Fiscal sustainability across government tiers

This paper analyses how fiscal adjustment comes about when both central and sub-national governments are involved in consolidation. We test sustainability of public debt with a fiscal rule for both the federal and regional government. Results for the German Länder show that lower tier governments bear a relatively smaller part of the burden of debt consolidation, if they consolidate at all. Most of the fiscal adjustment occurs via central government debt. In contrast, both the US federal and state levels contribute to consolidation of public finances.

Banning Obsolete Weapons or Reshaping Perceptions of Military Utility: Discursive Dynamics in Weapons Prohibitions

The paper focuses on the argumentative process through which new international norms prohibiting the use of weapons causing severe civilian harm emerge. It examines the debate surrounding the use and usefulness of landmines and cluster munitions and traces the process through which NGOs change conceptions of military utility and effectiveness of certain weapons by highlighting their humanitarian problems and questioning their military value. By challenging military thinking on these issues, NGOs redefine the terms of the debate – from a commonplace practice, the use of such weapons becomes controversial and military decisions need to be justified. The argument-counterargument dynamic shifts the burden of proof of the necessity and safety of the weapons to the users. The process witnesses the ability of NGOs to influence debates on military issues despite their disadvantaged position in hard security issue areas. It also challenges realist assumptions that only weapons that are obsolete or low-cost force equalizers for weak actors can be banned. To the contrary, the paper shows that in the case of landmines and cluster munitions, defining the military (in)effectiveness of the weapons is part and parcel of the struggle for their prohibition.

Bringing actors and violent conflict into forced migration literature. A model of the decision to return

Populations displaced as a result of mass violent conflict have become one of the most pressing humanitarian concerns of the last decades. They have also become one salient political issue as a perceived burden (in economic and security terms) and as an important piece in the shift towards a more interventionist paradigm in the international system, based on both humanitarian and security grounds. The saliency of these aspects has detracted attention from the analysis of the interactions between relocation processes and violent conflict. Violent conflict studies have also largely ignored those interactions as a result of the consideration of these processes as mere reaction movements determined by structural conditions. This article takes the view that individual’s agency is retained during such processes, and that it is consequential, calling for the need to introduce a micro perspective. Based on this, a model for the individual’s decision of return is presented. The model has the potential to account for the dynamics of return at both the individual and the aggregate level. And it further helps to grasp fundamental interconnections with violent conflict. Some relevant conclusions are derived for the case of Bosnia-Herzegovina and about the implications of the politicization of return.

El perdó de l’ofés: la via adecuada per alleugerir les càrregues de la justícia? Estudi de la institució i de les alternatives per rendibilitzar els recursos de l’Administració de justícia

En aquesta recerca aportem les conclusions de la nostra investigació sobre la figura del perdó de l’ofès i la seva possible virtualitat com a mitjà per alleugerir l’Administració de Justícia. En primer lloc, analitzem la institució del perdó de l’ofès, en concret, la seva regulació en el nostre Codi penal, els seus antecedents històrics i aportem certes dades de Dret comparat que poden ajudar a l’estudi crític de la institució (1). En la segona part, estudiem els arguments a favor i en contra del perdó de l’ofès dins el sistema penal i ens pronunciem sobre la seva legitimitat com a mecanisme per rendibilitzar l’Administració de Justícia (2). En la tercera part, sobre la base de les conclusions anteriors, aportem una reflexió sobre les alternatives al perdó de l’ofès (3). Per últim, en la darrera part, formulem la nostra proposta final sobre els mecanismes per rendibilitzar els recursos de l’Administració de Justícia (4). Segons el nostre estudi, el perdó de l’ofès no és un bon mecanisme per alleugerir la feina de l’Administració de Justícia. En canvi, la reparació i la conciliació si poden operar com a substitutius de la pena en els supòsits de delictes de menor gravetat; en els processos penals per aquests delictes caldria introduir un intent obligatori de conciliació, com el del § 380 StPO alemany i, a més, convindria preveure en el Codi penal la facultat del jutge d’eliminar la responsabilitat penal en determinats supòsits de reparació de l’autor a la víctima del delicte.

El perdó de l’ofés: la via adequada per alleugerir les càrregues de la justícia? Estudi de la institució i de les alternatives per rendibilitzar els recursos de l’Administració de justícia

En aquesta recerca aportem les conclusions de la nostra investigació sobre la figura del perdó de l’ofès i la seva possible virtualitat com a mitjà per alleugerir l’Administració de Justícia. En primer lloc, analitzem la institució del perdó de l’ofès, en concret, la seva regulació en el nostre Codi penal, els seus antecedents històrics i aportem certes dades de Dret comparat que poden ajudar a l’estudi crític de la institució (1). En la segona part, estudiem els arguments a favor i en contra del perdó de l’ofès dins el sistema penal i ens pronunciem sobre la seva legitimitat com a mecanisme per rendibilitzar l’Administració de Justícia (2). En la tercera part, sobre la base de les conclusions anteriors, aportem una reflexió sobre les alternatives al perdó de l’ofès (3). Per últim, en la darrera part, formulem la nostra proposta final sobre els mecanismes per rendibilitzar els recursos de l’Administració de Justícia (4). Segons el nostre estudi, el perdó de l’ofès no és un bon mecanisme per alleugerir la feina de l’Administració de Justícia. En canvi, la reparació i la conciliació si poden operar com a substitutius de la pena en els supòsits de delictes de menor gravetat; en els processos penals per aquests delictes caldria introduir un intent obligatori de conciliació, com el del § 380 StPO alemany i, a més, convindria preveure en el Codi penal la facultat del jutge d’eliminar la responsabilitat penal en determinats supòsits de reparació de l’autor a la víctima del delicte.

