The Monetary policy rules in EU-15: before and after the euro

The objective of this paper is to identify empirically the logic behind short-term interest rates setting

The Monetary policy rules in Europe: heterogeneity and common patters

The objective of this study is the empirical identification of the monetary policy rules pursued in individual countries of EU before and after the launch of European Monetary Union. In particular, we have employed an estimation of the augmented version of the Taylor rule (TR) for 25 countries of the EU in two periods (1992-1998, 1999-2006). While uniequational estimation methods have been used to identify the policy rules of individual central banks, for the rule of the European Central Bank has been employed a dynamic panel setting. We have found that most central banks really followed some interest rate rule but its form was usually different from the original TR (proposing that domestic interest rate responds only to domestic inflation rate and output gap). Crucial features of policy rules in many countries have been the presence of interest rate smoothing as well as response to foreign interest rate. Any response to domestic macroeconomic variables have been missing in the rules of countries with inflexible exchange rate regimes and the rules consisted in mimicking of the foreign interest rates. While we have found response to long-term interest rates and exchange rate in rules of some countries, the importance of monetary growth and asset prices has been generally negligible. The Taylor principle (the response of interest rates to domestic inflation rate must be more than unity as a necessary condition for achieving the price stability) has been confirmed only in large economies and economies troubled with unsustainable inflation rates. Finally, the deviation of the actual interest rate from the rule-implied target rate can be interpreted as policy shocks (these deviation often coincided with actual turbulent periods).

The Monetary policy rules and the inflation process in open emerging

This paper has three objectives. First, it aims at revealing the logic of interest rate setting pursued by monetary authorities of 12 new EU members. Using estimation of an augmented Taylor rule, we find that this setting was not always consistent with the official monetary policy. Second, we seek to shed light on the inflation process of these countries. To this end, we carry out an estimation of an open economy Philips curve (PC). Our main finding is that inflation rates were not only driven by backward persistency but also held a forward-looking component. Finally, we assess the viability of existing monetary arrangements for price stability. The analysis of the conditional inflation variance obtained from GARCH estimation of PC is used for this purpose. We conclude that inflation targeting is preferable to an exchange rate peg because it allowed decreasing the inflation rate and anchored its volatility.

Asymmetric standing facilities: an unexploited monetary policy tool

This paper analyzes the role of standing facilities in the determination of the demand for reserves in the overnight money market. In particular, we study how the asymmetric nature of the deposit and lending facilities could be used as a powerful policy tool for the simultaneous control of prices and quantities in the market for daily funds.

Control d'accés depenent del context: disseny i implementació dins l'entorn PROSES

Amb l’aparició de nous entorns en el món de la informàtica sorgeixen noves necessitats. Un d’aquests entorns és SESAR, un entorn que preveu l’ús massiu de transmissió de dades entre sistemes aeris. L’objecitu principal d’aquest projecte és aconseguir implementar el control d’accés per una aplicació en aquest entorn. El primer pas és dur a terme un estudi exhaustiu dels diferents elements que necessitem per desenvolupar el projecte, així com un anàlisi de l’entorn per extreure les característiques pel control d’accés. Després es presenta el seu disseny i implementació, que acompleix el seu objectiu de gestionar el control d’accés de l’aplicació de correu electrònic en aquest entorn.

How does monetary policy change? evidence on inflation targeting countries

We examine the evolution of monetary policy rules in a group of inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) applying moment- based estimator at time-varying parameter model with endogenous regressors. Using this novel flexible framework, our main findings are threefold. First, monetary policy rules change gradually pointing to the importance of applying time-varying estimation framework. Second, the interest rate smoothing parameter is much lower that what previous time-invariant estimates of policy rules typically report. External factors matter for all countries, albeit the importance of exchange rate diminishes after the adoption of inflation targeting. Third, the response of interest rates on inflation is particularly strong during the periods, when central bankers want to break the record of high inflation such as in the U.K. or in Australia at the beginning of 1980s. Contrary to common wisdom, the response becomes less aggressive after the adoption of inflation targeting suggesting the positive effect of this regime on anchoring inflation expectations. This result is supported by our finding that inflation persistence as well as policy neutral rate typically decreased after the adoption of inflation targeting.

Is monetary policy in new members states asymmetric?

