La reincidencia en el delito en la justicia de menores

Esta investigación recoge las características más destacadas de los jóvenes infractores que han pasado por la Dirección General de Justicia Juvenil a lo largo del 2002 y les hace seguimiento hasta diciembre de 2004 para ver si han reincidido en le delito. También estudia específicamente a chicas y extranjeros, para tener datos significativos de dos colectivos minoritarios pero poco estudiados en el contexto de los jóvenes infractores

Sistema motivacional i variables individuals en la rehabilitació

Aquest treball s’ha realitzat en el Centre Educatiu Montilivi, un centre de Justícia Juvenil, on predominen les mesures en règim semiobert. L’objectiu principal del centre és oferir als menors la experiència i la formació necessària per superar els handicaps, deixar l’activitat delictiva i participar en la societat de manera normalitzada. L’any 2002 es va implantar un sistema motivacional que, basat en el condicionament operant i l’aprenentatge social, facilités la participació activa i responsable dels interns. El sistema motivacional s’estructura en etapes progressives. El menor, superat el període d’observació inicial, se l’assigna a una etapa on pot gaudir dels avantatges corresponents. Una avaluació continuada, li permetrà anar assolint la puntuació necessària que li donarà la opció de progressar a una etapa superior. En aquesta gaudirà de més avantatges. L’objectiu bàsic de la recerca és avaluar l’eficàcia del sistema motivacional pel que fa la desaparició o reducció de les conductes indesitjables de: no retorn, fugides, reincidència i conflictes dins del centre i buscar relació d’aquestes variables amb diversos factors individuals. Per dur a terme la recerca s’han seleccionat 135 menors que hem distribuït en dos grups. un grup de control anterior a la implementació del sistema motivacional; i un grup d’intervenció a qui si se’ls ha aplicat el sistema motivacional. Els resultats diuen que la mostra respon a un patró antisocial greu. També diu que l’aplicació d’un sistema motivacional no s’ha associat a una reducció de les conductes antisocials dels interns durant el període d’aplicació. Malgrat això, sí es percebut com una eina eficaç per interns i professionals.

Al di là del fiume - attraverso il fiume: il basso corso del Ter in Catalogna

La ricerca prende in considerazione dal punto di vista dell’architettura e dell’urbanistica la relazione tra la città e il fiume che la attraversa o la lambisce; l’insediamento umano viene analizzato nel contesto del bacino idrografico al quale appartiene. La ricerca è stata sviluppata in seno alla tesi dottorale ora in fase di elaborazione presso il Departamento de Urbanismo y Ordenación del Territorio dell’Universidad Politecnica de Catalunya. La tesi ha come caso studio il tratto basso del fiume Ter in Catalogna. Nella discussione sul paesaggio urbano contemporaneo oggi la riflessione è centrata sulla città che si territorializza; la dimensione urbana interferisce con gran parte della superficie della terra facendo sfumare le tradizionali distinzioni tra urbano e non-urbano, tra spazio costruito e spazio aperto. In questo contesto, quale termine di conciliazione tra la dinamica naturale e la costruzione storica dei luoghi prodotta dall’intervento umano, il fiume si rivela uno strumento essenziale di analisi e progetto. L’obiettivo di questa ricerca è suggerire un’approssimazione al progetto della città che si sviluppa lungo il corso fluviale costruendo strumenti per la riflessione “attraverso il fiume”. Partendo dall’ipotesi che la città si insedia lungo un corso d’acqua secondo una sintassi territoriale stabilita dalla geografía e dalla geomorfologia del fiume stesso, il fine è fornire strumenti per il processo di recupero degli spazi fluviali in contesti urbanizzati. Il fiume diviene componente geografica chiave degli insediamenti dispersi e risorsa per costruirne l’abitabilità.

Understanding the development of the ESDP: Perspectives and insights from historical institutionalism and theories of learning

How can we best understand the emergence of the European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP)? This paper applies the theories of historical institutionalism and experiential learning to offer a dynamic conceptualisation of moves towards an ESDP which highlights some of the causal factors that a more temporally-restricted analysis would miss. It firstly shows how the institutional and functional expansion of European Political Cooperation (EPC) over the course of the 1970s and 80s gave rise to a context in which the development of a security and defence dimension came to be viewed as more logical and even necessary. It then goes on to analyse some of the external factors (in the form of actors, events and institutions) that further pushed in this direction and proved to influence the policy’s subsequent evolution. The paper is therefore intended to act as a first-step to understanding the ESDP’s development from this perspective.