Estudio de marcadores moleculares en neoplasias mieloproliferativas

Las neoplasias mieloproliferativas (NM) son un grupo de enfermedades clonales de la célula hematopoyética madre. Entre las NM clásicas se encuentran la policitemia vera (PV), la trombocitemia esencial (TE) y la mielofibrosis primaria (MFP). Durante muchos años el diagnóstico de estas patologías se hacía por exclusión utilizando biomarcadores de clonalidad poco específicos. En el año 2005, la descripción de la mutación JAK2V617F supuso un avance importante en el diagnóstico de estas patologías. Posteriormente, se han descrito mutaciones en otros genes como mutaciones en MPL, TET2, ASXL1, IDH1, IDH2, c-CBL, EZH2, IKZF1 y LNK, en distintas neoplasias mieloides y en porcentaje variable. Aun así, ninguno de estos genes son marcadores específicos de ninguna NM y todavía existe un porcentaje elevado de pacientes con TE y MFP sin un marcador de clonalidad conocido. Además, todos estos genes se han descrito como eventos genéticos implicados en la transformación de una NM a leucemia mieloide aguda. El objetivo de este proyecto fue estudiar varios marcadores moleculares en neoplasias mieloproliferativas Philadelphia negativas. En primer lugar, se estudió la modulación de la carga alélica JAK2V617F en pacientes con PV o TE que recibieron tratamiento citoreductor y a su vez se analizó la dinámica natural de la carga alélica en pacientes que no recibieron tratamiento. Posteriormente, se analizaron la presencia de alteraciones en los genes previamente mencionados, en distintos grupos de pacientes. En primer lugar, se analizó la presencia de mutaciones en TET2, ASXL1, IDH1, IDH2 y CBL en un grupo de pacientes JAK2 y MPL negativos, para determinar la frecuencia de alteraciones de estos genes en este grupo de pacientes y determinar su valor en el diagnóstico de estas patologías. En segundo lugar, se estudió la presencia de mutaciones en estos genes incluyendo EZH2, IKZF1 y LNK para estudiar la incidencia y el valor pronóstico de estas alteraciones en las NM que progresan a mielofibrosis.

Comparison of topography- and aperture-dependent motion compensation algorithms for airborne SAR

This letter presents a comparison between threeFourier-based motion compensation (MoCo) algorithms forairborne synthetic aperture radar (SAR) systems. These algorithmscircumvent the limitations of conventional MoCo, namelythe assumption of a reference height and the beam-center approximation.All these approaches rely on the inherent time–frequencyrelation in SAR systems but exploit it differently, with the consequentdifferences in accuracy and computational burden. Aftera brief overview of the three approaches, the performance ofeach algorithm is analyzed with respect to azimuthal topographyaccommodation, angle accommodation, and maximum frequencyof track deviations with which the algorithm can cope. Also, ananalysis on the computational complexity is presented. Quantitativeresults are shown using real data acquired by the ExperimentalSAR system of the German Aerospace Center (DLR).

Desarrollo y validación de ensayos rápidos para la detección de aeroalérgenos ocupacionales/ambientales: soja i proteinas séricas de paloma

Tanto el asma ocupacional como la neumonitis por hipersensibilidad, como es el pulmón del cuidador de aves, son patologías respiratorias que se pueden prevenir o disminuir su aparición mediante la evitación de la fuente antigénica. Para poder actuar de forma preventiva es de utilidad el disponer de ensayos rápidos que sean capaces de estimar la presencia de alérgeno de forma inmediata. En el marco de este proyecto de dos años de duración tenemos por objeto el desarrollar y estandarizar dos métodos rápidos, inmunocromatográficos, para la determinación de alérgenos de soja y de proteínas séricas de paloma. Alérgenos que han sido seleccionados por su importancia en el medio como agentes causales de asma y neumonitis por hipersensibilidad, respectivamente. También tenemos por objeto determinar la carga de alérgeno de soja en la fracción de partículas menores de 10 micrómetros (PM10) en los alrededores del puerto de Barcelona y comprarla con los niveles en los filtros de partículas suspendidas totales (TSP). Como pasos previos al desarrollo de los ensayos rápidos se han producido anticuerpos específicos frente al extracto de cáscara de soja de bajo peso molecular y frente al suero de paloma, se ha desarrollado un ELISA tipo sándwich para cada alérgeno y parte de los anticuerpos se ha conjugado con oro coloidal. El ensayo inmunocromatográfico para la soja presenta un límite de detección de 6.25ng/ml y ha sido validado mediante el análisis de 119 muestras ambientales, presentando una elevada especificidad y sensibilidad. El ensayo inmunocromatográfico para la determinación de antígenos séricos de paloma requiere ser validado. Mediante un métodos de ELISA de inhibición se han determinado los niveles de alérgeno de soja en filtros PM10 y TSP. A pesar de la buena correlación entre los niveles de alérgeno en ambos filtros, se observó una amplia variación en la proporción PM10/TSP entre días.