Estimated Taylor rules became popular as a description of monetary policy conduct. There are numerous reasons why real monetary policy can be asymmetric and estimated Taylor rule nonlinear. This paper tests whether monetary policy can be described as asymmetric in three new European Union (EU) members (the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland), which apply an inflation targeting regime. Two different empirical frameworks are

Monetary policy rules and financial stress: does financial instability matter for monetary

We examine whether and how main central banks responded to episodes of financial stress over the last three decades. We employ a new methodology for monetary policy rules estimation, which allows for time-varying response coefficients as well as corrects for endogeneity. This flexible framework applied to the U.S., U.K., Australia, Canada and Sweden together with a new financial stress dataset developed by the International Monetary Fund allows not only testing whether the central banks responded to financial stress but also detects the periods and type of stress that were the most worrying for monetary authorities and to quantify the intensity of policy response. Our findings suggest that central banks often change policy

Macroeconomic shocks and the business cycle: evidence from a structural factor model

We use a dynamic factor model to provide a semi-structural representation for 101 quarterly US macroeconomic series. We find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and six. Focusing on the four-shock specification, we identify, using sign restrictions, two non-policy shocks, demand and supply, and two policy shocks, monetary and fiscal. We obtain the following results. (ii) Both supply and demand shocks are important sources of fluctuations; supply prevails for GDP, while demand prevails for employment and inflation. (ii) Policy matters, Both monetary and fiscal policy shocks have sizeable effects on output and prices, with little evidence of crowding out; both monetary and fiscal authorities implement important systematic countercyclical policies reacting to demand shocks. (iii) Negative demand shocks have a large long-run positive effect on productivity, consistently with the Schumpeterian "cleansing" view of recessions.

The effects of uncertainty about countries' compliance with the Stability and Growth Pact

The Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) was established to govern discretionary fiscal policy in the European Monetary Union. This article studies the effects created when there is uncertainty about the members’ commitment to respecting the established deficit limits in the SGP. We will show that, even if countries respect the SGP deficit ceiling, the presence of uncertainty about their compliance will bring about higher volatility in key economic variables, which could, in turn, affect unemployment and growth negatively. This finding shows that it is important to reduce uncertainty about the members’ commitment towards the SGP. Keywords: fiscal policy rules, monetary union, Stability and Growth Pact, uncertainty, commitment. JEL No.: E63, F55, H62, H87

Entorn virtual d'aprenentatge per una escola de secundària

Implementarem un Entorn Virtual d’Aprenentatge (EVA) per a l'escola Arrels-Blanquerna de Badalona. Instal·larem un Moodle perquè els alumnes puguin reforçar els aprenentatges adquirits a les classes i realitzar activitats proporcionades pel docent. Farem servir les eines que proporciona GoogleApps per l’elaboració i modificació dels diferents documents que es facin servir, i per la comunicació a través de correu electrònic. Per últim, construirem una pàgina web amb el programari Joomla! que serà útil per penjar noticies relacionades amb el projecte eduCAT1x1 i com a punt d’enllaç amb les diferents plataformes.

Gestor de incidencias: Domestic Appliance

Proyecto realizado para la empresa de reparación de aparatos eléctricos Domestic Appliance con el que se se pretende facilitar y mejorar el proceso de gestión de todas las reparaciones que se realizan mediante una aplicación web. A nivel de Pyme, se trata de un sistema básico de CRM (Customer Relationship Management) y de un gestor de incidencias con el que los empleados de la empresa Domestic Appliance podrán mantener un mejor seguimiento de todos los casos abiertos, ver estadísticas y obtener información de todos los clientes. El sistema se completa con la gestión de un correo interno dónde los usuarios se podrán enviar información confidencial entre ellos, actuando como un correo interno.

Disseny i prototipatge d'un programari per l'ús dels dispositius mòbils en l'aprenentatge online

L'objectiu d'aquest projecte és crear una aplicació per dispositius mòbils que permeti interactuar amb Moodle, un entorn d'aprenentatge en línia. Actualment s'ha estès molt els smartphones, i cada vegada hi ha més gent connectada al mon web les 24h amb aquests aparells. I s'estan acostumant a rebre alertes cada vegada que reben un correu, un tweet, un missatge a Facebook... lo que fa que la gent estigui sempre assabentada de tot en qualsevol lloc i moment.

vTutories : tutories virtuals

Sistema de seguiment d'alumnes mitjançant el correu electrònic.

Usabilitat d'una aplicació informàtica dins el sector del programari mèdic

L'objectiu principal d'aquest treball de final de carrera és estudiar la usabilitat en el programari en general i específicament quina relació té amb el programari mèdic.