Identificació i caracterització funcional dels complexes proteics dels receptors BRL1 i BRL3 en el teixit vascular d’Arabidopsis Thaliana

Els esteroids juguen papers clau en el creixement I el desenvolupament d’eucariotes multicel•lulars. En plantes, aquestes hormones, anomenades Brassinosteroides (BRs), estan involucrades en una gran varietat de processos biològics essencials per a les plantes. S’han descrit anteriorment dos receptors de BRs del tipus Leucine Rich Repeat Receptor Like Kinase LRR-RLK, BRASSINOSTEROID RECEPTOR LIKE 1 i 3 (BRL1 i BRL3 respectivalemt) que són homòlegs al receptor principal BRI1 i són necessaris pel desenvolupament vascular. Tot i que els principals components de la senyal ja han estat identificats pel seu homòleg més pròxim, el receptor BRI1, els complexes de BRL1 i BRL3 juntament amb els candidats co-receptors així com els components de la ruta de senyalització encara no han sigut identificats. Per tal d’entendre millor la funció molecular d’aquests receptors de BRs en la planta aquesta tesis doctoral planteja dues aproximacions: com a primera aproximació, vaig realitzar un estudi fenotípic del desenvolupament del teixit vascular a la planta model Arabidopsis thaliana (Arabidopsis). Disposant d'una amplia bateria de mutants de síntesis de la hormona i senyalització del receptor BRI1, vam analitzar quantitativament el seu patró vascular a la tija d'Arabidopsis. Vam establir els paràmetres en les plantes silvestres [Col-0 wild type, (WT)] i els vam analitzar a tots i cadascun dels mutants. Això conjuntament amb una col•laboració amb la Dr. Marta Ibañes, física de la Universitat de Barcelona que va construir un model matemàtic per simular la formació del patró vascular ens va permetre el•laborar una hipòtesis que vam demostrar experimentalment i va ser publicada a la revista PNAS. Posteriorment vam observar que les plantes knock-out d'aquests dos receptors BRL1 y BRL3 a diferència de BRI1, no tenien cap fenotip obvi en el teixit vascular de la planta adulta. Així, a continuació, per entendre quina necessitat té la planta de disposar de tres receptors tant altament homòlegs que poden percebre la mateixa hormona, vam utilitzar una aproximació bioquímica en col•laboració amb el Prof. de Vries de la Universitat de Wageningen (Holanda) per tal de purificar els complexes dels receptors in vivo i els seus interactors. Això ens ha permès entendre millor el paper funcional d'aquests receptors en la planta. Els resultats d’aquests experiments estan resumits en un article en preparació que aviat estarà en revisió.

Stochastic uncoupled dynamics and Nash equilibrium

In this paper we consider dynamic processes, in repeated games, that are subject to the natural informational restriction of uncoupledness. We study the almost sure convergence to Nash equilibria, and present a number of possibility and impossibility results. Basically, we show that if in addition to random moves some recall is introduced, then successful search procedures that are uncoupled can be devised. In particular, to get almost sure convergence to pure Nash equilibria when these exist, it su±ces to recall the last two periods of play.

On equilibria in duopolies with finite strategy spaces

We will call a game a reachable (pure strategy) equilibria game if startingfrom any strategy by any player, by a sequence of best-response moves weare able to reach a (pure strategy) equilibrium. We give a characterizationof all finite strategy space duopolies with reachable equilibria. Wedescribe some applications of the sufficient conditions of the characterization.

Pre-play communication and credibility: A test of Aumann's conjecture

The effectiveness of pre-play communication in achieving efficientoutcomes has long been a subject of controversy. In some environments,cheap talk may help to achieve coordination. However, Aumannconjectures that, in a variant of the Stag Hunt game, a signal forefficient play is not self-enforcing and concludes that an "agreementto play [the efficient outcome] conveys no information about what theplayers will do." Harsanyi and Selten (1988) cite this example as anillustration of risk-dominance vs. payoff-dominance. Farrell and Rabin(1996) agree with the logic, but suspect that cheap talk willnonetheless achieve efficiency. The conjecture is tested with one-waycommunication. When the sender first chooses a signal and then anaction, there is impressive coordination: a 94% probability for thepotentially efficient (but risky) play, given a signal for efficientplay. Without communication, efforts to achieve efficiency wereunsuccessful, as the proportion of B moves is only 35%. I also test ahypothesis that the order of the action and the signal affects theresults, finding that the decision order is indeed important. WhileAumann s conjecture is behaviorally disconfirmed when the signal isdetermined initially, the signal s credibility seems to be much moresuspect when the sender is known to have first chosen an action, andthe results are not statistically distinguishable from those whenthere is no signal. Some applications and issues in communication andcoordination are discussed.