A variant in the gene FUT9 is associated with susceptibility to placental malaria infection

Malaria in pregnancy forms a substantial part of the worldwide burden of malaria, with an estimated annual death toll of up to 200,000 infants, as well as increased maternal morbidity and mortality. Studies of genetic susceptibility to malaria have so far focused on infant malaria, with only a few studies investigating the genetic basis of placental malaria, focusing only on a limited number of candidate genes. The aim of this study therefore was to identify novel host genetic factors involved in placental malaria infection. To this end we carried out a nested case-control study on 180 Mozambican pregnant women with placental malaria infection, and 180 controls within an intervention trial of malaria prevention. We genotyped 880 SNPs in a set of 64 functionally related genes involved in glycosylation and innate immunity. A SNP located in the gene FUT9, rs3811070, was significantly associated with placental malaria infection (OR = 2.31, permutation p-value = 0.028). Haplotypic analysis revealed a similarly strong association of a common haplotype of four SNPs including rs3811070. FUT9 codes for a fucosyl-transferase that is catalyzing the last step in the biosynthesis of the Lewis-x antigen, which forms part of the Lewis blood group-related antigens. These results therefore suggest an involvement of this antigen in the pathogenesis of placental malaria infection.

Protocol of the COSMIN study: consensus-based standards for the selection of health measurement instruments

Background: Choosing an adequate measurement instrument depends on the proposed use of the instrument, the concept to be measured, the measurement properties (e.g. internal consistency, reproducibility, content and construct validity, responsiveness, and interpretability), the requirements, the burden for subjects, and costs of the available instruments. As far as measurement properties are concerned, there are no sufficiently specific standards for the evaluation of measurement properties of instruments to measure health status, and also no explicit criteria for what constitutes good measurement properties. In this paper we describe the protocol for the COSMIN study, the objective of which is to develop a checklist that contains COnsensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement INstruments, including explicit criteria for satisfying these standards. We will focus on evaluative health related patient-reported outcomes (HR-PROs), i.e. patient-reported health measurement instruments used in a longitudinal design as an outcome measure, excluding health care related PROs, such as satisfaction with care or adherence. The COSMIN standards will be made available in the form of an easily applicable checklist.Method: An international Delphi study will be performed to reach consensus on which and how measurement properties should be assessed, and on criteria for good measurement properties. Two sources of input will be used for the Delphi study: (1) a systematic review of properties, standards and criteria of measurement properties found in systematic reviews of measurement instruments, and (2) an additional literature search of methodological articles presenting a comprehensive checklist of standards and criteria. The Delphi study will consist of four (written) Delphi rounds, with approximately 30 expert panel members with different backgrounds in clinical medicine, biostatistics, psychology, and epidemiology. The final checklist will subsequently be field-tested by assessing the inter-rater reproducibility of the checklist.Discussion: Since the study will mainly be anonymous, problems that are commonly encountered in face-to-face group meetings, such as the dominance of certain persons in the communication process, will be avoided. By performing a Delphi study and involving many experts, the likelihood that the checklist will have sufficient credibility to be accepted and implemented will increase.

Sustainable and equitable retirement in a life course perspective

We argue that long term sustainability of social security systems requires not only better equilibrium between the proportion in retirement and in employment but also an equitable distribution of the additional financial burden that aging inevitably will require. We examine how a proportional fixed ratios model of burden sharing between the aged and non-aged will establish inter-generational equity. Additionally we address the question of intra-generational equity and argue that the positive association between lifetime income and longevity requires more progressive financing of pensions and of care for the elderly.

The Sustainable Debts of Philip II: A Reconstruction of Spain's Fiscal Position, 1560-1598

The defaults of Philip II have attained mythical status as the origin of sovereign debt crises. Four times during his reign the king failed to honor his debts and had to renegotiate borrowing contracts. In this paper, we reassess the fiscal position of Habsburg Spain. New archival evidence allows us to derive comprehensive estimates of debt and revenue. These show that primary surpluses were sufficient to make the king's debt sustainable in most scenarios. Spain's debt burden was manageable up to the 1580s, and its fiscal position only deteriorated for good after the defeat of the "Invincible Armada." We also estimate fiscal policy reaction functions, and show that Spain under the Habsburgs was at least as "responsible" as the US in the 20th century or as Britain in the 18th century. Our results suggest that the outcome of uncertain events such as wars may influence on a history of default more than strict adherence to fiscal rules.