Crisis y transformación fiscal del Estado español

Análisis del origen, evolución y perspectivas del modelo de financiación autonómica español, de corte federal, en el marco de la crisis del Estado

Institutional Balance in the EU. The Prodi Administration as a Reforming Commission

The essay looks at the Prodi Commission (1999-2004) in the context of the institutional balance in the European Union. Not only did Prodi come into office at a time of unprecedented weakness of the Executive, but the Commission operates within a changing institutional equilibrium, one made more precarious by the shifting political disposition of the Member States

Crisis matrimoniales y su prevención

Les crisis sobrevenen en tota unió matrimonial. És necessari diferenciar entre crisis funcionals o fisiològiques i crisi patològiques. Les primeres son pròpies de la vida conjugal i es produiran a qualsevol matrimoni, formant part de la seva evolució madurativa, i les segones només tindran lloc en alguns matrimonis causant problemes més greus. Ambdues crisis requereixen d’estratègies de resolució de problemes, perquè el cònjuges puguin superar-les conjuntament, encara que en las segones habitualment es necessari d’intervenció terapèutica per poder-les superar. A través d’aquest treball es pretén explicar les crisis matrimonials i la seva prevenció.

Justifying Institutional Investment in OER Development : OERs as Marketing Vehicle

The higher education sector has become increasingly competitive and prospective students are adopting a consumerist approach to institution and programme choice. In response, higher education marketing has become more complex, market-oriented and business-like. Financial sustainability of open education resource (OER) projects is a widespread concern. This paper explores the extent to which a classical product placement framework can be applied to OERs to justify institutional funding in OER projects as a marketing investment. It is argued that OERs designed on this premise can increase cognitive, affective and conative brand outcomes while providing the traditional educational and societal benefits associated with OERs. A series of propositions are presented that may form the basis of a future research agenda.

Análisis de la proyección profesional del Grado de Ingeniería Informática y Telecomunicación : Viabilidad profesional en tiempos de crisis y benchmarking

El objetivo específico del TFG es el de realizar un análisis riguroso en base a fuentes externas y referencias de probada veracidad en relación a la oferta universitaria actual de estudios de Grado de Informática y Telecomunicación en España en la modalidad de e-learning o educación a distancia.

Binary proposal for assessing quality of Open Access Institutional Repositories : the case of Spanish repositories

The reason for this study is to propose a new quantitative approach on how to assess the quality of Open Access University Institutional Repositories. The results of this new approach are tested in the Spanish University Repositories. The assessment method is based in a binary codification of a proposal of features that objectively describes the repositories. The purposes of this method are assessing the quality and an almost automatically system for updating the data of the characteristics. First of all a database was created with the 38 Spanish institutional repositories. The variables of analysis are presented and explained either if they are coming from bibliography or are a set of new variables. Among the characteristics analyzed are the features of the software, the services of the repository, the features of the information system, the Internet visibility and the licenses of use. Results from Spanish universities ARE provided as a practical example of the assessment and for having a picture of the state of the development of the open access movement in Spain.

La Unión Europea en la crisis del Líbano o la paradoja entre poder y querer

El conflicto de Oriente Próximo escribió una más de sus tantas páginas el pasado verano. A principios de julio, las milicias de Hezbollah secuestraron a dos soldados israelíes cerca de la frontera del Líbano y se lanzaron cohetes Katiuska hacia el norte de Israel. Este suceso provocó la respuesta armada israelí y el inicio de un largo verano de bombardeos en el sur del Líbano, en los suburbios de Beirut y en el norte de Israel. La escalada bélica se llevó a cabo delante de una comunidad internacional incapaz de responder con contundencia a la desproporcionada respuesta israelí y a los continuos ataques de Hezbollah en el norte de Israel. Por su lado, la Unión Europea evidenció la divergencia de pareceres entre sus 25 estados miembros. Así, mientras que países como Francia, España o Italia criticaban la desproporción de la actuación israelí; Reino Unido o Alemania reconocían a Israel el derecho a la legítima defensa.

Las Finanzas autonómicas en boom y en crisis (2003-12)

En esta nota se introducen algunos ajustes a los datos presupuestarios disponibles sobre los ingresos y los gastos de las comunidades autónomas con el fin de corregir las distorsiones generadas por la forma en la que se han contabilizado algunas partidas. Las series ajustadas se utilizan para analizar la evolución de las finanzas regionales durante la crisis actual y la parte final de la expansión precedente. El ejercicio ayuda a poner en perspectiva la actual controversia sobre las finanzas autonómicas. En ella se suele poner el acento en la dureza de los recortes de los últimos ejercicios, olvidando la temeraria explosión del gasto durante los años anteriores al comienzo de la crisis. Cuando se toma el período en su conjunto, el proceso de consolidación presupuestaria que comienza en 2010 aparece como una corrección parcial y tardía de los excesos de años anteriores. De cara al futuro, convendría tomar medidas que ayuden a hacer menos procíclico el patrón de gasto autonómico. Aunque esto ya se hace en parte en la nueva Ley de Estabilidad Presupuestaria, se argumenta que sería conveniente crear un Fondo de Estabilización Presupuestaria para facilitar el alisamiento del gasto regional.