Dynamic perceptual mapping

Perceptual maps have been used for decades by market researchers to illuminatethem about the similarity between brands in terms of a set of attributes, to position consumersrelative to brands in terms of their preferences, or to study how demographic and psychometricvariables relate to consumer choice. Invariably these maps are two-dimensional and static. Aswe enter the era of electronic publishing, the possibilities for dynamic graphics are opening up.We demonstrate the usefulness of introducing motion into perceptual maps through fourexamples. The first example shows how a perceptual map can be viewed in three dimensions,and the second one moves between two analyses of the data that were collected according todifferent protocols. In a third example we move from the best view of the data at the individuallevel to one which focuses on between-group differences in aggregated data. A final exampleconsiders the case when several demographic variables or market segments are available foreach respondent, showing an animation with increasingly detailed demographic comparisons.These examples of dynamic maps use several data sets from marketing and social scienceresearch.

A house price index defined in the potential outcomes framework

Current methods for constructing house price indices are based on comparisons of sale prices of residential properties sold two or more times and on regression of the sale prices on the attributes of the properties and of their locations. The two methods have well recognised deficiencies, selection bias and model assumptions, respectively. We introduce a new method based on propensity score matching. The average house prices for two periods are compared by selecting pairs of properties, one sold in each period, that are as similar on a set of available attributes (covariates) as is feasible to arrange. The uncertainty associated with such matching is addressed by multiple imputation, framing the problem as involving missing values. The method is applied to aregister of transactions ofresidential properties in New Zealand and compared with the established alternatives.

Adaptive approach heuristics for the generalized assignment problem

The Generalized Assignment Problem consists in assigning a setof tasks to a set of agents with minimum cost. Each agent hasa limited amount of a single resource and each task must beassigned to one and only one agent, requiring a certain amountof the resource of the agent. We present new metaheuristics forthe generalized assignment problem based on hybrid approaches.One metaheuristic is a MAX-MIN Ant System (MMAS), an improvedversion of the Ant System, which was recently proposed byStutzle and Hoos to combinatorial optimization problems, and itcan be seen has an adaptive sampling algorithm that takes inconsideration the experience gathered in earlier iterations ofthe algorithm. Moreover, the latter heuristic is combined withlocal search and tabu search heuristics to improve the search.A greedy randomized adaptive search heuristic (GRASP) is alsoproposed. Several neighborhoods are studied, including one basedon ejection chains that produces good moves withoutincreasing the computational effort. We present computationalresults of the comparative performance, followed by concludingremarks and ideas on future research in generalized assignmentrelated problems.

Endogenous information structures

Many models in the economics literature deal with strategic situations withprivately informed agents. In those models the information structure isassumed to be exogenous and common knowledge. We consider whether suchmodels, and the results they produce, are robust with respect theendogenization of the information structure. The results depend on whetherinformation acquisition is secret or private, and on whether the strategicsituation involves simultaneous or sequential moves. In particular we findthat only when information is secretly acquired and moves are simultaneous,the results are fully robust. When information is acquired secretly butmoves are sequential additional equilibria may appear. Instead, privateinformation acquisition may make the equilibrium set smaller.

Sequencing primate genomes: what have we learned?

We summarize the progress in whole-genome sequencing and analyses of primate genomes. These emerging genome datasets have broadened our understanding of primate genome evolution revealing unexpected and complex patterns of evolutionary change. This includes the characterization of genome structural variation, episodic changes in the repeat landscape, differences in gene expression, new models regarding speciation, and the ephemeral nature of the recombination landscape. The functional characterization of genomic differences important in primate speciation and adaptation remains a significant challenge. Limited access to biological materials, the lack of detailed phenotypic data and the endangered status of many critical primate species have significantly attenuated research into the genetic basis of primate evolution. Next-generation sequencing technologies promise to greatly expand the number of available primate genome sequences; however, such draft genome sequences will likely miss critical genetic differences within complex genomic regions unless dedicated efforts are put forward to understand the full spectrum of genetic variation.

Are commuting and residential mobility decisions simultaneous? : the case of Catalonia (Spain)

In this paper we study the commuting and moving decisions of workers in Catalonia (Spain) and its evolution in the 1986-1996 period. Using a microdata sample from the 1991 Spanish Population Census, we estimate a simultaneous, discrete choice model of commuting and moves, thus indirectly addressing the home and job location decisions. The econometrical framework is a simultaneous, binary probit model with a commute equation and a move equation

Are commuting and residential mobility decisions simultaneous? : the case of Catalonia (Spain)

In this paper we study the commuting and moving decisions of workers in Catalonia (Spain) and its evolution in the 1986-1996 period. Using a microdata sample from the 1991 Spanish Population Census, we estimate a simultaneous, discrete choice model of commuting and moves, thus indirectly addressing the home and job location decisions. The econometrical framework is a simultaneous, binary probit model with a commute equation and a move equation