might have expectedMSS s finding to reflect a negative correlation betweenconflict in t and rainfall levels in t-1. In the latest data,conflict is unrelated to rainfall.

Use of NIR spectroscopy and multivariate process spectra calibration methodology for pharmaceutical solid samples analysis

Accomplish high quality of final products in pharmaceutical industry is a challenge that requires the control and supervision of all the manufacturing steps. This request created the necessity of developing fast and accurate analytical methods. Near infrared spectroscopy together with chemometrics, fulfill this growing demand. The high speed providing relevant information and the versatility of its application to different types of samples lead these combined techniques as one of the most appropriated. This study is focused on the development of a calibration model able to determine amounts of API from industrial granulates using NIR, chemometrics and process spectra methodology.

Les influències dels factors socials en l'ús de serveis formals

Objectiu: Aquest estudi pretén aportar coneixement sobre el model d’atenció que reben les persones de més de 79 anys dependents del municipi de Vic. Analitzar en quina mesura es fa ús dels serveis formals i quines variables influeixen en la utilització d’aquest. Mètode: Estudi retrospectiu, descriptiu i transversal. De metodologia quantitativa. La població d’estudi són aquelles persones de 80 i més anys de Vic que van sol·licitar la valoració de dependència entre els anys 2007-2010, amb un grau II o III de dependència reconegut i un Pla Individual d’Atenció validat i concedit per la Generalitat de Catalunya (n=453). Les dades provenen de registres de la Generalitat de Catalunya i de l’Àrea d’Afers Socials i Ciutadania de l’Ajuntament de Vic. Les variables dependents són la utilització de recursos formals (teleassitència, servei d’atenció domiciliària –públic i privat- , centre de dia, residència i prestacions econòmiques derivades de la llei de la dependència). El grau de dependència, el gènere, l’edat, l’estat civil, la convivència, el cuidador principal i el nivell de renda es van considerar variables independents. Resultats: El model d’atenció majoritari és el que complementa el suport informal amb el formal (62.3%). L’ús de recursos formals té un paper subsidiari (37.7%). La variable convivència influeix de forma significativa amb l’ús de serveis formals (p&0.001 en l’ús de TAS, el SAD públic i el SAD privat) . Conclusió: Els disseny de programes i criteris de provisió de serveis haurien de contemplar no només el grau de dependència sinó també variables més d’entorn com la convivència. No obstant, existeix encara poca evidència científica en aquesta línia, per això s’hauria de potenciar l’ investigació que permetés analitzar les variables de la funció social de forma més acurada. Paraules clau: Dependència, suport formal, suport informal.

A methodology for the classification of convective structures using meteorological radar: Application to heavy rainfall events on the Mediterranean coast of the Iberian Peninsula

During the period 1996-2000, forty-three heavy rainfall events have been detected in the Internal Basins of Catalonia (Northeastern of Spain). Most of these events caused floods and serious damage. This high number leads to the need for a methodology to classify them, on the basis of their surface rainfall distribution, their internal organization and their physical features. The aim of this paper is to show a methodology to analyze systematically the convective structures responsible of those heavy rainfall events on the basis of the information supplied by the meteorological radar. The proposed methodology is as follows. Firstly, the rainfall intensity and the surface rainfall pattern are analyzed on the basis of the raingauge data. Secondly, the convective structures at the lowest level are identified and characterized by using a 2-D algorithm, and the convective cells are identified by using a 3-D procedure that looks for the reflectivity cores in every radar volume. Thirdly, the convective cells (3-D) are associated with the 2-D structures (convective rainfall areas). This methodology has been applied to the 43 heavy rainfall events using the meteorological radar located near Barcelona and the SAIH automatic raingauge network.

A reflection about the social and technological aspects in flood risk management - the case of the Italian Civil Protection

The right of a person to be protected from natural hazards is a characteristic of the social and economical development of the society. This paper is a contribution to the reflection about the role of Civil Protection organizations in a modern society. The paper is based in the inaugural conference made by the authors on the 9th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms. Two major issues are considered. The first one is sociological; the Civil Protection organizations and the responsible administration of the land use planning should be perceived as reliable as possible, in order to get consensus on the restrictions they pose, temporary or definitely, on the individual free use of the territory as well as in the entire warning system. The second one is technological: in order to be reliable they have to issue timely alert and warning to the population at large, but such alarms should be as "true" as possible. With this aim, the paper summarizes the historical evolution of the risk assessment, starting from the original concept of "hazard", introducing the concepts of "scenario of event" and "scenario of risk" and ending with a discussion about the uncertainties and limits of the most advanced and efficient tools to predict, to forecast and to observe the ground effects affecting people and their properties. The discussion is centred in the case of heavy rains and flood events in the North-West of Mediterranean Region.