Contagion or Interdependence in the recent Global Financial Crisis? An application to the stock markets using unconditional cross-market correlations

We consider stock market contagion as a significant increase in cross-market linkages after a shock to one country or group of countries. Under this definition we study if contagion occurred from the U.S. Financial Crisis to the rest of the major stock markets in the world by using the adjusted (unconditional) correlation coefficient approach (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002) which consists of testing if average crossmarket correlations increase significantly during the relevant period of turmoil. We would not reject the null hypothesis of interdependence in favour of contagion if the increase in correlation only suggests a continuation of high linkages in all state of the world. Moreover, if contagion occurs, this would justify the intervention of the IMF and the suddenly portfolio restructuring during the period under study.

How did the Financial Crisis affect the Real Interest Rate Dynamics in Europe?

We investigate the effects of the financial crisis on the stationarity of real interest rates in the Euro Area. We use a new unit root test developed by Peseran et al. (2013) that allows for multiple unobserved factors in a panel set up. Our results suggest that while short-term and long-term real interest rates were stationary before the financial crisis, they became nonstationary during the crisis period likely due to persistent risk that characterized financial markets during that time. JEL codes: E43, C23. Keywords: Real interest rates, Euro Area, financial crisis, panel unit root tests, cross-sectional dependence.

Exploring the conditions for a mortality crisis: bringing context back into the debate

This study engages with the debate over the mortality crises in the former Soviet Union and Central and Eastern Europe by 1) considering at length and as complementary to each other the two most prominent explanations for the post-communist mortality crisis, stress and alcohol consumption; 2) emphasizing the importance of context by exploiting systematic similarities and differences across the region. Differential mortality trajectories reveal three country groups that cluster both spatially and in terms of economic transition experiences. The first group are the countries furthest west in which mortality rates increased minimally after the transition began. The second group experienced a severe increase in mortality rates in the early 1990s, but recovered previous levels within a few years. These countries are located peripherally to Russia and its nearest neighbours. The final group consists of countries that experienced two mortality increases or in which mortality levels had not recovered to pre-transition levels well into the 21st century. Cross-sectional time-series data analyses of men’s and women’s age and cause-specific death rates reveal that the clustering of these countries and their mortality trajectories can be partially explained by the economic context, which is argued to be linked to stress and alcohol consumption. Above and beyond many basic differences in the country groups that are held constant—including geographically and historically shared cultural, lifestyle and social characteristics—poor economic conditions account for a remarkably consistent share of excess age-specific and cause-specific deaths.

Economic crisis and recovery: changes in second birth rates within occupational classes and educational groups

This study assesses the decline in second birth rates for men and women across different skill levels in transitional Russia. Changes within educational groups and occupational classes are observed over three distinct time periods: the Soviet era, economic crisis, and economic recovery. The most remarkable finding is the similarity in the extent second birth rates declined within educational groups and occupational classes during the economic crisis. Although further decline occurred in the recovery period, more variation emerged across groups.

Finding a suitable job: the effect of the institutional context on self-perceived over-education

The current research compares the perception of over-education in four different European countries, resorting to European Household Panel Data. The results confirm that the type of educational system accounts for some of the cross-national differences in self-perceived over-education. In qualificational spaces, like Denmark, where vocational training receives more importance, self-perceived over-education is not associated as much with educational attainment as in the so-called’ organisational spaces’, like Spain, France and Italy. Yet, the results confirm that, controlling for the system of education, the traits and regulation of the labour market also have an effect on over-education. Thus, in Spain, where temporary employment has soared in recent decades, this type of contract is clearly associated with the perception of over-education, to a much higher extent than in Italy or France. Temporary contracts in Spain may not work as a steppig stone for attaining a job suitable to the training received by the individual, as they may in the case of France or Italy. In sum, not only institutions offering skills and human capital, but labour market regulation as well, have a clear impact on the incidence of over-education.

Theorizing institutional changes: understanding decentralization and federalization in Brazil, Spain and South Africa

In light of the existing theories about institutional change, this paper seeks to advance a common framework to understand the unfolding of decentralization and federalization in three countries: Brazil, Spain, and South Africa. Although in different continents, these three countries witnessed processes after their respective transitions to democracy that transferred administrative and fiscal authority to their regions (decentralization) and vertically distributed political and institutional capacity (federalization). This paper attempts to explain how institutional changes prompted a shift of power and authority towards regional governments by looking at internal sources of change within the intergovernmental arena in the three countries. This analysis is organized around two propositions: that once countries transit to democracy under all-encompassing constitutions there are high incentives for institutional change, and that under a bargained intergovernmental interaction among political actors subnational political elites are able to advance their interests incrementally. In short, through a common framework this paper will explain the evolving dynamics of intergovernmental dynamics in three countries.