The aftermath of Civil War

Using an event-study methodology, this paper analyzes the aftermath of civil war in a cross-section of countries. It focuses on those experiences where the end of conflict marks the beginning of a relatively lasting peace. The paper considers 41 countries involved in internal wars in the period 1960-2003. In order to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the aftermath of war, the paper considers a host of social areas represented by basic indicators of economic performance, health and education, political development, demographic trends, and conflict and security issues. For each of these indicators, the paper first compares the post- and pre-war situations and then examines their dynamic trends during the post-conflict period. It conducts this analysis both in absolute and relative terms, the latter in relation to control groups of otherwise similar countries. The paper concludes that, even though war has devastating effects and its aftermath can be immensely difficult, when the end of war marks the beginning of lasting peace, recovery and improvement are indeed achieved.

The colonial origins of Civil War

The dominant hypothesis in the literature that studies conflict is that poverty is the main cause of civil wars. We instead analyze the effect of institutions on civil war, controlling for income per capita. In our set up, institutions are endogenous and colonial origins affect civil wars through their legacy on institutions. Our results indicate that institutions, proxied by the protection of property rights, rule of law and the efficiency of the legal system, are a fundamental cause of civil war. In particular, an improvement in institutions from the median value in the sample to the 75th percentile is associated with a 38 percentage points reduction in the incidence of civil wars. Moreover, once institutions are included as explaining civil wars, income does not have any effect on civil war, either directly or indirectly.

Ethnic polarization, potential conflict and civil wars

This paper analyzes the relationship between ethnic fractionalization, polarization, and conflict. In recent years many authors have found empirical evidence that ethnic fractionalization has a negative effect on growth. One mechanism that can explain this nexus is the effect of ethnic heterogeneity on rent-seeking activities and the increase in potential conflict, which is negative for investment. However the empirical evidence supporting the effect of ethnic fractionalization on the incidence of civil conflicts is very weak. Although ethnic fractionalization may be important for growth, we argue that the channel is not through an increase in potential ethnic conflict. We discuss the appropriateness of indices of polarization to capture conflictive dimensions. We develop a new measure of ethnic heterogeneity that satisfies the basic properties associated with the concept of polarization. The empirical section shows that this index of ethnic polarization is a significant variable in the explanation of the incidence of civil wars. This result is robust to the presence of other indicators of ethnic heterogeneity, other sources of data for the construction of the index, and other data structures.

Economic shocks and civil conflict: A comment

Miguel, Satyanath, and Sergenti (2004) argue that lowerrainfall levels and negative rainfall shocks increase conflictrisk in Sub-Saharan Africa. This conclusion rests on theirfinding of a negative correlation between conflict in t andrainfall growth between t-1 and t-2. I argue that this findingis driven by a positive correlation between conflict in t andrainfall levels in t-2. If lower rainfall levels or negativerainfall shocks increased conflict, one might have expectedMSS s finding to reflect a negative correlation betweenconflict in t and rainfall levels in t-1. In the latest data,conflict is unrelated to rainfall.

A reflection about the social and technological aspects in flood risk management - the case of the Italian Civil Protection

The right of a person to be protected from natural hazards is a characteristic of the social and economical development of the society. This paper is a contribution to the reflection about the role of Civil Protection organizations in a modern society. The paper is based in the inaugural conference made by the authors on the 9th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms. Two major issues are considered. The first one is sociological; the Civil Protection organizations and the responsible administration of the land use planning should be perceived as reliable as possible, in order to get consensus on the restrictions they pose, temporary or definitely, on the individual free use of the territory as well as in the entire warning system. The second one is technological: in order to be reliable they have to issue timely alert and warning to the population at large, but such alarms should be as "true" as possible. With this aim, the paper summarizes the historical evolution of the risk assessment, starting from the original concept of "hazard", introducing the concepts of "scenario of event" and "scenario of risk" and ending with a discussion about the uncertainties and limits of the most advanced and efficient tools to predict, to forecast and to observe the ground effects affecting people and their properties. The discussion is centred in the case of heavy rains and flood events in the North-West of Mediterranean Region.