The referent : a new referential methodology and procedure in live drawing

My research in live drawing and new technologies uses a combination of a human figure in live in composition, overlaid with a digital projection of a second human figure. The aim is to explore, to amplify and thoroughly analyse the search for distinctive identities and graphic languages of representation for live and projected models.

Principio de unidad familiar y cambio de vecindad civil por residencia. Comentario a la STS, 1ª, 14.9.2009

En la línea apuntada por la mayoría de la doctrina, la STS de 14.9.2009 considera que desde la entrada en vigor de la Constitución española (1978) debía entenderse derogada la regla de propagación a la esposa de la vecindad civil del marido prevista en el art. 14.4 CCe [redacción de 1974]; ello supone que desde entonces la mujer casada pudo cambiar autónomamente de vecindad civil. Partiendo de ello, en el caso enjuiciado, la mujer cambió de vecindad civil por residencia continuada en Cataluña durante más de diez años sin declaración en contrario (art. 14.3.2.o CCe [1974] y 14.5.2.o CCe [1990]), vecindad civil catalana que mantenía en el momento de su fallecimiento, pese a haber realizado distintas manifestaciones ¿que resultan ineficaces? en el sentido de ostentar o de querer conservar la vecindad civil navarra.

Fums desiguals. Comentari a la STSJC, Sala Civil i Penal, 31.3.2008 (MP: Ma. Eugènia Alegret Burgués)

L'objecte del plet són els requisits necessaris per a la instal·lació d¿una xemeneia per a l'evacuació dels fums del local situat en els baixos d'un edifici en règim de propietat horitzontal. La matèria no és nova, però la STSJC de 31 de març de 2008 suposa un canvi de criteri jurisprudencial en relació amb la STSJC de 15 de gener de 2005, que la Sala ha de justificar per evitar la infracció del principi d¿igualtat en l¿aplicació de la llei.

Principi d'unitat familiar i canvi de veïnatge civil per residència. Comentari a la STS, 1a, 14.9.2009

En la línia del que havia apuntat la majoria de la doctrina, la STS de 14.9.2009 considera que des de l¿entrada en vigor de la Constitució espanyola (1978) havia d'entendre's derogada la regla de propagació a l¿esposa del veïnatge civil del marit prevista a l¿art. 14.4 Codi civil espanyol [redacció de 1974]; això suposa que des d¿aleshores la dona casada podia canviar autònomament de veïnatge civil. Partint d'això, en el cas judicat, la dona va canviar de veïnatge civil per residència continuada a Catalunya durant més de deu anys sense declaració en contra (art. 14.3.2n CCe [1974] i 14.5.2n CCe [1990]), veïnatge civil català que mantenia en el moment de la seva mort, malgrat haver realitzat diferents manifestacions -que resulten ineficaces- en el sentit de tenir o de voler conservar el veïnatge civil navarrès.

Minoría de edad y cómputo del plazo de diez años para la adquisición de la vecindad civil por residencia. Comentario a la STSJC 1/2009, de 12 de enero de 2009

Comentario de la STSJC 1/2009, de 12 de enero de 2009, en el cual se aborda la cuestión de si en el cómputo del plazo de 10 años para la adquisición de la vecindad civil por residencia se puede o no incluir el tiempo en que el interesado es menor de edad, a propósito del artículo 225.2 del Reglamento del Registro Civil.

Some fundamental aspects of palentological methodology: its problems and incidence

Two trends which presently exist in relation to the concept of Paleontology are analyzed, pointing out some of the aspects which negative influence. Various reflections are made based on examples of some of the principal points of paleontological method, such as the influence of a punctual sampling, the meaning of size-frequency distribution and subjectivity in the identification of fossils. Topics which have a marked repercussion in diverse aspects of Paleontology are discussed.