Principio de unidad familiar y cambio de vecindad civil por residencia. Comentario a la STS, 1ª, 14.9.2009

En la línea apuntada por la mayoría de la doctrina, la STS de 14.9.2009 considera que desde la entrada en vigor de la Constitución española (1978) debía entenderse derogada la regla de propagación a la esposa de la vecindad civil del marido prevista en el art. 14.4 CCe [redacción de 1974]; ello supone que desde entonces la mujer casada pudo cambiar autónomamente de vecindad civil. Partiendo de ello, en el caso enjuiciado, la mujer cambió de vecindad civil por residencia continuada en Cataluña durante más de diez años sin declaración en contrario (art. 14.3.2.o CCe [1974] y 14.5.2.o CCe [1990]), vecindad civil catalana que mantenía en el momento de su fallecimiento, pese a haber realizado distintas manifestaciones ¿que resultan ineficaces? en el sentido de ostentar o de querer conservar la vecindad civil navarra.

Fums desiguals. Comentari a la STSJC, Sala Civil i Penal, 31.3.2008 (MP: Ma. Eugènia Alegret Burgués)

L'objecte del plet són els requisits necessaris per a la instal·lació d¿una xemeneia per a l'evacuació dels fums del local situat en els baixos d'un edifici en règim de propietat horitzontal. La matèria no és nova, però la STSJC de 31 de març de 2008 suposa un canvi de criteri jurisprudencial en relació amb la STSJC de 15 de gener de 2005, que la Sala ha de justificar per evitar la infracció del principi d¿igualtat en l¿aplicació de la llei.

Principi d'unitat familiar i canvi de veïnatge civil per residència. Comentari a la STS, 1a, 14.9.2009

En la línia del que havia apuntat la majoria de la doctrina, la STS de 14.9.2009 considera que des de l¿entrada en vigor de la Constitució espanyola (1978) havia d'entendre's derogada la regla de propagació a l¿esposa del veïnatge civil del marit prevista a l¿art. 14.4 Codi civil espanyol [redacció de 1974]; això suposa que des d¿aleshores la dona casada podia canviar autònomament de veïnatge civil. Partint d'això, en el cas judicat, la dona va canviar de veïnatge civil per residència continuada a Catalunya durant més de deu anys sense declaració en contra (art. 14.3.2n CCe [1974] i 14.5.2n CCe [1990]), veïnatge civil català que mantenia en el moment de la seva mort, malgrat haver realitzat diferents manifestacions -que resulten ineficaces- en el sentit de tenir o de voler conservar el veïnatge civil navarrès.

Minoría de edad y cómputo del plazo de diez años para la adquisición de la vecindad civil por residencia. Comentario a la STSJC 1/2009, de 12 de enero de 2009

Comentario de la STSJC 1/2009, de 12 de enero de 2009, en el cual se aborda la cuestión de si en el cómputo del plazo de 10 años para la adquisición de la vecindad civil por residencia se puede o no incluir el tiempo en que el interesado es menor de edad, a propósito del artículo 225.2 del Reglamento del Registro Civil.

The Gibbs free energy of formation of a glass alloy

A simple expression for the Gibbs free energy of formation of a pure component or a eutectic alloy glass, relative to the stable crystalline phase (or phases) at the same temperature is deduced by use of thermodynamic arguments. The expression obtained is supposed to apply to both monocomponent and multicomponent liquid alloys that might become glasses from the supercooled liquid state, irrespective of the critical cooling rate needed to avoid crystallization.

Uniformity Study of Amorphous and Microcrystalline Silicon Thin Films Deposited on 10cmx10cm Glass Substrate using Hot Wire CVD Technique

The scaling up of the Hot Wire Chemical Vapor Deposition (HW-CVD) technique to large deposition area can be done using a catalytic net of equal spaced parallel filaments. The large area deposition limit is defined as the limit whenever a further increment of the catalytic net area does not affect the properties of the deposited film. This is the case when a dense catalytic net is spread on a surface considerably larger than that of the film substrate. To study this limit, a system able to hold a net of twelve wires covering a surface of about 20 cm x 20 cm was used to deposit amorphous (a-Si:H) and microcrystalline (μc-Si:H) silicon over a substrate of 10 cm x 10 cm placed at a filament-substrate distance ranging from 1 to 2 cm. The uniformity of the film thickness d and optical constants, n(x, λ) and α(x,¯hω), was studied via transmission measurements. The thin film uniformity as a function of the filament-substrate distance was studied. The experimental thickness profile was compared with the theoretical result obtained solving the diffusion equations. The optimization of the filament-substrate distance allowed obtaining films with inhomogeneities lower than ±2.5% and deposition rates higher than 1 nm/s and 4.5 nm/s for (μc-Si:H) and (a-Si:H), respectively.